2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Odds: Larson Enters All-Star Race as Favorite
Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, and William Byron are the favorites by the NASCAR Cup Series championship odds heading into the All-Star race.
Heading into the NASCAR All-Star Race, three drivers are jockeying for the top spot across our best sports betting sites through the first 13 races. And it shouldn't surprise anyone following this season who they might be.
Kyle Larson, who entered this year as a co-favorite with William Byron, is the narrow favorite across most of our best sportsbooks two weeks after he secured the closest win in NASCAR history at Kansas Speedway. At least one book prefers Denny Hamlin, who joins Byron as the only drivers with three wins entering the All-Star race.
All three are among the favorites to win Sunday's NASCAR All-Star Race at North Wilkesboro Speedway, which begins at 8 p.m. ET on FS1. Here's a look at where the top drivers stand in the latest 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds from the best sports betting apps.
NASCAR Cup Series championship odds 2024
(Odds updated May 16)
| Driver | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | +400 | +400 | +425 🔥 | +375 ❄️ | +400 |
| Denny Hamlin | +450 | +450 | +400 | +400 | +500 🔥 |
| William Byron | +500 | +500 | +525 🔥 | +450 ❄️ | +500 |
| Christopher Bell | +900 | +850 | +800 ❄️ | +900 | +900 |
| Chase Elliott | +900 | +850 | +800 ❄️ | +900 | +900 |
| Tyler Reddick | +900 ❄️ | +1100 | +1600 🔥 | +1200 | +1200 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1200 | +1100 ❄️ | +1400 🔥 | +1200 | +1200 |
| Martin Truex | +1200 | +1100 | +1200 | +1000 ❄️ | +1200 |
| Joey Logano | +1600 | +1600 | +2200 | +2500 🔥 | +1600 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1600 ❄️ | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Brad Keselowski | +1600 | +1800 | +1600 | +2000 🔥 | +1600 |
Favorites to win NASCAR Cup Series Championship
Kyle Larson
Even after a disastrous showing at Darlington (P34), Larson still reigns supreme in the latest betting odds after clinching his second win of the year at Kansas Speedway - one that came 0.001 seconds away from heartbreak:
That gave the preseason favorite his second win of the year, and he currently leads all drivers in points (486), laps led (648), and top-fives (six). Larson has often been the fastest qualifier, too, claiming three poles in 13 races with top-three Sunday finishes in two of them.
These are now the shortest odds of the season for the 2021 champion, who remains arguably the best driver in the field every time he hits the track. It's always risky betting the favorite in the playoff era, but nobody deserves these short odds more than the No. 5.
Best odds: +425 via FanDuel
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Denny Hamlin
While Larson has the shorter odds at most shops, Caesars has Hamlin as the outright favorite to win the first Cup Series championship of his career. And it's hard to argue with the logic.
The 43-year-old scored his third consecutive top-five finish at Darlington, and his preseason win in the Clash at the Coliseum foreshadowed his three wins in the first 13 races - tied for the most by any driver entering the All-Star break.
There's a reason Hamlin is the favorite to win this weekend's exhibition race, and his three wins to this point have helped fuel his aggressive racing style on the track. It's hard to compete with the combination of car, crew, and confidence for the No. 11.
Best odds: +500 via bet365
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William Byron
Byron is getting the longest odds of the top three drivers, but it's hard not to consider him a co-favorite in this field with three checkered flags to his name through 12 weeks.
Perhaps the most impressive thing about the 26-year-old's start is his versatility and consistency. He's already won on a short track (Martinsville), a superspeedway (Daytona), and even a road course (Circuit of the Americas), and his eight top-10 finishes are tied for the most in the field - more than Larson (six) or Hamlin (six).
Byron made the Championship 4 in 2023 and was one of two drivers to lead at least 1,000 laps across the entire season (Larson was the other). It's hard to imagine that he won't make another deep run in this year's playoffs, and it feels like these odds could look like a relative bargain in hindsight.
Best odds: +525 via BetMGM
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Ty Gibbs
If you've been following our NASCAR analysis all season, you know how we feel about Gibbs, whom we've been spotlighting ever since his odds were 28/1 way back in February. And he sure made us look good last week.
Last year's Rookie of the Year nearly secured his first-ever win, leading 34 laps and battling for a second-place finish - the best of his young career. That gave him his seventh top-10 of the season, tied for third, and his 235 laps led are fifth-most in the field.
The 21-year-old was catching 20/1 odds last week, but those might be gone for good after he flirted with victory once again. With the way he's qualified this year and how well he performed down the stretch last season, I'd highly recommend jumping on these odds for the Joe Gibbs Racing prodigy before it's too late.
Best odds: +1800 via BetMGM
2024 NASCAR schedule and winners
| Date | Race | Location | Winner (open) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday, Feb. 3 | Busch Light Clash at The Coliseum | Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum | Denny Hamlin (+1100) |
| Monday, Feb. 19 | Daytona 500 | Daytona International Speedway | William Byron (+1400) |
| Sunday, Feb. 25 | Ambetter Health 400 | Atlanta Motor Speedway | Daniel Suarez (+3000) |
| Sunday, March 3 | Pennzoil 400 | Las Vegas Motor Speedway | Kyle Larson (+400) |
| Sunday, March 10 | Shriners Children's 500 | Phoenix Raceway | Christopher Bell (+1000) |
| Sunday, March 17 | Food City 500 | Bristol Motor Speedway | Denny Hamlin (+500) |
| Sunday, March 24 | EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix | Circuit of the Americas | William Byron (+1000) |
| Sunday, March 31 | Toyota Owners 400 | Richmond Raceway | Denny Hamlin (+425) |
| Sunday, April 7 | Cook Out 400 | Martinsville Speedway | William Byron (+1200) |
| Sunday, April 14 | AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 | Texas Motor Speedway | Chase Elliott (+1400) |
| Sunday, April 21 | GEICO 500 | Talladega Superspeedway | Tyler Reddick (+2200) |
| Sunday, April 28 | Würth 400 | Dover Motor Speedway | Denny Hamlin (+750) |
| Sunday, May 5 | AdventHealth 400 | Kansas Speedway | Kyle Larson (+380) |
| Sunday, May 12 | Goodyear 400 | Darlington Raceway | Brad Keselowski (+1800) |
| Sunday, May 19 | NASCAR All-Star Race | North Wilkesboro Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, May 26 | Coca-Cola 600 | Charlotte Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, June 2 | Enjoy Illinois 300 | World Wide Technology Raceway | TBD |
| Sunday, June 9 | Toyota / Save Mart 350 | Sonoma Raceway | TBD |
| Sunday, June 16 | Iowa Corn 350 | Iowa Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, June 23 | NASCAR Cup Series Race at New Hampshire | New Hampshire Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, June 30 | Ally 400 | Nashville Superspeedway | TBD |
| Sunday, July 7 | Grant Park 165 | Chicago Street Course | TBD |
| Sunday, July 14 | NASCAR CUP Series Race at Pocono | Pocono Raceway | TBD |
| Sunday, July 21 | Brickyard 400 | Indianapolis Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Aug. 11 | Cook Out 400 | Richmond Raceway | TBD |
| Sunday, Aug. 18 | FireKeepers Casino 400 | Michigan International Speedway | TBD |
| Saturday, Aug. 24 | Coke Zero Sugar 400 | Daytona International Spedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Sept. 1 | Cook Out Southern 500 | Darlington Raceway | TBD |
| Sunday, Sept. 8 | Quaker State 400* | Atlanta Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Sept. 15 | Go Bowling at The Glen* | Watkins Glen International | TBD |
| Saturday, Sept. 21 | Bass Pro Shops Night Race* | Bristol Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Sept. 29 | Hollywood Casino 400* | Kansas Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Oct. 6 | YellaWood 500* | Talladega Superspeedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Oct. 13 | Bank of America ROVAL 400* | Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course | TBD |
| Sunday, Oct. 20 | South Point 400* | Las Vegas Motor Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Oct. 27 | NASCAR Cup Series Race at Homestead-Miami* | Homestead-Miami Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Nov. 3 | XFINITY 500* | Martinsville Speedway | TBD |
| Sunday, Nov. 10 | NASCAR Cup Series Championship* | Phoenix Raceway | TBD |
* NASCAR Cup Series Championship playoff race
NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds over time
May 16: As we've said for a while now, don't expect too much change each week across our best live betting sites unless a driver just won a race. We've seen that bump recently with Chase Elliott, Tyler Reddick, and even Kyle Larson, who went from one of the favorites to the consensus top choice after Kansas.
Naturally, the biggest riser this week was Brad Keselowski, who snapped a 110-race winless streak that spanned three years with his resilient win at Darlington Raceway. That likely punches his ticket to the playoffs and forced books with the best sportsbook promos to bump him into the top 10 in championship odds.
It was also the first win for Ford, which had gone 0-for-12 entering last weekend. Keselowski still has longer odds than fellow Ford drivers Martin Truex Jr. and Ryan Blaney, two previous champions with the shortest odds of any winless drivers in 2024.
NASCAR Cup Series Championship opening odds
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | +550 |
| William Byron | +550 |
| Ryan Blaney | +750 |
| Denny Hamlin | +800 |
| Chase Elliott | +850 |
| Christopher Bell | +900 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +1000 |
| Joey Logano | +1200 |
| Kyle Busch | +1200 |
| Ross Chastain | +1400 |
| Tyler Reddick | +1400 |
| Brad Keselowski | +1800 |
| Chris Buescher | +2000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +2800 |
| Bubba Wallace | +3000 |
| Alex Bowman | +3500 |
| Josh Berry | +6000 |
| Daniel Suarez | +7000 |
| Chase Briscoe | +7000 |
Past NASCAR Cup Series Championship winners
| Year | Driver | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Ryan Blaney | +1000 |
| 2022 | Joey Logano | +1400 |
| 2021 | Kyle Larson | +1100 |
| 2020 | Chase Elliott | +1200 |
| 2019 | Kyle Busch | +600 |
| 2018 | Joey Logano | +800 |
| 2017 | Martin Truex Jr. | +800 |
| 2016 | Jimmie Johnson | +700 |
| 2015 | Kyle Busch | +1000 |
| 2014 | Kevin Harvick | +2000 |
| 2013 | Jimmie Johnson | +350 |
How to bet on the NASCAR Cup Series Championship
While there is no dominant driver in the NASCAR field as there once was, preseason favorites Kyle Larson and William Byron are maintaining their spot near the top and are among the favorites in just about every race. So is Hamlin, who has logged three wins already to join the previous two as the only drivers with multiple wins thus far.
Betting on any of those drivers isn't a bad way to invest in the season, with all three looking likely to be among the final cars in the playoff field. If you're looking for a way to fade those leaders, you might find better value on a race-to-race basis - like when Daniel Suarez won in Atlanta with odds as high as 45/1.
That said, NASCAR's playoff format adds volatility to the overall field, so we recommend picking off relative values like Ryan Blaney, Joey Logano, and Ty Gibbs, who all have the makeup and team to compete, and they offer a larger payoff than the top three.
NASCAR Cup Series Championship FAQs
Who is the NASCAR Cup Series Championship favorite?
Kyle Larson is the consensus favorite to win the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship with odds as high as +425. According to our odds converter, that carries an implied probability of 19.05% that he'll claim the second championship of his career after winning in 2021.
Who won the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship?
Ryan Blaney won the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship, outlasting Kyle Larson and William Byron in the final race of the season at Phoenix Raceway.
When will the NASCAR Cup Series Championship be decided?
The 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship will be decided on Nov. 10, when the final four drivers compete at Phoenix Raceway.
Where will the NASCAR Cup Series Championship take place?
For the fifth straight year, the NASCAR Cup Series Championship will take place at Phoenix Raceway in Avondale, Arizona, as the conclusion of the 16-driver playoff.
When is the next NASCAR race?
The next race in the NASCAR Cup Series is the All-Star Race, which will be televised on FS1 beginning at 8 p.m. ET from North Wilkesboro Speedway in North Carolina.
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