2024 NFL Rookie Receiving Leader Odds, Predictions: Can Anyone Catch Favorite Harrison?

Arizona Cardinals receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. is the early favorite by the 2024 NFL rookie receiving leader odds from our best NFL betting sites.

Receivers dominated the early portion of the 2024 NFL Draft, with three hearing their names called within the first nine picks. And our best sports betting sites expect a competitive race in the rookie receiver market ahead of the 2024 NFL regular season.

All of our best sportsbooks have Marvin Harrison Jr., whom the Arizona Cardinals drafted at No. 4 overall, as the favorite to lead all rookies in receiving yards. He's dealing just ahead of Malik Nabers (New York Giants) and Keon Coleman (Buffalo Bills), the only other receivers with consensus odds shorter than 10/1.

Harrison was a prohibitive favorite by the NFL draft odds to be the first receiver off the board, and he's the second choice by the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, too. But is it worth laying short odds on the former Ohio State star to lead such a loaded receiver class?

Here's a look at the 2024 NFL rookie receiving leader odds from our best sportsbooks and our best NFL picks in this market:

Odds to finish with most NFL regular season rookie receiving yards

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Favorites to lead NFL in rookie receiving yards

Marvin Harrison Jr. (+250 via Caesars)

Harrison was the top non-QB prospect in the draft and profiles as one of the best rookie receivers in years. So it's no surprise to see him dealing as the consensus favorite across our best sportsbooks.

In his final season at Ohio State, Harrison ranked 10th in receiving yards (1,211) and had the sixth-highest yards per reception (18.1) of any player with at least 50 receptions. Now he takes over as the clear WR1 for the Cardinals, who lost two of their top three wide receivers from a positional group that combined for just 1,790 yards in 2023.

With Kyler Murray back in the fold for Week 1, Harrison will have a chance to put up numbers. These +250 odds imply a 28.57% probability that the No. 4 pick will lead all rookies in receiving yards, per our odds converter, with a $35 payout on a $10 wager. That's not a bad price for a superstar talent in a decent situation.

Malik Nabers (+550 via bet365)

Even with all the hype around Harrison, some draftniks preferred Nabers as the top wideout in this class after the former LSU star terrorized defenders with his game-breaking speed.

In 2023, Nabers ranked second nationally in receiving yards (1,569) - trailing only Washington's Rome Odunze (1,640) - in just 13 games for the Tigers. Then he ran the 40-yard dash in 4.35 seconds with a 42-inch vertical in the pre-draft process, underscoring the elite athleticism that was on display in Baton Rouge.

The biggest question for the Giants remains under center. Daniel Jones is still recovering from a torn ACL after two serious neck injuries before that, and his play when healthy was inconsistent at best. That doesn't exactly inspire confidence in a bet on Nabers, even with these +550 odds paying out $65 on a $10 wager.

Keon Coleman (+750 via DraftKings)

Coleman was the eighth receiver off the board in April's draft, but he walks into easily the best situation of any wideout in this year's class as the No. 1 target for Josh Allen - one of the favorites by the NFL MVP odds.

Last season, Stefon Diggs led the Bills with 1,183 receiving yards on a whopping 160 targets. He's since been shipped to Houston, and No. 2 receiver Gabe Davis (45 catches, 746 yards) signed with the Jacksonville Jaguars. That leaves Coleman as the clear top target, which GM Brandon Beane essentially confirmed after the draft:

Coleman, a cousin of Dallas Cowboys star CeeDee Lamb, averaged 13.1 yards per catch in college and could put up big numbers in a hurry if he develops an early downfield chemistry with Allen. He'll have plenty of chances to do just that.

Best long shots to lead NFL in rookie receiving yards

While the top of this record-setting class deserves the spotlight, there are a handful of worthwhile bets further down the board of this loaded field.

Xavier Worthy (+1200 via bet365) might have the highest upside of anyone in this class after breaking the 40-yard dash record (4.21 seconds) at the combine. Now he'll be catching passes from Patrick Mahomes for the Kansas City Chiefs, who sorely needed a reliable receiver in 2023.

It feels like the market is sleeping on Brock Bowers (+3000 via FanDuel), who once felt like a lock to be a top-six pick and might be the most pro-ready pass-catcher outside of Harrison. He could serve as a nice security blanket for Aidan O'Connell, Gardnew Minshew, or whomever the Las Vegas Raiders trot out under center.

I also have my eyes on Ricky Pearsall (+3500 via bet365) and Troy Franklin (+4000 via Caesars), who could each have major roles in their teams' respective passing attacks. Pearsall could emerge as a top option if the San Francisco 49ers trade either Brandon Aiyuk or Deebo Samuel, while Franklin already has chemistry with Denver Broncos passer Bo Nix from their time together at Oregon.

NFL rookie receiving leader prediction, best bet

Keon Coleman (Bills)

I'm tempted by Worthy and even Bowers in this spot, but Coleman offers the ideal mix of talent and situation that you need to cash in this market.

Few receivers in this field have such a clear path to 100-plus targets like Coleman does, and only Worthy has a comparable quarterback throwing his way. The former Florida State star has the frame and ball skills to handle a sizable workload in Year 1, especially if he can expand his route tree in his first season in Buffalo.

Prediction: Keon Coleman (+750 via DraftKings)

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