Auburn vs. Alabama Picks, Predictions College Football Week 13: Tigers' Eligibility Hinges on Iron Bowl
This year's edition of the Iron Bowl carries added importance as the Auburn Tigers need a win over the rival Alabama Crimson Tide to secure bowl eligibility. Read on for our top Auburn-Alabama college football picks.
Since the Crimson Tide lost to the Tennessee Volunteers and LSU Tigers by a combined four points, they have won two games in a row. This week, they will face Auburn, which at one point this season, had lost five games in a row.
However, the Tigers have won two in a row to bring their record to 5-6. With a win on Saturday, they would become bowl eligible.
Here are our top picks for the college football Week 13 game between Auburn vs. Alabama (odds via BetMGM and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out all of our top college football picks for Week 13!
Auburn vs. Alabama Game Info
Date: Saturday,
Nov. 26, 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium,
Tuscaloosa, AL
Weather: 65 degrees, 88% chance of
precipitation, 8-mph winds
Auburn vs. Alabama Odds
Auburn vs. Alabama Odds Analysis
The Crimson Tide opened as heavy 22-point favorites and that spread has held firm throughout the week. There are some variations available, however, as FanDuel has set the line at -22.5 for Alabama and BetMGM has posted a 21.5.
The total opened at 50, dropped to 49 at most major sportsbooks, but has since climbed to 51 ahead of kickoff.
Auburn vs. Alabama Picks
Auburn vs. Alabama ATS Pick
Alabama -22 (-110) ★★★
In Iron Bowl matchups, the team that plays at home generally covers. The Crimson Tide are 4-1 against the spread in their last five in Tuscaloosa, covering as 24-plus-point favorites twice in a row. The Tigers are 3-0 ATS at home, losing by just two last season as 20.5-point underdogs.
This season, the Crimson Tide have been absolutely dominant at home. They have outscored their opponents 261-36 in six home contests. The Tigers have played only three true road games, and they lost two of those games by 14 or more. In the only game in which they lost by one score, they needed to dig out of an 18-point halftime hole.
Alabama had a disappointing season by its standards, but it is still much better than Auburn.
Auburn vs. Alabama O/U Pick
Under 49 (-110) ★★
The most points that Alabama has allowed at home this season is 20. Removing that game, it's allowing an average of just over three points per game in its other five home games.
The biggest concern heading into this one is that Crimson Tide hit this total by themselves. The Tigers have allowed at least 39 points in all three of their road games this season. If they allow that total again, and they manage to score at least 10 points - which they have also done in every road contest - then this could go Over.
However, we’re sticking with the Under because of the Crimson Tide's style of play. They have been absolutely dominant in their last two home games but have not scored more than 34 points in either contest.
Auburn vs. Alabama Prop Pick
Auburn Under 13.5 (-122) ★★★★
The Crimson Tide have given up 20 or more points in five of their last seven games, but four of those results came on the road. In their last SEC home game, they were shutting out the Mississippi State Bulldogs until the very last play of the game.
Against the four best defenses they have faced, the Tigers scored 12 points against Penn State, 10 against Georgia, 13 against Texas A&M, and 17 against LSU. Auburn’s offense has put up good numbers against bad defenses. Unfortunately, for the Tigers, the Crimson Tide's defense isn’t bad.
Where to Bet on Auburn-Alabama Picks
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Auburn-Alabama picks made 11/22/2022 at 9:10 a.m. ET
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