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Anthony Edwards of the Minnesota Timberwolves as we look at our top NBA SGP picks
Anthony Edwards of the Minnesota Timberwolves during the game against the Houston Rockets at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Photo by Harrison Barden/Getty Images via AFP.

The Memphis Grizzlies will look to snap a four-game skid with a visit up north to face the Minnesota Timberwolves. Our Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves NBA picks are based on the best NBA odds.

After reeling off 11 straight wins, the Memphis Grizzlies have dropped four in a row. Memphis lost to the Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena last Friday, and the team hasn’t had a win since Shannon Sharpe got into it with Dillon Brooks, Steven Adams and Tee Morant.

The Grizz badly need a win, and they’ll look to get it as small road favorites against the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Wolves have won three of their last four but may be without big man Rudy Gobert, who has a groin injury that continues to linger. Memphis will be without its own big man Steven Adams, and the team lists John Konchar as out and Desmond Bane as questionable.

Here is our best Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves NBA pick (odds via WynnBET; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Game Info

Date: Friday, Jan. 27, 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: NBA TV
Location: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Odds

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Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Odds Analysis

Memphis opened as 3.5-point favorites. That line moved up to as much as -4 and now sits as low as -2.5 at some books. The Grizzlies are 9-15-1 ATS on the road and 8-10-1 as the road favorite this season. Memphis is just 10-18-1 against Western Conference opponents, and the team is 1-4 over its last five. Minnesota is 7-3 ATS as the home dog and 13-13 at home. The team has covered in four of its last five and won three of its last four. The Grizzlies and Wolves played each other twice this season, and the home team won and covered in each contest. Despite Memphis’ poor ATS record on the road, bettors have laid 67% of wagers on the Grizzlies to cover.

The point total is set at a lofty 237.5, and it’s remained steady since opening at that total. Both teams hit the Under more than the Over this season, and both matchups between them resulted in an Under. The Grizzlies are 8-11 as the road favorite, and the team has hit the Under in four straight. The Wolves are 4-6 as the home dog and sport a 2-3 record over the last five games. Just like the spread, bettors are not concerned with historical trends, and 56% of wagers have come in on the Over.

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Pick

Timberwolves ML (+145 via WynnBET) vs. Grizzlies ⭐⭐⭐

Minnesota has the sixth-best winning percentage for a home underdog this season (70%), and the Wolves sport a 7-3 record in that situation. The Wolves are 16-10 straight up at home and have won all five games in which they were at least 3-point underdogs at Target Center.

The Grizzlies have the best home record in the NBA at 20-3, but the team is just 11-14 on the road and 11-8 as the home favorite. The last time Memphis came to Minnesota, the team was a 3-point favorite and lost, and that’s the outcome we’re expecting tonight. The banged-up Grizzlies will fall to Minnesota and extend their current losing streak.

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Best Odds

WynnBet (+145)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBetWynnBET
Timberwolves MLTimberwolves MLTimberwolves MLTimberwolves MLTimberwolves MLTimberwolves ML
+130+126+125+130+125+145

Our five featured books offer the moneyline with similar odds between +125 and +130. We can find clear value by turning to another book and getting more favorable +145 odds at WynnBET.

Grizzlies-Timberwolves pick made 01/27/2023 at 10:15 a.m. ET.

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