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Pacers vs. Celtics Odds, Picks, Predictions: Can Indiana Cover Huge Spread as Road Underdog?

Zachary Hanshew

Last Updated: March 24, 2023 12:55 PM EDT • 2 min 53 sec read.

Jayson Tatum of the Boston Celtics celebrates after hitting a 3-point shot against the New York Knicks, and we offer our top player props for Celtics vs. Pacers based on the best NBA odds.
Jayson Tatum of the Boston Celtics celebrates after hitting a 3-point shot against the New York Knicks. Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images via AFP.

The Indiana Pacers head into a hostile environment and will try to earn a rare win in TD Garden against the Boston Celtics. Here are our Pacers vs. Celtics NBA picks based on the best NBA odds.

The Pacers are fresh off a win over the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday as 8-point underdogs, and the team will look to keep that momentum going Friday against the Celtics. Indiana lists Tyrese Haliburton as questionable, and the Pacers are hopeful to have him back after six games on the sidelines.

The Celtics are back home after an extended six-game road trip, and the 50-win squad will look to add another victory and try to gain ground on Milwaukee and the East’s No. 1 seed.

Here is our best Pacers vs. Celtics NBA pick (odds via Caesars; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Pacers vs. Celtics pick

Jayson Tatum Over 29.5 points + Over 9.5 rebounds (+270 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

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We love featuring player props in our single-game previews, but it’s not every day we get such a profitable boost. Jayson Tatum is expected to have a big game against the visiting Pacers, and we can get juicy odds on a big double-double.

In two prior meetings with Indiana this season, Tatum averaged 36 points and 8.5 boards, hitting this prop once. The Pacers surrender the fifth-most points to opponents (118.2) and the third-most rebounds (53.7). Over the last three games, the Pacers have given up 28 points to Kelly Oubre, 28 to Fred VanVleet, and 31 each to Pascal Siakam, Joel Embiid, and Tyrese Maxey.

Tatum has pulled down double-digit boards in 29 games, and he’s scored at least 30 points in 39 games. Of those, 17 were games that included 30 points and 10 rebounds, and 10 of those came at home.

Since the All-Star break, Tatum has played 13 games and averaged 27.6 points and 10.2 boards. He’s scored at least 30 points seven times and grabbed double-digit boards eight times, going for at least 30-10 in five contests, including three of his last six.

Pacers vs. Celtics best odds

Caesars (+270)

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars PointsBet
Over 29.5 points + Over 9.5 rebounds Over 29.5 points + Over 9.5 rebounds Over 29.5 points + Over 9.5 rebounds Over 29.5 points + Over 9.5 rebounds Over 29.5 points + Over 9.5 rebounds
+250 +237 +250 +270 +240

Tatum’s points prop is set universally at 30.5 across our major books, and his rebound prop is set at 8.5. Caesars is offering a boost on his odds to score at least 30 points and grab at least 10 rebounds, and we’re taking full advantage.

We can easily build out this parlay on any other book by enabling “Same Game Parlay” or “Single Game Parlay,” but at Caesars, we’ll just click the boost and wager on it at the most profitable +270 odds.

Pacers vs. Celtics odds

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Pacers vs. Celtics odds analysis

This line opened at Boston -11.5, and it has moved a half-point to one full point in Boston’s favor.  Bettors favor the Pacers to cover, with 65% of wagers placed on Indiana to cover this massive spread. The Pacers have covered in both matchups with the Celtics this season, and the team is 3-1 ATS and straight-up when a 10-point road dog. Boston has covered in just five of 10 games in which it was favored by at least 10 points at home.

The point total sits at 235 after opening at 234.5, and 61% of bettors have wagered on the Over. Indiana has gone Over in three of its last four, while the Celtics have hit the Over in three straight. Boston has hit the Over in 22 of 35 games as a home favorite this season, and Indiana has hit it in 16 of 30 as the road dog. The teams went Over in one of two prior season matchups.

Pacers vs. Celtics game info

Date: Friday, March 24, 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: NBA TV
Location: TD Garden, Boston, MA

Pacers-Celtics pick made 03/24/2023 at 11:50 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Zachary Hanshew
Zak is a lucky husband and blessed father of four. He’s been writing about sports since 2018 with prior stops at FantasyPros, RotoWire, and FantasyLabs. In addition to Sportsbook Review, you can find his work at NBC Sports Edge, Yahoo, and OwnersBox. When he’s not writing, Zak can be found playing the guitar, hanging out with his family, coaching his son’s basketball team, or laughing way too hard at old Simpsons episodes.