Falcons vs. Jets Player Props: Best Bets & TD Picks for NFL Week 13

Our expert highlights a handful of mispriced player prop lines for Sunday’s action.
Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts (8) runs as part of our Falcons vs. Jets player props.
Pictured: Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts (8) runs as part of our Falcons vs. Jets player props. Photo by Dale Zanine-Imagn Images
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As the exciting Week 13 slate of NFL action continues, let’s discuss the best Falcons vs. Jets player props as our NFL Week 13 predictions continue. This game is scheduled for Sunday, Nov. 30 at 1 p.m. ET (FOX) at MetLife Stadium. The Falcons are a 2.5-point betting favorite on the road in this spot.


✅ Falcons vs. Jets player prop bets

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 13.

💵 Best Falcons vs. Jets player prop bets

  • Tyrod Taylor player prop: Over 23.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Tyler Allgeier player prop: Over 26.5 rushing yards (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Kyle Pitts player prop: anytime TD scorer (+245 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Falcons vs. Jets player props

⬆️ Tyrod Taylor player prop: Over 23.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Although Tyrod Taylor is now 36 years old, he can still scramble effectively. Taylor already has 16 scrambles on the year and is averaging 6.1 yards per attempt. Over his two starts, Taylor has tallied 48 rushing yards versus Tampa Bay and 19 rushing yards versus Baltimore.

The key with this prop is Atlanta’s defensive scheme. Raheem Morris loves the blitz – Atlanta blitzes at the second-highest rate (37%) – and that will force Taylor out of the pocket, and, hopefully, past the line of scrimmage on scrambles. Atlanta allows 21.7 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks.

Sharp offshores are charging -123 for the over 23.5, so let’s lock this one in at FanDuel for the friendly price of -114 (53.3%) to turn an $8.77 profit on a $10 bet.

⬆️ Tyler Allgeier player prop: Over 26.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Running back Tyler Allgeier may not get the most attention in this offense – playing behind Bijan Robinson will do that – but that doesn’t excuse the major misprice at BetMGM right now. Sharp offshores have the total at 29.5 with even juice, but BetMGM is selling the Over 26.5 for -110 (52.4%).

There are other reasons to like this bet beyond the four free yards. For one, the Jets shipped off talented defensive lineman Quinnen Williams at the trade deadline. For another, Atlanta’s rushing play percentage has spiked to 49.7% over the last three games, up from 44.7% on the full year.

The Falcons will try to beat the Jets by establishing the run on Sunday, and that means big things for Allgeier. Lock in the mispriced Over 26.5 before BetMGM fixes the line.


6️⃣ Best Falcons vs. Jets touchdown scorer bet

🔥 Kyle Pitts TD pick: anytime TD scorer (+245) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This is a fantastic price for Kyle Pitts on the anytime TD scorer market. Atlanta’s top receiver by red-zone target share, Drake London, is out. Their next-leading option is running back Bijan Robinson. That leaves tight end Kyle Pitts as the best and highest-volume big body remaining.

Pitts has recorded four red-zone targets this year, which is third-most on the Falcons, along with three targets inside the 10-yard line, which is second-most. He may have just one receiving score on the year, but more are coming, so let’s target the Jets, who are tied for the second-most scores allowed to tight ends.

Betting on Pitts to find pay dirt at +245 (29%) on DraftKings will score you a $24.50 profit on a $10 bet. Sharp offshores have this bet at about +220.

💡 More Week 13 predictions

Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 13.


📊 Falcons vs. Jets anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live NFL odds for every game in Week 13.

🔍️ Find the best odds for every bet

Search the best NFL player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.


📺 How to watch Falcons vs. Jets

  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 30
  • Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
  • Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, N.J.)
  • TV: FOX

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