And The Winneers Are $$$$$

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  • abzfarah
    SBR Rookie
    • 02-06-16
    • 49

    #1086
    yeah vegasrepear, i'm a noob pls tell us how to structure our bets with your picks. i put most of them in a parlay a couple times but kept on losing. unfortunately haven't been able to cash in from your mostly correct picks. i had ALL winning parlays today 5/6, but will lose them all coz of Dodgers.
    Comment
    • juicername
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-14-15
      • 6906

      #1087
      Just play all all singles IMO. Even if VR is kind enough to point out his top 3 plays, all his releases are obviously all worth a play in his opinion, so why running the risk of missing out on winners.

      Rating the top 3 plays is pretty subjective anyway and easy to get wrong since I would assume many picks are very close to each other regarding value.
      Comment
      • Stackzilla
        SBR MVP
        • 05-26-15
        • 3372

        #1088
        Originally posted by abzfarah
        yeah vegasrepear, i'm a noob pls tell us how to structure our bets with your picks. i put most of them in a parlay a couple times but kept on losing. unfortunately haven't been able to cash in from your mostly correct picks. i had ALL winning parlays today 5/6, but will lose them all coz of Dodgers.
        Didnt know the game was over already wwwwwoooosssssaaaaa past 3 days there's been more than 3 come from behind victories
        Comment
        • vegasreaper
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-27-11
          • 5656

          #1089
          Originally posted by madeinchin4
          Hi reaper, I have an idea and I'd love to hear your thoughts on it.

          Instead making a bet on every game you post. What if I just 2x or 3x on the top 3 games. And then 1x on a 3 game parley?

          Thanks,

          Love your picks
          Top 1-3 as I've said before mean nothing to me. I just did it because people asked me for them. I live by money management and I don't depend on parlays so can't really help you there my friend
          Comment
          • vegasreaper
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-27-11
            • 5656

            #1090
            Originally posted by abzfarah
            yeah vegasrepear, i'm a noob pls tell us how to structure our bets with your picks. i put most of them in a parlay a couple times but kept on losing. unfortunately haven't been able to cash in from your mostly correct picks. i had ALL winning parlays today 5/6, but will lose them all coz of Dodgers.
            Not trying to come down on you by no means my friend. But the way you play you will more than likely always lose in the long run. I do this for a living and it isn't about hitting a 6 team parlay every now and then to me. It is long term,it is money management and it is a grind. This is no different than the guys,and you know who you are who go bouncing from thread to thread and end up hitting each advisors losing streaks. And then starts bashing the people giving out the plays because THEY can't pick...
            Comment
            • posey_mvp
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-05-16
              • 453

              #1091
              What happened to Puig?? This guy used to be a rising star but now can't hit anything...
              Comment
              • vegasreaper
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-27-11
                • 5656

                #1092
                Originally posted by juicername
                just play all all singles imo. Even if vr is kind enough to point out his top 3 plays, all his releases are obviously all worth a play in his opinion, so why running the risk of missing out on winners.

                Rating the top 3 plays is pretty subjective anyway and easy to get wrong since i would assume many picks are very close to each other regarding value.
                exactly!!!!
                Comment
                • vegasreaper
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-27-11
                  • 5656

                  #1093
                  Originally posted by posey_mvp
                  What happened to Puig?? This guy used to be a rising star but now can't hit anything...
                  I'll tell you something about Puig,keep in mind I'm a Dodger fan,and I've been to many games and usually sit in right field right by him. He takes MANY games off and he has prima dona attitude..
                  Comment
                  • vegasreaper
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-27-11
                    • 5656

                    #1094
                    Originally posted by abzfarah
                    yeah vegasrepear, i'm a noob pls tell us how to structure our bets with your picks. i put most of them in a parlay a couple times but kept on losing. unfortunately haven't been able to cash in from your mostly correct picks. i had ALL winning parlays today 5/6, but will lose them all coz of Dodgers.
                    Yes and also there's that negativity I was talking about. NEVER give up on a game. We were down 9-1 in Philly yesterday and I NEVER gave up. You have to stay positive
                    Comment
                    • posey_mvp
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-05-16
                      • 453

                      #1095
                      Originally posted by vegasreaper
                      I'll tell you something about Puig,keep in mind I'm a Dodger fan,and I've been to many games and usually sit in right field right by him. He takes MANY games off and he has prima dona attitude..
                      Yah he has all the necessary skills to be like a Trout or Harper.. But seems like teams have been making adjustments pitching to him but he plays with too much emotion and seems like it's getting to his head..
                      Comment
                      • vegasreaper
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-27-11
                        • 5656

                        #1096
                        Originally posted by posey_mvp
                        Yah he has all the necessary skills to be like a Trout or Harper.. But seems like teams have been making adjustments pitching to him but he plays with too much emotion and seems like it's getting to his head..
                        Nail on the head my friend,nail on the head
                        Comment
                        • posey_mvp
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-05-16
                          • 453

                          #1097
                          I'm a Giants fan and a Buddhist by the way.. Well not practicing but I live by theory that one should treat others the way we want to be treated, no matter the religion, skin color, political party, etc.. We're both lucky we have two of best shortstops in the league playing in same division. That kid Seager is going to be special..
                          Comment
                          • shopbar picks
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-08-10
                            • 2157

                            #1098
                            Brother do what you do. Post the winners like college football. As usual the newbies that subscribe have to question. You are too kind sometimes
                            Comment
                            • vegasreaper
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-27-11
                              • 5656

                              #1099
                              Originally posted by posey_mvp
                              I'm a Giants fan and a Buddhist by the way.. Well not practicing but I live by theory that one should treat others the way we want to be treated, no matter the religion, skin color, political party, etc.. We're both lucky we have two of best shortstops in the league playing in same division. That kid Seager is going to be special..
                              Yes he is I love him. Man if I knew you were a Giants fan I wouldn't be talking with you. But the Buddhist and higher energy power that we strive for saved you my friend...lk
                              Comment
                              • vegasreaper
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-27-11
                                • 5656

                                #1100
                                Okay let's right this ship and get it going forward again. Yesterday now brings us to a positive 58.20 units

                                904-PIT-175
                                906-NYM-130
                                907-CHC-175#2
                                911-SFG-170
                                913-SEA+115
                                917-MIN+110
                                921-BOS-125
                                923-TEX-115
                                926-CLE-210#3
                                930-LAD-1.5-135#1

                                AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL
                                Last edited by vegasreaper; 05-17-16, 11:25 AM.
                                Comment
                                • madeinchin4
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 12-10-14
                                  • 45

                                  #1101
                                  Originally posted by vegasreaper
                                  Top 1-3 as I've said before mean nothing to me. I just did it because people asked me for them. I live by money management and I don't depend on parlays so can't really help you there my friend
                                  Got it my friend.

                                  I will be making regular bets now.
                                  Comment
                                  • Can U Tank It
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 08-02-15
                                    • 198

                                    #1102
                                    Originally posted by vegasreaper
                                    Not trying to come down on you by no means my friend. But the way you play you will more than likely always lose in the long run. I do this for a living and it isn't about hitting a 6 team parlay every now and then to me. It is long term,it is money management and it is a grind. This is no different than the guys,and you know who you are who go bouncing from thread to thread and end up hitting each advisors losing streaks. And then starts bashing the people giving out the plays because THEY can't pick...
                                    exactly reaper- well played!
                                    Comment
                                    • sos41
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 10-01-10
                                      • 22

                                      #1103
                                      VR, I have been following your thread since the beginning of the season (not necessarily tailing but looking for confirmation of my picks) and you have demonstrated a skill that few possess. I understand and agree with the volume of plays and maintaining a consistent unit for those plays to reduce the variance. I also agree with your position on parlays. Clearly the books offer them for a reason. The one concept you use that I struggle with is laying the big price. Those that Are 150 and above, I typically pass on if I can't justify a dog play. I assume you would not play them if they weren't plus EV for you, but does your data back that up?

                                      Good luck, you are off to a great start for the season.
                                      Comment
                                      • RebsLV
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-09-15
                                        • 161

                                        #1104
                                        Going to start tailing.

                                        GL!
                                        Comment
                                        • 16kredit
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-16-13
                                          • 572

                                          #1105
                                          Oakland Pitching change, do we play it still? texas drops to -109 at my book
                                          Comment
                                          • Coolice
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-08-16
                                            • 238

                                            #1106
                                            Tuesday,....May 17th,... Tuesdays and Sundays can sometimes tickle the stats as previously noted. Looking forward to today with renewed curiosity, eager to see what destiny reveals. As always, pulling for us all to have beneficial results.
                                            Comment
                                            • vegasreaper
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-27-11
                                              • 5656

                                              #1107
                                              Originally posted by sos41
                                              VR, I have been following your thread since the beginning of the season (not necessarily tailing but looking for confirmation of my picks) and you have demonstrated a skill that few possess. I understand and agree with the volume of plays and maintaining a consistent unit for those plays to reduce the variance. I also agree with your position on parlays. Clearly the books offer them for a reason. The one concept you use that I struggle with is laying the big price. Those that Are 150 and above, I typically pass on if I can't justify a dog play. I assume you would not play them if they weren't plus EV for you, but does your data back that up?

                                              Good luck, you are off to a great start for the season.
                                              I understand what you're saying. And a lot of cappers stress that seem thing about 150 juice. I quit thinking that way though if you take my games above 150 I am +14.80 units. So no it is profitable to me in long run.
                                              Comment
                                              • vegasreaper
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-27-11
                                                • 5656

                                                #1108
                                                Originally posted by 16kredit
                                                Oakland Pitching change, do we play it still? texas drops to -109 at my book
                                                Yes my friend, I handicapped this game with HAMEL and HAHN pitching. I have changed odds
                                                Comment
                                                • Coolice
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 03-08-16
                                                  • 238

                                                  #1109
                                                  Good morning V.R. Thru your analysis of potential positive situations to wager on,.... there are some contests that you choose to omit,,, for example today - No play on Rockies/Cardinals or Mariners/Orioles. Did these games not meet a certain criteria or did you simply not have enough time to go thru the study of them.? Just curious to know if you need a certain positive expected value for you to venture a possible investment in the plays that you post ? Thanks again for your time and consideration.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • vegasreaper
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-27-11
                                                    • 5656

                                                    #1110
                                                    Originally posted by Coolice
                                                    Good morning V.R. Thru your analysis of potential positive situations to wager on,.... there are some contests that you choose to omit,,, for example today - No play on Rockies/Cardinals or Mariners/Orioles. Did these games not meet a certain criteria or did you simply not have enough time to go thru the study of them.? Just curious to know if you need a certain positive expected value for you to venture a possible investment in the plays that you post ? Thanks again for your time and consideration.
                                                    I handicap ALL games my friend. Those games simply don't meet my parameters that I look for in games. This is why when people ask me especially about the get out of trouble game. Late Sunday I will give a lean as my numbers might favor one side or the other but not enough to be a PLAY
                                                    Comment
                                                    • vegasreaper
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-27-11
                                                      • 5656

                                                      #1111
                                                      Originally posted by RebsLV
                                                      Going to start tailing.

                                                      GL!
                                                      Welcome aboard
                                                      Comment
                                                      • buddha
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 09-03-10
                                                        • 480

                                                        #1112
                                                        Originally posted by vegasreaper
                                                        Yes he is I love him. Man if I knew you were a Giants fan I wouldn't be talking with you. But the Buddhist and higher energy power that we strive for saved you my friend...lk
                                                        While I did encourage Humanity to be kind to one another I was able to understand why this expectation was unrealistic between fans of The Dodgers and fans of The Giants. Interestingly...actually emanates from Water disputes, SoCal stole Water from NorCal...way before you guys were born. Just try to do your best, as you are already.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • vegasreaper
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-27-11
                                                          • 5656

                                                          #1113
                                                          Originally posted by buddha
                                                          While I did encourage Humanity to be kind to one another I was able to understand why this expectation was unrealistic between fans of The Dodgers and fans of The Giants. Interestingly...actually emanates from Water disputes, SoCal stole Water from NorCal...way before you guys were born. Just try to do your best, as you are already.
                                                          Yes don't know if we could live in peace and harmony in the same room though
                                                          Comment
                                                          • VegasPlayer
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-27-09
                                                            • 3676

                                                            #1114
                                                            Originally posted by vegasreaper
                                                            Yes don't know if we could live in peace and harmony in the same room though
                                                            Well you're on both today, so I guess that's a happy medium. Dodgers are so frustrating to watch. Just seem to be so consistently inconsistent.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • vegasreaper
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-27-11
                                                              • 5656

                                                              #1115
                                                              Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                                                              Well you're on both today, so I guess that's a happy medium. Dodgers are so frustrating to watch. Just seem to be so consistently inconsistent.
                                                              Yes they are,oh so much talent but yet can't seem to put it together and play as a unit "consistantly". Like I said earlier too many players making millions to play what they love and yet play when they feel like it. Look what banner years players have in the last year of their contracts. Incredibly they never get injured their BA's get higher etc
                                                              Comment
                                                              • VegasPlayer
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-27-09
                                                                • 3676

                                                                #1116
                                                                Originally posted by vegasreaper
                                                                Yes they are,oh so much talent but yet can't seem to put it together and play as a unit "consistantly". Like I said earlier too many players making millions to play what they love and yet play when they feel like it. Look what banner years players have in the last year of their contracts. Incredibly they never get injured their BA's get higher etc
                                                                Nail on the head.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • VegasPlayer
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-27-09
                                                                  • 3676

                                                                  #1117
                                                                  I don't intend to be presumptuous here, but it looks like you play the overnights. Do you line shop or play one book in town? Use a mobile App? Reason I ask is that the book I'm using often shuts down by the time I get home from work.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • buddha
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 09-03-10
                                                                    • 480

                                                                    #1118
                                                                    Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                                                                    Well you're on both today, so I guess that's a happy medium. Dodgers are so frustrating to watch. Just seem to be so consistently inconsistent.
                                                                    Agree. I had them TT Over 4 Runs yesterday, they score 2 in the 2nd and then its just excruciating to watch. I finally had to just turn the game off altogether. It was too stressful. Facing Weaver tonight. Feels like TT Over (again) with LAD should be easy tonight. A feeling that too often leads to Despair. Adrian Gonzales benched himself with Bad Back last night, planning on looking into his status....eventually.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • vegasreaper
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-27-11
                                                                      • 5656

                                                                      #1119
                                                                      Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                                                                      I don't intend to be presumptuous here, but it looks like you play the overnights. Do you line shop or play one book in town? Use a mobile App? Reason I ask is that the book I'm using often shuts down by the time I get home from work.
                                                                      Don't know what part of town you're in my friend but I live in Southern Highlands and use Southport and The M casino along with my offshore. I use offshore mostly and just other 2 to compare because of Nickel line
                                                                      Last edited by vegasreaper; 05-17-16, 03:11 PM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • blackHIPPY
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-01-14
                                                                        • 3973

                                                                        #1120
                                                                        hope you crush em today brother
                                                                        Comment
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