i cant fukkin believe this line went up more. kept telling myself to wait but got spooked when it dipped earlier in day. not onlhy that but now i am going to the gm which gonna be super weird, dont think ive ever went to cards gm where i bet against them, gonna be torn! lol
" Dog of the Day"
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#736Comment -
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#7386-2 +5.38
nym +123Comment -
#739i cant fukkin believe this line went up more. kept telling myself to wait but got spooked when it dipped earlier in day. not onlhy that but now i am going to the gm which gonna be super weird, dont think ive ever went to cards gm where i bet against them, gonna be torn! lol
Yeah that's going to be weird. I'm a Cards fan but just too much value on Hamels for me. Hope you enjoy the game with a Phillies win.Comment -
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#744[QUOTE=Holdin Aces;23933229][COLOR=#000000]7-3 +6.30
Today's Pick- Phillies +145
Winner
8-3 +7.75Comment -
#745Worked out perfect. Cards lead for while I was like "yeah" then when Phils scored their 3 I booed while secretly golf clapping, lol.. Plus cards team total under cashed as well. I never care in reg season, I know in the end we be in contention..Comment -
#746Nice! Works out perfect. I like the Cards tomorrow but line is too high. Might parlay it with Reds and Dodgers.Comment -
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#748This is a front runner for me tomorrow as well. Haven't pulled the trigger yet but I'm about to at that number, it won't get any better.Comment -
#749Cash Braves working on tomorrow's cardComment -
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#754Today's selection:
Boston rl +160
record: 4-3 +3.0
GL everybody!Comment -
#755The guys on this thread are awesome!
Keep up the good workComment -
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#757Tuesday:
Giants +161 (5 Dimes)
4-12, -6.98Comment -
#759Couple quick leans after initially scanning todays games. Pirates, Mets, Royals, Rays and Angels. Gotta think that with Wacha on the bump the Phillies abysmal offense is screaming for a TT Under (i'll wait for 2dabanks input on this one). Also debating on whether MadBum can take down Kershaw in round 2.
Gotta whittle these down throughout the day today and will be back later this afternoon with an official pick.Comment -
#760Couple quick leans after initially scanning todays games. Pirates, Mets, Royals, Rays and Angels. Gotta think that with Wacha on the bump the Phillies abysmal offense is screaming for a TT Under (i'll wait for 2dabanks input on this one). Also debating on whether MadBum can take down Kershaw in round 2.
Gotta whittle these down throughout the day today and will be back later this afternoon with an official pick.Comment -
#761Comment -
#7624/28 Toronto +106
Ytd 5-8 down 1.89Comment -
#7633-2 +1.64
Houston +135 MLB [General]
04/28/15 09:10 PM ETComment -
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#7668-4, +5.85 u.
4/28
Giants +160Comment -
#767Been following this awesome thread for a week or 2 (thanks Mag) and would love to jump in ...
Royals +125 (last night, think it's come down some...)Comment -
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#769
Everything above -150 on Kershaw is a joke, really.
In the past Clayton Kershaw got similar lines against guys like Miley, Dan Haren, Homer Bailey or Tim Hudson. What is this shit? It's all because of Clayton's strong home record of 2014, but it seems like noone is looking into the fact that the Dodgers won 13 of 17 of his home starts, but he still lost 4 and 5 wins were decided by 1 run. And he often got a ton of help by his bullpen and lots of run support. Dodgers averaged 5.1 runs with Clayton as a starter at home in 2014, but 'only' 4.1 in games when other guys started.
Average lines in Clayton's home starts:
- 2014: -220.7 (13-4 W/L)
- 2013: -202.5 (9-9)
- 2012: -189.9 (13-6)
- 2011: -148.2 (13-3)
Where do they want him to go to? And people still back him at the inflated odds (autoplay and what they do with him...lol). Don't get it. There comes a time (or line) where even the best pitcher of the universe is unplayable, no matter how high his winning chances are, simply because the odds are totally overdone.
I will look into it since I haven't done it yet, but I can't imagine a starter in the last few seasons who had nearly those average odds or this kind of 'growth' in his odds like him.
Even if I lose the bet and the result shows a Dodgers win by a clear margin I will never regret backing the Giants at those odds.Last edited by posey; 04-28-15, 11:51 AM.Comment -
#770Comment
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