" Dog of the Day"

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #736
    Originally posted by Holdin Aces
    7-3 +6.30

    Today's Pick- Phillies +145

    i cant fukkin believe this line went up more. kept telling myself to wait but got spooked when it dipped earlier in day. not onlhy that but now i am going to the gm which gonna be super weird, dont think ive ever went to cards gm where i bet against them, gonna be torn! lol
    Comment
    • 44 Mag
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 10-14-13
      • 34490

      #737
      Originally posted by 44 Mag
      Monday:

      CWS +131.

      Record: 9-6 +4.25
      Well, my game gets postponed due to riots ??? There's a first.
      Comment
      • bruenc
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 05-26-10
        • 529

        #738
        6-2 +5.38

        nym +123
        Comment
        • Holdin Aces
          SBR MVP
          • 03-18-10
          • 2551

          #739
          Originally posted by 2daBank
          i cant fukkin believe this line went up more. kept telling myself to wait but got spooked when it dipped earlier in day. not onlhy that but now i am going to the gm which gonna be super weird, dont think ive ever went to cards gm where i bet against them, gonna be torn! lol

          Yeah that's going to be weird. I'm a Cards fan but just too much value on Hamels for me. Hope you enjoy the game with a Phillies win.
          Comment
          • 44 Mag
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 10-14-13
            • 34490

            #740
            Originally posted by bruenc
            6-2 +5.38

            nym +123
            I am surprised Mets are this high a dog ???? BOL , looks like a great price.
            Comment
            • mrginandtonic
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-11-09
              • 7727

              #741
              Originally posted by mrginandtonic
              4/26

              mil +130

              ytd 4-4 = + 1.91
              Gonna do favorite RL instead of a dog.

              TEX -1.5 +182

              YTD = + 3.21
              Comment
              • bruenc
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 05-26-10
                • 529

                #742
                Originally posted by bruenc
                6-2 +5.38

                nym +123
                well.... 7-2 +6.61
                Comment
                • robbeduagain
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-25-12
                  • 1248

                  #743
                  Originally posted by robbeduagain
                  Boston rl loser
                  Record 3-3 +1.55

                  Today's selection:
                  Kansas City +145

                  Glad all
                  KC +145 a winner!
                  Record 4-3 +3.0
                  Comment
                  • Holdin Aces
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-18-10
                    • 2551

                    #744
                    [QUOTE=Holdin Aces;23933229][COLOR=#000000]7-3 +6.30

                    Today's Pick- Phillies +145


                    Winner

                    8-3 +7.75
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #745
                      Originally posted by Holdin Aces
                      Yeah that's going to be weird. I'm a Cards fan but just too much value on Hamels for me. Hope you enjoy the game with a Phillies win.
                      Worked out perfect. Cards lead for while I was like "yeah" then when Phils scored their 3 I booed while secretly golf clapping, lol.. Plus cards team total under cashed as well. I never care in reg season, I know in the end we be in contention..
                      Comment
                      • Holdin Aces
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-18-10
                        • 2551

                        #746
                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                        Worked out perfect. Cards lead for while I was like "yeah" then when Phils scored their 3 I booed while secretly golf clapping, lol.. Plus cards team total under cashed as well. I never care in reg season, I know in the end we be in contention..
                        Nice! Works out perfect. I like the Cards tomorrow but line is too high. Might parlay it with Reds and Dodgers.
                        Comment
                        • incognitoh
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 02-26-14
                          • 353

                          #747
                          Originally posted by incognitoh
                          4/27: Pittsburgh +116
                          YTD: 6-4 3.40
                          4/28 - Houston +150 - I don't understand this line at all; I must be totally missing something, which means I should probably pass but didn't.

                          YTD: 6-5 2.40
                          Comment
                          • Holdin Aces
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-18-10
                            • 2551

                            #748
                            Originally posted by incognitoh
                            4/28 - Houston +150 - I don't understand this line at all; I must be totally missing something, which means I should probably pass but didn't.

                            YTD: 6-5 2.40
                            This is a front runner for me tomorrow as well. Haven't pulled the trigger yet but I'm about to at that number, it won't get any better.
                            Comment
                            • pacocn
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-05-10
                              • 12934

                              #749
                              Cash Braves working on tomorrow's card
                              Comment
                              • posey
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-23-14
                                • 1112

                                #750
                                Originally posted by posey
                                4/27
                                Royals +132
                                Win.
                                8-4, +5.85 u.
                                Comment
                                • twestacott
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-02-14
                                  • 1044

                                  #751
                                  Originally posted by twestacott
                                  Kansas +135

                                  7-4 +4.28
                                  Comment
                                  • 44 Mag
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 10-14-13
                                    • 34490

                                    #752
                                    Originally posted by twestacott

                                    7-4 +4.28
                                    Nice work. I had them all day, then I decide to take the CWS. Of course the game gets cancelled due to riots??? Go figure. LOL.
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #753
                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                      10-4 +8.29

                                      phils+135.. was trying to wait for a better number as cards usually a popular bet, looks like +139 was the top out point so gonna just play now. imo anything over +120ish has some value here..
                                      11-4 +9.64... back later
                                      Comment
                                      • robbeduagain
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-25-12
                                        • 1248

                                        #754
                                        Today's selection:

                                        Boston rl +160

                                        record: 4-3 +3.0

                                        GL everybody!
                                        Comment
                                        • robbeduagain
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-25-12
                                          • 1248

                                          #755
                                          The guys on this thread are awesome!

                                          Keep up the good work
                                          Comment
                                          • 44 Mag
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 10-14-13
                                            • 34490

                                            #756
                                            Originally posted by robbeduagain
                                            The guys on this thread are awesome!

                                            Keep up the good work
                                            Good to hear someone enjoys this. Best part is, no "nuts" or negativity, just good info. and sharing. And you guys are excellant players.
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #757
                                              Tuesday:

                                              Giants +161 (5 Dimes)

                                              4-12, -6.98
                                              Comment
                                              • 44 Mag
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 10-14-13
                                                • 34490

                                                #758
                                                Tuesday:

                                                LAA +137.

                                                Record: 9-6 +4.25

                                                Loss.
                                                Last edited by 44 Mag; 04-29-15, 05:51 AM.
                                                Comment
                                                • twestacott
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-02-14
                                                  • 1044

                                                  #759
                                                  Couple quick leans after initially scanning todays games. Pirates, Mets, Royals, Rays and Angels. Gotta think that with Wacha on the bump the Phillies abysmal offense is screaming for a TT Under (i'll wait for 2dabanks input on this one). Also debating on whether MadBum can take down Kershaw in round 2.

                                                  Gotta whittle these down throughout the day today and will be back later this afternoon with an official pick.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 44 Mag
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 10-14-13
                                                    • 34490

                                                    #760
                                                    Originally posted by twestacott
                                                    Couple quick leans after initially scanning todays games. Pirates, Mets, Royals, Rays and Angels. Gotta think that with Wacha on the bump the Phillies abysmal offense is screaming for a TT Under (i'll wait for 2dabanks input on this one). Also debating on whether MadBum can take down Kershaw in round 2.

                                                    Gotta whittle these down throughout the day today and will be back later this afternoon with an official pick.
                                                    Yeah, I grabbed LAA. I think Kershaw starts to round back into form. I also Liked Locke for Pitt, but Travis can be tough. BOL.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #761
                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                      4-12, -6.98
                                                      A perfect example of why I don't rate my plays as I play most of them for the same amount.

                                                      I am actually having a pretty good year so far at +5.44 YTD, but this thread shows what could happen when I have to choose just one of my plays each day.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pacocn
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 07-05-10
                                                        • 12934

                                                        #762
                                                        4/28 Toronto +106
                                                        Ytd 5-8 down 1.89
                                                        Comment
                                                        • AchillesTG
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-19-13
                                                          • 1648

                                                          #763
                                                          3-2 +1.64

                                                          Houston +135 MLB [General]
                                                          04/28/15 09:10 PM ET
                                                          Comment
                                                          • VegasPlayer
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-27-09
                                                            • 3676

                                                            #764
                                                            Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                                                            1-0 +1.12

                                                            Mets +113
                                                            2-0 +2.25

                                                            Giants +155 - Can't Resist
                                                            Comment
                                                            • teecee
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-18-09
                                                              • 6295

                                                              #765
                                                              Originally posted by teecee
                                                              6-3 +3.18

                                                              KC/CLE Un 6.5 @ +120
                                                              6-4 +2.18

                                                              Rockies @ +123

                                                              I know the line is not current, but that is what I got last night.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • posey
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-23-14
                                                                • 1112

                                                                #766
                                                                8-4, +5.85 u.

                                                                4/28
                                                                Giants +160
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2buckluck
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 04-10-15
                                                                  • 608

                                                                  #767
                                                                  Been following this awesome thread for a week or 2 (thanks Mag) and would love to jump in ...
                                                                  Royals +125 (last night, think it's come down some...)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Big Bear
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 11-01-11
                                                                    • 43253

                                                                    #768
                                                                    Originally posted by posey
                                                                    8-4, +5.85 u.

                                                                    4/28
                                                                    Giants +160
                                                                    that price is insane isnt it???

                                                                    can't believe this line keeps climbing higher
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • posey
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-23-14
                                                                      • 1112

                                                                      #769
                                                                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                      that price is insane isnt it???

                                                                      can't believe this line keeps climbing higher
                                                                      Considering that MadBum can and will turn it on sooner or later and March/April has traditionally been Kershaw's suck time along October, that's a joke. The Giants aren't as good as they were last season, but they have lots of heart, play as a team and have shitload of motivation after yesterday's clear loss. The Giants are 12-6 with MadBum starting against the Dodgers and 3-1 when the opposing starter was Clayton Kershaw.
                                                                      Everything above -150 on Kershaw is a joke, really.

                                                                      In the past Clayton Kershaw got similar lines against guys like Miley, Dan Haren, Homer Bailey or Tim Hudson. What is this shit? It's all because of Clayton's strong home record of 2014, but it seems like noone is looking into the fact that the Dodgers won 13 of 17 of his home starts, but he still lost 4 and 5 wins were decided by 1 run. And he often got a ton of help by his bullpen and lots of run support. Dodgers averaged 5.1 runs with Clayton as a starter at home in 2014, but 'only' 4.1 in games when other guys started.

                                                                      Average lines in Clayton's home starts:
                                                                      - 2014: -220.7 (13-4 W/L)
                                                                      - 2013: -202.5 (9-9)
                                                                      - 2012: -189.9 (13-6)
                                                                      - 2011: -148.2 (13-3)
                                                                      Where do they want him to go to? And people still back him at the inflated odds (autoplay and what they do with him...lol). Don't get it. There comes a time (or line) where even the best pitcher of the universe is unplayable, no matter how high his winning chances are, simply because the odds are totally overdone.

                                                                      I will look into it since I haven't done it yet, but I can't imagine a starter in the last few seasons who had nearly those average odds or this kind of 'growth' in his odds like him.

                                                                      Even if I lose the bet and the result shows a Dodgers win by a clear margin I will never regret backing the Giants at those odds.
                                                                      Last edited by posey; 04-28-15, 11:51 AM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 44 Mag
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 10-14-13
                                                                        • 34490

                                                                        #770
                                                                        Originally posted by 2buckluck
                                                                        Been following this awesome thread for a week or 2 (thanks Mag) and would love to jump in ...
                                                                        Royals +125 (last night, think it's come down some...)
                                                                        Brother everybody is welcome!!! If you are in you will appear on the next "standings" that comes out in a day or two.
                                                                        Comment
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