Is the Public, makes the diference in MLB Games?!

[Galego]

So, yesterday I was looking a few numbers and saw a twitte from a guy, that works at Action Network, about betting on MLB this season (2020)... The numbers was:

2005-2019
• Overall: 57.5%, -679u (average winning margin of 0.7 runs)
• Road: 55.6%, -268u (margin 0.82)


2020
• Overall: 194-110 (63.8%), +23.3 units (margin 1.26)
• Road: 76-39 (66.1%), +15.3u (margin 1.43)

I know that is still early in the season, but do you guys think that the fact that the games are without public, is influencing?

I star to question my self, after a system that I have for home dogs had 7 straight losses.

[DaLilQ]

I"ve read this post four times and still have no clue what these numbers allude to.

Underdogs? Home teams? Road teams?

[Galego]

Sorry about that.

The info is about to bet in favorites!!

Yesterday, only one underdog won on MLB. This is sick!!!

[Sharpes]

The key question, in fact the only question that matters, is what does this mean to the forward probability of favorites providing excess returns?

[Galego]

Favorites moves to 87-40 on the road... This is a 69% of win rate and 17% of ROI.

11-1 in the last 2 days.