On3's MLB 2024 Opening Day System

[RockLonemilk]

Lots of action today! Love it.

[J.M. Disciple]

I think SF no play as line has dropped to -143 currently.
ARZ is also -192 now so RL play.

https://www.pinnacle.com/en/baseball/matchups/

(A) Arizona -174 to win 1u
(A) Atlanta RL -102 to win 1u
(A) LA Dodgers -152 to win 1u
(A) Milwaukee -147 to win 1u
(A) San Francisco -146 to win 1u
(A) Washington -161 to win 1u

[J.M. Disciple]

Lots of line movement

ATL -212 = RL
MIL -165 = ML
ARZ -182 = ML
LAD -137 = no play
SF -152 = ML

I personally have all the plays already locked in, so hope for the best. But will be interesting based on the results of the game which plays are official with RL/ML/NO play.

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 06/15/2024

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 94-4; Profit: 59.09 units
Filtered System: 21-0; Profit: 36.58 units
5/2 chase: 7-0; profit: 29 units

Total (3 systems) : 122-4; Profit: 124.67 units (Series chase lost : Detroit, San Diego, Atlanta, Houston)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 63-35; 14-7; 5-2
Game 2 (B) win = 24-11; 5-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 7-4; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 2 * 17.28
(B) 4 * 17.28
(C)

REGULAR FOR 06/15/2024

(B) Milwaukee -128 to win 1u
(B) San Francisco -144 to win 1u

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

[grecycle99]

Lots of line movement

ATL -212 = RL
MIL -165 = ML
ARZ -182 = ML
LAD -137 = no play
SF -152 = ML

I personally have all the plays already locked in, so hope for the best. But will be interesting based on the results of the game which plays are official with RL/ML/NO play.

Yes alot of line moves but everything was official and only ATL was RL thanks my friend

[J.M. Disciple]

Yes alot of line moves but everything was official and only ATL was RL thanks my friend

Did you change your method on the labby? This is the first time I have seen "B" wager be 1u. I think you meant to win 34.56 based on your method and labby lines or 1.73u. Unless you switched to my method ;-)

(B) Milwaukee -128 to win 1u
(B) San Francisco -144 to win 1u

[grecycle99]

Did you change your method on the labby? This is the first time I have seen "B" wager be 1u. I think you meant to win 34.56 based on your method and labby lines or 1.73u. Unless you switched to my method ;-)

(B) Milwaukee -128 to win 1u
(B) San Francisco -144 to win 1u

yes you are right, I forgot to change the to win units sorry thanks for catching that

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 06/16/2024

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 94-4; Profit: 59.09 units
Filtered System: 21-0; Profit: 36.58 units
5/2 chase: 7-0; profit: 29 units

Total (3 systems) : 122-4; Profit: 124.67 units (Series chase lost : Detroit, San Diego, Atlanta, Houston)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 63-35; 14-7; 5-2
Game 2 (B) win = 24-11; 5-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 7-4; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 2 * 23.79
(B) 1 * 23.79
(C) 2 * 23.79

REGULAR FOR 06/16/2024

(C) San Francisco -153 to win 2.38u

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 06/17/2024

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 100-4; Profit: 61.53 units
Filtered System: 22-0; Profit: 37.58 units
5/2 chase: 7-0; profit: 29 units

Total (3 systems) : 129-4; Profit: 128.11 units (Series chase lost : Detroit, San Diego, Atlanta, Houston)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 67-37; 15-7; 5-2
Game 2 (B) win = 25-12; 5-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 8-4; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 8 * 15.18
(B)
(C)

REGULAR FOR 06/17/2024

(A) Atlanta RL -104 to win 1.52U
(A) Philadelphia -178 to win 1.52U
(A) Pittsburgh -183 to win 1.52U

Filtered

(A) Philadelphia -178 to win 1.52U
5/2

No Play

[RockLonemilk]

Thanks, grecycle99! Let's close them all out today!

[RockLonemilk]

So, Atlanta won but you lost the -1.5 RL bet. Does that get scored as a loss and you bet again tomorrow, even though they actually won the game?

I bet the -1.0 RL on ATL and pushed, but since they won the game I'm just passing on the next 2 games in that series.

[grecycle99]

So, Atlanta won but you lost the -1.5 RL bet. Does that get scored as a loss and you bet again tomorrow, even though they actually won the game?

I bet the -1.0 RL on ATL and pushed, but since they won the game I'm just passing on the next 2 games in that series.

yes it's a loss for the system on A bet and you bet them again on tuesday

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 06/18/2024

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 100-4; Profit: 61.53 units
Filtered System: 22-0; Profit: 37.58 units
5/2 chase: 7-0; profit: 29 units

Total (3 systems) : 129-4; Profit: 128.11 units (Series chase lost : Detroit, San Diego, Atlanta, Houston)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 67-37; 15-7; 5-2
Game 2 (B) win = 25-12; 5-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 8-4; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 2 * 18.00
(B) 2 * 18.00
(C)

REGULAR FOR 06/18/2024

(A) Minnesota -160 to win 1.8U
(B) Atlanta -158 to win 1.8U

Watching NYY -144

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

[J.M. Disciple]

So, Atlanta won but you lost the -1.5 RL bet. Does that get scored as a loss and you bet again tomorrow, even though they actually won the game?

I bet the -1.0 RL on ATL and pushed, but since they won the game I'm just passing on the next 2 games in that series.

I've learned to trust the system. Passing on games is like saying don't give me a free $20. You are at peak profit right? So its only 1u risk if you are managing your line correctly.

[J.M. Disciple]

LFG!!!!

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 06/19/2024

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 104-4; Profit: 66.59 units
Filtered System: 23-0; Profit: 39.10 units
5/2 chase: 7-0; profit: 29 units

Total (3 systems) : 134-4; Profit: 134.69 units (Series chase lost : Detroit, San Diego, Atlanta, Houston)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 70-38; 16-7; 5-2
Game 2 (B) win = 26-12; 5-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 8-4; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A)
(B)
(C)

REGULAR FOR 06/19/2024

No Play

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

[RockLonemilk]

I have mixed emotions about days like today. First, I'm happy because we've cleared all our lines with WINS, but second, I'm sad because I have to find other bets to make!

[J.M. Disciple]

I have mixed emotions about days like today. First, I'm happy because we've cleared all our lines with WINS, but second, I'm sad because I have to find other bets to make!

Why do you have to find other bets to make? Mental leak. If you treat it like a slot machine you'll get slot machine results.

[RockLonemilk]

I guess what I meant is these system bets are no-brainers. If they qualify, you bet them. Since we have none today for this system, I have to do more work if I want to make any bets. I'm retired and don't like working.

[J.M. Disciple]

I guess what I meant is these system bets are no-brainers. If they qualify, you bet them. Since we have none today for this system, I have to do more work if I want to make any bets. I'm retired and don't like working.

Treating it as a business and scaling with 1% unit size or 0.5% unit size goes a long way compared to massive volume of bets. If you were betting $1,000 a game would you still be looking to bet on days where there are no plays? Also keep in mind if you are following the same labby method as is posted, I would urge you to go back and look at past results and bet sizes, as its not uncommon for bets to reach 10 units in size. Forcing plays only increases volatility which most people can't handle.

Maybe instead of looking for plays you can go back through this season and back test the labby method you are going to use to see what kind of variance you would have experienced this season.

[RockLonemilk]

Oh, trust me, I've tracked every bet I've ever made and I study my results ad-nauseum, looking for where I went wrong and where I have edges, and adjusting accordingly. I also use a 1% unit size and and a 15% max per day, and I adjust my unit daily based on bankroll fluctuations. I know the risks of chase systems since I run an MLB away dog series chase system myself. As I've been learning to use labby lines, I've actually gone back and applied it to my dog chase system to see if I could improve my results, which have already been overwhelmingly positive.

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 06/20/2024

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 104-4; Profit: 66.59 units
Filtered System: 23-0; Profit: 39.10 units
5/2 chase: 7-0; profit: 29 units

Total (3 systems) : 134-4; Profit: 134.69 units (Series chase lost : Detroit, San Diego, Atlanta, Houston)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 70-38; 16-7; 5-2
Game 2 (B) win = 26-12; 5-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 8-4; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A)
(B)
(C)

REGULAR FOR 06/20/2024

No Play

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 06/21/2024

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 104-4; Profit: 66.59 units
Filtered System: 23-0; Profit: 39.10 units
5/2 chase: 7-0; profit: 29 units

Total (3 systems) : 134-4; Profit: 134.69 units (Series chase lost : Detroit, San Diego, Atlanta, Houston)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 70-38; 16-7; 5-2
Game 2 (B) win = 26-12; 5-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 8-4; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 4 * 10.00
(B)
(C)

REGULAR FOR 06/21/2024

(A) Chicago Cubs -145 to win 1u
(A) Detroit -171 to win 1U

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

[J.M. Disciple]

How do you check pinnacle lines for games that have already started? Site I was looking at.

https://www.pinnacle.com/en/baseball/mlb/matchups/#period:0

[RockLonemilk]

How do you check pinnacle lines for games that have already started? Site I was looking at.

https://www.pinnacle.com/en/baseball...hups/#period:0

Try this: https://www.oddsportal.com/baseball/usa/mlb/

Click any game and you can see what I presume is the closing line.

[grecycle99]

How do you check pinnacle lines for games that have already started? Site I was looking at.

https://www.pinnacle.com/en/baseball...hups/#period:0

I use this

https://www.bookmakersreview.com/odds/?date=20240621

you go in settings and you can organise your sportsbook (so add pinnacle) you can have all closing lines

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 06/22/2024

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 104-4; Profit: 66.59 units
Filtered System: 23-0; Profit: 39.10 units
5/2 chase: 7-0; profit: 29 units

Total (3 systems) : 134-4; Profit: 134.69 units (Series chase lost : Detroit, San Diego, Atlanta, Houston)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 70-38; 16-7; 5-2
Game 2 (B) win = 26-12; 5-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 8-4; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 1 * 16.34
(B) 2 * 16.34
(C)

REGULAR FOR 06/22/2024

(B) Chicago Cubs +105 to win 1.64U

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

[J.M. Disciple]

We rarely have a dog to bet on but dogs also ML? Not +1.5 RL?

[grecycle99]

We rarely have a dog to bet on but dogs also ML? Not +1.5 RL?

I always put the ml for dogs in here! but I never saw the rules for that one!

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 06/23/2024

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 106-4; Profit: 67.78 units
Filtered System: 23-0; Profit: 39.10 units
5/2 chase: 7-0; profit: 29 units

Total (3 systems) : 136-4; Profit: 135.88 units (Series chase lost : Detroit, San Diego, Atlanta, Houston)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 71-39; 16-7; 5-2
Game 2 (B) win = 27-12; 5-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 8-4; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 1 * 16.34
(B)
(C)

REGULAR FOR 06/23/2024

No Play

Filtered

No Play

5/2

No Play

[J.M. Disciple]

I always put the ml for dogs in here! but I never saw the rules for that one!

I don't actually know if the rule is +1.5 or not. I was thinking of other system's that play dogs ATS and favorite ML. But also this system was back tested by some of the same people, so that is why I was asking.

[packster77]

You guys mind if I join?

[grecycle99]

UPDATED for 06/24/2024

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 106-4; Profit: 67.78 units
Filtered System: 23-0; Profit: 39.10 units
5/2 chase: 7-0; profit: 29 units

Total (3 systems) : 136-4; Profit: 135.88 units (Series chase lost : Detroit, San Diego, Atlanta, Houston)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 71-39; 16-7; 5-2
Game 2 (B) win = 27-12; 5-2; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 8-4; 2-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)

(A) 10 * 10.64
(B)
(C)

REGULAR FOR 06/24/2024

(A) Boston -160 to win 1.07U

(A) Kansas City RL -117 to win 1.07U
(A) Milwaukee -171 to win 1.07U
(A) San Diego RL +108 to win 1.07U
Filtered

(A) Kansas City RL -115 to win 1.07U
5/2

No Play

[grecycle99]

You guys mind if I join?

Sure welcome

[packster77]

Cool thanks