Ck's 2024 mlb thread

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  • atthehalf
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-13
    • 4372

    #351
    The Rays swapped out Tyler Alexander for Shaun Armstrong, because I used Brett Rooker to replace Pivetta I am not allowed to make any changes. So for those who feel froggish then you may want to leap, or maybe not. Just a heads up that I am eating this one because of a managerial decision
    Comment
    • atthehalf
      SBR MVP
      • 12-31-13
      • 4372

      #352
      No line is being offered for Kevin Smith for the Bombers total bases. Another managerial decision gone awry. Maybe they aren't as detail oriented as us out here in fantasy island
      Comment
      • atthehalf
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-13
        • 4372

        #353
        Okey dokey-the big board is updated. As always-remember this.

        We will all will end up with records around .500 in this format so only risk what you can afford boys!

        If you re in fantasy land you stand a much better chance if you are an informed, educated bettor as a member in a strong league that pays out daily....
        Comment
        • atthehalf
          SBR MVP
          • 12-31-13
          • 4372

          #354
          May 29, 2024 Announced INF Kevin Smith has accepted his outright assignment to Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
          Comment
          • atthehalf
            SBR MVP
            • 12-31-13
            • 4372

            #355
            The Bombers optioned him out last night of all nights-the day before he had his chance to shine against a pitcher that he owns...
            Comment
            • atthehalf
              SBR MVP
              • 12-31-13
              • 4372

              #356
              Brady Singer (Royals) was a SCRATCH from his start today vs the Twins so my Buxton move was refunded.

              In an interesting twist of fate Rooker got the job done with a double against Tyler Alexander after all; who came into the game to pitch after the 2nd inning for the Rays. Sometimes you 're the bug and other times you're the windshield. today I was the windshield.

              Credit goes out to the Cubs for using 5 different pitchers and foiled my attempts to get Yelich to get the golden 1.5 bases; he got walked once tho and came around to score. The Cubs are in a position where since they got swept in this series they will be monsters when they get home tomorrow with Assad on the bump...
              Comment
              • atthehalf
                SBR MVP
                • 12-31-13
                • 4372

                #357
                Also Reynaldo Lopez got pushed off of his start by some guy named Ray Kerr with a .540 ERA. Keep Reynaldo on your rosters. I am just gonna take the hit and not replace Lopez with a bat. the cost is minimal since he had such a high usage rate. Hard Rock refunded the RL moves as well due to the sudden pitch change so not too much damage
                Comment
                • atthehalf
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-13
                  • 4372

                  #358
                  The weirdness of today continues-Gallen leaves after just 6 pitches tonight. Oh man did that hurt my streaming for today because I had him at #1! Well hopefully the Snakes can win the FF without him

                  Arizona Diamondbacks ace Zac Gallen appears headed to the injured list after straining his right hamstring five pitches into Thursday night's 3-2 loss to the New York Mets.
                  Comment
                  • atthehalf
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-31-13
                    • 4372

                    #359
                    Flaherty is dealin and has a no-hitter through 4 innings and 5 K's and no walks and a pitch count of 50! Right on pace. I haven't gotten a no-hitter bonus this season but tonight would always be great! I have him ranked #2
                    Comment
                    • atthehalf
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-13
                      • 4372

                      #360
                      204-211-10 +33.95 UNITS



                      Rot.#953 Snakes-110 FF ML Gallen#1 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#963 Tigers (Baez) OVER 1.5 BASES +137 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#963 Tigers (Flaherty#2) OVER 6 K's +100 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#963 Tigers-105 FF ML (Flaherty) 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#957 Athletics (Rooker) OVER 1.5 BASES +114 2 UNITS WIN +2.28 UNITS
                      Rot.#956 Braves (Olson) OVER 1.5 BASES +105 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
                      Rot.#952 Brews (Yelich) OVER 1.5 BASES +121 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS


                      4-3-0 +1.28 UNITS
                      RECORD UPDATE


                      208-214-10 +35.23 UNITS
                      Comment
                      • atthehalf
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-31-13
                        • 4372

                        #361
                        I will have to see the juices for what I like for today's backroom challenge. Making 20 moves is pretty significant
                        Comment
                        • atthehalf
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-31-13
                          • 4372

                          #362
                          208-214-10 +35.23 UNITS


                          Ok so it's Challenge Day, The Commish is indicating that he will take up the slack for the absentees. I will turn in my card at the Hard Rock around 11:00 AM after the rest of the batter and pitcher props have been made available and I have made my moves for streamers..



                          The Cubs are like the cat backed into the corner by a house dog that didn't know any better; plus the Red Leggins don't hit well on the highway. Assad K's up 29.3% of all Red Leggins hitters he faces and is performing at a level that he historically doesn't perform at. I'm gonna keep on starting him until he gives me a reason not to


                          Rot.#902 Cubs-1.5 +140 RL Assad#17 2 UNITS
                          Rot.#902 Cubs (Assad) OVER 5.5 K's +114 1 UNIT


                          Aaron Nola#1? Don't overthink this. Don't overthink Alec Bohm either when he has a .545 avg; .583 OBP, 1.000 SLG, 1.583 OPS vs Mikolas


                          Rot.#904 Blunts-1.5 +113 RL Nola#1 1 UNIT
                          Rot.#904 Blunts (Alec Bohm) OVER 1.5 BASES -105 2 UNITS


                          Albert Suarez#15...it looks like a strong stream on paper though I am skeptical that he will keep his 4 seamer skills for one more start let alone throw secondaries good enough to support it-but it's the Rays.


                          Ok now dig these Orioles 2-5 numbers vs Civale#25.


                          Ryan Mountcastle 5-6, .833 AVG; .833 OBP; 2.000 SLG; 2.500 OPS; 2 DINGERS
                          James McCann 2-4 .500 avg, .600 OBP; 1.250 SLG, 1.850 OPS 1 DINGER
                          Cedric Mullins 5-8 .625 avg; .625 OBP; 1.500 SLG; 2.125 OPS


                          Rot.#910 Orioles to score 1st inning YES +182 1 UNIT
                          Rot.#910 Orioles Team Total OVER 4.5 +104 2 UNITS
                          Rot.#910 Mountcastle OVER 1.5 BASES -102 1 UNIT
                          Rot.#910 James McCann OVER 1.5 BASES NO LINE 1 UNIT
                          Rot.#910 Mullins OVER 1.5 BASES +104 1 UNIT
                          Rot.#910 Orioles-1.5 +145 RL Suarez#15 1 UNIT


                          Berrios#8 K's up 33% of Buccos hitters historically


                          Rot.#918 Jays(Berrios#8) OVER 5.5 K's +101 1 UNIT


                          Jordan Montgomery#12 facing JD Martinez (Metropolitans) over 26 at bats has held him to an average of .115; .143 OBP; .192 SLG, .335 OPS; for the overall lineup Montgomery has held the Mets to .221 avg and Severino is holding the Snakes to a .207 avg; neither one of them is a K machine vs the opposition


                          Rot.#906 Metropolitans (Martinez) UNDER 1.5 BASES -150 1 UNIT


                          Tanner Houck#2 holds the Tigers hitters to a .100 average. let that sink in. Aces gonna ace


                          Rot.#912 Red Sox-1.5 +145 RL Houck 1 UNIT


                          Gotta go obscure when making this many moves. So Tim Anderson of the Fish is hitting only .199 and has a horrid OPS of .454 however at home it's a little better at .222 avg. So when he faces urena he turns into superman with an average of .625; .700 OBP, .750 SLG. 1.450 OPS and a 5-8 line. As far as Sixto Sanchez is concerned the Wanderer have never faced him-which means that this will all be new. I'm calling for the upset


                          Rot.#922 Fish+107 Sanchez (DNS DEAD LAST) 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD
                          Rot.#922 Fish (Anderson) OVER 1.5 BASES +111 2 UNITS


                          Y'all know I can;t stand Corbin#28-but he has good numbers vs the Guardians and for what it's worth Bibee#10 hasn't faced the Nats hitters either. Hopefully it will take more than 5 frames for everyone to figure it out


                          Rot.#919 Nats/Guardians UNDER 4.5 -105 FF 1 UNIT


                          Whew! Had to take a break for a minute.


                          Jose' Soriano#13 gets the terrible Sailors lineup to face and as long as he throws enough sinkers he will come through and maybe even go 6 frames. He's rostered in less than 10% of leagues as I am writing this so naturally I upped my stake on him personally-he is holding the Sailors to a .250 avg. Ben Woo#5 is a K machine and strikes out 46% of the Halos he's faced holding them to a .154 avg, .185 OBP; .192 SLG and .377 OPS. Zach Neto of the Halos has faced Woo 7 times and only has one hit; a single and has been tuned up 3 times with an avg of .143 and .143 OBP; .143 SLG and .286 OPS


                          Rot.#916 Halos/Sailors UNDER 4 -120 FF 1 UNIT
                          Rot.#916 Sailors (Woo#5) OVER 6.5 K's +100 1 UNIT
                          Rot.#915 Halos (Neto) UNDER 0.5 BASES -107 1 UNIT




                          Michael Wacha is holding the Fathers lineup to .180 AVG, .241 OBP, .400 SLG and .641 OPS. Meanwhile Dylan Cease#3 has a .286 avg; .327 OBP; .480 SLG; .807 OPS vs the Royals lineup.


                          Rot.#926 Royals+100 FF ML Wacha#16 1 UNIT


                          The Bombers have been feasting on sub-par pitching on this west coast road trip. That comes to a halt vs Jordan Hicks who is holding them to a shiny .100 avg. I am beside myself as Hicks is garnering less than 20% of the handle for this one-meaning that if he were to get through the 5th inning it makes for a great payback. This is a bonus move that I was gonna make anyway-plus the Giants know how to hold leads and also come back if necessary


                          Rot.#930 Giants+110 Hicks#14 2 UNITS


                          Swap out here for McCann of the Orioles

                          Rot.#922 Fish Team Total OVER 4 +100 2 UNITS

                          ALSO GIANTS+120 TO WIN SERIES VS BOMBERS 3 UNITS
                          Last edited by atthehalf; 05-31-24, 01:38 PM.
                          Comment
                          • atthehalf
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-31-13
                            • 4372

                            #363
                            Adley Rutschman is behind the dish for the Orioles instead of McCann so no go on that one!
                            Comment
                            • atthehalf
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-31-13
                              • 4372

                              #364
                              Something is going on with the Jays game-hope no pitching changes again like yesterday's wildness!
                              Comment
                              • atthehalf
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-31-13
                                • 4372

                                #365
                                Ok so I am gonna swap out McCann for the

                                Rot.#922 Fish Team Total OVER 4 +100 2 UNITS
                                Comment
                                • atthehalf
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-31-13
                                  • 4372

                                  #366
                                  Damn to get JD Martinez UNDER 1.5 bases was -150. That represents the most that I have paid in vigorous this season...
                                  Comment
                                  • atthehalf
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-31-13
                                    • 4372

                                    #367
                                    Berrios is OVER 5.5 K's +101 and with that the big board is complete! Hope to go roughly 12-8 or better!
                                    Comment
                                    • atthehalf
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-31-13
                                      • 4372

                                      #368
                                      Looking ahead to tomorrow Kikuchi's#9 velocity was down last time out while his changeup had to step up as his slider wasn't working again. I will be streaming him only along with Bradish#3 who has ghastly numbers vs the Rays of .302 avg, .333 OBP; .540 SLG and .873 OPS with only 14 K's in 63 at bats. I am gong the other way with Taj Bradley#19 who has great numbers vs the Orioles of .212 avg, .235 OBP; .455 SLG and .690 OPS. He is sure to be used in less than 10% of all streams so it stands to be a big payday should he keep his command under control.

                                      I also am gonna steam Justin Steele#7 too as he has a .350 AVG, .366 OBP; .600 SLG and .966 OPS vs the Red Leggins. I won't have to go too far to look for a replacement bat as i will simply utilize the entire Red Leggins Team Total.

                                      Reese Olson#13 has been HOT HOT HOT and again will have little to no support facing the Red Sox which he hasn't faced. I think that Cooper Criswell#22 should be able to go 5 frames-but he should not be favored over the Tigers even if they have a weak lineup to face (which he hasn't pitched against either). may be low scoring the first few times through the order.

                                      Some sort of way the line makers will find a way to make the Bombers favored against Webb#10 with his .207 avg; .246 OBP; .345 SLG and .591 OPS numbers against the Bombers lineup while the bombers counter with Cody Poteet who I have ranked second to last for Saturday. I plugged in a Giants+120 To Win Series Vs Bombers as a result of seeing this
                                      Comment
                                      • atthehalf
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-31-13
                                        • 4372

                                        #369
                                        So for Saturday...Musgrove has a .350 AVG; .366 OBP; .525 SLG; .891 OPS vs the Royals lineup. He had a good rebound vs the Bombers but this is a different animal and besides Alec Marsh#25 hasn't faced the Fathers and is finding whiffs based on his four seamer location and occasional filth from his breakers. There's a chance he fans one hitter per inning. I am gonna wait this one out for the side and see what type of crumbs come along with taking the Royals FF while both are in the game


                                        Rot.#972 Braves-1.5 RL NO LINE Sale#1 2 UNITS
                                        Rot.#958 Dodgers (Yamamoto#2) OVER K's NO LINE 1 UNIT
                                        Rot.#955 Cardinals/Blunts UNDER 4 FF -110 Gray#6/Suarez#4 1 UNIT
                                        Rot.#963 Twins+117 Ryan#5/Valdez#11 1 UNIT
                                        Rot.#953 Red Leggins/Cubs OVER FF NO LINE Steele#7/Greene#14
                                        Rot.#953 Red Leggins Team Total OVER NO LINE
                                        Rot.#975 Pale Hose (Crochet) OVER 7.5 K's +112 1 UNIT
                                        Rot.#975 Pale Hose+0.5 RL -120 FF Crochet 1 UNIT
                                        Rot.#975 Pale Hose/Brews UNDER 3.5 +105 FF Crochet#8/Gasser#17 1 UNIT
                                        Rot.#980 Giants-105 Webb#10/Poteet#29 3 UNITS
                                        Rot.#959 Rays+142 ML Bradley#19/Bradish#3 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD
                                        Rot.#959 Rays(Bradley) OVER 5.5 K's -117 2 UNITS
                                        Rot.#959 Rays Team Total OVER 3.5 +100 1 UNIT
                                        Rot.#961 Tigers-105 Olson#13/Criswell#22 2 UNITS
                                        Rot.#961 Tigers(Olson#13) OVER 5.5 K's +100 1 UNIT
                                        Rot.#978 Royals Team Total OVER 4 +100 1 UNIT


                                        Last edited by atthehalf; 06-01-24, 11:35 AM.
                                        Comment
                                        • atthehalf
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-31-13
                                          • 4372

                                          #370
                                          Wait! There's no one up in the Cubs bullpen after the 5th! Can it be? Oh that would be great if Assad can get through the 6th! Fingers crossed for a #17 to get through 6! Hope a managerial decision doesn't get in the way of the money. He's off a bit by one walk of the 3-1 ratio but 6 frames is still 6 frames
                                          Comment
                                          • atthehalf
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-31-13
                                            • 4372

                                            #371
                                            Damn only 5 1/3 for Assad. Still somewhat decent return with 7 K's and 3 free passes. Could have been better with 2 more k's.. Leave him in manager! He's still good!
                                            Comment
                                            • atthehalf
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-31-13
                                              • 4372

                                              #372
                                              208-214-10 +35.23 UNITS



                                              Rot.#902 Cubs-1.5 +140 RL Assad#17 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
                                              Rot.#902 Cubs (Assad) OVER 5.5 K's +114 1 UNIT WIN +1.4 UNITS

                                              Rot.#904 Blunts-1.5 +113 RL Nola#1 1 UNIT WIN +1.0
                                              Rot.#904 Blunts (Alec Bohm) OVER 1.5 BASES -105 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS

                                              Rot.#910 Orioles to score 1st inning YES +182 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                                              Rot.#910 Orioles Team Total OVER 4.5 +104 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
                                              Rot.#910 Mountcastle OVER 1.5 BASES -102 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS

                                              Rot.#910 Mullins OVER 1.5 BASES +104 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                                              Rot.#910 Orioles-1.5 +145 RL Suarez#15 1 UNIT WIN +1.45 UNITS

                                              Rot.#918 Jays(Berrios#8) OVER 5.5 K's +101 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS

                                              Rot.#906 Metropolitans (Martinez) UNDER 1.5 BASES -150 1 UNIT LOSS -1.5 UNITS

                                              Rot.#912 Red Sox-1.5 +145 RL Houck 1 UNIT WIN +1.45 UNITS

                                              Rot.#922 Fish+107 Sanchez (DNS DEAD LAST) 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD WIN +3.21 UNITS
                                              Rot.#922 Fish (Anderson) OVER 1.5 BASES +111 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS

                                              Rot.#919 Nats/Guardians UNDER 4.5 -105 FF 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS

                                              Rot.#916 Halos/Sailors UNDER 4 -120 FF 1 UNIT PUSH
                                              Rot.#916 Sailors (Woo#5) OVER 6.5 K's +100 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
                                              Rot.#915 Halos (Neto) UNDER 0.5 BASES -107 1 UNIT LOSS -1.07 UNITS

                                              Rot.#926 Royals+100 FF ML Wacha#16 1 UNIT PUSH

                                              Rot.#930 Giants+110 Hicks#14 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS

                                              Rot.#922 Fish Team Total OVER 4 +100 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS



                                              RECORD UPDATE

                                              216-225-12 +31.67 UNITS





                                              Giants+120 TO WIN SERIES VS BOMBERS 3 UNITS DOWN 0-1
                                              Comment
                                              • atthehalf
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-31-13
                                                • 4372

                                                #373
                                                There's no way that I risk -140 for a RL. I am gonna have to pass on Sale in this format and roll with him on my 12 teamer only
                                                Comment
                                                • atthehalf
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-31-13
                                                  • 4372

                                                  #374
                                                  I wish that the Pale Hose bullpen wasn't so darned bad. Those crumbs look very tempting and those who are misinformed have no idea how good Crochet is.

                                                  He is on less than 12% use rate. Translated should he make it through the 5th inning with a 3-1 ratio it will be a nice ROI.

                                                  Speaking of ROI Taj Bradley is looking really good too with around the same usage rate as Crochet.

                                                  Duel of the day is with Gray vs Suarez. Both have good numbers vs the lineups of the opposing team. The usage rate of Gray is much less with him garnering around 10% of the streams so ideally with him and Suarez being ranked 4th and 6th I would be overjoyed should both make it into the 6th inning. Guys here were informed to grab Suarez a long time ago so if you took the advice I gave then your price is locked in at a low rate for a top 10 arm that you can use in any and all leagues deep or otherwise
                                                  Comment
                                                  • atthehalf
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-31-13
                                                    • 4372

                                                    #375
                                                    Between 18-22 MPH gusts going SSE today with 70% humidity (rain) at Wrigley Field towards the left field stands around 7:00 game time! Yikes, Hold off on them OVERS for either team

                                                    Wrigley Field, Cook County wind forecasts for today, wind radar, climate and historical trends
                                                    Comment
                                                    • atthehalf
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-31-13
                                                      • 4372

                                                      #376
                                                      OK boys and girls the big board has been updated. I am trying to get to +50 UNITS this weekend
                                                      Comment
                                                      • atthehalf
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-31-13
                                                        • 4372

                                                        #377
                                                        From our discord page!

                                                        Last week, Taj Bradley
                                                        came out looking like the best pitcher in baseball. He struck out eight of the first nine Red Sox and looked downright untouchable. After many flipped this game on to see if something special was brewing, they would witness one of the weirdest pitching lines of the year.
                                                        Bradley proceeded to give up four straight batted balls above 98 mph, highlighted (or lowlighted?) by Rafael Devers untouchable home run. The final line was 7 innings, 6 hits (2 HR), 5 ER, 10 strikeouts, and zero walks.
                                                        This line exudes Bradley’s career so far, that is, lots of strikeouts and lots of runs, but 2024 has been a step forward. He’s holding a 3.18 ERA with an exceptional 0.91 WHIP, 32.2% strikeout rate and 6.7% walk rate in four starts this year. Bradley is close to breaking through, as he’s made several changes from last year that are working, but he still needs a few more tweaks to truly reach the upside he is showing.
                                                        Bradley has a very good fastball. It averages 96 mph with 17.9 inches of ride and grades out at 117 Stuff+ (13th-best among starters with 10 IP). Although he has an average release height and extension, Bradley generates an elite number of whiffs up in the zone.

                                                        Just four of his fastball whiffs have been in the zone despite a 29.3% whiff rate (88th percentile) overall. The fastball subsequently has a 32.1% chase rate (87th percentile), but Bradley throws many fastballs that never stand a chance.
                                                        Bradley’s fastball has been in the waste zone 14.8% of the time, the most out of any starter this year (min. 100 fastballs). To be fair, just about every fastball that’s been thrown in the zone has been torched. Hitters are swinging 78.5% on fastballs in the zone (88th percentile) and making contact 88.9% of the time (23rd percentile), resulting in a brutal .544 wOBA and .703 xwOBA. While this won’t stick, it’s understandable why Bradley is scared to go into the zone.
                                                        However, his fastball is really only located in one spot in the zone. He elevates 70.9% of his fastballs and rarely, if ever, throws a low fastball. It’s good that he’s elevating, but it becomes predictable as a primary offering, as hitters can sit at the top of the zone or get a ball. If Bradley wants to get more strikes (as the pitch only has a 49.3% zone rate), he can steal strikes at the bottom of the zone.
                                                        He’s thrown 13 such pitches this year, getting 6 swings and 7 called strikes. The batted balls have yielded some luck (.297 wOBA vs. .633 xwOBA), but the excitement lies in the hitters’ reaction to it. Most of the hitters seem unsuspecting of the velocity and location combination, which Bradley probably is, too, since the catcher called for a high fastball in every single clip.
                                                        By establishing a slightly more frequent low fastball, Bradley gives himself room at the top of the zone. It increases the fastball’s strike rate and prevents hitters from sitting on an upper-third-of-the-zone heater that can get mashed.

                                                        One of the biggest changes Bradley made between last year and this year was swapping his changeup for a splitter. His old changeup was an elite whiff pitch but he struggled for called strikes. The new splitter compensates for the lack of called strikes, boasting a 17.9% called strike rate (90th percentile for splitters) and 70.2% strike rate overall (93rd percentile). The results are excellent, but I can’t help but worry that this pitch may become Bradley’s next issue this season.
                                                        When he throws strikes, they’re too frequently in the heart of the zone. Bradley’s splitter has the highest frequency of being in the heart of the zone of all splitters.But at 90 mph, he’s simply challenging hitters to do damage with the pitch, and they just aren’t. The splitter has a 17.9% swinging strike rate, .079 xAVG, and .180 xwOBA against.
                                                        This swing from Devers shows that it’s looking like a fastball out of the hand, only to completely tie him up. But such a high frequency of strikes over the middle of the plate will run him into trouble.
                                                        An article from Eli Ben-Porat at Baseball America measures deception by pitch type through the new bat speed metrics. Though splitters aren’t directly mentioned, I believe the findings about changeups can be connected due to their similar movement profile. Changeups saw the most “A” swings out of any pitch type, likely due to it looking like a fastball, so hitters swing like they’re getting a fastball. This almost exactly looks like what happened on the above Devers whiff.
                                                        If hitters are swinging hard and the splitter is in the heart of the zone, I believe the pitch will get hit soon. It doesn’t have outlier shape (but 90 mph is useful), so more looks at the pitch will lead to more contact.
                                                        Additionally, it’s Bradley’s main secondary in two-strike counts. Bradley should be going below the zone with two strikes, not in it. Only one pitcher has thrown splitters in the zone with two strikes, and it’s Paul Skenes, whose “splinker” sits at 94.6 mph (!!). Splitters are a feel pitch and Bradley is still working on that feel, but for a guy with command problems, he could just be affected by the Ray's catcher strategy. As he’s still learning the pitch, it’s easier to try and throw it down the middle and let the movement do the work.
                                                        Last year, Bradley’s cutter was his go-to secondary off the fastball, used both in and out of the zone. Bradley has added velocity and movement to the pitch, giving it a monster shape at the cost of strikes. The cutter has gained 2.5 inches of horizontal break, lost 2.5 inches of drop, and is thrown 2 mph harder.
                                                        That’s the 99th percentile horizontal movement for a cutter or the 70th percentile for a slider.
                                                        It just looks like a slider, and Bradley is using it as such. It only has a 40.7% zone rate and gets an above-average amount of chases. The cutter’s strength is its ability to actually miss bats, which it does at a strong 36.6% whiff rate.
                                                        Given those stats that indicate it’s a putaway pitch, he doesn’t use it as much as he should in two-strike counts vs. right-handed hitters. It should be flipped with the splitter, as he should be hunting more chases out of the zone in pitcher’s counts. At least he’s aware that he should not use it in two-strike counts vs. left-handed hitters, at just 6% usage.
                                                        Bradley has shelved the curveball, throwing it only 12% of the time overall (down 4% from 2023). It’s his only pitch that isn’t in the 90s, which makes it a crucial change of pace in at-bats. The first two times through the order, the curveball is only utilized 10% of the time. Bradley ups that to 20% for the third time through the order.

                                                        It’s used early in the count to try and get called strikes, but it’s struggling to do so. The curveball has a paltry 28.9% zone rate, which is in the 14th percentile. It doesn’t get whiffs either, which makes it a pitch that’s still a work in progress. It’s important to have a pitch at a different velocity than the rest, but its long-term importance is going to be dependent on whether the splitter takes a step back. He doesn’t need it to steal called strikes as he goes later into starts, but that moment may be quickly approaching.
                                                        Bradley has a plethora of exciting pitches, and we’re currently seeing how it all comes together for the 23-year-old. With a few adjustments to location and usage, Bradley could rise as a pitcher with a three-pitch mix as effective as they come.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • atthehalf
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-31-13
                                                          • 4372

                                                          #378
                                                          Rebet sportbook has the Pale Hose/Brews UNDER 4.5 -156 for those who want a better number at a cost just an FYI
                                                          Comment
                                                          • atthehalf
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-31-13
                                                            • 4372

                                                            #379
                                                            My top 10 for Sunday if anyone's interested

                                                            Sailors Castillo#1
                                                            Brews Peralta#2
                                                            Royals Ragans#3
                                                            Bombers Cortes#4
                                                            Jays Bassitt#5 GREAT MATCHUP!
                                                            Red Sox Bello#6
                                                            Fathers King#7
                                                            Dodgers Stone#8 ONLY BECAUSE OF THE MATCHUP
                                                            Red Leggins Lodolo#9
                                                            Snakes Pfaadt#10

                                                            My streamer of the day will be Griffin Canning#11 who has a .238 AVG; .289 OBP, .357 SLG and .646 OPS vs the Sailors. He has strikeout capability and the Sailors roll over in spades. I will utilize him in some sort of fashion but not straight up in this format and the Halos noodle bats. I suggest using him in a 12 teamer to take advantage of his ability to give you the 5 frames. I will just use Castillo's production on my 12 teamer today. Seems to easy to take the Sailors in this format

                                                            Charlie Morton#16 is facing the Athletics-a pure cherry bomb-he can be sweet or blow up in your face and Mitch Spence can give me 5 frames. Why? baters have difficulty hitting 91 mph cutters followed up by sliders coming in 7 mph slower. he throws sinkers occasionally here and there-and let's face it-these aren't the Braves of last year. I get the feeling that I can be the contrarian for this and catch 90% or more of bettors on the opposing side and absolutely clean up should he go 5 frames. If it's Luis Medina then the A's have GOLD working for them and I am excited to see how his mix of hard 4 seamer and compliment of secondaries works against the struggling Braves bats. I already picked him up in some deep leagues and for tomorrow as DNS wildcard just in case. It will only cost me around $50 bucks if the A's opt out on him so no big deal. if he's in I am going A's RRL as well as A's ML and placing my faith in Brett Rooker to blast some bases for me

                                                            Zach Littell#19 has the stuff to also cash big for 5 frames if Manager Kevin Cash will let him go that far. Cash is a bastard and is quirky in his approach to managing pitching. Littell has a sparkling .233 AG, .233 OBP; .423 SLG, .667 OPS vs the Orioles while Cole Irvin#12 has a .344 AVG, .382 OBP, .562 SLG and .945 OPS vs the Rays.

                                                            Y'all know I like me some Brayan Bello#6 but he has bad historical numbers vs the Tigers .350 AVG, .409 OBP, .400 SLG (which is decent) and .809 OPS. Mize has only faced 2 Red Sox baters-which means he can get me through the 5 frames possibly if he stops taking a few steps back as he has the last few outings. His usage rate will be low as f@ck so you know I like that.

                                                            My word-Bassitt has a 36% k rate vs the Buccos with a .091 AVG; .184 OBP; .114 SLG. .297 OPS

                                                            Michael King (Fathers) has a line of .300 AVG, .300 OBP, .553 SLG and .833 OPS and only K's up 26% of the Royals batters. Ragans has no history vs the Fathers which works to his advantage. I replaced King with Brett Rooker's (A's) bat




                                                            Rot.#903 Snakes-107 Pfaadt#10 vs Quintana (DNS) 3 UNITS
                                                            Rot.#920 Jays-1.5 +128 RL Bassitt#5 3 UNITS
                                                            Rot.#911 Rays+124 Littell#19 2 UNITS
                                                            Rot.#917 Athletics+210 ML Medina (DNS)/Morton#16 2 UNITS
                                                            Rot.#917 Athletics-1.5 +260 RRL 1 UNIT
                                                            Rot.#917 Athletics (Medina) OVER 4.5 K's +100 2 UNITS
                                                            Rot.#917 Athletics Team Total OVER 3.5 +106 1 UNIT
                                                            Rot.#917 Athletics (Rooker) OVER 1.5 BASES NO LINE
                                                            Rot.#913 Tigers+110 Mize#24 2 UNITS
                                                            Rot.#913 Tigers Team Total OVER 4 +100 1 UNIT
                                                            Rot.#928 Royals-135 ML Ragans#3 2 UNITS

                                                            Last edited by atthehalf; 06-02-24, 08:42 AM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • atthehalf
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-31-13
                                                              • 4372

                                                              #380
                                                              Damn so Medina (Athletics) has less than 5% usage rate. Oh my goodness. If he were to go 5 frames it's the stuff that dreams are made of. I seriously doubt that he can go the full 5 frames given the Athletics managerial decisions tho, The payday is so massive if he goes 5, I can literally lose every single move and still clear a LARGE profit of the shares. If he goes 6 then I will be buying me some QQQ stock by noon tomorrow
                                                              Comment
                                                              • atthehalf
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-31-13
                                                                • 4372

                                                                #381
                                                                The kid has pitched 109 innings and has 106 K's...I can't wait to see the K's price which should be low-say around 4 or so
                                                                Comment
                                                                • atthehalf
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-31-13
                                                                  • 4372

                                                                  #382
                                                                  There it is

                                                                  Rot.#917 Athletics (Medina) OVER 4.5 K's +100 2 UNITS
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • atthehalf
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-31-13
                                                                    • 4372

                                                                    #383
                                                                    OMG OMG OMG! If the A's let Medina come out for the 6th frame and he finishes the frame with at least 1 K and no walks I swear I will have no need to do anything over than post my rosters and plug and play for an entire week while I figure out constructive ways to diversify the money in stock. No one. I mean no one had him on streamers today and I will get 85% of the pot after the Commish takes his cut off of the top
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • atthehalf
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-31-13
                                                                      • 4372

                                                                      #384
                                                                      Ok here we go! Bottom of the 6th! No managerial decisions to work against the large money please!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • atthehalf
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-31-13
                                                                        • 4372

                                                                        #385
                                                                        Goddammit! The A's manager pulled him after 5 2/3rds! Well at the very least it will be a 70% share with a 3-1 K/W over 5 innings. Still will be a HUGE profit. Just have to see how much return I get off of my $500. It will be ROBUST
                                                                        Comment
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