Already getting text messages about this from fellow league boys!!!!
-
Comment -
(Rubbing hands) How much is this going to pay out vs 94% pf the money -10 Commish?Comment -
OMG. I am in heaven! This is the biggest payday of the season by far with Medina as a DNS day trade starter who left in a tied game and paid out $9620 at 70% return as a 3.5% selection going 5 2/3rds frames with a 3-1 ratio off of $500 risk AFTER the Commish got his share!
No one had him rostered but two bettors in our league. Guys were loading up with DIMES on Morton who had 5 walks against his 6 K's and lost their shirts!
No picks next week. Just rankings. Gotta figure out how to make this money count
Comment -
Congratulations, �� awesome hit!!!Comment -
Interesting day today. I knew that I had to pick up my winnings in person and also this is the last day of school for my son. I made an executive decision to keep him home today. We met the Commish at Starbucks to get my check. Then we raced off to deposit it into my credit union so it would clear in a few hours. In between then we went to the batting cage and i let him hit 4 rounds off of the machine and then we went to have pizza.
The check cleared and then we were off again to get across town to make a transaction with it; going to speak with the manager first and then the broker. We purchased 21 shares of QQQ stock at $451.55 apiece and I put it in my son's own stock account so I would be sure to make this money count. It's the biggest payday I have received this entire season so it has to be put to good use.
I still had a couple hundred bucks left so you know that I had to buy some top shelf whiskey, some orange bitters and coffee liquor to make Revolvers.
So here I am sipping a revolver over ice! And I am not making any moves other than plug and play with my aces. I won't be making any straights in this format for the rest of this week-just league entries will be listed
Okay now on to brass taxes here are my recommended rankings for today which are fewer in number but most if not all will give you your five frames and more often than not also give you a 3-1 KW ratio. Rodriguez and Gausman are facing one another so you can really capitalize off of one event.
The CRUMBS STREAMER play of the day which I featured is Matt Waldron#8. I now, I know. NEVER trust a knuckle baller. But this guy is feeling it right now and performing like a stud. Plus the Halos make for a high enough floor for him to ride this out
Rot.#952 Blunts (Zack Wheeler#1)
Rot.#961 Tigers (Tarik Skubal#2)
Rot.#954 Nats (Mackenzie Gore#3)
Rot.#959 Orioles (Grayson Rodriguez#4)
Rot.#960 Jays(Kevin Gausman#5)
Rot.#965 Fathers (Matt Waldron#8) STREAMER OF THE DAY
Comment -
I will be back with my top 10 streamers for tomorrow later on this evening after dinnerComment -
216-225-12 +31.67 UNITS
Rot.#903 Snakes-107 Pfaadt#10 vs Quintana (DNS) 3 UNITS WIN +3.0 UNITS
Rot.#920 Jays-1.5 +128 RL Bassitt#5 3 UNITS LOSS -3.0 UNITS
Rot.#911 Rays+124 Littell#19 2 UNITS WIN +2.48 UNITS
Rot.#917 Athletics+210 ML Medina (DNS)/Morton#16 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
Rot.#917 Athletics-1.5 +260 RRL 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#917 Athletics (Medina) OVER 4.5 K's +100 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#917 Athletics Team Total OVER 3.5 +106 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#917 Athletics (Rooker) OVER 1.5 BASES +104 WIN +2.08 UNITS
Rot.#913 Tigers+110 Mize#24 2 UNITS WIN +2.20 UNITS
Rot.#913 Tigers Team Total OVER 4 +100 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#928 Royals-135 ML Ragans#3 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Giants+120 TO WIN SERIES VS BOMBERS -3.0 UNITS
RECORD UPDATE
223-230-12 +36.43 UNITSComment -
Welp...Gausman and Rodriguez are both still in the event in the top of the 6th! So there's decent return because of the compound..
Anyway on to tomorrow
Glasnow, Burnes, Imanaga, Kirby (his matchup is so good), Fried all fall under the category of aces gonna ace.
Pepiot-it's a fantastic matchup and his 4 seamer is legit.
Gil-The Twins are getting better with Royce returning to the lineup, but Gil is on a ridiculous hot streak. Just. Throw.Strikes. I can hear my old travel ball coach saying this as if I didn't understand that it was the objective of pitching...
Luzardo also has a good matchup as y'all already know that the rays haven't been hitting too well this season for whatever reason. Maybe Wander Franco is the missing piece of the puzzle...some Luzardos cherry bomb tendencies are tooed in a poor fastball at times and inconsistent secondaries. Still he is more than capable of getting you your 5 frames.
Seth Lugo has been cookin and you're doing this-even against the Guardians
Jack Flaherty is a stud-it's that simple. He K's guys up
My streamer of the day is Spencer Arrighetti; who is starting to come together with his secondaries. The last piece is a four seamer location in the upper third of the zone which could come through against the Cardinals lineup. Only because it's the Astros; a public team will see his usage rate a little higher than ideal for a big payday.
Also keep an eye out for Athletics Mitch Spence#18 his cutter and slider could make for a quiet 5 + frames against a strikeout happy Sailors lineup. I would expect him to have little support in the market-making for the best bang for your buck ROI. Facing George Kirby gives you the ability to get down on two good arms in the same event and if you look up and see both of the starters in the game at the same time in the 6 inning then you already know your 12 teamer is destined for success.
Rot.#903 Dodgers (Glasnow#1)
Rot.#915 Orioles (Burnes#2)
Rot.#926 Cubs (Imanaga#3)
Rot.#919 Sailors (Kirby#4)
Rot.#923 Braves (Fried#5)
Rot.#921 Rays (Pepiot#6)
Rot.#914 Bombers (Gil#7)
Rot.#922 Fish (Luzardo#8)
Rot.#911 Royals (Lugo#9)
Rot.#917 Tigers (Flaherty#10)
Rot.#928 Astronauts (Arrighetti#14) CRUMBS STREAMER OF THE DAY
Rot.#920 Athletics (Spence#18)
Comment -
I found a day trade today which I am actually forced to have to make a move on because of the potential high return.
It's not really how a pitcher goes about his business-it's about how he goes about business vs the team he is facing. I regularly look right away each morning at the arms that are getting the least amount of use and try to see his profile.
While it's true that Christopher Sanchez#12 was whipping out 96 mph fastballs his last game, he has rather pedestrian numbers against the Brews-who are about as hot of a team as there is. One of the key issues with line makers are that sometimes they don't properly give attention to motivation, situation and familiarity, In this case he name branding and public appeal of the Blunts has made for overvalue in this situation.
Colin Rea is one of those guys that i have seen pull of a magic act or two. Put him up against the Blunts and he isn't scared of them at all. His line vs the Blunts is .147 AVG; .147 OBP; .412 SLG; .559 OPS and he is K'ing up 23.5% of the Blunts. that's not enough to make me chase K's but it is more than decent.
As for Sanchez his line vs the Brews is .412 AVG; .444 OBP; .706 SLG; 1.150 OPS. That damage happened quick and in a hurry as those numbers were compiled in just 17 at bats; whereas Rea's numbers were made over 34 at bats by the Blunts-which is a much better serving size to sample.
As of me writing this Rea is on less than 6% of all rosters. Hell he didn't even make my roster-I had to day trade for him this morning and install him at #28 as a DNS. At this rate, by the end of the day right before the event and there is 96% of the money on Sanchez and Rea outduels him for 5-6 innings with a 3-1 K/W line I will be ecstatic. Any time that you can risk $500 and possibly get back 7 grand or more it's a good proposition. No one in their right mind would take this bet except for the sportbooks. This will be my only move made in this format today
Rot.#901 Brews+145 Rea#28 (DNS) 5 UNITS
Rot.#901 Brews+140 ML FF Rea#28 (DNS) 2 UNITS
Last edited by atthehalf; 06-04-24, 03:52 PM.Comment -
Oh wow! The Brews swapped out Rea for Koenig, so my moves were refunded as a result of the pitching change. That was almost too good to be true...so translated this will be a bullpen game for the Brews. I don't have Koenig on my roster so I am gonna have to sit this one out
You may now go back to your regularly scheduled programming already in progressComment -
Now the Brews want to bring in Rea in the 2nd frame....Comment -
I will come along later and explain the streams for tomorrow on Wednesday
Rot.#956 Blunts Nola#1
Rot.#969 Sailors Gilbert#2
Rot.#979 Fathers Cease#3
Rot.#960 Buccos Skenes#4
Rot.#974 Astronauts Blanco#5
Rot.#964 Bombers Rodon#6
Rot.#972 Red Sox-Pivetta#8
Rot.#953 Giants Hicks#9
Rot.#954 Snakes Montgomery #10
Rot.#964 Bombers Team Total vs Paddack#30 DNS DEAD LAST REPLACING #7 EFLIN
Rot.#968 Wanderers Urena#22 CRUMBS STREAMER POD
Comment -
Nola-Aces gonna ace
Gilbert-He's on a path to redemption-I can hear the voice through the breeze-"Find the cutter"
Cease-You're still 2 pitch-it won't matter-it's the Halos
Skenes-Aces gonna ace-should be interesting to see how he fares vs Dodgers-turn on the TV and find out
Blanco-facing a middling offense-You want this
Rodon-Trust in his four seamer and slider-even if the Twins are better now that Royce has returned
Eflin-He didn't even have a rehab start and is now being thrown to the wolves immediately. I suggest NYY bats vs Paddack (DNS)
Pivetta-the sweeper returned last time out-but oddly enough his cutter was missing-Braves aren't that hot right now either
Hicks-He was fine until his Judge experiment-as long as he has command of one of his secondaries-he soars
Montgomery-He's facing a weak hitting opponent
Urena-He's in use now and much of the steam is gone 52 AB, 11 hits, 13 K's 4 walks, .212 AVG, .268 OBP, .269 SLG, .537 OPS vs Tigers
Maeda (Tigers) 65 AB, 21 hits, 14 K's, 9 walks, .323 AVG; .405 OBP; .615 SLG, 1.021 OPS vs Wanderers
Stat of the day
Gilbert in 44 AB, a .091 AVG, .130 OBP; .227 SLG; .358 OPS vs Athletics! Wowzers!Comment -
I will be back to making moves in this format on Friday. I just saw somethingComment -
Holy smokes! Only Pivetta and Nola acting right so far? Good thing I only am in for the daily contribution offering today...Comment -
Alright when the smoke cleared only Blanco, Hicks and Montgomery went down in flames yesterday and my streamer of the day Urena put in 6 frames with 6 k's and 1 walk which was pleasing. I would have liked for Skenes to go 6 since he gave up two BOMBS yesterday but it is what it is and the return was small as hell for an arm with 8 k's. The Commish made out LARGE on the giants/Snakes game raking in EVERYONE"S money placed on both sides when either arm made it out of the 3rd frame...
Oh well on to today's streamers
Firstly keep Kyle Bradish#3 on roster for tomorrow possibly as he was subbed out for Cade Povich today. I don't have much on Povich.
The CRUMBS streamer of the day will be exactly what the Commish needs today and that's Cal Quantrill of the Rox who has absolutely no support despite having a stupid good splitter. He got blasted his last outing vs the Dodgers-but it's the Dodgers right? Can Quantrill go 5 frames or more vs the Cardinals? Absolutely. they aren't the most formidable lineup to begin with. I am not dumb tho-I have gray as my #1-which will get a microscopic return because..well everyone else has him as #1 today. Go easy on Woo. the Sailors manager inexplicably removed him after 3 frames his last time out and I am not sure if there is an underlying continuance of his injury no one knows about.
i am hoping that both Assad and Greene can get through 5 frames for their teams respectively. If they both get blasted out of the water I would lose stake on both sides-not a good feeling
Rot.#908 Cardinals Gray#1
Rot.#909 Red Sox-Houck#2
Rot.#911 PASS AND REPLACE BRADISH#3 WITH A BAT-MORE ON THAT LATER
Rot.#903 Braves Lopez#4
Rot.#915 Sailors Woo#5
Rot.#917 Twins-Lopez#6 SUB HIM OUT FOR A BAT ALSO
Rot.#918 Bombers Stroman#7
Rot.#901 Dodgers Beuhler#8 TREAD LIGHTLY STILL DOESN'T HAVE FULL COMMAND SINCE RETURN
Rot.#914 Guardians Bibee#9
Rot.#906 Red Leggins Greene#12
Rot.#905 Cubs Assad#11
Rot.#907 Rox Quantrill#12 CRUMBS STREAMER POD
Interesting bats to replace Lopez and Bradish are the Guardians (in this format Team Total)
Will Brennan (Guardians) he has blasted Singer with 6 for 10; .600 AVG, .636 OBP; .700 SLG, 1.336 OPS
Bo Naylor (Guardians) he has blasted Singer for 4 for 7; .571 AVG; .571 OBP; .857 SLG; 1.429 OPS
And the list goes on and on
Overall Singer is giving up a .358 AVG; .394 OBP; .520 SLG; .914 OPS to the Guardians over 123 at bats with only 19 K's and 7 walks and 4 BOMBS! So the Guardians are going to put the ball in play a lot
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/72046861/1247524259.0.jpg)
Comment -
I will be back to placing purchase orders for this format tomorrow BTWComment -
223-230-12 +36.43 UNITS
6/7/24
Right off the bat (no pun intended) Luis Arraez is blasting Brandon Pfaadt with a line of 5 for 7; .714 AVG, 714 OBP; .857 SLG, 1.571 OPS
Logan Webb has a line of 62 at bats; 10 K's, 4 walks, .177 AVG, .239 OBP, .222 SLG; .465 OPS vs Wanderers
Michael Lorenzen's line 51 at bats, 18 K's (that's nice), 1 walk, .314 AVG, .327 OBP, .431 SLG, .258 OPS
Framber Valdez routinely gets blasted by the Halos 102 at bats, 31 K's, 7 walks, .353 AVG, .400 OBP, .627 SLG, 10.72 OPS
Ryan Weathers vs the Guardians? .556 AVG, .556 OBP, 1.000 SLG, 1.556 OPS
Cole Irvin in 57 at bats has 6 K's, 3 walks, .333 AVG; .367 OBP; .544 SLG, .911 OPS vs Rays
Aaron Civale in 60 at bats 12 K's, 2 walks, .333 AVG, .355 OBP; .717 SLG, 1.072 OPS vs Orioles
The Bombers haven't faced Yamamoto; Poteet wishes he didn't have to face the Dodgers-this is probably the only time you can get value with the Dodgers-only because they are actually playing a more public team than them.
Freddy Peralta has a line of 46 at bats, 15 K's, 2 walks; .196 AVG, .229 OBP, .261 SLG, .490 OPS
Rot.#925 Brews (Peralta) OVER K's NO LINE
i haven't ranked out my arms yet but here is what I will be doing tomorrow when I get back into the fold
Rot.#959 Orioles/Rays OVER 7.5 Irvin vs Civale 1 UNIT
Rot.#977 Giants-124 ML Webb 2 UNITS
Rot.#975 Guardians Team Total OVER 4.5 +115 vs Weathers 2 UNITS
Rot.#966 Halos Team Total OVER 3.5 +102 vs Valdez 2 UNITS
Rot.#958 Fathers (Luis Arraez) OVER 1.5 BASES +105 vs Pfaadt 2 UNITS
Rot.#973 Dodgers-106 ML Yamamoto 3 UNITS
Last edited by atthehalf; 06-07-24, 11:50 AM.Comment -
Damn one of the top earners in our league got on the discord last night and spoke on how much he is making off of Nicky Sticks (Castellanos) of the Blunts to not get over 1.5 bases. UnfuckingbelievableComment -
Starting Pitcher Rankings for Friday 6/7/24
Braves Sale#1 Aces gonna ace
Brews Peralta#2 Aces gonna ace
Twins Ryan#3 Aces gonna ace
Pale Hose Crochet#4 Aces gonna ace
Orioles Bradish#5 As long as his curve and slider are located well he will soar
Dodgers Yamamoto#6 the Bombers haven't seen him
Giants Webb#7 I already spoke about this one
Astronauts Valdez#8 I already spoke on this and replace him with a bat (Arraez)
Cubs Steele#9 His season has been wonky and a rain out in his last scheduled start...
Fathers King#10 He's back on track
King vs the Snakes 45 at bats; 9 K's, 2 walks; .222 AVG; 255 OBP; .289 SLG; .544 OPS not bad...
Just to keep the irons hot CRUMBS POD will Cooper Criswell#17. It's the Pale Hose and their bats are noodles. His use will be high so there will be very little return for thisComment -
Comment -
I already made two moves for Friday and posted them on the big boardComment -
Ok so Cole Irvin is back in for the orioles today so the OVER is back in play today, I adjusted the big board for this occurrenceComment -
All moves have been made except for Arraez BASES which I will come along and fill in later!Comment -
Comment -
227-232-12 +40.43 UNITS
Kevin Gausman#4 27 at bats, 8 K's, 1 walk, .333 AVG, .357 OBP, .556 SLG, 913 OPS
Luis Medina#21 29 at bats, 6 K's, 6 walks, .276 AVG; .400 OBP; .414 SLG; .814 OPS
Rot.#912 Athletics+1.5 -125 Medina#21 1 UNIT
Grayson Rodriguez#2 37 at bats, 12 K's, 3 walks .189 AVG, .250 OBP; .243 SLG, .493 OPS
Taj Bradley#19 48 at bats, 13 K's, 4 walks, .333 AVG; .385 OBP; .771 SLG, 1.155 OPS
Rot.#917 Orioles-135 FF ML Rodriguez#2 1 UNIT
Luis Castillo#1 93 at bats; 25 K's; 3 walks; .194 AVG, .219 OBP, .301 SLG, .520 OPS
Alec Marsh#10.44 at bats; 15 K's, 5 walks; .273 AVG, .347 OBP, .432 SLG; .779 OPS
Rot.#915 Sailors-135 ML Castillo#1 2 UNITS
Rot.#915 Sailors (Castillo#1) OVER 5.5 K's +112 1 UNIT
Juan Soto is 2 for 3 vs Gavin Stone with .667 AVG; .667 OBP; .667 SLG, 1.333 OPS
Nestor Cortes#13 34 at bats; 8 k's; 2 walks; .206 AVG; .250 OBP: .265 SLG, .515 OPS
Ohtani is 1 for 9; .111 AVG; .111 OBP, .111 SLG; .222 OPS vs Cortes
Rot.#930 Bombers-120 ML Cortes#13 1 UNIT
Rot.#930 Juan Soto OVER 1.5 BASES NO LINE 1 UNIT
Rot.#929 Shohei Ohtani UNDER 1.5 BASES NO LINE 1 UNIT
Ryne Nelson#27 (DNS) 76 at bats; 14 K's, 6 walks, .263 AVG; .317 OBP; .447 SLG; .764 OPS
Kyle Higashioka 2-2 vs Nelson, 1.000 AVG; 1.000 OBP; 1.500 SLG. 2.500 OPS
Matt Waldron#8 30 at bats; 6 k's; 6 walks; .333 AVG, .444 OBP, .602 SLG, .998 OPS
Rot.#909 Snakes+130 ML Nelson#27 (DNS) 2 UNITS
Rot.#910 Kyle Higashioka OVER 1.5 BASES NO LINE 1 UNIT
Hunter Brown#11 30 at bats; 4 K's, 4 walks; .233 AVG; .324 OBP; .367 SLG; .690 OPS
Tyler Anderson#12 94 at bats; 31 hits (yikes), 20 K's, 13 walks; .316 AVG; .396 OBP; .662 SLG, .998 OPS
Rot.#919 Astronauts-145 ML Brown#11 2 UNITS
Rot.#919 Astronauts Team Total OVER 4.5 -122 1 UNIT
Charlie Morton#14 82 at bats, 37 K's, 8 walks; .276 AVG; .340 OBP; .437 SLG; 0777 OPS
Mackenzie Gore#5 66 at bats; .197 AVG; .264 OBP; .333 SLG, .597 OPS
Rot.#904 Nats+120 ML Gore#5 3 UNITS
Rot.#903 Braves (Morton#14) OVER 6.5 K's +112 1 UNIT
Suarez#9 102 at bats; 18 K's; 12 walks; .216 AVG; .298 OBP; .333 SLG; .632 OPS
Manaea#26 (DNS) 50 at bats; 19 HITS!; 12 K's; 5 walks; .380 AVG, .429 OBP, .820 SLG, 1.249 OPS
Rot.#901 Blunts Team Total OVER 5.5 -120 2 UNITS
Rot.#901 Blunts/Metropolitans OVER 10 -110 1 UNIT
Andrew Heaney#7 64 at bats, 16 hits; 18 K's, 9 walks, .250 AVG; .342 OBP; .453 SLG; .796 OPS vs Giants
Spencer Howard DNS UNRANKED ND FORMER WANDERER
Rot.#924 Wanderers ML Heaney#7 CRUMBS POD 3 UNITS
Rot.#925 Brews (Peralta) OVER 6.5 K's -120 1 UNIT
Last edited by atthehalf; 06-08-24, 08:43 AM.Comment -
The Commish text me this morning and asked if I was gonna go with Medina again because he was rooting for me! Uh duh! He is rooting for himself to rake in a mass amount of money and only have to pay out 1-2 managers again and keep the rest for himself. I told him that I really could use Luis Medina to cut down on his free passes. I have a feeling that no one will put him in use tomorrow and I could get another big payday should he go 5-6 frames with that 3-1 K/W ratio. The Blue Jays aren't as public of a team as the Braves and the piling on probably won't be as big this time but trust and believe that the joes should all be on themComment -
Luis Arraez OVER 1.5 bases has been posted on the big board for today above. Good luck out there today boys! It's gonna be a bloodbath!Comment -
Hah! The Orioles/Rays total is now up to 8.5! That's beating the CLVComment -
Rankings for Saturday
Sailors Castillo#1
Orioles Rodriguez#2
Red Sox Bello#3
Jays Gausman#4
Nats Gore#5
Guardians Lively#6
Wanderers Heaney#7 CRUMBS STREAMER POD
Fathers Walsron#8 SUBBED FOR BAT
Blunts Suarez#9
Royals Marsh#10
I have Suarez this low because the game is in London and also he may feel the ramifications of the comebacker to his pitching hand in his last start.
Freddy Peralta has been moved to Friday night for the brews so naturally I am chasing K's with him this evening and updating the big board to do so. Or he may not and be swapped out for Robert Gasser and then moved to Saturday. The Brews are dramatically inconsistent in naming their starters-moreso than any other team. I have to keep him on roster no matter what. He's good, You know it and I know itComment -
4 hours agoSoto (forearm) will undergo imaging Friday after experiencing forearm soreness during Thursday's game against the Twins, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
Removing Soto from tomorrow's purchase ordersComment -
I made SEVERAL of my Saturday's power moves already and the big board for Saturday has already been updated with those movesComment -
223-230-12 +36.43 UNITS
Rot.#959 Orioles/Rays OVER 7.5 Irvin vs Civale 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#977 Giants-124 ML Webb 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#975 Guardians Team Total OVER 4.5 +115 vs Weathers 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
Rot.#966 Halos Team Total OVER 3.5 +102 vs Valdez 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
Rot.#958 Fathers (Luis Arraez) OVER 1.5 BASES +105 vs Pfaadt 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#973 Dodgers-106 ML Yamamoto 3 UNITS WIN +3.0 UNITS
RECORD UPDATE
227-232-12 +40.43 UNITSComment -
I will be adding on Freddy Peralta's K's to go OVER on Saturday as wellComment -
The prop for Ohtani to go UNDER 1.5 bases was -158 so I will pass on that, I am only willing to go to -145 as a max for any move that I make
Kyle Higashioka prop for 1.5 bases was not available in this format as the books seem set on only having the stars on teams available for that prop
Heaney and the Wanderers price hasn't been offered yet. It appears that this will be a bullpen game for the Giants. As a result, in the event that the Wanderers are priced over -145 I will be passing on that move and roll with Heaney in my 12 teamer only.
Other than that the big board has been updated fullyComment
