Ck's 2024 mlb thread

[atthehalf]

51-41-0 +39.61 UNITS


Today

Rot.#965 Orioles/Royals UNDER 4 -115 FF Burnes#1/Ragans#3
Rot.#977 Sailors-1.5 -120 RL Castillo#5
Rot.#959 Rays+115 Eflin#9
Rot.#979 Jays-105 Berrios#11
Rot.#957 Snakes-123 Gallen#4
Rot.#951 Brews/Cardinals OVER 4.5 -113 FF Hall#22/Mikolas#26
Rot.#961 Tigers+125 Olson#15 3 UNITS CRUMBS PLAY OF THE DAY
Rot.#975 Wanderers+138 Eovaldi#14 3 UNITS

[atthehalf]

I am oh so patiently waiting for the Nats to get ahold of a lefty and the wonderful prospect of taking their team total to go over...

[atthehalf]

Baseball betting is all about knowing when to make a move with alacrity.

We are all gonna inevitably be around .500 at the end of the year especially with relievers doing what relievers do. Case and point, I saw the manager of the Twins last night call on a pitcher out of the bullpen who had a 10.80 ERA for his team as they were making their comeback. I already knew it was time to turn the channel.

I pulled the trigger on the Snakes again today even after they demolished the Giants 17-1 last night on the highway. They may fall flat today. It's just the way it is-even if they do have the superior arm on the hill today.

This thing is designed for you to fail gentlemen. So have fun and slow cook a brisket today and drink as many beers as you can stand. Try to sneak in a quickie with the Missus. Your money is at the risk LOL!

[mjsuax13]

Great thread.

[atthehalf]

Great thread.

Thank you!

[atthehalf]

Ok so in between beers here and looking ahead to tomorrow, I won't be making moves in this format on my top 3 Nola. Kirby, Javier because they will be far out of what I am willing to risk for juice. #4 through 15 looks clean to select from-especially the Fish with Cabrera#10 more than likely getting serious crumbs with the Cubs and Hendricks#28 on the bump.

I am going to blast away on Montas (Red Leggins) as he is the middling guy who no one wants to talk to in the clubhouse but is good enough to give good innings against lesser lineups. He's probably super boring..

[Covering the #]

He's in tomorrow. Aces are gonna ace. Plus he's facing Kyle Gibson. Let that sink in.

Hopefully Lodolo will be in for the Red Leggins. I do like that breaker he was throwing in his last start and on top of that there will be crumbs attached! What a great time to be alive.

So Verlander walks in from off the street after throwing 77 rehab pitches against my quality start stud..ok

Rolling with the Bombers and Twins on the RL which isn't available yet

Anyway here are my positions I have taken for tomorrow

Rot.#903 Brews-124 Peralta#1 3 UNITS
Rot.#919 Pale Hose+145 Crochet#5
Rot.#924 Nats+152 Gore#14

Is that Warren Cromartie of the Expos in that pic? By the way, great thread. Will be paying attention

[atthehalf]

Is that Warren Cromartie of the Expos in that pic? By the way, great thread. Will be paying attention

Yes indeed it is Warren Cromartie!

[atthehalf]

55-45-3 +35.38 UNITS

What a blast I had yesterday even on a sub-par day. I performed all of the things I told everyone to do-I even snuck in some sweet loving with the Missus while I was smoking my ribs and the kids were off riding their bikes! Good stuff

Today

Rot.#902 Cardinals-1.5 RL +130 Gray#4
Rot.#905 Snakes-102 Kelly#5
Rot.#912 Guardians-1.5 RL +110 Bibee#6
Rot.#927 Jays/Fathers UNDER 4.5 -113 FF Bassitt#7/Musgrove#8
Rot.#909 Rays+114 Civale#9
Rot.#903 Fish+115 Cabrera#10
Rot.#915 Tigers-104 Mize#11
Rot.#925 Sailors Team Total OVER 6 +100 (I have Lambert as the lowest rated arm today)
Rot.#929 Wanderers/Braves OVER 5.5 -113 FF (Vines(DNS)/Lorenzen (DNS)
Rot.#911 Athletics+149 ML Stripling (ARBITRAGE)

[atthehalf]

Betting out of the Guardians RL in style. I will get my CRUMBS no matter what

Rot.#911 Athletics+149 ML Stripling (ARBITRAGE)

[atthehalf]

Kelly is a scratch for the Snakes today. Egads! This is why you should always go listed!

[atthehalf]

The Sailors already have 6 runs and it's only the 2nd frame! That's the Lambert I know!

[Maizey]

You seem to have a pretty good command of this sport. Despite the reduced vig, it’s not that easy to beat anymore. I know a lot of people that used to beat it that don’t anymore, myself included. Wishing you continued success going forward.

[atthehalf]

61-48-3 +38.63 UNITS

I already grabbed some positions for tomorrow to get the robust crumbs early.

I will also be looking to snap up some Tigers/Rays UNDER FF, and also Fathers Team Total to go OVER. I have Gomber as the lowest rated arm on Monday

Rot.#952 Buccos-1.5 +165 RL Jones#2 3 UNITS CRUMBS PLAY OF THE DAY
Rot.#967 Jays-1.5 +155 RL Kikuchi#4 2 UNITS
Rot.#957 Snakes-105 Pfaadt#9
Rot.#970 Twins-1.5 +125 RL Paddack
Rot.#972 Halos-120 Detmers
Rot.#959 Fathers Team Total OVER 6 +100
Rot.#961 Metropolitans+101 Quintana#12
Rot.#965 Tigers/Rays UNDER 3.5 +100 FF Skubal#1/Littell#6

[atthehalf]

You seem to have a pretty good command of this sport. Despite the reduced vig, it’s not that easy to beat anymore. I know a lot of people that used to beat it that don’t anymore, myself included. Wishing you continued success going forward.

Thanks Maizey. It's all about the financials now. Like would you rather take a -180 loss or just take the RL at +120 instead and if it looses you only go down one unit compared to basically losing two games in one. Having a background in making fantasy league moves helps too because I rate pitchers each and every single day for roster purposes. you get to know what the pitcher is throwing that the other team doesn't fare well against, etc. I find two guys who are top 10 and facing one another then I will go the FF under. I find two DNS guys facing one another I go OVER FF while they are still going to be a part of the event. When I know that I am going to take a favorite I like to get down on them as early as possible to avoid the sharps, hard money bettors etc exploding a line and make me end up with less value. In effect I don't really look at consensus, line movement, and stuff like that...

[atthehalf]

Also I like Quintana#12 tomorrow as well. I have Keaton Winn as a DNS starter which bodes badly for the Giants-doesn't hurt that the Metropolitan bats are in order suddenly either. There is no line for it yet....

[atthehalf]

The big board was updated with the FF and team total lines and Quintana's juice

[atthehalf]

64-53-3 +43.68 UNITS

I performed my pitching rostering early and waited for the lines to be offered by the men. Some of the top 10's are juiced beyond what I am willing to pay in vig so I will have to wait some of them out for the RL's to be announced.

Anyway I snapped up some positions for Tuesday already. Once the RL's are offered I will blast away on those and post them up on this reply

Rot.#921 Jays-125 Gausman#2
Rot.#925 Sailors-110 Gilbert#8
Rot.#915 Red Sox-112 Houck#10 5 UNITS
Rot.#914 Giants-1.5 +135 RL Webb#3
Rot.#927 Orioles-1.5 +115 RL Rodriguez#4
Rot.#918 Rays-1.5 +140 RL Pepiot#6
Rot.#905 Dodgers Team Total OVER 6 +100 (VS Corbin# LAST DNS)
Rot.#903 Brews/Buccos OVER FF (NO LINE) Miley#15/Falter (DNS)
Rot.#929 Cubs/Astronauts OVER 5.5 -103 FF Wicks (DNS)/France (DNS)
Rot.#909 Cardinals/Snakes OVER 4.5 +104 FF Matz(DNS)/Henry(DNS)

[atthehalf]

It's Corbin. It's the Dodgers. If he would just throw the damn cutter instead of sinkers he would actually creep up to my third tier. As for right now he is ranked dead last for Tuesday's arms.

Dodgers Team Total OVER ANYTHING on Tuesday

[atthehalf]

Runline purchase orders have been added to the big board for Tuesday. I will update the FF lines once available

[atthehalf]

Quintana is having serious control issues this evening...smell of money burning

[atthehalf]

Wade Miley is a scratch for today so no play on Rot.#903 Brews/Buccos OVER FF

[atthehalf]

64-53-3 +43.68 UNITS

The big board has been updated with all of my moves for today

[ex50warrior]

Good stuff; thanks for posting.

[atthehalf]

68-58-3 +41.17 UNITS

Rot.#967 Red Sox/Guardians OVER 4.5 +102 FF Criswell(DNS)/Carrasco(DNS)
Rot.#975 Twins/pale Hose UNDER 3.5 -105 FF Ryan#2/Crochet#3
Rot.#972 Bombers-1.5 -105 RL Schmidt#7
Rot.#951 Snakes-1.5 +135 RL Montgomery#8
Rot.#977 Sailors+106 Miller#9 CRUMBS PLAY OF THE DAY 3 UNITS
Rot.#973 Jays/Royals OVER 5 +105 FF Rodriguez#13/Marsh(DNS)
Rot.#979 Astronauts Team total OVER 4.5 +127 2 UNITS

[atthehalf]

ADDED MOVE

Rot.#979 Astronauts Team total OVER 4.5 +127 2 UNITS

They OWN Taillon

https://www.espn.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/31258/jameson-taillon

[atthehalf]

69-64-3 +37.12 UNITS

Making moves for Thursday early here. Peralta is back for the Brews! Sort of an up and down day on Wednesday and most of the week for that matter. Errors are pissing on the money in this format-despite that, my fantasy studs are hired aces and are going to keep on doing so as the revenue streams keep coming in from my rosters. betting on games is much harder because of relief pitching and errors. Because of this we are all going to end up with around .500 records by the end of the season

Rot.#901 Brews-1.5 +145 Peralta#1
Rot.#903 Blunts-1.5 +105 Wheeler#2
Rot.#915 Sailors-118 Castillo#3
Rot.#913 Jays/Royals UNDER 4 +104 FF Berrios#8/Ragans#4
Rot.#919 Astronauts-120 Verlander#10
Rot.#918 Bombers-1.5 -115 Cortes, Jr.#7
Rot.#918 Bombers Team Total OVER 5 +110
Rot.#916 Andrew Heaney (Wanderers) OVER 5.5 K's +105

[matt711]

Wishing you the best today atthehalf!

[atthehalf]

Alright the big board has been updated to show the Bombers TT and the Jays/Royals FF under and record update.

Brutal last night in this format!

[atthehalf]

Bit of a buy back with Andrew Heaney#12 of the Wanderers. He has developed an outstanding mix of elevated 4 seamers and sliders, curveballs and changeups low and out of the zone

Rot.#916 Andrew Heaney (Wanderers) OVER 5.5 K's +105

[atthehalf]

Taking a chance on Freddy Peralta despite having his start pushed back 2 times. Could it be that he has some discomfort of some sort? Guess we will find out the hard way. My fear is that having him so high on my roster and the Brews not revealing an undisclosed injury would force me to go get a temporary bat to replace him in case he ends up on the IR! Guys in my league are chomping at the bit to make up the distance on me! Egads!

[atthehalf]

Ah the Nats finally face a lefty tomorrow (Luzardo)! Time for a nice team total over

[sevenbar10]

Good intell appreciate the efforts

[atthehalf]

Yep. Something was wrong with Freddy Peralta and as public person I wasn't privy to that type of information. I kind of touched on this earlier this morning. It was a feeling that I had

4.2 innings pitched 5 hits, 5 earned runs, 5 walks, 5 k's, 1 home run and get this 91 pitches and only 51 were strikes. I got hosed. I immediately will swap him out for Rafael Devers of the Red Sox at the conclusion of today's events.

[atthehalf]

74-67-3 +39.36 UNITS

I won't have much time to be around today-lots of family stuff so I pretty much stuck with my top 10 today. I am gonna chase K's with Burnes, Eflin and Eovaldi. I don't like to pay negative money for a RL if I can get around it. Anyway I will post up the K's lines once those are available. Time to get back to packing for my son's weekend baseball tournament getaway across state lines!


Rot.#951 Nats Team Total OVER 3.5 +100 2 UNITS
Rot.#962 Burnes#1 (Orioles) OVER 7.5 K's -110
Rot.#977 Snakes-123 Gallen#2
Rot.#963 Zach Eflin#3 (Rays) OVER 5.5 K's -106
Rot.#965 Twins-105 Ober#6
Rot.#955 Blunts-109 Nola#5
Rot.#974 Eovaldi#8 (Wanderers) OVER 7 K's +115
Rot.#972 Braves-1.5 +100 Sale#9
Rot.#959 Royals/Tigers UNDER 4.5 FF -110 Lugo#10/Olson#14
Rot.#970 Rafael Devers (Red Sox) OVER 1.5 bases +104
Rot.#960 Tigers-1.5 +165 RL Olson 3 UNITS CRUMBS PLAY OF THE DAY