on3's MLB 2025 Opening Day System

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  • grecycle99
    SBR MVP
    • 12-18-09
    • 3610

    #1
    on3's MLB 2025 Opening Day System
    MLB 2024 Thread

  • grecycle99
    SBR MVP
    • 12-18-09
    • 3610

    #2
    UPDATED for 03//2025

    System(s) record Chase :

    Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
    Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
    5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

    Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

    Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

    Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
    Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
    Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

    Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
    (A) 10-10-10-10
    (B)
    (C)

    REGULAR FOR 03//2025

    No Play

    Filtered

    No Play

    5/2
    No Play
    Comment
    • loutrigs
      SBR Rookie
      • 08-22-15
      • 15

      #3
      thanks for putting it up again
      Comment
      • takethepnts
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-18-13
        • 573

        #4
        AGREED. . THANKS for taking the time to run things again . Much appreciated
        Comment
        • TwoCats
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-14-12
          • 227

          #5
          Thanks also for your time & effort.
          Comment
          • daneault23
            SBR MVP
            • 09-08-09
            • 3836

            #6
            Sorry this is my first time going through this. I picked this up from last year's thread as to how this system works. Still a bit confused.

            For the standard and filtered plays - Is the chase always to win 1 unit? Say an A bet loses for each standard and filtered at -150. Would the B bet for each be to win 2.5 units? And for 5/2 that is separate from the filtered chase plays so if a filtered A bet loses, you bet to win 5 units on that team for the 5/2 chase, but also the standard B bet amount for the filtered system. Is that all right or am I way off base?

            For the regular plays, we chase a series for a win of the home team when the home team is -145 and more for the first game of the serie. The chase is for 3 games even if the series is a 4 games. If a series is a 2 games series, it's a no play. Also if the line is -190 and over, we play the RL.

            Filtered is the same but plays that the total is 9 and over.

            And 5/2 is when a Filtered play lose on the A bet, we chase that team for 2 game, the first game you bet to win 5 units and the second you bet to win what you lost on the A bet and you add 2 units.
            Comment
            • Tomatero
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 05-06-17
              • 549

              #7
              Leggo ⚾
              Comment
              • grecycle99
                SBR MVP
                • 12-18-09
                • 3610

                #8
                Originally posted by daneault23
                Sorry this is my first time going through this. I picked this up from last year's thread as to how this system works. Still a bit confused.

                For the standard and filtered plays - Is the chase always to win 1 unit? Say an A bet loses for each standard and filtered at -150. Would the B bet for each be to win 2.5 units? And for 5/2 that is separate from the filtered chase plays so if a filtered A bet loses, you bet to win 5 units on that team for the 5/2 chase, but also the standard B bet amount for the filtered system. Is that all right or am I way off base?

                For the regular plays, we chase a series for a win of the home team when the home team is -145 and more for the first game of the serie. The chase is for 3 games even if the series is a 4 games. If a series is a 2 games series, it's a no play. Also if the line is -190 and over, we play the RL.

                Filtered is the same but plays that the total is 9 and over.

                And 5/2 is when a Filtered play lose on the A bet, we chase that team for 2 game, the first game you bet to win 5 units and the second you bet to win what you lost on the A bet and you add 2 units.
                For the 5/2, the first play is on the second game of the serie if a filtered play lose and you play to win 5U on the A if it lose, you play the B to win what you lose plus 2 units.

                For the standard and filtered, I use martingale lines to determine the units involve. I always put the amount of unit to win

                Thanks
                Comment
                • grecycle99
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-18-09
                  • 3610

                  #9
                  UPDATED for 03/27/2025

                  System(s) record Chase :

                  Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
                  Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
                  5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

                  Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

                  Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

                  Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
                  Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
                  Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

                  Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
                  (A) 10-10-10-10
                  (B)
                  (C)

                  REGULAR FOR 03/27/2025


                  (A) Kansas City -158 to win 1U
                  (A) LA Dodgers -152 to win 1U
                  (A) Seattle -160 to win 1U

                  Watch Yankees -137

                  Filtered

                  No Play

                  5/2
                  No Play
                  Comment
                  • Tomatero
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 05-06-17
                    • 549

                    #10
                    Buena suerte ⚾
                    Comment
                    • loutrigs
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 08-22-15
                      • 15

                      #11
                      Sea is 4 game just thought I should let u know I don’t think that’s a play? Correct ?
                      Comment
                      • Tomatero
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-06-17
                        • 549

                        #12
                        New series today??
                        Comment
                        • grecycle99
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-18-09
                          • 3610

                          #13
                          UPDATED for 03/28/2025

                          System(s) record Chase :

                          Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
                          Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
                          5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

                          Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

                          Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

                          Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
                          Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
                          Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

                          Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
                          (A) 3 * 14.32
                          (B) 2 * 14.32
                          (C)

                          REGULAR FOR 03/28/2025


                          (A) Tampa Bay RL -1.5 +103 to win 1.44U
                          (B) Kansas City -158 to win 1.44U

                          Filtered

                          No Play

                          5/2
                          No Play
                          Last edited by grecycle99; 03-28-25, 04:11 PM.
                          Comment
                          • grecycle99
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-18-09
                            • 3610

                            #14
                            Originally posted by loutrigs
                            Sea is 4 game just thought I should let u know I don’t think that’s a play? Correct ?
                            only the 2 game series are a no play. A 4 game serie means that you play the first 3, it's up to you to play the 4th but record purposes, if the 3rd game lose, its a loss
                            Comment
                            • grecycle99
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-18-09
                              • 3610

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Tomatero
                              New series today??
                              Tampa as a RL, sorry for being late
                              Comment
                              • Tomatero
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-06-17
                                • 549

                                #16
                                Dont understand that labby, can you tell me??
                                Comment
                                • grecycle99
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-18-09
                                  • 3610

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Tomatero
                                  Dont understand that labby, can you tell me??
                                  you have to see this as a straight line across the A, B and C. when a play win, you cross 2 numbers and a loss you had a number. I do an average on the numbers left.
                                  Comment
                                  • Tomatero
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-06-17
                                    • 549

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by grecycle99

                                    you have to see this as a straight line across the A, B and C. when a play win, you cross 2 numbers and a loss you had a number. I do an average on the numbers left.
                                    One labby for each series??
                                    Comment
                                    • grecycle99
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-18-09
                                      • 3610

                                      #19
                                      no but the line is the same for A, B and C. Every day, each play is to win the same amount. We found that through the years this cause less unit losses that way. But the inconvenient is that the line is becoming high at times.
                                      Comment
                                      • Tomatero
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 05-06-17
                                        • 549

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by grecycle99
                                        no but the line is the same for A, B and C. Every day, each play is to win the same amount. We found that through the years this cause less unit losses that way. But the inconvenient is that the line is becoming high at times.
                                        Ok thanks buddy
                                        Comment
                                        • takethepnts
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-18-13
                                          • 573

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by grecycle99
                                          UPDATED for 03/28/2025

                                          System(s) record Chase :

                                          Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
                                          Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
                                          5/2 chase: 0-0;

                                          (A) Tampa Bay RL -1.5 +103 to win 1.44U
                                          (B) Kansas City -158 to win 1.44U

                                          Filtered

                                          No Play

                                          5/2
                                          No Play
                                          KCR FOR Satuday 29th ? I don't see them on today's slate ?
                                          Comment
                                          • grecycle99
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-18-09
                                            • 3610

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by takethepnts

                                            KCR FOR Satuday 29th ? I don't see them on today's slate ?
                                            yes its for the next game on 29
                                            Comment
                                            • Tomatero
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 05-06-17
                                              • 549

                                              #23
                                              I DON'T UNDERSTAND THIS PART WELL, COULD YOU EXPLAIN IT TO ME? IM NEW ON THIS THREAD,THANKS
                                              Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
                                              (A) 3 * 14.32
                                              (B) 2 * 14.32
                                              (C)
                                              Comment
                                              • takethepnts
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-18-13
                                                • 573

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by grecycle99

                                                yes its for the next game on 29
                                                Thanks Grecycle... Have a super wknd ..
                                                Comment
                                                • TrojanMan8
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 10-17-14
                                                  • 158

                                                  #25
                                                  I'll do my best to put together a reference post for this year's thread, especially since the labby lines are not very apparent.

                                                  We look at the first game of a 3 or 4 game series and any home favorites above -145 qualifies as a play. If the favorite is above -190, the play will be on the run line to shorten the odds. Filtered plays are the same criteria plus the total being Over 9 in the first game. The 5/2 series begins on the B bet of the Filtered series (i.e. the 5/2 series starts when the A bet of a Filtered series loses). The system tracks across 3 games, and a series finishes when the favorite wins or loses 3 games in a row. The 4th game of a series is not tracked in this system.

                                                  The first play in the 5/2 series is to win 5U on the B bet of a Filtered series. If that loses, then the C bet is to win what was lost in the B bet plus 2 units. This series is treated separate from the labby lines.

                                                  The labby lines are used for a combination of Regular and Filtered plays. Filtered plays are also Regular plays, so the system effectively plays them twice with the labby. (The 5/2 are Filtered plays that lost the A bet, so you would technically be playing the B and C bets of the Filtered plays 3 times if playing the 5/2 and the labby lines).

                                                  The labby lines need two numbers for each play. Tracking for this system uses 10s when adding new numbers to the line and 20 is treated as 1U (2x10), but your units may vary. A win eliminates two numbers from the labby line and a loss is added as a new number to the labby line. New numbers (10) are added as needed for new plays or to spread risk. It may be easiest to consider all plays as 1 total labby line as opposed to having separate labby lines for A, B, and C bets.

                                                  Using opening day as an example, there were 3 regular plays so the system started with 6 10s.
                                                  10 10 10 10 10 10

                                                  SEA and LAD won, while KC lost, so 4 numbers are eliminated and the KC loss (31.60 at -158 odds) is added to the line.
                                                  10 10 10 10 10 10 31.60

                                                  At the end of the day, there were 3 numbers left on the line: 10 10 31.60. The day 2 line (post #13) shows there were 5 total numbers; 3 on the A bet and 2 on the B bet. This means that 2 10s were then added to the lines, giving:
                                                  10 10 31.60 10 10

                                                  To spread risk, the numbers are averaged. The total line is 71.60 (4x10 + 31.60) divided by the 5 numbers, giving a new line of 5 x 14.32. Day 2 shows an A bet and a B bet and numbers are moved between the A, B, and C lines as needed. Therefore, 2 numbers are shown on the B line and 3 were left on the A line, giving:
                                                  Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
                                                  (A) 3 * 14.32
                                                  (B) 2 * 14.32
                                                  (C)


                                                  For the next play, the numbers are rounded up to the next tenth for the next play, so TB is at 1.44U = 14.40 x 2 = 28.80. TB lost the run line last night, so 28.80 will now be added to the line.
                                                  14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80.

                                                  To summarize the lines above:
                                                  Day 1 before games: 10 10 10 10 10 10
                                                  Day 1 after games (2W, 1L, 2 numbers added): 10 10 31.60 10 10
                                                  Day 2 before games (Day 1 after line averaged): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32
                                                  Day 2 after games (1L): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80

                                                  Big thanks to grecycle99 for both tracking the plays and the line for years. There are many of us (including lurkers like myself) who are very appreciative of all that you do day in and day out.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Tomatero
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 05-06-17
                                                    • 549

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by TrojanMan8
                                                    I'll do my best to put together a reference post for this year's thread, especially since the labby lines are not very apparent.

                                                    We look at the first game of a 3 or 4 game series and any home favorites above -145 qualifies as a play. If the favorite is above -190, the play will be on the run line to shorten the odds. Filtered plays are the same criteria plus the total being Over 9 in the first game. The 5/2 series begins on the B bet of the Filtered series (i.e. the 5/2 series starts when the A bet of a Filtered series loses). The system tracks across 3 games, and a series finishes when the favorite wins or loses 3 games in a row. The 4th game of a series is not tracked in this system.

                                                    The first play in the 5/2 series is to win 5U on the B bet of a Filtered series. If that loses, then the C bet is to win what was lost in the B bet plus 2 units. This series is treated separate from the labby lines.

                                                    The labby lines are used for a combination of Regular and Filtered plays. Filtered plays are also Regular plays, so the system effectively plays them twice with the labby. (The 5/2 are Filtered plays that lost the A bet, so you would technically be playing the B and C bets of the Filtered plays 3 times if playing the 5/2 and the labby lines).

                                                    The labby lines need two numbers for each play. Tracking for this system uses 10s when adding new numbers to the line and 20 is treated as 1U (2x10), but your units may vary. A win eliminates two numbers from the labby line and a loss is added as a new number to the labby line. New numbers (10) are added as needed for new plays or to spread risk. It may be easiest to consider all plays as 1 total labby line as opposed to having separate labby lines for A, B, and C bets.

                                                    Using opening day as an example, there were 3 regular plays so the system started with 6 10s.
                                                    10 10 10 10 10 10

                                                    SEA and LAD won, while KC lost, so 4 numbers are eliminated and the KC loss (31.60 at -158 odds) is added to the line.
                                                    10 10 10 10 10 10 31.60

                                                    At the end of the day, there were 3 numbers left on the line: 10 10 31.60. The day 2 line (post #13) shows there were 5 total numbers; 3 on the A bet and 2 on the B bet. This means that 2 10s were then added to the lines, giving:
                                                    10 10 31.60 10 10

                                                    To spread risk, the numbers are averaged. The total line is 71.60 (4x10 + 31.60) divided by the 5 numbers, giving a new line of 5 x 14.32. Day 2 shows an A bet and a B bet and numbers are moved between the A, B, and C lines as needed. Therefore, 2 numbers are shown on the B line and 3 were left on the A line, giving:
                                                    Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
                                                    (A) 3 * 14.32
                                                    (B) 2 * 14.32
                                                    (C)


                                                    For the next play, the numbers are rounded up to the next tenth for the next play, so TB is at 1.44U = 14.40 x 2 = 28.80. TB lost the run line last night, so 28.80 will now be added to the line.
                                                    14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80.

                                                    To summarize the lines above:
                                                    Day 1 before games: 10 10 10 10 10 10
                                                    Day 1 after games (2W, 1L, 2 numbers added): 10 10 31.60 10 10
                                                    Day 2 before games (Day 1 after line averaged): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32
                                                    Day 2 after games (1L): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80

                                                    Big thanks to grecycle99 for both tracking the plays and the line for years. There are many of us (including lurkers like myself) who are very appreciative of all that you do day in and day out.
                                                    Thanks you amigo
                                                    Comment
                                                    • skyscrapers
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-02-11
                                                      • 6154

                                                      #27
                                                      Which book or site do you use for tracking the odds?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • imotiv8
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-28-09
                                                        • 890

                                                        #28
                                                        Let’s get it! Tread carefully before the 15th
                                                        Comment
                                                        • grecycle99
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-18-09
                                                          • 3610

                                                          #29
                                                          UPDATED for 03/29/2025

                                                          System(s) record Chase :

                                                          Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
                                                          Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
                                                          5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

                                                          Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

                                                          Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

                                                          Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
                                                          Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
                                                          Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

                                                          Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
                                                          (A) 2 * 15.27
                                                          (B) 4 * 15.27
                                                          (C)

                                                          REGULAR FOR 03/29/2025


                                                          (B) Kansas City -108 to win 1.53U
                                                          (B) Tampa Bay -179 to win 1.53U


                                                          Filtered
                                                          No Play

                                                          5/2
                                                          No Play
                                                          Comment
                                                          • grecycle99
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-18-09
                                                            • 3610

                                                            #30
                                                            UPDATED for 03/30/2025

                                                            System(s) record Chase :

                                                            Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
                                                            Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
                                                            5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

                                                            Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

                                                            Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

                                                            Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
                                                            Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
                                                            Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

                                                            Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
                                                            (A) 2 * 23.18
                                                            (B) 1 * 23.18
                                                            (C) 2 * 23.18

                                                            REGULAR FOR 03/30/2025


                                                            (C) Tampa Bay -176 to win 2.32U


                                                            Filtered
                                                            No Play

                                                            5/2
                                                            No Play
                                                            Comment
                                                            • grecycle99
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-18-09
                                                              • 3610

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by skyscrapers
                                                              Which book or site do you use for tracking the odds?
                                                              Pinnacle
                                                              Comment
                                                              • skyscrapers
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-02-11
                                                                • 6154

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by grecycle99

                                                                Pinnacle
                                                                Thank you.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Tomatero
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 05-06-17
                                                                  • 549

                                                                  #33
                                                                  So 2.32u =$40. 64??
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • grecycle99
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                                    • 3610

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Tomatero
                                                                    So 2.32u =$40. 64??
                                                                    The unit size is up to you. but for record I use a 20$ unit so yes 2.32u is 40.64$
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tomatero
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 05-06-17
                                                                      • 549

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by grecycle99

                                                                      The unit size is up to you. but for record I use a 20$ unit so yes 2.32u is 40.64$
                                                                      Gracias amigo.
                                                                      Comment
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