on3's MLB 2025 Opening Day System
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#1on3's MLB 2025 Opening Day SystemTags: None -
#2UPDATED for 03//2025
System(s) record Chase :
Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units
Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0
Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 10-10-10-10
(B)
(C)
REGULAR FOR 03//2025
No Play
Filtered
No Play
5/2
No PlayComment -
#3thanks for putting it up againComment -
#4AGREED. . THANKS for taking the time to run things again . Much appreciatedComment -
#5Thanks also for your time & effort.Comment -
#6Sorry this is my first time going through this. I picked this up from last year's thread as to how this system works. Still a bit confused.
For the standard and filtered plays - Is the chase always to win 1 unit? Say an A bet loses for each standard and filtered at -150. Would the B bet for each be to win 2.5 units? And for 5/2 that is separate from the filtered chase plays so if a filtered A bet loses, you bet to win 5 units on that team for the 5/2 chase, but also the standard B bet amount for the filtered system. Is that all right or am I way off base?
For the regular plays, we chase a series for a win of the home team when the home team is -145 and more for the first game of the serie. The chase is for 3 games even if the series is a 4 games. If a series is a 2 games series, it's a no play. Also if the line is -190 and over, we play the RL.
Filtered is the same but plays that the total is 9 and over.
And 5/2 is when a Filtered play lose on the A bet, we chase that team for 2 game, the first game you bet to win 5 units and the second you bet to win what you lost on the A bet and you add 2 units.Comment -
#7Leggo ⚾Comment -
#8Sorry this is my first time going through this. I picked this up from last year's thread as to how this system works. Still a bit confused.
For the standard and filtered plays - Is the chase always to win 1 unit? Say an A bet loses for each standard and filtered at -150. Would the B bet for each be to win 2.5 units? And for 5/2 that is separate from the filtered chase plays so if a filtered A bet loses, you bet to win 5 units on that team for the 5/2 chase, but also the standard B bet amount for the filtered system. Is that all right or am I way off base?
For the regular plays, we chase a series for a win of the home team when the home team is -145 and more for the first game of the serie. The chase is for 3 games even if the series is a 4 games. If a series is a 2 games series, it's a no play. Also if the line is -190 and over, we play the RL.
Filtered is the same but plays that the total is 9 and over.
And 5/2 is when a Filtered play lose on the A bet, we chase that team for 2 game, the first game you bet to win 5 units and the second you bet to win what you lost on the A bet and you add 2 units.
For the standard and filtered, I use martingale lines to determine the units involve. I always put the amount of unit to win
ThanksComment -
#9UPDATED for 03/27/2025
System(s) record Chase :
Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units
Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0
Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 10-10-10-10
(B)
(C)
REGULAR FOR 03/27/2025
(A) Kansas City -158 to win 1U
(A) LA Dodgers -152 to win 1U
(A) Seattle -160 to win 1U
Watch Yankees -137
Filtered
No Play
5/2
No PlayComment -
#10Buena suerte ⚾Comment -
#11Sea is 4 game just thought I should let u know I don’t think that’s a play? Correct ?Comment -
#12New series today??Comment -
#13UPDATED for 03/28/2025
System(s) record Chase :
Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units
Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0
Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 3 * 14.32
(B) 2 * 14.32
(C)
REGULAR FOR 03/28/2025
(A) Tampa Bay RL -1.5 +103 to win 1.44U
(B) Kansas City -158 to win 1.44U
Filtered
No Play
5/2
No PlayLast edited by grecycle99; 03-28-25, 04:11 PM.Comment -
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#16Dont understand that labby, can you tell me??Comment -
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#19no but the line is the same for A, B and C. Every day, each play is to win the same amount. We found that through the years this cause less unit losses that way. But the inconvenient is that the line is becoming high at times.Comment -
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#21KCR FOR Satuday 29th ? I don't see them on today's slate ?Comment -
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#23I DON'T UNDERSTAND THIS PART WELL, COULD YOU EXPLAIN IT TO ME? IM NEW ON THIS THREAD,THANKS
Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 3 * 14.32
(B) 2 * 14.32
(C)Comment -
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#25I'll do my best to put together a reference post for this year's thread, especially since the labby lines are not very apparent.
We look at the first game of a 3 or 4 game series and any home favorites above -145 qualifies as a play. If the favorite is above -190, the play will be on the run line to shorten the odds. Filtered plays are the same criteria plus the total being Over 9 in the first game. The 5/2 series begins on the B bet of the Filtered series (i.e. the 5/2 series starts when the A bet of a Filtered series loses). The system tracks across 3 games, and a series finishes when the favorite wins or loses 3 games in a row. The 4th game of a series is not tracked in this system.
The first play in the 5/2 series is to win 5U on the B bet of a Filtered series. If that loses, then the C bet is to win what was lost in the B bet plus 2 units. This series is treated separate from the labby lines.
The labby lines are used for a combination of Regular and Filtered plays. Filtered plays are also Regular plays, so the system effectively plays them twice with the labby. (The 5/2 are Filtered plays that lost the A bet, so you would technically be playing the B and C bets of the Filtered plays 3 times if playing the 5/2 and the labby lines).
The labby lines need two numbers for each play. Tracking for this system uses 10s when adding new numbers to the line and 20 is treated as 1U (2x10), but your units may vary. A win eliminates two numbers from the labby line and a loss is added as a new number to the labby line. New numbers (10) are added as needed for new plays or to spread risk. It may be easiest to consider all plays as 1 total labby line as opposed to having separate labby lines for A, B, and C bets.
Using opening day as an example, there were 3 regular plays so the system started with 6 10s.
10 10 10 10 10 10
SEA and LAD won, while KC lost, so 4 numbers are eliminated and the KC loss (31.60 at -158 odds) is added to the line.
10 101010101031.60
At the end of the day, there were 3 numbers left on the line: 10 10 31.60. The day 2 line (post #13) shows there were 5 total numbers; 3 on the A bet and 2 on the B bet. This means that 2 10s were then added to the lines, giving:
10 10 31.60 10 10
To spread risk, the numbers are averaged. The total line is 71.60 (4x10 + 31.60) divided by the 5 numbers, giving a new line of 5 x 14.32. Day 2 shows an A bet and a B bet and numbers are moved between the A, B, and C lines as needed. Therefore, 2 numbers are shown on the B line and 3 were left on the A line, giving:
Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 3 * 14.32
(B) 2 * 14.32
(C)
For the next play, the numbers are rounded up to the next tenth for the next play, so TB is at 1.44U = 14.40 x 2 = 28.80. TB lost the run line last night, so 28.80 will now be added to the line.
14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80.
To summarize the lines above:
Day 1 before games: 10 10 10 10 10 10
Day 1 after games (2W, 1L, 2 numbers added): 10 10 31.60 10 10
Day 2 before games (Day 1 after line averaged): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32
Day 2 after games (1L): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80
Big thanks to grecycle99 for both tracking the plays and the line for years. There are many of us (including lurkers like myself) who are very appreciative of all that you do day in and day out.Comment -
#26I'll do my best to put together a reference post for this year's thread, especially since the labby lines are not very apparent.
We look at the first game of a 3 or 4 game series and any home favorites above -145 qualifies as a play. If the favorite is above -190, the play will be on the run line to shorten the odds. Filtered plays are the same criteria plus the total being Over 9 in the first game. The 5/2 series begins on the B bet of the Filtered series (i.e. the 5/2 series starts when the A bet of a Filtered series loses). The system tracks across 3 games, and a series finishes when the favorite wins or loses 3 games in a row. The 4th game of a series is not tracked in this system.
The first play in the 5/2 series is to win 5U on the B bet of a Filtered series. If that loses, then the C bet is to win what was lost in the B bet plus 2 units. This series is treated separate from the labby lines.
The labby lines are used for a combination of Regular and Filtered plays. Filtered plays are also Regular plays, so the system effectively plays them twice with the labby. (The 5/2 are Filtered plays that lost the A bet, so you would technically be playing the B and C bets of the Filtered plays 3 times if playing the 5/2 and the labby lines).
The labby lines need two numbers for each play. Tracking for this system uses 10s when adding new numbers to the line and 20 is treated as 1U (2x10), but your units may vary. A win eliminates two numbers from the labby line and a loss is added as a new number to the labby line. New numbers (10) are added as needed for new plays or to spread risk. It may be easiest to consider all plays as 1 total labby line as opposed to having separate labby lines for A, B, and C bets.
Using opening day as an example, there were 3 regular plays so the system started with 6 10s.
10 10 10 10 10 10
SEA and LAD won, while KC lost, so 4 numbers are eliminated and the KC loss (31.60 at -158 odds) is added to the line.
10 101010101031.60
At the end of the day, there were 3 numbers left on the line: 10 10 31.60. The day 2 line (post #13) shows there were 5 total numbers; 3 on the A bet and 2 on the B bet. This means that 2 10s were then added to the lines, giving:
10 10 31.60 10 10
To spread risk, the numbers are averaged. The total line is 71.60 (4x10 + 31.60) divided by the 5 numbers, giving a new line of 5 x 14.32. Day 2 shows an A bet and a B bet and numbers are moved between the A, B, and C lines as needed. Therefore, 2 numbers are shown on the B line and 3 were left on the A line, giving:
Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 3 * 14.32
(B) 2 * 14.32
(C)
For the next play, the numbers are rounded up to the next tenth for the next play, so TB is at 1.44U = 14.40 x 2 = 28.80. TB lost the run line last night, so 28.80 will now be added to the line.
14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80.
To summarize the lines above:
Day 1 before games: 10 10 10 10 10 10
Day 1 after games (2W, 1L, 2 numbers added): 10 10 31.60 10 10
Day 2 before games (Day 1 after line averaged): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32
Day 2 after games (1L): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80
Big thanks to grecycle99 for both tracking the plays and the line for years. There are many of us (including lurkers like myself) who are very appreciative of all that you do day in and day out.Comment -
#27Which book or site do you use for tracking the odds?Comment -
#28Let’s get it! Tread carefully before the 15thComment -
#29UPDATED for 03/29/2025
System(s) record Chase :
Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units
Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0
Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 2 * 15.27
(B) 4 * 15.27
(C)
REGULAR FOR 03/29/2025
(B) Kansas City -108 to win 1.53U
(B) Tampa Bay -179 to win 1.53U
Filtered
No Play
5/2
No PlayComment -
#30UPDATED for 03/30/2025
System(s) record Chase :
Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units
Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0
Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 2 * 23.18
(B) 1 * 23.18
(C) 2 * 23.18
REGULAR FOR 03/30/2025
(C) Tampa Bay -176 to win 2.32U
Filtered
No Play
5/2
No Play👍 1Comment -
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#33So 2.32u =$40. 64??Comment -
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