It's not about the action. It's about building up your bankroll. Everyone who makes moves on MLB every day is going to end up with a record of around .500. It's about knowing when to go big.
-
-
Rot.#926 Twins (Lopez)/Cardinals (Gray) UNDER 4 FF -110
Rot.#906 Giants (Webb)/Red Leggins (Greene) UNDER 4 FF -115
Rot.#912 Jays (Berriors)-110 FF
Rot.#904 Fish (Alcantara)+0.5 -115 FF
Rot.#910 Cubs (Steele)/Snakes (Gallen) OVER 4.5 FF +105Comment -
Good luck this year!Comment -
Not the start that I wanted yesterday. Shit happens. Bombs away today
4:00 Rot.#978 Rays-0.5 -130 FF Pepiot
4:00 Rot.#978 Pepiot OVER 6.5 K'S +100
7:00 Rot.#972 Orioles/Jays UNDER 4.5 FF +100 Morton/Gausman
8:00 Rot.#974 Wanderers +100 ML FF Leiter
8:00 Rot.#974 Wanderers (Adolis Garcia) OVER 0.5 DOUBLES +425
9:30 Rot.#969 Braves+0.5 -130 RL FF Lopez
9:30 Rot.#970 Fathers (Arraez) OVER 1.5 BASES +140
9:30 Rot.#968 Cubs/Snakes UNDER 4.5 +100 FF Taillon/Kelly
9:30 Rot.#975 Athletics+0.5 -110 FF RL SpringsComment -
Streamer of the Day!
Use in any and all 12 teamers and deep leagues if you need to. Let's get it. All that I need is for this one streamer to give me my frames and ratio to be paid large enough to have a nice profit even if everything else loses. it's that good of a share. Look forward to me blasting away on Osvaldo Bido too when his turn comes up. No one makes move son Athletics arms and it makes for some solid paydays when everyone and their mother is on Castillo today for instance
Coming in on only a whopping 17% of rosters comes Jeffrey Springs (Athletics) who looked great in spring training, and the ballpark in Seattle should help out a bit. Looking for 5 frames and a 3/1 K/W ratio to collect an ignorant share of the 83% pie to be split between the Commish and a few others from my discord share last night
Comment -
Although I had a pretty good season last year making moves on traditional sides and totals-my streamers were off the chain as usual. The arms that I select rarely don't get the 5 frames and 3-1 k/w ratio. Case and point today with Pepiot; 8 K's 1 walk over 6 frames. the payout for this one in particular won't be a great one because of the margins and amount of moves made on Pepiot.. but Springs is a whole different deal and if I can get 6 frames and a 3/1 ratio from him that would put me in line for a sweet payday.
The Commish however CLEANED UP on Freeland with a 7 K 0 walks over 6 framesComment -
Welp I gotta go by the Comish's pad today this morning and pick up a rather large amount of cash for Springs! 6 frames 9k's and 1 walk-what more can you ask for?
Today I am not blasting away on this guy in this format-however he is my Streamer of The Day
LAA Jose Soriano As long as his sinker and curve fall in for K's this should be good for a 5 frames 3/1 K/W ratio (it's the Pale Hose)
Comment -
Now for the goods for today
Rot.#907 Braves-0.5 +100 FF RL Schwellenbach
Rot.#910 Cubs/Snakes UNDER 4.5 -105 FF Imanaga/Pfaadt
Rot.#920 Sailors-0.5 -110 FF RL Miller
Rot.#928 Astronauts Team Total OVER 4.5 +100
Rot.#924 Cardinals+105 ML FF Fedde
Rot.#914 Jays-0.5 +105 FF RL Scherzer
Rot.#902 Nats+0.5 -115 FF RL Irvin
Rot.#904 Giants/Red Leggins UNDER 4 +105 FF Verlander/LodoloComment -
Ahhhh! Pissers...Scherzer couldn't even make it through ONE start! Oh well...and Soriano messed up my payday by not getting the 3/1 K/W ratio even though he went 7 strong for me. 5 K's and 2 BB. the Commish wins again dagnabbit!Comment -
My Top Ten for tomorrow
#1 Wanderers (deGrom)
#2 Sailors (Woo) Want K's? He's your man
#3 Giants (Ray) It's the Red Leggins. He's got a new changeup-do this
#4 Twinkies (Ober) Aces gonna ace
#5 Blunts (Nola) Aces gonna ace
#6 Fish (Meyer) CRUMBS POD
#7 Red Leggins (Martinez) Oh my goodness-he has absolutely incredible numbers vs Giants bats
#8 Rays (Bradley) Even with his command questions-it's the Rox
#9 Fathers (Pivetta) He gives up a lot of orbit balls. Don't watch this game
#10 Red Sox (Fitts) 96 MPH velocity, good extension and vertical break-and a large arsenalComment -
3/30/25
Streamer of the Day
Fish (Max Meyer) This is a new pitcher-the Buccos offense isn't new. Anyway he is on only 9% of rostership. Translated I have an opportunity to be in on a 91% share dispersal and I don't mind getting 3 dimes once or twice a week.
Meyer is a young gun who uses his slider 41%, 4 seamer 39%,changeup 18% and sinker 2%. His velocity sits around 88 MPH with that sweet mix. Sounds good enough to me
Rot.#961 Orioles+105 ML FF Sugano
Rot.#951 Blunts-0.5 -120 FF RL Nola
Rot.#951 Blunts Team Total OVER 4.5 -125
Rot.#956 Red Leggins-105 ML FF Martinez
Rot.#966 Guardians/Royals UNDER 4 FF -115 (Bibee/Wacha)
Rot.#970 A's/Sailors UNDER 4 FF-110 (Sears/Woo)
Rot.#954 Fish+100 ML FF Meyer
Rot.#964 Pale Hose+0.5 -125 FF RL
Rot.#970 Sailors (Woo) OVER 5.5 K's -160
Rot.#959 Braves+0.5 -130 FF RL Smith ShawverLast edited by atthehalf; 03-30-25, 05:54 AM.Comment -
Woo's price is absurd. This is kind of why traditional sides and totals betting can't beat fantasy moves. In my league the number is 6 but it's priced at +100...anyway the big board is filled in completely with the addition of some Smith Shawver FFComment -
fantasy wise I am having a pretty good day-conventional sides and totals not so good. For instance
Sugano (didn't get the five frames-thumbs down)
Meyer (My POD didn't disappoint with 5.2 frames and 7 K and 1 BB-an easy 3K win with his rostership being what it was)
Nola (5.1 frames and 8 K's and 2 walks-the payout was extremely minimal since everyone had him)
Martinez (6 frames 5 K's and 1 walk decent sized win with only 32% rostership)
Bibee and Wacha kept the score low enough to get a win for the conventional side-I had neither rostered
Martin (I didn't have him on roster-just basically faded the Halos as their bats are tepid)
Richard Fitts had 9 called strikes and 8 swinging strikes; and 16 foul balls and 20 in play strikes; 7 of which were grounders and 7 of which were fly ball outs in his 6 frames to go along with 4 k's and most importantly no walks. Overall not a bad outing. His average pitch level value was mid. But I like his arsenal- 45% 4 seamers; 31% sliders; 13% sweeper; and 11% splitter. Should be no need to move him back down to the farm just yet. I am ranking him around 50th so there's room to grow for sure. I wonder aloud how that flyball rate will work at Fenway ..guess we are just gonna have to wait and seeComment -
Get one leg up on the competition. For tomorrow 3/31/25 grab on any 12 teamer and yes chase K/W
(Tigers) Jackson Jobe CRUMBS POD
He's only on 14% of rosters and with that I can easily clear another 3K day off of my $600
Ok back to my researchComment -
Woo pissed on the money here today with 5/2 in 6 frames....Comment -
Damn...ordinarily I would just blast away on Glasnow's K's-part of me feels that he may be a victim of a managerial decision to remove him after a lower than desired pitch count...anyway-back to data miningComment -
3/30/25
Streamer of the Day
CRUMBS STREAMER POD RECORD 3-0
Tigers (Jackson Jobe) It's Safeco Field-it's the Sailors. He's starting! Hopefully his nerves won't get the best of him.
In other news-the Buccos just have Rasmussen's number. He has a stat line of a .364 AVG against wit this team and that's not good in a cookie cutter stadium with the dimensions of Yankee Stadium
Rot.#927 Cubs/A's OVER 4.5 -120 FF Brown(DNS)/Estes (DNS)
Rot.#911 Tigers+100 ML FF Jobe(#5)
Rot.#911 Tigers (Jobe #5) OVER K's NO LINE
Rot.#925 Guardians/Fathers OVER 4.5 -120 FF Ortiz (DNS)/Hart (DEAD LAST DNS)
Rot.#924 Giants/Astronauts UNDER 4.5 -115 FF Hicks(#11)/Blanco (#8) .
Rot.#902 Blunts Team Total OVER 4.5 -130 2 UNITS (Marquez (#18).368 avg/1.029 OPS vs Blunts)
Rot.#917 Buccos+0.5 -105 FF RL Mlodzinski(#27)/Rasmussen (#3)
Rot.#921 Halos+110 ML FF Anderson (#13)/ Mikolas (#23 DNS)Comment -
Added move. I saw this his use was very low and I threw down on him in my 12 teamer for a juicy price-so with that I also made a conventional move on him as well
Rot.#923 Giants+105 FF ML HicksComment -
Jackson Jobe didn't impress in his first start....and what's worse by game time it was half and half on the money so the payout wasn't going to be god even if he went for 5 frames with the 3/1...Comment -
4/1/25
STREAMER OF THE DAY
Here's to the slider being a perfect bridge pitch! Do NOT chase K's with him however-use him in deeper leagues. He is appearing on (get this) 10% of rosters. Translated there is an opportunity for a MASSIVE payday should he get me my 5 frames and 3/1 ratio. No one even knows that he is pitching in this game under the shadow of Gilbert. Make no mistake about it-Gilbert is in fact my #1 arm today (for pennies on the dollar)
Also here's a pro tip-leave Alcantara (Fish) alone and pick up a bat. With only 32 K's in 159 AB this isn't the day for use vs the Metropolitans
Tigers (Casey Mize)
Rot.#957 Tigers+0.5 -110 FF RL Mize
Rot.#957 Tigers Team Total OVER 3.5 +145
Rot.#976 Cubs/A's UNDER 4.5 -130 FF Steele/Severino
Rot.#974 Fathers Team Total OVER 4.5 +110
Rot.#971 Giants Team Total OVER 4.5 +115
Rot.#971 Giants-125 FF ML Webb
Rot.#969 Halos+120 FF ML Hendricks
Rot.#956 Pale Hose+0.5 -110 FF RL Smith
Rot.#956 Pale Hose Team Total OVER 3.5 +110
Rot.#965 Nats+0.5 -105 RL FF Williams
Rot.#959 Wanderers-0.5 -105 FF RL EovaldiComment -
Tomorrow's CRUMBS Streamer of the Day will be
(Giants)Landen Roupp
Look he was incredible during the spring and I 'm excited to see if he's valuable enough for you all to pick up on your rosters across your leagues. If you have a questionable arm on your wire-you may want to swap them out and replace them with him BEFORE the outing. Of course you have no idea who the **** I'm talking about-you're not a pro and when i spoke on the up and comers you weren't interested-all that you wanted ere whatever I was making moves on that day. but that's neither here nor there-get you some and let's pray that the awful managerial decision has him removed before he can go 5 frames and get the coveted 3-1 K/BB ratio. He's only on 7% of rosters so this will be a MASSIVE payday for me and you too if you should so choose.
Back to data mining for tomorrowComment -
4/2/25
CRUMBS STREAMER POD Landen Roupp
Rot.#921 Nats-0.5 -105 FF RL Gore
Rot.#911 Red Sox-125 FF ML Crochet
Rot.#903 Rox+1.5 -125 FF RL Freeland
Rot.#926 Giants+0.5 -105 FF RL Roupp
Rot.#929 Snakes+110 FF ML Gallen
Rot.#924 A's-115 FF ML Springs
Rot.#914 Red Leggins-0.5 -105 FF RL Greene
Rot.#917 Buccos-0.5 +115 FF RL Skenes
Rot.#915 Royals-110 FF ML Ragans
Rot.#927 Guardians+0.5 +100 FF RL LivelyLast edited by atthehalf; 04-01-25, 11:24 PM.Comment -
My Top Ten Streamers for 4/2/25
#1 Tigers (Skubal)
#2 Blunts 9Wheeler)
#3 Buccos (Skenes)
#4 Red Sox (Crochet)
#5 Fathers (Cease)
#6 Twinkies (Lopez)
#7 Royals (Ragans)
#8 Dodgers (Snell)
#9 Red Leggins (Greene)
#10 Astronauts (Valdez)Comment -
Don't chase K's with Roupp-just go for it hoping that he is around after the 5fth frame and gives you a 3/1!
Skenes has a line of 7.5 K's. he may have that by the end of the 4th frame.
Do get some-I am
Rot.#917 Buccos (Skenes) OVER 7.5 K's -115Comment -
The payout for Casey Mize last night is so large that the Commish has asked me to meet him at the Blufin to collect my earnings in person over lunch. I love me some stickball!Comment -
And when the dust settled my man gave me the go-ahead to come by his office in the morning to get a special package AGAIN for the advice for Roupp today and his 4 frames and 8 K's and everyone else in the entire league was on the Astronauts and Framber. Even though it was a managerial decision to pull him he still is going to pay me as if he went the 5 frames
Comment -
CRUMBS POD RECORD 5-1
Todays CRUMBS POD Streamer is
Orioles (Charlie Morton)
Appearing on only 13% of rosters this is clearly a cash grab. And his numbers vs the Red Sox aren't overwhelming. but they are decent as ****. 71 AB; 18 K, 7 BB, .225 AVG, .295 OBP, .296 SLG, .591 OPS. The mere fact that he has a 10.80 ERA and is FAVORED means that for the most part the homework has already been done for you. Morton is your typical middling arm. There's a chance for a quality start and win here even in the conventional sense of betting as he has a dynamite offense to help out if he is terrible today. You guys are after conventional sides and totals moves-I am not. I am a cold blooded fantasy league sharp who's out for large sums of cash. It is quite common that I can have a losing day with conventional sides and totals and make a HUGE profit streaming. Hell I gotta go pick up another envelope this morning from the Commish at his office (and pick up a few summons and complaints to serve) for Roupp!
I have Carrasco (Bombers) ranked dead last today, and when Merrill Kelly has a .180 AVG, .240 OBP, .348 SLG, and .588 OPS vs the Bombers I am not afraid to go against the joes and take the Snakes yet again. I hate relievers so as per the usual I am going FF with this.
If you are chilling in a league where you can only go after K's then Brown vs Ryan may be your game for a combo. One of them is going to scorch the earth so 11 or 12 is actually not as high a number for a comb as you may think
Ok so here are the goods for today
Rot.#951 Rox/Blunts OVER 5.5 +100 FF Senzatela#9 DNS/Walker#8 DNS
Rot.#956 Orioles-105 ML FF Morton#4
Rot.#958 Astronauts/Twinkies UNDER 3.5 +100 FF Brown#2/Ryan#1
Rot.#959 Snakes+105 Kelly#5Comment -
Just picked up some Lodolo. Any time that I see an arm that I have at a higher rank and is an underdog-I am on it, I have Cortes#6 and Lodolo#3
Rot.#953 Red Leggins+100 Lodolo#3Comment -
Tylor Megill (Metropolitans) is on only 10% of rosters for tomorrow vs Jays.
He looked SO GOOD in his last start and I'm being a bit aggressive here to showcase how he should be picked up just for the chance that he keeps it going. If he does-this may be the breakout pick of the year. No joke. is it a big IF? Kinda yeah...
Nice spot to put down a cool $600 boys on him. May bring back north of over 4 dimes for me with a nice 5 frames and 3/1 ratio and a split of a 90% pot.
Grab him NOW and don't tell anyoneComment -
Despite the runs surrendered(which mean absolutely nothing in my league) Charlie Morton is off to a 8 K 2 BB start and here he is in the 5th frameComment -
Morton with the 10 K's and 2 BB over 5 frames! Excellent!Comment -
Still data mining this morning. I am looking to perfect the way that I intersect fantasy league baseball with traditional sides and totals moves. I am 3/4 of the way to looking over results both good and bad and in a few hours I should have my formula.
In the meantime one thing is for certain-my streamers of the day will stay intact and be a big part of how I operate going forward
Rot.#922 Metropolitans-0.5 FF -105 Megill 2 UNITSComment -
Tyler Mahle#16 (Wanderers) is on only 2% of rosters facing Zack Littell #20; and the Wanderers have an OPS of 1.133 against him. Mahle has only faced 2 of the rays hitters so he will be abit of a mystery-let's hope it lasts long enough to get through those 5 frames and give me a sneaky good payday on a 98% share should he get the 3/1 to go along with it.
I have Fedde ranked at #19 and Beuhler at #22 so there's a higher dog, Nick Martinez is also a higher ranked dog.
Luzardo has a 50% K and 41.9% whiff rate. that's hard to ignore-even if it is against the Champs. Hey at least Freddy Freeman will be sitting this one out which may help matters some.
One of the ways that I found while data mining is to take the Team total OVER for teams with a 1.100 or more OPS against the pitcher that they are facing. This is true for Littell vs the Wanderers and for
Rot.#919 Cardinals+0.5 -120 FF RL Fedde (HD)
Rot.#922 Metropolitans-0.5 +105 Megill 2 UNITS CRUMBS POD
Rot.#916 Wanderers Team Total OVER 4.5 +105
Rot.#909 Red Leggins-105 FF ML Martinez (HD)
Rot.#904 Blunts (Luzardo) OVER 5.5 K's -105
Rot.#916 Wanderers-0.5 -105 RL FF MahleComment