CK's 2025 MLB Thread

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With 5 frames 7K's and 2 walks Rea has assured me to have a large chunk of cash regardless if every move I made doesn't win. Now let's root home Jake Irvin and get the envelope stuffed even more

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4/26/25


Rot.#923 Astronauts-137 Valdez
Rot.#915 Orioles+100 Young (Game 1)
Rot.#921 Red Sox-105 Buehler (GAME 2)
Rot.#926 Giants-115 Ray
Rot.#907 Metropolitans-1.5 -115 RL Holmes
Rot.#914 Bombers-0.5 -135 FF RL Fried
Rot.#909 Braves+100 Holmes
Rot.#927 Rays+131 Pepiot
Rot.#930 Sailors-0.5 +110 FF RL Castillo
Rot.#903 Red Leggins (Greene) OVER 7.5 K's -105
Rot.#903 Red Leggins/Rox OVER 10.5

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Hoping like hell that Jake Irvin is done for the evening with 7 frames and 4 K's and 1 walk that would be fantastic!

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Whew! Just in time. They yanked Irvin after 1 hit in the 7th and poppa got a brand new bag!

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Ok so for today my CRUMBS Streamer is

Royals( Michael Wacha)-His numbers vs the Astronauts are respectable and on top of that he is only on 18% of rosters making for another big payday-tho maybe not as big as the last two.

Whatever the case may be with him Brandon Young (orioles) only has 1% of rostership and on top of that I drafted him so the crumbs will be busting pockets should he make it 5 frames and 3/1 K/W.

Also-hey those Hard Rock rooting interest purchase orders are working pretty good-I didn't se the Nats doing what they did but hey that's why those sportsbook types know more than we common men do-although I would kick their asses in fantasy with no problem.

I will post those Hard Rock rooting interest moves later on when I get them

[atthehalf]

Ok so I got the call for a few of them for EARLY

Red Sox/Guardians UNDER 7.5 GAME 1 Houck/Lively
Red Sox/Guardians OVER 8 GAME 2 Buehler/Nikhazy
Astronauts/Royals UNDER 7.5 Valdez/Wacha
Giants-135 Ray

BIG BETTORS are steaming up the Tigers line for Game 1

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I suggest going with 2 UNITS for the Astronauts/Royals UNDER 7.5

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Just 1 UNIT for the Tigers-that line is obese

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Also Jays/Bombers game has ben postponed-be sure to get your money back from your sources

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I still stuck with my Orioles for game 1 BTW, So hoping like hell that Young can go the 5 frames I need

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That first total is going to go to HELL with Houck and Lively getting absolutely SHELLED. I had those two as DNS arms. I like to look deeply off into arms. My research gave me edges. The moves that I made last night and published here and got monitored at The Action Network show that I usually make my moves much more earlier than most. I am looking for streamer value y'all. that's my bread and butter.

That stated the book back moves have been hitting a a good clip. If I could do away with the slew of one run losses (almost 30) I would have an incredible record for conventional stuff

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Also I would bet OUT of the other Red Sox/Guardians TITAL-it's rare for both games in a doubleheader to go over or both to go UNDER

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LIVE BET

Halos+140 Kikuchi

Twinkies are 0-13 vs lefties on streak!

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NBA Hoops

Thunder-15.5 LARGE

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Young went down in flames-only 4.2 frames and 6 K's and 5 walks. Darn..

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ON our discord there was a big to do about what's wrong with the Orioles-and it was unearthed that their starting pitching sucks. BTW Charlie Morton is playing baseball later on today LOL!

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Kikuhci is stinking up the joint today here!

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Welp time to go! Gotta help my friend take down his booth at the farmers' market and hang out and watch some NBA playoffs thereafter.

I am

Thunder-15.5
Nuggets+6.5
Warriors ML

[atthehalf]

Looking for good CRUMBS opportunities with Hicks (10%) and Meyer (now 65% rostership but a DRAFT by me so I get all CRUMBS 99%), I still rostered Leiter while he was out with the blister and found some bats. He's another guy that I drafted and so I am in line for a crisp 99% share should he get me the golden 5/3/1/K/W


My xwOBA stat mentions are directly balanced for historic and expected performance vs the opposing teams hitters

4/27/25

Rot.#972 Twinkies (Ryan) OVER 6.5 k'S -145(Halos#8 in K's/Ryan K's 33.3% of Halos faced)
Rot.#953 Brews-110 ML FF (Quintana xwOBA .237!) (Fedde .432 xwOBA)
Rot.#977 Fish+130 ML FF (Meyers) CRUMBS POD
Rot.#977 Fish (Meyers) OVER 6.5 K's +115(SEA #7 in K's/Meyers AVG 6.2 K's)
Rot.#976 Wanderers/Giants UNDER 4.5 -130 FF (Leiter (xwOBA.230) Hicks (xwOBA .245)
Rot.#969 Astronauts/Royals OVER 7.5 -105 (Brown .337 xwOBA)/Bubic xwOBA .395)
Rot.#967 Orioles/Tigers OVER 7.5 -105 (Kremer xwOBA .378/ Skubal xwOBA .352)
Rot.#979 Rays/Fathers OVER 7.5 -120 (Littell xwOBA .373/Vasquez xwOBA .494)
Rot.#955 Red Leggins/Rox OVER 10.5 -130(Lodolo xwOBA .383/Feltner .369 xwOBA)
Rot.#951 Metropolitans/Nats OVER 8.5 +100 (Megill xwOBA .318/Parker xwOBA .459)
Rot.#964 Bombers-0.5 -135 FF RL (Fried xwOBA .274/Gausman xwOBA .365)

[atthehalf]

I will fill in the K's numbers that I get and also I will publish the rooting interests of Hard Rock when I get the call

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Ah man! I just learned some GAME from the counterperson at the Hard Rock. What a wonderful call-he just gave me a subset for parlays (which I NEVER do). I won't divulge the recipe because I was told not to but here is the first one. I am nicknaming them "good source" parlays LOL

GOOD SOURCE PARLAY +404 ODDS

Rot.#972 Twinkies-150 ML Ryan
Rot.#964 Bombers-185 ML Fried
Rot.#968 Tigers-200 ML Skubal
Rot.#958 Dodgers-325 ML Glasnow

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K's info has been added to the big board. I will be along later on to add in the moves that hard Rock is rooting for

[atthehalf]

OK so here's the rooting interest of the Hard Rock early games so far

EARLY SIDES

Braves-110 ML
Nats+125 ML'
Rox+125 ML and +1.5 -130 RL
Fish+125 ML
Twinkies-172 ML
Rays+104

EARLY TOTALS

Orioles/Tigers OVER 7.5
Halos/Twinkies UNDER 7.5
Wanderers/Giants UNDER 8

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Oh I forgot one

Also

Rays+104

I already updated it

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I am excited to see Logan Evans debut today for the Sailors, I had the misfortune of whiffing on drafting him as someone beat me to the punch but despite that there will be plenty of meat left on the bone if he gets to cooking. You don't know who he is and that's okay. I hope that there are many others like you with that being the case !

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Ah man..... well this one goes AGAINST my offering. Here's another reporting

Astronauts/Royals UNDER 7.5 -120

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One total that I was looking at but didn't make a move on is the Brews/Cardinals OVER 8. Neither pitcher is a K pitcher to say the least and both teams are sort of middle of the pack when it comes to being k'd up-translated there will be a lot of balls put in play and it's anyone's guess as to where they will land. The Brews are on the verge of being swept and it's moving day-so they will have a lot of motivation for this one.....just an idle thought...

Anyway in NBA Playoffs I am

Pacers+4.5
Pacers/Bucks OVER 226.5

The Pacers won't win a low scoring game-or even be there at the finish line-this one has to get up there for them to cover

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Possible bet out for the Pacers-in the event that the line remains Bucks-3.5 i will go in that direction with the ML for the Bucks-stay tuned

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I just grabbed some

Bucks-160 ML

Looking for a MIDDLE

To go along with my TOTAL

[atthehalf]

Ah man! I just learned some GAME from the counterperson at the Hard Rock. What a wonderful call-he just gave me a subset for parlays (which I NEVER do). I won't divulge the recipe because I was told not to but here is the first one. I am nicknaming them "good source" parlays LOL

GOOD SOURCE PARLAY +404 ODDS

Rot.#972 Twinkies-150 ML Ryan
Rot.#964 Bombers-185 ML Fried
Rot.#968 Tigers-200 ML Skubal
Rot.#958 Dodgers-325 ML Glasnow

This hit. I am overjoyed to learn about this new thing the Good Source Parlays LOL!

I will check back tomorrow-although I don't see anything except one game that may qualify for the criteria

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Wow! Just doing some mining and found that Nick Martinez has a xwOBA of .489 for today vs the Cardinals. Since the public is all over the Red Leggins in this game I am gonna wait it out before I pound the Cardinals and see if I can get a sweeter number. Pallante has only 6% ownership so this would put me in line for a huge payday with the golden 5/3/1/K/W

The Guardians are in a good spot today also catching the Twinkies on the road off of a long and very successful homestand. Ober has been having all sorts of problems. The left handed lineup of the Guardians suits him fine with his elite changeup allowing the lagging cutter and slider to take a backseat. Gavin Williams however is in good form right now with all of his secondaries working to dazzling perfection. Should be good-only thing is that these teams have faced one another so much that one would be inclined to take either of these teams when they are at home and favored by more than -122-looke like it's the Guardians today-of course I will wait it out.

The Orioles are in a good spot facing Will Warren who may just be the guy to help them get well and start getting some hits again. I would take Sugano any day over Warren

Bryce Elder .389 xwOBA, Feltner .395 xwOBA....ladies and gentlemen this one is going way over the total

I will be back later on with what I end up blasting away on and also update my monitored record (The Action Network) at the end of the day