No Run in the 1st Inning.

**mac miller** · 05-16-11, 01:34 PM

love the stats writeup for tex v. chw.. gonna look into it now

**stc9357** · 05-16-11, 01:36 PM

I went back and checked the stats on SOX/TEX game and I like it myself might play the AZ one really small.

**Nova0387** · 05-16-11, 01:46 PM

Hey what do you guys think about No score in the NYY/TB game...My only concern would be burnett because he has given up a 1st inning run to TB in his last 2 starts against them but TB has only scored a first inning run 1 of their last 10 games

Burnett's whip -1.12 (0.95 L3)

Price whip - 1.06 (1.05 L3)

**mac miller** · 05-16-11, 01:52 PM

OFFICIAL PLAY:

TEX V. CHW NO RUN 1ST INNING (-130) 3X

and jeez, the juice on the 10pm games are ridiculous and its only 2:50pm...

laa v. oak no run (-155)
mil v. lad no run (-145)
min v. sea no run (-160)

woww

**70kgman** · 05-16-11, 01:59 PM

Originally posted by Nova0387

Hey what do you guys think about No score in the NYY/TB game...My only concern would be burnett because he has given up a 1st inning run to TB in his last 2 starts against them but TB has only scored a first inning run 1 of their last 10 games

Burnett's whip -1.12 (0.95 L3)

Price whip - 1.06 (1.05 L3)

New York have by far the best 1st inning OBA in all of MLB. Tough to take No in games involving them.

**Nova0387** · 05-16-11, 02:09 PM

Yeah I feel ya, but i think there's value especially with it being at Tropicana where Price is 2-0 with a 1.59 era aginst NYY and the yanks might still be thinking about that sweep. I'm def leaning making it a small play. The yanks just have some much drama around them and aren't swinging the bats incredible right. I def do agree with you on it making it tougher since it's against the yanks but I feel there's value so i'll most likely be on it.

**Nova0387** · 05-16-11, 02:12 PM

Also Burnett has dominated TB for the most part he's 6-2 with a 1.64 in his last 8 at Tropicana

**stc9357** · 05-16-11, 02:12 PM

Originally posted by Nova0387

Yeah I feel ya, but i think there's value especially with it being at Tropicana where Price is 2-0 with a 1.59 era aginst NYY and the yanks might still be thinking about that sweep. I'm def leaning making it a small play. The yanks just have some much drama around them and aren't swinging the bats incredible right. I def do agree with you on it making it tougher since it's against the yanks but I feel there's value so i'll most likely be on it.

I had looked into every 7 pm game and that was the reason I disqualified that one Yanks bats they ****** me last night with Lester not going to happen again.

**mac miller** · 05-16-11, 02:28 PM

stc and 70kg, whats your thoughts on the phi v. stl game?

**CanuckG** · 05-16-11, 02:33 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

Here is a quick briefing of some of the relavent numbers...

-----------------

Lewis - 1st inning - 1.29 ERA / 0.86 WHIP / Allowed 1st inning run 1 of 7 starts

Jackson - 1st inning - Allowed 1st inning run 1 of 8 starts

TEX - .295 1st inning OBA (4th worst in AL), .200 1st inning BA (3rd worst in AL), no 1st inning run in 4 of last 5 games

CHW - Scored 1st inning run just once in last 24 games

----------------

Galaraga - 1st inning - Allowed 1st inning run 1 of 7 starts

Richard - 1st inning stats aren't great, but ERA/WHIP/BA are still much better than his overall numbers in those categories

SD - .270 OBA and .196 BA in 1st inning (both worst in NL) / Scored 1st inning run just twice in last 20 games

ARI - Scored 1st inning Run just twice in last 13 games.

I am a little nervous that Arizona's first 3 batters are a combined 10 for 21 off Richard in their career, but I still see plenty of value there at +100 taking everything else in consideration.

I can see Arizona coming out fast. Public (83%) pounding under but total is rising could lead for early fireworks to start the game.

**Nova0387** · 05-16-11, 02:43 PM

Stc...How come you took the ML in the Marlins 1st5 instead of taking .5 for the 1st 5...I'm asking because it's basically the same thing right? n the Juice on the ML is 155 now but rl is -110...Jw

**70kgman** · 05-16-11, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by mac miller

stc and 70kg, whats your thoughts on the phi v. stl game?

Both the pitchers have great 1st inning numbers, but Philly have the best 1st inning average in all of MLB, and St. Louis have scored a 1st inning run in 7 of their last 14 games. So they kind of counteract each other. Don't really see much value there at anything over -110 imo.

**stc9357** · 05-16-11, 03:00 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

Both the pitchers have great 1st inning numbers, but Philly have the best 1st inning average in all of MLB, and St. Louis have scored a 1st inning run in 7 of their last 14 games. So they kind of counteract each other. Don't really see much value there at anything over -110 imo.

This which is why I locked FLA/MET in Pelfrey has only given up first inning runs in two of his 8 starts and Johnson has only give up one in 8 starts.

**stc9357** · 05-16-11, 03:13 PM

Originally posted by Nova0387

Stc...How come you took the ML in the Marlins 1st5 instead of taking .5 for the 1st 5...I'm asking because it's basically the same thing right? n the Juice on the ML is 155 now but rl is -110...Jw

Why not on the rl because I like the option of them being tied and I get a push will always play the ml most likely except when circumstances permit it like yesterday with Washington -1.5 and -2.5 I need they would rout them.

**ScoreLess_1st** · 05-16-11, 03:26 PM

have you guys seen the numbers the opposing hitters have against Lewis and Jackson in the game you guys like. Sick high batting averages. Scroll down on the right

Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox Live Coverage, Stats, and Updates - May 16, 2011 Gametracker

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/preview/MLB_20110516_TEX@CHW

CBS Sports brings you live coverage, scoring, expert picks and stats for the MLB matchup between Texas Rangers and Chicago White Sox on May 16, 2011

**mac miller** · 05-16-11, 04:28 PM

doesn't seem like any other plays that I am going to play tonight besides the 3 games at 10pm. Going to have to see if i Im gonna narrow it down to 1 play or play all 3 at same wager considering how im doing a chase system for this week

**DemoralizdDreamr** · 05-16-11, 05:14 PM

Originally posted by mac miller

and jeez, the juice on the 10pm games are ridiculous and its only 2:50pm...

laa v. oak no run (-155)
mil v. lad no run (-145)
min v. sea no run (-160)

woww

Yeah the price is hella high for these games. Cant believe it. -160

**Nova0387** · 05-16-11, 05:58 PM

Hope someone tailed my NYY/TB...easy $$$...BOL rest of the night guys, let's get it!

**FreddDS** · 05-16-11, 06:04 PM

2 mins to get your bets in on Toronto/Detroit! Drabek hasn't allowed a 1st inning run all season, and Scherzer has only allowed a 1st inning run in 1 of his starts so far this season. Get your bet in quick!

**Nova0387** · 05-16-11, 06:17 PM

Originally posted by FreddDS

2 mins to get your bets in on Toronto/Detroit! Drabek hasn't allowed a 1st inning run all season, and Scherzer has only allowed a 1st inning run in 1 of his starts so far this season. Get your bet in quick!

I missed this one...GL to you tho my man!

**FreddDS** · 05-16-11, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by Nova0387

I missed this one...GL to you tho my man!

Loss.

I guess Drabek's streak had to end eventually.

**playr101** · 05-16-11, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by Nova0387

Hope someone tailed my NYY/TB...easy $$$...BOL rest of the night guys, let's get it!

good call..

-playr101

**mac miller** · 05-16-11, 06:43 PM

update:

leaning heavily on Min v. Sea no run and Laa v. Oak no run... may stay away from mil v. lad no run

**Pew Pew** · 05-16-11, 06:46 PM

Line for the CWS/TEX doesn't make sense at all.

**mac miller** · 05-16-11, 06:50 PM

Originally posted by Pew Pew

Line for the CWS/TEX doesn't make sense at all.

how so?

**Pew Pew** · 05-16-11, 06:55 PM

It was at -105 at the time I posted that, but it changed to -130 as I was about to submit my wager. Figures lol

**mac miller** · 05-16-11, 06:59 PM

yeah my bookie had it fluctuating between -125 to -130 so not nearly as bad as yours lol... that sucks though should of placed it earlier

**shannoneh34** · 05-16-11, 07:06 PM

Just called The Greek and they said that they have gotten rid of the 1st inning prop for Will there be a score

**DemoralizdDreamr** · 05-16-11, 07:10 PM

Originally posted by shannoneh34

Just called The Greek and they said that they have gotten rid of the 1st inning prop for Will there be a score

WTF

My brother, change your book. Chek out pinny
This is a long year and a lot of money to be made. Its only been 6 weeks. Screw the Greek.

**mac miller** · 05-16-11, 07:29 PM

TEX V. CHW NICE HIT +3 UNITS.. ALL CREDIT TO 70KGMAN FOR PROVIDING A NICE STATS WRITEUP

LAST PLAY:
MIN V. SEA NO RUN 1ST INNING (-155) 3X

gl

**stc9357** · 05-16-11, 07:35 PM

Adding: SFO To Score 1st (+110) (2x)

**NO RUN KING** · 05-16-11, 07:39 PM

I have been following this forum for a while now and i absolutely love it....mad props to MAC, 70 and SCT...you guys r for real.....lets keep the momentum going and cash in those NO runs!

**NO RUN KING** · 05-16-11, 07:41 PM

NO RUN (Sea/Min) 3x
NO RUN (Laa/OAK) 2x.........great win for FLA/NYM and TEX/CHW

**ThaTopMoron** · 05-16-11, 07:58 PM

2-0 tonight. I missed the 7 games.

2-0 with CWS - TEX and then went small on COL - SF

the degen in me is gonna force me to bet one of the 10 games

**Nova0387** · 05-16-11, 08:17 PM

The juice is so ******* high on the Angels game n the M's...which one do you guys like more?