Plays based off ESPN Streak for the Cash

**0hndycp** · 04-19-11, 03:58 PM

funny, have noticed same thing. maybe keep an eye on it for a few days

**Petenana15** · 04-19-11, 03:59 PM

I know exactly what you mean. I would be interested in the percentage in this theory when it is all said and done.

It happens all the time in soccer games. Many times when I pick a game when I am not on a streak I just pick the next one available and go with the public. More times than not I log back in and see a loser.

**pattymayo** · 04-19-11, 04:06 PM

I knew Man U played this afternoon, got on the computer around 2:30pm, saw that they were 95% faves on Streak and immedateily bet Newcastle +1. Easiest $ I ever made.

The key is picking the right game, but this will prove profitable. I'm going to start tracking tonight

**All Day 8** · 04-19-11, 04:14 PM

I know what you mean but yesterday there were two soccer games (Odense BK win/draw @85.6% and Villarreal Win 95.5%) that won. But I often base my picks on opposite of the HEAVY favorites. I am at a W3 so it's not doing very well lol.

**pattymayo** · 04-19-11, 05:49 PM

4/19: First Official Play
Toronto Blue Jays +100 ($30 to win $30)

As expected the Yanks now with 92.3% of all picks. No A-Rod in the lineup really hurts NY (I'm a huge Yankee fan). Yanks have never seen Drabek before, and that's usually disaster for the Bombers.

Other play I'm looking at is Portland Trail Blazers tonight, getting just 18%. If I make it an official play it won't be ML, instead I'll take the points. Stay tuned.

Also eyeing the Chicago Blackhawks, at just 29%. I know zero about hockey so it won't be an official play, just a system-test play.

**yisman** · 04-19-11, 07:25 PM

most people just picking bigger name/better record

**pattymayo** · 04-19-11, 10:11 PM

Originally posted by pattymayo

4/19: First Official Play
Toronto Blue Jays +100 ($30 to win $30)

As expected the Yanks now with 92.3% of all picks. No A-Rod in the lineup really hurts NY (I'm a huge Yankee fan). Yanks have never seen Drabek before, and that's usually disaster for the Bombers.

Other play I'm looking at is Portland Trail Blazers tonight, getting just 18%. If I make it an official play it won't be ML, instead I'll take the points. Stay tuned.

Also eyeing the Chicago Blackhawks, at just 29%. I know zero about hockey so it won't be an official play, just a system-test play.

1-0 with the Blue Jays winning in the 10th.

Blackhawks also won easily, and Portland leads at halftime.

SF Giants also up three runs in the Top 9th as I type this.

So far so good with this system.. let's see what square picks we have on the board to fade for tomorrow.

**pattymayo** · 04-21-11, 09:55 AM

I was stuck at work all day yesterday and missed all the plays.. oh well, today's a new day.

A few potential plays today-- the first is the Arizona Diamondbacks (12.4%) over the Cincinnati Reds(87.6%). Now I'm usually hesitant on these plays, simply because Arizona won the first two and a sweep in Cincy is extremely rare for them. However, we have the shoplifter Mike Leake on the mound for Cincy, and the squares on Streak are all over the Reds. Gotta think the guy who makes $425K this year and is ripping off $60 T-Shirts at the local mall won't have his "A" game today.

Might make it a play.. stay tuned.

**pattymayo** · 04-21-11, 11:33 AM

Play 2: Arizona Diamondbacks +117

Locked in the D-Backs for the sweep. ESPN Streak Squares all over the Reds, but we will fade the Shoplifter and take 'Zona.

**Holtgetsback** · 04-21-11, 12:10 PM

Interesting strategy hope you dont fade your way into an old folks home

**terrortwylight** · 04-21-11, 01:48 PM

love this thread

**pattymayo** · 04-21-11, 01:59 PM

This one looks like a loser. Should have used my better judgement and realized Cincy would avoid the sweep. Oh well.

I'm taking a stab at the Atlanta Braves at +130 in about 15min. They are getting just 31.7% to the Dodgers 68.3%.. I usually only play more unbalanced %'s, but I like the Braves in this spot anyway.

Atlanta Braves +130, play #3. 1-1 so far, I'm calling the D-Backs a loser

**DemoralizdDreamr** · 04-21-11, 02:11 PM

comeback time. Tying runs at bat and my under 11.5 is about to get fuked.

**pattymayo** · 04-21-11, 02:13 PM

Other potential plays tonight:

As expected, Indiana Pacers have just a 3.8% to the Chicago Derrick Rose's 96.2%. Down 2-0 and only 4 point dogs a win here for Indy wouldn't even be that much of an upset IMO.. but of course, the squares on ESPN Streak love the Bulls and 96% is expected. Might make it play, but for sure would take the points if I do.

San Diego Padres are getting just 3.4% to the Phillies 96.6%.. despite the Phillies recent struggles, the ESPN community still loves them. The Fathers certainly could be a play tonight.

And lastly, we have the LA Kings down 2-1 at home in their series to the San Jose Sharks... I know zip about hockey, but that also could be a play. Stay tuned boys

**sLim901** · 04-21-11, 02:20 PM

someone did this last year at the rx, he only considered it a play at 90% or higher, and for a stretch it showed pretty decent profit. But like alot of other things, it started to break out even and even started losing some so it was abandoned.

good luck anyways

**LLXC** · 04-21-11, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by sLim901

someone did this last year at the rx, he only considered it a play at 90% or higher, and for a stretch it showed pretty decent profit. But like alot of other things, it started to break out even and even started losing some so it was abandoned.

good luck anyways

Will probably be close to 50/50 long term...

**yisman** · 04-21-11, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by DemoralizdDreamr

comeback time. Tying runs at bat and my under 11.5 is about to get fuked.

You survived.

By the way:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/978645-streak-cash-dogs.html

samgurt didn't track it for long, but I believe it's a more effective system than betting based on percentages/public perception.

**pattymayo** · 04-21-11, 05:39 PM

Thanks for posting that thread yisman.

Hoping the Braves can pull this one out in extras... eyeing plays tonight, stay tuned

**pattymayo** · 04-21-11, 05:43 PM

Pacers are certainly a play tonight. The Chicago Derrick Rose's are getting 94.7%, everyone loves them. I don't have the balls to take them on the ML, but I do have the balls to bite on the +4.5.

Play Four: Indiana Pacers +4.5
Record- 1-1 (with Atlanta Braves pending)

**Sawyer** · 04-21-11, 05:46 PM

Interesting stuff here. GL Patty!

**pattymayo** · 04-21-11, 06:01 PM

So I bought the hook, paid the juice, and locked in Indiana Pacers +5 (-125) $125 to win $100.

This Braves game in the 12th now.. come on!

**pattymayo** · 04-21-11, 08:58 PM

Great teams win, but good teams cover. Thanks Streak for pointing out the Pacers. Didn't think they would win SU, but covering is just as good for a degen like me.

2-2 record now.

Late plays-- Padres getting just 6% on the Streak, at +108, they are certainly a play.

Another interesting play is the total in the Mavs/Blazers game... Streak has the Prop Under 184 points, getting just 14.3% of the action. The real line is 188, so Under 188 is the play here.

**yisman** · 04-21-11, 09:02 PM

SftC covers totals pretty well. We've discussed this in the streak thread. When a number is off by a few points, bet with the SftC way (like here, you'd be betting under, regardless of percentages).

**Sawyer** · 04-22-11, 03:58 AM

Patty, Chicago was a play last night? Everybody (including me) was on Vancouver last night.

**yisman** · 04-22-11, 09:55 AM

The matchup was too lopsided in terms of odds to be on sftc.