1st Inning Stats and Betting

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  • thebonzman
    SBR Rookie
    • 05-06-11
    • 47

    #106
    Thanks for the effort!
    Comment
    • SamWise
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 08-16-10
      • 833

      #107
      not gonna be able to put the 12:00 pm ET games.
      Comment
      • Timmah2483
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-25-10
        • 610

        #108
        Yea I'm not going to be able to put in 12 game or 12:30. Should have 1oclock games tho
        Comment
        • jnsbanman
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-08-11
          • 526

          #109
          For those interested for Bos/Cle - Combined RPI scored .94, Combined RPI allowed .76, combined NO average 66.6% but indians pitcher only has 2 starts this year.
          Comment
          • doubledime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-22-09
            • 9751

            #110
            Originally posted by Timmah2483
            Yea I'm not going to be able to put in 12 game or 12:30. Should have 1oclock games tho
            For what's worth, I don't see either of those first 2 games a play.
            Comment
            • Timmah2483
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-25-10
              • 610

              #111
              Covered up at work not gonna be able to drop 1:00 games either,

              doubledime it's all u, if u have any research
              Comment
              • SamWise
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-16-10
                • 833

                #112
                how do you find this info?
                woud like to know
                Comment
                • doubledime
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-22-09
                  • 9751

                  #113
                  Sorry don't have enough time to do the 1:05 games. Next time just give me a little notice and I'll be glad to help out if I can.
                  Comment
                  • skyscrapers
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-02-11
                    • 6151

                    #114
                    I took WSH/MIL no runs because Jason Marquis only 3 of his 9 starts yielded a 1st inning run and that's back in Apr. while Zack Greinke yielded a run in 1 of his 4 starts but that's the very first game back from injury.
                    Comment
                    • SamWise
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-16-10
                      • 833

                      #115
                      Scoreeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!
                      Cash!
                      Comment
                      • skyscrapers
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 05-02-11
                        • 6151

                        #116
                        Damn...5 of the 6 morning games have a 1st inning score
                        Comment
                        • dee_jas
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-09-08
                          • 760

                          #117
                          does you wager stand for the 1st Inning if there's a pitchers change to the orignal pitchers.
                          Comment
                          • Timmah2483
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-25-10
                            • 610

                            #118
                            Dee_jas, not if it was changed pre-game. if there is an injury then yes.
                            Comment
                            • Timmah2483
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-25-10
                              • 610

                              #119
                              OK, Back to Business!

                              Record; 26-14 +6.4 Units

                              Cardinals (Carpenter: 6-no 4-YES)
                              Padres (Latos: 3-no 5-YES) THE PLAY IS YES, RUNS
                              Comment
                              • doubledime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-22-09
                                • 9751

                                #120
                                Remember: They are not Tim's plays, and his plays have a better record!! He just lets me use my filters on his thread.

                                The only two I see tonight are:

                                KC/Balt NO
                                Oak/LAA NO

                                Both IMO are very solid

                                Good luck to all
                                Last edited by doubledime; 05-26-11, 06:02 AM.
                                Comment
                                • Timmah2483
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-25-10
                                  • 610

                                  #121
                                  wrong color above... Cards/Pads above should read... THE PLAY IS YES, RUNS

                                  Continued....

                                  Reds (Wood: 7-NO 3-yes)
                                  Phillies (Halladay: 9-NO 1-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

                                  Royals (Hochevar: 7-NO 3-yes)
                                  Orioles (Arietta: 9-NO 1-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

                                  Mets (Gee: 7-NO 1-yes)
                                  Cubs (Coleman: 6-NO 1-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

                                  Dbacks (Kennedy: 8-no 2-YES)
                                  Rockies (Hammel: 5-no 4-YES) THE PLAY IS YES, RUNS

                                  Marlins (Volstad: 5-NO 3-yes)
                                  Giants (Bumgarner: 9-NO 0-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS

                                  A's (Cahill 9-NO 1-yes)
                                  Angels (Santana: 9-NO 1-yes) THE PLAY IS NO RUNS
                                  Comment
                                  • Timmah2483
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-25-10
                                    • 610

                                    #122
                                    Cards/Padres already a WINNER!
                                    Comment
                                    • Timmah2483
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-25-10
                                      • 610

                                      #123
                                      I know what I said yesterday, But I truely like every play left today! I played Cards/Padres, and Im playing the rest!
                                      Comment
                                      • doubledime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-22-09
                                        • 9751

                                        #124
                                        Thanks Tim

                                        After posting your info I am adding:

                                        Mets/Cubs NO
                                        DBacks/Rockies YES

                                        Thanks and BOL with your plays
                                        Comment
                                        • Timmah2483
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-25-10
                                          • 610

                                          #125
                                          GL!
                                          Comment
                                          • Timmah2483
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-25-10
                                            • 610

                                            #126
                                            Cards/Padres YES +130 W
                                            Reds/Phillies NO -155 L
                                            KC/Orioles NO -135 W
                                            Cubs/Mets NO -130 L
                                            Dbacks/Rockies YES -115 L
                                            Fla/SFGiants NO -150 L
                                            A's/Angels NO -165 W

                                            3-4 (- 2.2 Units)
                                            Last edited by Timmah2483; 05-25-11, 10:47 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • calmeat
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-04-11
                                              • 1678

                                              #127
                                              only game i have an issue with is the dbacks/Rockies game, think that is going to be a no score.
                                              Comment
                                              • Qman1
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 09-07-09
                                                • 58

                                                #128
                                                Thanks for all the hard work Tim
                                                Comment
                                                • calmeat
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-04-11
                                                  • 1678

                                                  #129
                                                  We have early games again guys so hopefully you can get your picks up before the first game 12:35
                                                  Here are my leans hope your picks come up the same as mine
                                                  No Run Scored
                                                  CIN/PHL
                                                  FLA/SFG
                                                  CWS/TOR
                                                  BOS/DET
                                                  OAK/LAA

                                                  And Yes there will be a run scored
                                                  ARI/COL
                                                  NYM/CHC
                                                  Comment
                                                  • unclebuzz1
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 08-23-09
                                                    • 565

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Timmah2483
                                                    Yeah. that's sad, I hope pride doesn't keep them losing money.
                                                    I don't know if you still follow the other thread but after I see your next post (I assume you'll have something to say) I'm gonna stop. Check out the current SS. It's turned into ... I can't handle this long LL so I'll flat bet it until I lose 231 units then because I got lucky on a few bets, I'm gonna forget the long LL and start over with 100 units. Unreal!!!

                                                    Oh, I forgot, could you change your avatar? I could always find my posts because of the blue sky. Just kidding.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cash$bro91
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 04-16-11
                                                      • 684

                                                      #131
                                                      lets bounce back today.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jnsbanman
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-08-11
                                                        • 526

                                                        #132
                                                        Here is my interpretation of todays games

                                                        KC Bal - Combined 68% of starts = No but KC pitcher is 5-5 (N-Y). Combined 1st inning runs score .5, Allowed 1.22. Hard to choose here.

                                                        Bos Det - 2 good offensive and defensive teams here. Combined 90% No but Bos pitcher only has 1 start. Combined first inning runs scored is .99 and runs allowed is .8. Like the NO here but Aceves worries me.

                                                        Oak LAA - NO! Probably gonna be tons of juice again

                                                        Cws Tor - Combined 60% no, but Morrow is 50/50. 1st inning runs scored 1.04, allowed .92. no play for me

                                                        Cin Phi - Been burnt 3 times by these buggers... Today we got 85% No combined, runs scored 1.17, allowed 1.13. All pitching stats look good for a NO but may leave this one alone today

                                                        Nym CHC - Combined 75% no, Runs scored 1.2, allowed 1.17. Despite Dickey's questionable numbers he has a good 9-1 (N-Y) first inning record. Zambrano is 6-4 but as of late has been pitching first innings well. Staying away from this one.

                                                        Fla Sf - No almost seems a given here but No only has 40% of starts here... Sanchez had a rough start to the year and Vogelsong has only started 5 games. Combined runs scored 1.24 allowed 1.06.

                                                        Arz Col - Combined these 2 pitchers only have 4 starts so not much to build off of here, of those 4 starts No is 50/50. These 2 teams both have good numbers for scoring in the first. I say this is a yes
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Timmah2483
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-25-10
                                                          • 610

                                                          #133
                                                          I have a vacation starting today I was still gonna lay out the lines but that's done (thanks). I won't be back till Monday so everyone chip in help everybody and I'll poke in via phone and maybe lay some bets on ur research... Won't have my own. Guys have a great memorial day weekend. Hope it's profitable!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • doubledime
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-22-09
                                                            • 9751

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by Timmah2483
                                                            I have a vacation starting today I was still gonna lay out the lines but that's done (thanks). I won't be back till Monday so everyone chip in help everybody and I'll poke in via phone and maybe lay some bets on ur research... Won't have my own. Guys have a great memorial day weekend. Hope it's profitable!

                                                            Thanks Tim, enjoy your vacation.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jnsbanman
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-08-11
                                                              • 526

                                                              #135
                                                              Have a good long weekend.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #136
                                                                Thanks JSNB. In the early games my filters say:

                                                                FL/SF YES
                                                                Oak/LAA NO

                                                                BOL to all
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jnsbanman
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-08-11
                                                                  • 526

                                                                  #137
                                                                  What stats do you use to determine yes or no?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jnsbanman
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-08-11
                                                                    • 526

                                                                    #138
                                                                    I put a unit on KC Bal No... Bal not so great against lefties. and Bal pitcher 8-1 record (N-Y). Also big line movement from opening to the No from Yes.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • calmeat
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-04-11
                                                                      • 1678

                                                                      #139
                                                                      So i am trying something new to see how things work out, Using my criteria if i played all games yesterday i would have been 12-2, so going to be tracking that for a bit before i present anything.
                                                                      Im playing
                                                                      KC/Balt No score 1x

                                                                      Cinci/PHL No Score 2.5x (batters will be tired quick turnaround from late one last night will take a while for bats to wake up vs 2 good pitchers, i have been burned 3 times and havent learned my lesson yet)

                                                                      Bos/Det No Score 3x

                                                                      OAK/LAA No Score 2x

                                                                      FLA/SFG No score 1x

                                                                      CWS/TOR No Score 1x

                                                                      Ari/COl Yes score 1x
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Timmah2483
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 11-25-10
                                                                        • 610

                                                                        #140
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                                                                        this is something to consider also when Betting. A few early lineup are sitting guys, backup bats arent nearly as good.
                                                                        Comment
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