1st Inning Stats and Betting

[Bob734]

Hello, for your example duensing :

May 25 vs SEA L 3-0 = NO
May 20 @ ARI L 8-7 = NO
May 15 vs TOR L 11-3 = YES
May 7 @ BOS L 4-0 = YES
Apr 30 @ KC L 11-2 = NO
Apr 23 vs CLE W 10-3 = NO
Apr 17 @ TB W 4-2 = NO
Apr 12 vs KC W 4-3 = NO
Apr 5 @ NYY W 5-4 = YES

Result yes = 3 no =6

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/gamelog/_/id/28960/brian-duensing

For your other example Scherzer :

Apr 3 @ NYY W 10-7 = NO
Apr 8 vs KC W 5-2 = NO
Apr 13 vs TEX W 3-2 = NO
Apr 18 @ SEA W 8-3 = NO
Apr 24 vs CHW W 3-0= NO
Apr 29 @ CLE L 9-5 = NO
May 4 vs NYY W 4-0 = NO
May 9 @ TOR W 10-5= YES
May 16 vs TOR L 4-2= NO
May 21 @ PIT L 6-2 = NO
May 26 vs BOS L 14-1 = NO

Result yes =1 no=10

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/gamelog/_/id/28976/max-scherzer

[Bob734]

Tonight Plays :

NO Score 1st OAK/NYY -135
NO Score 1st SEA/BAL -140


no bet on MIN/DET and NYM/PIT for me, have a bad feel with certain stats..

BOL doubledime and all

[dmheal]

Hi Bob,

I just lost about 25 minutes fo typing a reply, so I am going to be as brief as possible.

The was I understand things using ESPN you have to pull up Duensing and then check each game for results.

I discovered after some checking my sportsdatabase query was structured wrong. It was actually telling me how many times the DEFENSIVE team did or did not score.

So using 2 steps you get the same info as doing 10 checks.

First query "season=2011 and starter=Brian Duensing and o:R=0" (opponent NO score in 1st)

Second query "season=2011 and starter=Brian Duensing and o:R>0" (opponent YES score in 1st)

I am sorry for the confusion, however if I had not said something I would have been stats that were opposite of what I wanted.

So, thanks.

Working together we should all do better.

BTW if anyone wants to find stats on the team to score first here is a query that will give you the # of games the team scored first.
season=2011 and SF and team.

You can sort, add Rot #'s and then sort by Rot # and compare the teams for Scoring First (SF)

Dean

[doubledime]

Tonight Plays :

NO Score 1st OAK/NYY -135
NO Score 1st SEA/BAL -140


no bet on MIN/DET and NYM/PIT for me, have a bad feel with certain stats..

BOL doubledime and all

I think if you get by the top of the inning in the Yankee game it should cash. Good luck tonight.

[Timmah2483]

Nice! I love how we built a nice information system here. I think everyone working together is much more effective than just 1 or 2 people giving there opinions. Someone has already entered the information per pitcher I see, so now all I need to do is bet!

Hope everyone had a great weekend. but now its back to betting some winners! Thanks everyone for keeping this running and giving your thoughts, dont stop.. The more information/stats, the better!

[thebonzman]

I think it should be
"season=2011 and starter=Brian Duensing and o:R1=0"
and
"season=2011 and starter=Brian Duensing and o:R1>0"

I added the 1 after the R to pull the first inning runs only..... at least I think that's right

[Bob734]

Hi Bob,

I just lost about 25 minutes fo typing a reply, so I am going to be as brief as possible.

The was I understand things using ESPN you have to pull up Duensing and then check each game for results.

I discovered after some checking my sportsdatabase query was structured wrong. It was actually telling me how many times the DEFENSIVE team did or did not score.

So using 2 steps you get the same info as doing 10 checks.

First query "season=2011 and starter=Brian Duensing and o:R=0" (opponent NO score in 1st)

Second query "season=2011 and starter=Brian Duensing and o:R>0" (opponent YES score in 1st)

I am sorry for the confusion, however if I had not said something I would have been stats that were opposite of what I wanted.

So, thanks.

Working together we should all do better.

BTW if anyone wants to find stats on the team to score first here is a query that will give you the # of games the team scored first.
season=2011 and SF and team.

You can sort, add Rot #'s and then sort by Rot # and compare the teams for Scoring First (SF)

Dean

No problem Dean.. Glad to see that you answered at your question about statistics

[doubledime]

Nice! I love how we built a nice information system here. I think everyone working together is much more effective than just 1 or 2 people giving there opinions. Someone has already entered the information per pitcher I see, so now all I need to do is bet!

Hope everyone had a great weekend. but now its back to betting some winners! Thanks everyone for keeping this running and giving your thoughts, dont stop.. The more information/stats, the better!

Thanks for the points Tim. Thanks for starting this thread. I think you're right. This thread really has the people working together. Looks as if some of the guys will have the first inning data base on most pitchers so we won't have to spend a million hours every day looking up each one.

[Bob734]

Today using Bob's info and my filters I played the following:

TX/TB = NO
Balt/Seattle = NO
Min/Det = NO

Houston/Cubs were a YES, but too much juice for a YES = No Play for me

BOL

Cash it doubledime , 1-1 for me this night.. love a lot of plays today.

I shall work the statistics during the day..

[Bob734]

WSH/PHI : Roy Oswalt yes=0 no=8 John Lannan yes=3 no=8

TB/TEX : Colby Lewis yes=1 no=9 David Price yes=3 no=8

BOS/CWS : Gavin Floyd yes=2 no=8 Tim Wakefield yes=2 no=2

CHC/HOU : Brett Myers yes=2 no=9 Doug Davis yes=2 no=1

OAK/NYY : A.J. Burnett yes=4 no=7 Gio Gonzalez yes=2 no=8

SEA/BAL : Brian Matusz yes=0 no=0 Michael Pineda yes=3 no=7

KC/LAA : Tyler Chatwood yes=3 no=7 Felipe Paulino yes=0 no=0

More later...

Bob

[pulse2011]

I'm appreciating your work!
Any record?

[cash$bro91]

BAL/SEA easy winner!

[jnsbanman]

I think it should be
"season=2011 and starter=Brian Duensing and o:R1=0"
and
"season=2011 and starter=Brian Duensing and o:R1>0"

I added the 1 after the R to pull the first inning runs only..... at least I think that's right

THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU for this... Makes collecting Yes/No stats 10 times faster

[jnsbanman]

My plays so far...
Tex/TB No 1 unit
Phi/Was No 1 unit
Bal/Sea No 1 unit may add more
SF/Stl No 2 Units

Waiting on lines for Min/Det

Record for those wondering 44-24 (64.7%) Since May 16 +18.6 Units

[doubledime]

Thanks Bob and jnsb

After filters so far I have:

Philly/Wash = NO
TX/TB = NO

Back later
BOL

[jnsbanman]

Little bit on the sea/bal we know pineda is a good pitcher but matusz has not started this year... last year he went a nice 25-6 on his starts... I like this match up, but the juice already starting to flow on this game get in early.

[thebonzman]

Lets cash some early games! BOL!

[jnsbanman]

[calmeat]

So i was tired of trying to compare the stats on different sheets and such for myself so i came up with something and was hoping to get input on what filters to use and what stats. Here is a pic of what im doing, and hoping to get some feedback on what other filters i can use.

[Bob734]

DET/MIN : Scott Baker yes=3 no=7 Rick Porcello yes=1 no=8

TOR/CLE : Kyle Drabek yes=2 no=9 Josh Tomlin yes=1 no=9

ATL/SD : Tommy Hanson yes=3 no=8 Clayton Richard yes=3 no=8

CIN/MIL : Mike Leake yes=1 no=6 Shaun Marcum yes=4 no=7

NYM/PIT : Chris Capuano yes=0 no=9 Kevin Correia yes=2 no=9

ARI/FLA : Daniel Hudson yes=6 no=5 Javier Vazquez yes=8 no=2

STL/SF : Tim Lincecum yes=0 no=11 Jake Westbrook yes=1 no=10

LAD/COL : Jon Garland yes=1 no=7 Ubaldo Jimenez yes=3 no=6

Card complete..
Bob..

[jnsbanman]

Of the many nice selections today what are you playing Bob?

[Bob734]

I start my record today with these early plays:

WSH/PHI NO -130 (1 unit)
BOS/CWS NO +100 (1 unit)

record : 0-0

BOL

Back later for other games..

[jnsbanman]

Strong wind out to left at Chi today

[jnsbanman]

So i was tired of trying to compare the stats on different sheets and such for myself so i came up with something and was hoping to get input on what filters to use and what stats. Here is a pic of what im doing, and hoping to get some feedback on what other filters i can use.

Oh SWEET... where did you get that from or did you build it?

[jnsbanman]

You could use the pitchers allowed batting average, and/or on base %

[Bob734]

Strong wind out to left at Chi today

At Boston man..
Boston scored on average 0.36 run in first inning at home, CWS 0.38 away..
I think Floyd will do the job.. If it fails this will be Wakefield ..

[doubledime]

Adding for the the day:

Pit/Mets = NO
SF/St. Louis = NO
Balt/Seat = NO
Minn/Det = NO

That's it.

Good luck to all

[doubledime]

Strong wind out to left at Chi today

Actually I considered that one but I'm from Chicago, and the Cubs have F**ked me so many times I tend not to have anything to do with them.

[jnsbanman]

At Boston man..

... thats what I mean lol.

Just ran the numbers on that game... looks good. hopefully the early ones finish quick. before the 1:35 starts

[doubledime]

So i was tired of trying to compare the stats on different sheets and such for myself so i came up with something and was hoping to get input on what filters to use and what stats. Here is a pic of what im doing, and hoping to get some feedback on what other filters i can use.

I like what you are doing here. Some of the filters I use are umpires, ballpark, right/left pitcher batter stats etc. I don't really know how you could incorporate them into you page. Good luck with it.

[jnsbanman]

What parks are deemed "Hitters" parks... I know philly is, and where can one find if a pitcher is generally a flyball pitcher or ground ball?

[calmeat]

Oh SWEET... where did you get that from or did you build it?

Building it myself, just trying to quicken my research for each game and hopefully find the golden formula to make millions haha.

[jnsbanman]

Very nice looking... isnt that why we are all here lol

[Bob734]

What parks are deemed "Hitters" parks... I know philly is, and where can one find if a pitcher is generally a flyball pitcher or ground ball?

You can find this info here : http://www.fangraphs.com/players.aspx

[thebonzman]

So i was tired of trying to compare the stats on different sheets and such for myself so i came up with something and was hoping to get input on what filters to use and what stats. Here is a pic of what im doing, and hoping to get some feedback on what other filters i can use.

SHUT THE FRONT DOOR! Looks great!