UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko (July 23, 2016)

[firekillex]

Glad I took Valentina at +275 , sucks I only put half a unit though

both look fresh should be a solid final 2 rounds I got Valentina 2-1

[Ty$]

Valentinas winning, people betting on Holm should consider betting on Valentina now and.....how stupid dont the holly holm backers look now...you had the opportunity to buy the better striker for +250....

I'm turning into a believer... $$

[ufcfan2016]

valintina -175 live llolol holm dog money

[Thrilla]

valintina -175 live llolol holm dog money

Not sure

[ufcfan2016]

holm +275 to -400 going into round 5

[Capybara]

This fight sucks and I am the worst fukkin MMA bettor ever. Fukk this BS.

[bjpenn85]

I'm turning into a believer... $$

Betting lines have valentina -600 fav now. I mean, my thread speaks for itself, i have one bad bet last 2 months. Just go watch, how many faulty bets can you find on my thread? It sounds arrogant i know, but its the truth.

[ufcfan2016]

angry at my self for not betting few days earlier to get her +275 only at +140 today

[Ty$]

This fight sucks and I am the worst fukkin MMA bettor ever. Fukk this BS.

Haha

[bjpenn85]

But i also did this 4 years ago...i just showed of one yeah and won 212 units....betting isnt that hard for a gangstah

[co0711]

But i also did this 4 years ago...i just showed of one yeah and won 212 units....betting isnt that hard for a gangstah

haha this guy!

[bjpenn85]

haha this guy!

Holly holm ran from cecilie Brækhus, norwegian boxer, and the clear pound for pound best fighter of all time. We knew she was fluky, she was never the best boxer in the world. Just ufc hype.

[HurlSweatPants]

Shouts to Hugo, he was on Valentina for a long time and got a sick line on the Knight fight.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Should be 49-46 Shev

[JIBBBY]

I hope they give this to Holly.. Better for PPV future sales since she is the one to knock out Rhonda Rousey.. I think they give it to her...

[firekillex]

Terrible card for odds holy .... Holm is a definite no play at -300 might take a small shot on shevchenko at those odds. I like barboza but -200 isn't great , especially with Melendez coming in fighting for his career, but coming off the juice and barboza has all the momentum , maybe parlay him up with another favourite like usman or or elkins

You no what it is BJ 5 days ago

[Hugo de Naranja]

Shouts to Hugo, he was on Valentina for a long time and got a sick line on the Knight fight.

Missed on basically all my small plays and Saenz but cashed on Barboza and Shevchenko (pending a robbery) to save the night

[firekillex]

Should be 49-46 Shev

I got 49-46 to
edit yup 49-46

[bjpenn85]

I hope they give this to Holly.. Better for PPV future sales if so since she is the one to knock out Rhonda Rousey.. I think they give it to her...

Was -800 before the line closed off. But this fakking referees def give it to holly

[JIBBBY]

SHiiiit!!!! That was the right call..

[Thrilla]

Yep this was a mismatch for Holm

[bjpenn85]

Fakk yeah. judges starts to get the hold of this shit.

[HurlSweatPants]

Missed on basically all my small plays and Saenz but cashed on Barboza and Shevchenko (pending a robbery) to save the night

Yeah I took a stab on Usman at the last minute, hit my big plays that I sent to you. Good thing I stayed away from Curran.

[Ty$]

Holly holm ran from cecilie Brækhus, norwegian boxer, and the clear pound for pound best fighter of all time. We knew she was fluky, she was never the best boxer in the world. Just ufc hype.

I'm following this wkend home slice

[firekillex]

Holly holm looks completely like a gorilla wow

[HurlSweatPants]

Missed on basically all my small plays and Saenz but cashed on Barboza and Shevchenko (pending a robbery) to save the night

You're still the man, look forward to seeing what we can come up with next card.

[mcfugly]

Good picks bjpenn. Thanks

[jtoler]

Holly's a bum, doesnt move her head. Good fight Shev.

[Hugo de Naranja]

and plays:
Fight #1: Henrique vs. Smoliakov
No Play


Fight #2: Knight vs. Alers
Jason Knight (+190) 1u


Fight #3: Olivera vs. Moontasri
No Play


Fight #4: Prazeres vs. Cottrell
Under 2.5 Rounds (+200) 1u
Cottrell ITD (+860) .5u


Fight #5: Usman vs. Yakovlev
Alexander Yakovlev (+185) .5u
Alexander Yakovlev (+215) 1u


Fight #6: Elkins vs. Pepey
Godofredo Pepey ITD (+325) 1.25u
Godofredo Pepey Round 1 (+500) .5u


Fight #7: Saenz vs. Wineland
Frankie Saenz (-160) 3.2u to win 2u
Frankie Saenz -3.5 (+190) .5u


Fight #8: Herrig vs. Curran
No Play


Fight #9: Ngannou vs. Mihajlovic
Francis Ngannou Round 2 (+525) .5u
Francis Ngannou Submission (+585) .5u


Fight #10: Barboza vs. Melendez
Edson Barboza Decision (+125) 1u
Edson Barboza Decision (+148) 1.5u
Gilbert Melendez Scorecards = NA (+233) 2u
Gilbert Melendez KO/TKO (+980) .5u


Fight #11: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Valentina Shevchenko (+290) 1u
Valentina Shevchenko (+350) 2u
Valentina Shevchenko KO/TKO (+1125) .5u
Holm/Shevchenko Draw (+16500) .2u


Draftkings:
Pepey
Ngannou
Saenz
Barboza
Moontasri

Best of luck everyone!

Terrible start to the night but finished strong for another winning event!

Fight #2: Knight vs. Alers
Jason Knight (+190) +1.9u
Fight: +1.9u
Card: +1.9u


Fight #4: Prazeres vs. Cottrell
Under 2.5 Rounds (+200) -1u
Cottrell ITD (+860) -.5u
Fight: -1.5u
Card: +.4u


Fight #5: Usman vs. Yakovlev
Alexander Yakovlev (+185) -.5u
Alexander Yakovlev (+215) -1u
Fight: -1.5u
Card: -1.1u


Fight #6: Elkins vs. Pepey
Godofredo Pepey ITD (+325) -1.25u
Godofredo Pepey Round 1 (+500) -.5u
Fight: -1.725u
Card: -2.825u


Fight #7: Saenz vs. Wineland
Frankie Saenz (-160) -3.2u
Frankie Saenz -3.5 (+190) -.5u
Fight: -3.7u
Card: -6.525u


Fight #9: Ngannou vs. Mihajlovic
Francis Ngannou Round 2 (+525) -.5u
Francis Ngannou Submission (+585) -.5u
Fight: -1u
Card: -7.525u


Fight #10: Barboza vs. Melendez
Edson Barboza Decision (+125) +1.25u
Edson Barboza Decision (+148) +2.22u
Gilbert Melendez Scorecards = NA (+233) 2u -> CANCELLED
Gilbert Melendez KO/TKO (+980) -.5u
Fight: +2.97u
Night: -4.555u


Fight #11: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Valentina Shevchenko (+290) +2.9u
Valentina Shevchenko (+350) +7u
Valentina Shevchenko KO/TKO (+1125) -.5u
Holm/Shevchenko Draw (+16500) -.2u
Fight: +9.2u
Night: +4.645u

[Thrilla]

Always bet the underdog in womens MMA!

[Sanity Check]

I misplayed this card so badly, surprised I came out ahead.

Have it like this.

Holly Holm < Valentina Shevchenko
Edson Barboza > Gilbert Melendez
Francis Ngannou > Bojan Mihajlovic
Felice Herrig < Kailin Curran
Frankie Saenz > Eddie Wineland
Alex Oliveira > James Moontasri
Darren Elkins < Godofredo Pepey
Kamaru Usman < Alexander Yakovlev
Michel Prazeres > J.C. Cottrell
Héctor Urbina < George Sullivan
Jim Alers < Jason Knight
Luis Henrique > Dmitry Smolyakov

7/11

Should've done better. :/

[ufcfan2016]

I hope they give this to Holly.. Better for PPV future sales since she is the one to knock out Rhonda Rousey.. I think they give it to her...

lol she clearly lost,

[Hugo de Naranja]

lol she clearly lost,

How'd you do tonight?

[JIBBBY]

I hit everything I bet and fight tonight except for the 1st 2 fights and Holy Holm.. A very good night regardless.. Makes up for my last weekend disaster.. I'm very pleased with this event and how it played out..

On to the next event fellas!!!

[Hugo de Naranja]

I bet him because of his hype, undefeated record and all those first round finishes..

On Alers too.. See what happens with this next fight.....

Remember that most guys who debut in the UFC are undefeated and have a lot of finishes. It's worth watching tape to get some idea of how good they are but I think it's almost always a bad decision to lay -odds on someone in their debut against a veteran, even if the opponent only has 1 UFC fight.