UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko (July 23, 2016)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

FOX, 8 p.m. ET
Holly Holm vs Valentina Shevchenko
Edson Barboza vs Gilbert Melendez
Bojan Mihajlovic vs Francis Ngannou
Kailin Curran vs Felice Herrig

FOX, 6 p.m. ET
Frankie Saenz vs Eddie Wineland
Darren Elkins vs Godofredo Pepey
Kamaru Usman vs Alexander Yakovlev
J.C. Cottrell vs Michel Prazeres

UFC Fight Pass, 4 p.m. ET
James Moontasri vs Alex Oliveira
George Sullivan vs Hector Urbina
Jim Alers vs Jason Knight
Luis Henrique vs Dmitry Smolyakov

[CaptChaos145]

Curious to see the Melendez/Barbosa line. Anything better than -250 for Barbosa should be a steal.

[rsynweap84]

Holm/Schevchenko 5 Dimes Money Line Odds

UFC on Fox 20 - Bantamweight 5 rounds - United Center - Chicago, Illinois
Sat 7/23		1001 Valentina Shevchenko		+265	o4½ -165
9:30PM		1002 Holly Holm		-325	u4½ +145

Holm/Schevchenko 5 Dimes Proposition Odds

Valentina Shevchenko vs Holly Holm - Bantamweight 5 rounds - UFC on Fox 20
Sat 7/23		1003 Shevchenko / Holm goes 5 round distance		-160
9:30PM		1004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance		+130
Sat 7/23		1005 Shevchenko wins inside distance		+500
9:30PM		1006 Not Shevchenko inside distance		-800
Sat 7/23		1007 Shevchenko wins by 5 round decision		+625
9:30PM		1008 Not Shevchenko by 5 round decision		-1110
Sat 7/23		1009 Holm wins inside distance		+178
9:30PM		1010 Not Holm inside distance		-235
Sat 7/23		1011 Holm wins by 5 round decision		+120
9:30PM		1012 Not Holm by 5 round decision		-150
Sat 7/23		1013 Shevchenko / Holm draw		+16500
9:30PM		1014 Fight not a draw		-49500
Sat 7/23		1015 Shevchenko wins in round 1		+1100
9:30PM		1016 Any other result		-2300
Sat 7/23		1017 Shevchenko wins in round 2		+1300
9:30PM		1018 Any other result		-3000
Sat 7/23		1019 Shevchenko wins in round 3		+2500
9:30PM		1020 Any other result		-7500
Sat 7/23		1021 Shevchenko wins in round 4		+3500
9:30PM		1022 Any other result		-13500
Sat 7/23		1023 Shevchenko wins in round 5		+4500
9:30PM		1024 Any other result		-17500
Sat 7/23		1025 Holm wins in round 1		+475
9:30PM		1026 Any other result		-825
Sat 7/23		1027 Holm wins in round 2		+675
9:30PM		1028 Any other result		-1425
Sat 7/23		1029 Holm wins in round 3		+1075
9:30PM		1030 Any other result		-2225
Sat 7/23		1031 Holm wins in round 4		+1625
9:30PM		1032 Any other result		-4875
Sat 7/23		1033 Holm wins in round 5		+2425
9:30PM		1034 Any other result		-7275
Sat 7/23		1035 Shevchenko wins by submission		+1305
9:30PM		1036 Any other result		-3045
Sat 7/23		1037 Shevchenko wins by TKO/KO		+1125
9:30PM		1038 Any other result		-2375
Sat 7/23		1039 Holm wins by submission		+1135
9:30PM		1040 Any other result		-2405
Sat 7/23		1041 Holm wins by TKO/KO		+225
9:30PM		1042 Any other result		-305
Sat 7/23		1043 Shevchenko wins by 5 round unanimous dec		+850
9:30PM		1044 Any other result		-1750
Sat 7/23		1045 Shevchenko wins by 5 round split/maj dec		+1000
9:30PM		1046 Any other result		-2000
Sat 7/23		1047 Holm wins by 5 round unanimous dec		+120
9:30PM		1048 Any other result		-160
Sat 7/23		1049 Holm wins by 5 round split/maj dec		+444
9:30PM		1050 Any other result		-730
Sat 7/23		1051 Shevchenko / Holm starts round 5		-180
9:30PM		1052 Fight won’t start round 5		+150
Sat 7/23		1053 Shevchenko / Holm starts round 4		-260
9:30PM		1054 Fight won’t start round 4		+180
Sat 7/23		1055 Shevchenko / Holm starts round 3		-289
9:30PM		1056 Fight won’t start round 3		+229
Sat 7/23		1057 Shevchenko / Holm starts round 2		-590
9:30PM		1058 Fight won’t start round 2		+420
if fight goes to scorecards all wagers are no action
Sat 7/23		1059 Shevchenko (scorecards = no action)		+289
9:30PM		1060 Holm (scorecards = no action)		-379

These have been out for a while now, and have actually been shifting in favor of Schevchenko for about the last 2 weeks. The change has not been much but it will be interesting to see the shift continues. Personally I think Schevchenko is kind of a dangerous match-up for Holm, but Holm definitely needs this win.

Looking forward to this nice little event.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Curious to see the Melendez/Barbosa line. Anything better than -250 for Barbosa should be a steal.

I think Barboza will come in around (-200) when the line drops

[Hugo de Naranja]

Holm/Schevchenko 5 Dimes Money Line Odds

UFC on Fox 20 - Bantamweight 5 rounds - United Center - Chicago, Illinois
Sat 7/23		1001 Valentina Shevchenko		+265	o4½ -165
9:30PM		1002 Holly Holm		-325	u4½ +145

Holm/Schevchenko 5 Dimes Proposition Odds

Valentina Shevchenko vs Holly Holm - Bantamweight 5 rounds - UFC on Fox 20
Sat 7/23		1003 Shevchenko / Holm goes 5 round distance		-160
9:30PM		1004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance		+130
Sat 7/23		1005 Shevchenko wins inside distance		+500
9:30PM		1006 Not Shevchenko inside distance		-800
Sat 7/23		1007 Shevchenko wins by 5 round decision		+625
9:30PM		1008 Not Shevchenko by 5 round decision		-1110
Sat 7/23		1009 Holm wins inside distance		+178
9:30PM		1010 Not Holm inside distance		-235
Sat 7/23		1011 Holm wins by 5 round decision		+120
9:30PM		1012 Not Holm by 5 round decision		-150
Sat 7/23		1013 Shevchenko / Holm draw		+16500
9:30PM		1014 Fight not a draw		-49500
Sat 7/23		1015 Shevchenko wins in round 1		+1100
9:30PM		1016 Any other result		-2300
Sat 7/23		1017 Shevchenko wins in round 2		+1300
9:30PM		1018 Any other result		-3000
Sat 7/23		1019 Shevchenko wins in round 3		+2500
9:30PM		1020 Any other result		-7500
Sat 7/23		1021 Shevchenko wins in round 4		+3500
9:30PM		1022 Any other result		-13500
Sat 7/23		1023 Shevchenko wins in round 5		+4500
9:30PM		1024 Any other result		-17500
Sat 7/23		1025 Holm wins in round 1		+475
9:30PM		1026 Any other result		-825
Sat 7/23		1027 Holm wins in round 2		+675
9:30PM		1028 Any other result		-1425
Sat 7/23		1029 Holm wins in round 3		+1075
9:30PM		1030 Any other result		-2225
Sat 7/23		1031 Holm wins in round 4		+1625
9:30PM		1032 Any other result		-4875
Sat 7/23		1033 Holm wins in round 5		+2425
9:30PM		1034 Any other result		-7275
Sat 7/23		1035 Shevchenko wins by submission		+1305
9:30PM		1036 Any other result		-3045
Sat 7/23		1037 Shevchenko wins by TKO/KO		+1125
9:30PM		1038 Any other result		-2375
Sat 7/23		1039 Holm wins by submission		+1135
9:30PM		1040 Any other result		-2405
Sat 7/23		1041 Holm wins by TKO/KO		+225
9:30PM		1042 Any other result		-305
Sat 7/23		1043 Shevchenko wins by 5 round unanimous dec		+850
9:30PM		1044 Any other result		-1750
Sat 7/23		1045 Shevchenko wins by 5 round split/maj dec		+1000
9:30PM		1046 Any other result		-2000
Sat 7/23		1047 Holm wins by 5 round unanimous dec		+120
9:30PM		1048 Any other result		-160
Sat 7/23		1049 Holm wins by 5 round split/maj dec		+444
9:30PM		1050 Any other result		-730
Sat 7/23		1051 Shevchenko / Holm starts round 5		-180
9:30PM		1052 Fight won’t start round 5		+150
Sat 7/23		1053 Shevchenko / Holm starts round 4		-260
9:30PM		1054 Fight won’t start round 4		+180
Sat 7/23		1055 Shevchenko / Holm starts round 3		-289
9:30PM		1056 Fight won’t start round 3		+229
Sat 7/23		1057 Shevchenko / Holm starts round 2		-590
9:30PM		1058 Fight won’t start round 2		+420
if fight goes to scorecards all wagers are no action
Sat 7/23		1059 Shevchenko (scorecards = no action)		+289
9:30PM		1060 Holm (scorecards = no action)		-379

These have been out for a while now, and have actually been shifting in favor of Schevchenko for about the last 2 weeks. The change has not been much but it will be interesting to see the shift continues. Personally I think Schevchenko is kind of a dangerous match-up for Holm, but Holm definitely needs this win.

Looking forward to this nice little event.

Great value on Shevchenko here. Bet these odds while you can!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Openers for all the fights are on 5Ds

[bjpenn85]

Kalikas sets the odds more or less perfect. I cant see any value other than barboza/melendez over 2.5 rounds.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Kalikas sets the odds more or less perfect. I cant see any value other than barboza/melendez over 2.5 rounds.

Was thinking the same thing There are a few plays I like but not too many at these odds. I guess we'll have to wait till props come out.

[firekillex]

Terrible card for odds holy .... Holm is a definite no play at -300 might take a small shot on shevchenko at those odds. I like barboza but -200 isn't great , especially with Melendez coming in fighting for his career, but coming off the juice and barboza has all the momentum , maybe parlay him up with another favourite like usman or or elkins

[HurlSweatPants]

I do see some value on Curran at -110, I think Herrig is getting the benefit because she is more recognizable similar to the Van Zant v Namajunas line. Other than that, the lines look solid. Barboza already coming in at -210.

[Ty$]

I do see some value on Curran at -110, I think Herrig is getting the benefit because she is more recognizable similar to the Van Zant v Namajunas line. Other than that, the lines look solid. Barboza already coming in at -210.

I think Felice wins ... And Yakolev

[GoBlue77]

can't stand Melendez. and firekillex nailed it, odds are trash. holm wins but i can't take her straight at that price. 2 weeks ago she was -400

[firekillex]

can't stand Melendez. and firekillex nailed it, odds are trash. holm wins but i can't take her straight at that price. 2 weeks ago she was -400

Was hoping it would be around -200/-250 to at least add in some parlays but -300+ is a definite no play , holm is overrated here big time .... Barboza has better striking and distance then Melendez but in a 3 rounder he's gotta be careful of getting grinder out on the cage for 2 rounds and dirty boxed where he can't use his kicks .... This card isn't the best for a betting perspective probably just go small on a few plays and go bigger on the 31st card with lawler / Woodley I see some better odds there

[Hugo de Naranja]

Was hoping it would be around -200/-250 to at least add in some parlays but -300+ is a definite no play , holm is overrated here big time .... Barboza has better striking and distance then Melendez but in a 3 rounder he's gotta be careful of getting grinder out on the cage for 2 rounds and dirty boxed where he can't use his kicks .... This card isn't the best for a betting perspective probably just go small on a few plays and go bigger on the 31st card with lawler / Woodley I see some better odds there

A great example of a dog or pass situation in Holm fight

[Hugo de Naranja]

Was hoping it would be around -200/-250 to at least add in some parlays but -300+ is a definite no play , holm is overrated here big time .... Barboza has better striking and distance then Melendez but in a 3 rounder he's gotta be careful of getting grinder out on the cage for 2 rounds and dirty boxed where he can't use his kicks .... This card isn't the best for a betting perspective probably just go small on a few plays and go bigger on the 31st card with lawler / Woodley I see some better odds there

Really excited for that card. Too bad Mighty Mouse got injured

[firekillex]

Really excited for that card. Too bad Mighty Mouse got injured

Seeing some big value on Matt brown against ellenberger , I think Browns going to break him by the middle of the fight then take him out , Browns a demon in there and seems like ellenbergers a shell of his former self
-250 isn't the greatest but I'll definitely add him as a main piece in a few 2-3 fight parlays ...

dj getting injured sucks big time for a fans perspective, betting wise he's unplayable unless you're playing props with him.

I think ian McCall +210 has some definite underdog value vs Justin scoggins as well , only thing that worries me is that he may be chasing a pay cheque , seems super injured lately ( seen him talking about this all on a Joe rogan podcast )

but ill get into all that later that's the next card hahah , gonna check some tape on these prelims fighters maybe some value there hopefully , other wise small play on the bullet vs holm and hope for another underdog win , she's definitely a solid fighter and I think Holms a bit overrated so there's a shot

[Thrilla]

Fightcard

http://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-fight-night-chicago-2016#/fight

http://www.sherdog.com/events/UFC-on-Fox-20-Holm-vs-Shevchenko-51563

http://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/39076-ufc-on-fox-20

Odds

https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/ufc-on-fox-20-holm-vs-shevchenko-1114

http://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma

https://www.betbrain.com/fighting/world/mixed-martial-arts/

https://www.betbrain.com/fighting/world/mixed-martial-arts-women/

[Thrilla]

- Go inside the lives and training camps of UFC fighters as they ready for UFC Fight Night on FOX in UFC Road to the Octagon: Holm vs Shevchenko. 18-time world champion boxer Holly Holm takes on 17-time World Muay Thai champion Valentina Shevchenko.

- Valentina Shevchenko vs Sarah Kaufman (UFC on FOX 17 , 2015.12.19)

- Holly Holm vs Marion Reneau (UFC Fight Night 71, 2015.07.15)

- Fighnetwork.com John Ramdeen and Robin Black preview the main event women's bantamweight matchup of Holly Holm vs. Valentina Shevchenko at UFC Fight Night Chicago on 5 Rounds

- Before UFC on FOX 20, Holly Holm discusses her upcoming opponent, Ronda Rousey, Tate vs. Nunes, Jon Jones, and more. <em><font size="1">

- Shevchenko training at Tiger Muay Thai
<em><font size="1">

[rsynweap84]

7/23/2016 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 1001 Valentina Shevchenko* +265 vs Holly Holm
Risking $100.00 To Win $265.00

Yerp.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Seeing some big value on Matt brown against ellenberger , I think Browns going to break him by the middle of the fight then take him out , Browns a demon in there and seems like ellenbergers a shell of his former self
-250 isn't the greatest but I'll definitely add him as a main piece in a few 2-3 fight parlays ...

dj getting injured sucks big time for a fans perspective, betting wise he's unplayable unless you're playing props with him.

I think ian McCall +210 has some definite underdog value vs Justin scoggins as well , only thing that worries me is that he may be chasing a pay cheque , seems super injured lately ( seen him talking about this all on a Joe rogan podcast )

but ill get into all that later that's the next card hahah , gonna check some tape on these prelims fighters maybe some value there hopefully , other wise small play on the bullet vs holm and hope for another underdog win , she's definitely a solid fighter and I think Holms a bit overrated so there's a shot

I like both the Brown and McCall plays too. Ellenberger looks shot and although I like Scoggins a lot, I don't think he warrants a (-2xx) price tag against a solid, if inactive, veteran.

[Demonata]

This is a very tough card to bet. Probably just going to parlay barboza and ngannou.

[Thrilla]

The robbery in Peru not so long ago where Shevchenko's coach got shot certainly not a + for her mental state. Watching her fight film, am not impressed by her at all. I was on Nunes in her last fight. Holm or pass for me.

UFC Fighter Valentina Shevchenko, Holly Holm’s Next Opponent, Involved in Terrifying Shootout in Peru (Video)

[JIBBBY]

MMA part 1...




145 lbs.: Darren Elkins (20-5) vs. Godofredo Castro (12-3)

Now training at Team Alpha Male, Elkins has won two straight since a 2014 decision loss to Hacran Dias. He managed to out-grit Robert Whiteford last October, then dominated top-tier prospect Chas Skelly in March. He stands three inches taller than "Pepey" at 5’10".

Castro struggled out of the gate in his UFC career, going 1-3 in his first four appearances with that one win a controversial decision. He’s since rattled off three consecutive first-round finishes, including a stunning flying knee knockout of Noad Lahat and a flying triangle submission of Andre Fili. This will be his first fight in sixteen months.
This fight will go in one of two ways: either Elkins will grind "Pepey" into a fine paste or he’ll get caught in a submission early. In light of Elkins’ great performance against Skelly and the fact that he hasn’t been submitted in nearly six years, I’m leaning towards the former.
The Brazilian will always be a hit-and-miss fighter, dangerous but inconsistent. Elkins might have to work his way out of some tough positions early on, but he’ll establish his wrestling dominance before long. He batters "Pepey" for an authoritative decision win.
Prediction: Elkins by unanimous decision


145 lbs.: Jim Alers (13-2) vs. Jason Knight (14-2)


"The Beast" opened his UFC career with an entertaining split decision over Alan Omer, but soon saw his nine-fight winning streak go up in smoke at the hands of Chas Skelly. He last fought in December, where he was in the midst of a competitive scrap with Cole Miller when he caught "Magrinho" with a finger in the eye. He’s submitted nine professional opponents.

Last September, Knight upset top prospect Musa Khamanaev to extend his winning streak to eight. Three months later, he stepped into the UFC cage on short notice, fighting valiantly in a losing effort against Japanese veteran Tatsuya Kawajiri. He stands two inches taller than Knight at 5’11".
This could turn out to be a terrific fight; both men are aggressive, capable ground artists with quite a few finishes to their credit. It’ll likely boil down to positioning, which favors Alers’ strength and wrestling skills.
"The Beast’s" porous striking defense will likely relegate him to the middle of the division for the foreseeable future, but Knight isn’t the sort of striker to punish that deficiency. Though Knight’s submission skills are top-notch and Alers can’t match Kawajiri’s legendary top pressure, the Englishman is strong enough on the feet and from top position to control the fight. Alers wins a fun three-round battle.
Prediction: Alers by unanimous decision


170 lbs.: Kamaru Usman (7-1) vs. Alexander Yakovlev (23-6-1)


Usman’s two victories on The Ultimate Fighter 21 convinced the Blackzilians top it him against the surging Hayder Hassan on the Finale. He rewarded their confidence with a second-round submission, then overwhelmed Leon Edwards in his next appearance. He’s stopped six professional opponents, five via TKO.

Russia’s Yakovlev entered the UFC on the heels of a win over Paul Daley, but opened his ZUFFA career with consecutive losses to Demian Maia and Nico Musoke. He righted the ship with a decision over Gray Maynard in his lightweight debut, then returned to welterweight to brutally knock out George Sullivan in January. He’ll have a one-inch height advantage on fight night.
Yakovlev was originally set to face Ryan LaFlare and he’s every bit as screwed here. Usman is a physical monster whose wrestling credentials far outstrip Yakovlev’s, a true blue-chip prospect with all the tools to be elite. He should also be the superior striker, meaning Yakovelv’s going to need to find that one-punch magic again if he wants a chance at victory.
Considering the Sullivan finish was Yakovlev’s first since 2011, I wouldn’t hold my breath.
The Russian is durable enough to avoid a ground-and-pound stoppage, but it’s unlikely he accomplishes much beyond surviviing. Usman by domination.
Prediction: Usman by unanimous decision


155 lbs.: Michel Prazeres (19-2) vs. J.C. Cottrell (17-3)


"Trator" fell short against Paulo Thiago in his UFC debut before establishing himself as a real threat with decisions over Jesse Ronson and Mairbek Taisumov. Since then, he’s dropped a decision to Kevin Lee and rebounded with a controversial decision over Valmir Lazaro last November. He will give up four inches of height to the 5’10" Cottrell.

Cottrell last fought on June 24th, extending his winning streak to six with a decision over Cody Walker. Heedless of the quick turnaround, he stepped up on short notice to replace Tony Martin against Prazeres. He’s submitted eleven of his seventeen opponents.
I’m honestly rather disappointed that Martin had to withdraw; two physical marvels with awful cardio could have made for a morbidly-entertaining showdown. As-is, we’ll likely get a standard Prazeres fight in which he looks like a bulldozer from Hell for two rounds before desperately trying to survive the third.
Cottrell showed some decent wrestling in the Walker fight, but Prazeres’ strength and wrestling are something you need more than a few good regional wins and one month’s preparation to deal with. Prazeres banks the early rounds for another decision victory.

Prediction: Prazeres by unanimous decision

[Ty$]

I see lots of decision props and overs on this card... I'll be parlaying a lot of different teams/combos... I'm super stoked to get back on track after last week

[Sato]

I think Holm is as close a lock as you can get. Valentina is tough and grindy but shes not gonna do it. Holm by u. dec. is at +155 right now!!

[Killer_Demo]

Saenz and Gil

[JIBBBY]

I think Holm is as close a lock as you can get. Valentina is tough and grindy but shes not gonna do it. Holm by u. dec. is at +155 right now!!

Holm knocked out Rhonda and was putting a beating on Meisha, you really think this fight can make it the distance?

This is a 5 round scrap and not a 3 rounder as well... Let me break down the numbers for each fighter quickly also -

Holly Holm went to decision in 3 of 11 pro fights.. Valentina went to decision in 4 or 12 pro fights.. All those decision were in 3 round fights, neither fighter has EVER gone to a 5 round decision..

http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Holly-Holm-75125

http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Valentina-Shevchenko-45384

1004 Fight won’t go 5 round distance +130

[HurlSweatPants]

I see lots of decision props and overs on this card... I'll be parlaying a lot of different teams/combos... I'm super stoked to get back on track after last week

Thought you killed it with the dogs last card?

[HurlSweatPants]

I think Felice wins ... And Yakolev

I just think the layoff for Herrig and the fact that Curran can hold her own on the ground could spell trouble, but I am not taking it unless I can get + odds, might wait and see what the line looks like closer to fight time, maybe I can get a Lineker line. On another note, I would bone Herrig w the quickness.

[ufcfan2016]

if Valentina Shevchenko creeps back to +300, the value is on her, no way am i laying that juice on holm even in a parlay.

this fight is alot closer then you think, holm isnt just going to roll her over, valentina is technical and if anything is more rounded with the ground game. (if she can even get it there)

[ufcfan2016]

I do see some value on Curran at -110, I think Herrig is getting the benefit because she is more recognizable similar to the Van Zant v Namajunas line. Other than that, the lines look solid. Barboza already coming in at -210.

i would be on curran too, but fight is too close to call,

just lay off completely unless one fighter by fightime is on + money. barboza is a solid pick imo, but -200 is still some juice vs a gritty guy in melendez,

[ufcfan2016]

This is a very tough card to bet. Probably just going to parlay barboza and ngannou.

this card is terrible, i'm even having a hard time finding anything i have confidence in,

looks like a card where underdogs will bark

[Ty$]

I just think the layoff for Herrig and the fact that Curran can hold her own on the ground could spell trouble, but I am not taking it unless I can get + odds, might wait and see what the line looks like closer to fight time, maybe I can get a Lineker line. On another note, I would bone Herrig w the quickness.

I changed my mind bout yakovlev... But I think Felice wins... Felice has fought way better competition and I think she's way stronger ... Felice by DEC

[Demonata]

I changed my mind bout yakovlev... But I think Felice wins... Felice has fought way better competition and I think she's way stronger ... Felice by DEC

I like felice herrig too. The other girl has terrible fight iq.

[mirinquads]

Felice is awful and old.