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Switched to Ferguson after tape. Think he continues his trend of Finish/Finish/Decision and outpoints Cowboy here. Ferguson has had a trend of two finishes then a decision in his wins for his entire UFC career.
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MMA MANIA PRELIMS - Write ups coming in..
115 lbs.: Xiaonan Yan vs. Angela Hill
Like countrywoman Weili Zhang, Xiaonan Yan (10-1) has emerged as a contender at 115 pounds, starting her UFC career perfect (3-0). “Nine” last fought in Nov. 2018, out-striking former professional wrestler Syuri Kondo to win a decision in Beijing.
Four of her last five pre-UFC victories came via (technical) knockout stoppage in less than two rounds.
A successful Invicta title run earned Angela Hill (9-6) a second shot in UFC, which saw her go 2-4 in her first six fights. She got back on track in April, out-classing Jodie Esquibel on short notice to take a unanimous decision.
She steps in for Felice Herrig, who tore her ACL, on little more than one month’s notice.
Yan’s ceiling is lower than Zhang’s, but damn if she isn’t fun to watch. She’s big, aggressive, powerful and constantly pursuing the finish. This match up should be tons of fun, both women constantly on the attack.
Hill almost certainly has the technical edge, but Yan packs enough power to make this a toss-up. In addition, “Nine” lands more and absorbs fewer strikes than Hill per minute, though that could easily be chalked up to their relative strengths of schedule. Yan thrives in firefights and Hill will give her one, so expect Yan to keep her undefeated UFC record intact with enough telling punches to sway the judges.
Prediction: Yan via unanimous decision
Related
Finalized! UFC 238 Fight Card, PPV Line Up
185 lbs.: Bevon Lewis vs. Darren Stewart
Bevon Lewis (6-1) punched his UFC ticket with two stoppage victories on the Contender Series, emerging as one of the show’s top prospects. He looked to have victory well in hand in his Octagon debut, only for Uriah Hall to uncork one of his customary miracles for the comeback knockout.
“The Extraordinary Gentleman” is three inches taller than Darren Stewart (9-4) and boasts a five-inch reach advantage.
“The Dentist” opened his Octagon career 0-3 (1 NC), a slump somewhat mitigated by his Fight of the Night war with Julian Marquez. A pair of comeback knockouts took his back off the wall, but a late surge wasn’t enough to carry him past Edmen Shahbazyan in Nov. 2018.
Seven of his nine victories have come via (technical) knockout, four in the first round.
As much as Stewart delights in foiling my prognoses, this looks like a very winnable bounce-back fight for Lewis. Stewart gave up eight takedowns to Shahbazyan, who looks to be a lesser wrestler than Lewis by a fair margin. Further, Stewart averages fewer than half of Lewis’ strikes landed per minute, and his power has not yet received the technique to properly deliver it.
Stewart’s always capable of turning a fight around in an instant and Lewis showed he wasn’t immune to that sort of thing against Hall. Most likely, though, Lewis uses patient striking and regular takedowns to win a comfortable decision.
Prediction: Lewis via unanimous decision
Related
Cejudo Freakishly Jacked Ahead Of UFC 238
135 lbs.: Eddie Wineland vs. Grigory Popov
Eddie Wineland (23-13-1) rebounded from consecutive losses to Johnny Eduardo and Bryan Caraway with brutal knockouts of Frankie Saenz and Takeya Mizugaki, the former of which earned him “Performance of the Night.” He has since been out-pointed by John Dodson and narrowly edged by Alejandro Perez, though the vast majority of the mixed martial arts (MMA) media scored the latter fight in his favor.
Fourteen of his professional victories, including six of his last seven, have come by form of knockout.
Russia’s Grigory Popov (13-1) joined the venerable Tiger Muay Thai squad in 2014, a move that’s earned him nine consecutive victories. The streak includes a flying crane kick knockout and two separate gogoplata finishes. Five of his last six victories have come inside the distance.
Popov is … well, he wouldn’t be my first choice when scouring the Asian circuit for fresh talent. The 35-year-old is a potent Muay Thai striker, but his nonexistent takedown defense and terrible strength of schedule don’t have me thinking he’ll go far in the Octagon. Luckily for him, Wineland isn’t much for wrestling; unluckily for Popov, his habit of throwing naked low kicks leaves him open for Wineland’s power punches.
Popov could very well recreate Johnny Eduardo’s efforts, battering Wineland’s lead leg and countering upstairs, but he lacks the Brazilian’s defensive savvy. Without that, Wineland just hits too dang hard. Wineland puts him away with a heavy counter sometime in the second.
Prediction: Wineland via second-round technical knockout
Related
Free Fight Video! Cejudo Dethrones ‘Mighty Mouse’ To Claim Title
125 lbs.: Katlyn Chookagian vs. Joanne Calderwood
Katlyn Chookagian (11-2) dropped a split decision to Liz Carmouche in her second UFC appearance, but three consecutive wins put her on the verge of a Flyweight title shot. A revitalized Jessica Eye had other plans, edging Chookagian by split decision at UFC 231.
She is three inches taller than Joanne Calderwood (13-3) and will have nearly as much reach on her.
“Dr. Kneevil” made the move back up to 125 pounds after consecutive losses to Jessica Andrade and Cynthia Calvillo, celebrating her return to the weight with a triangle armbar finish of Kalindra Faria. She then met top prospect Ariane Lipski, utilizing her wrestling to defuse “The Violence Queen” and win an upset decision.
She has scored five professional wins via (technical) knockout, though just one since 2013.
I’ve been a Calderwood fan since before her run on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF), so I won’t pretend to be purely objective, but I do think she takes this. She’s the more versatile striker and, unlike Chookagian, actually puts some heat behind her shots, which should make up for the disparity in sheer volume. In addition, Calderwood has her increasingly effective wrestling to open up her offensive options, preventing Chookagian from finding a rhythm.
There’s just not enough steam behind Chookagian’s shots to overwhelm Calderwood’s comfort in long-range engagements. “JoJo” lands the more powerful blows and sneaks in enough effective grappling to take the decision.
Prediction: Calderwood vie split decisionComment -
Do I fade Wineland? And wow, Kattar dropped down to -135 on 5D.Comment -
BUUUT your right....Moraes has the skills to pull this off.....the roids of Cejudo will need to come into play.....if his pace slows from anything but full speed-moraes will start landing the better shots while cej goes for the jumping KO.....its just hard to think cejudo will KO him though...LOT to ask there hahaComment -
Man I'm surprised the Wineland/Popov line is so close. Why is that? I feel like Wineland will dust this bum.Comment -
Protip: don't get Weili Zhang and Xiaonan Yan mixed up.
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yeah, me 2. Guy has talking gibberish 24/7 anyway, if a doctor gives him drugs and gives him a diagnosis doesnt change much to me. Guy knows how to win fights. If you cut your rehab training in half, you basically piss on the medical community, disproves the methods and succeed, i think his diagnosis will be a walk in the park. Born a savage, always a savage.Comment -
Munhoz always seemed to dog it in his bigger fights. Until his last one, off course. Didn't look impressive at weigh in.Also-the more I think of the Sterling-Munhoz fight, I just see Sterling having a hard time winning walking backwards the entire time....he is great with distance and will get in and out OK, but overall it should begin to look like he is running (round 2-3) and Munhoz will take over....this is an AMAZING fight IMO....it will take the Sterlings best performance yet to pull this off.....not saying he cant....but for +100 Munhoz is the side to be on IMo.......he should be the one that is -120......KO power as well and its always a possibility he KO's/TKO's sterling.....I also feel that if Sterling goes to the ground.....he may pull guard and look for subs rather than try to stand....could he land a sub-sure-but in a 3 round fight against a body type of Munhoz, not AS likely.....and that's a round down most of the time...
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Part 2 -
115 lbs.: Tatiana Suarez vs. Nina Ansaroff
Tatiana Suarez (7-0) emerged from The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 23 as an immediate contender, having dominated every foe in the house, choking out Amanda Cooper at the Finale. She’s won three straight since that victory, including an absolute thrashing of former champion Carla Esparza at UFC 228.
Three of her five professional stoppage wins have come in the first round.
Issues with takedown defense and questionable judging left Nina Ansaroff (10-5) winless in her first two UFC appearances, only for a submission of Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger to kick off a four-fight win streak. Her most recent effort saw her survive some early trouble to upset former title challenger Claudia Gadelha in Toronto in Dec. 2018.
She’ll give up two inches of reach to Suarez.
Ansaroff is an excellent fighter. Suarez, however, is such a monster that she’s a -900 favorite at the time of writing. Suarez’s wrestling is just so far beyond anyone else’s in the division that even Ansaroff’s potent striking skills aren’t enough for the bookies or the betting populace to give her much of a chance.
I do want to acknowledge that Ansaroff’s takedown defense has improved greatly since she got tossed around by Juliana Lima in her Octagon debut; shutting down Gadelha’s grappling game is no mean feat. Even with that, though, it’s hard to imagine her staying on her feet for any length of time. Ansaroff’s skilled enough to survive, but not enough to win as Suarez demolishes her on the mat with ground-and-pound and submission attempts.
Prediction: Suarez via unanimous decision
Related
Free Fight Video! Cejudo Dethrones ‘Mighty Mouse’ To Claim Title
135 lbs.: Pedro Munhoz vs. Aljamain Sterling
Pedro Munhoz (18-3) entered UFC with considerable hype behind him as the RFA Bantamweight champion, but dropped decisions to Raphael Assuncao and Jimmie Rivera in his first four Octagon fights alongside a failed drug test that overturned a victory. “The Young Punisher” has since won seven of eight bouts, racking up four post-fight bonuses and knocking out former champ Cody Garbrandt in March.
Six of his nine submission victories have come by guillotine.
Aljamain Sterling (17-3) hit something of a funk after winning his first four UFC bouts, dropping three of his next five and suffering a horrific knockout loss to Marlon Moraes. He enters the cage this weekend on a three-fight winning streak that’s seen him kneebar Cody Stamann and dominate the aforementioned Rivera.
“The Funk Master” will have a 6.5-inch reach advantage alongside his one-inch height edge.
As tempting as it is to just bank on Munhoz’s guillotine against a wrestling specialist, Sterling’s striking has improved to the point where he can win this fight without ever putting his neck in danger. “The Funk Master” used his reach, well, masterfully against a potent boxer in Rivera, and as much power and durability as Munhoz possesses, we saw against John Dodson that he really doesn’t have many tools to close the distance besides sheer pressure.
So long as Sterling maintains his composure, he can keep Munhoz on the end of his kicks and punches all night. Munhoz is quite good at getting people to lose their composure, admittedly, but I see Sterling using his length to the fullest and taking a dominant decision on the feet.
Prediction: Sterling via unanimous decision
Related
Cejudo Freakishly Jacked Ahead Of UFC 238
115 lbs.: Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Alexa Grasso
Poland’s Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-4) — the last person to defeat Rose Namajunas before the latter’s title run — finds herself on a two-fight skid following consecutive victories over Jodie Esquibel and Felice Herrig. Jessica Andrade scored the division’s first one-punch knockout against her in Sept. 2018, and though she lasted the distance against Michelle Waterson, “The Karate Hottie” nonetheless claimed victory.
She’ll give up two inches of height and reach to Alexa Grasso (10-2).
Grasso’s perfect (4-0) Invicta run cemented her as a top prospect, a label she lived up to in her successful UFC debut against Heather-Jo Clark. A surprising upset loss to Felice Herrig followed, after which she narrowly edged Randa Markos and subsequently fell victim to Tatiana Suarez’s implacable rise.
This will be her first fight in more than one year because of injuries.
I’m not going to lie and say Grasso has lived up to expectations, but she’s still an extremely potent boxer, which we should finally get to see now that she’s got someone who won’t try to take her down. Kowalkiewicz will oblige on the feet, and while the Pole has the larger arsenal, I don’t see her shutting down her younger, heavier-handed opponent.
Kowalkiewicz remains gritty and dangerous, but without the threat of takedowns to shut down Grasso’s combination punching, she’s in for a rough night. Grasso makes the most of her speed and reach to box up her foe for the full 15 minutes.
Prediction: Grasso via unanimous decision
Related
Finalized! UFC 238 Fight Card, PPV Line Up
145 lbs.: Ricardo Lamas vs. Calvin Kattar
The decision that Ricardo Lamas (19-7) made to face an overweight Josh Emmett at UFC on FOX 26 came back to bite him when Emmett laid him out with a vicious left hook late in the first round (watch it). “The Bully” returned six months later against top prospect Mirsad Bektic, giving a good account of himself in defeat, and then became the first man since 2013 to stop Darren Elkins in Nov. 2018.
Lamas stands three inches shorter than Calvin Kattar (19-3) and faces a one-inch reach deficit.
“The Boston Finisher” defied +300 odds to handily defeat Andre Fili in his Octagon debut, then followed that up with an even more impressive knockout of Shane Burgos to earn “Fight of the Night.” Kattar struggled his next time out against Renato Moicano, but successfully spoiled Cage Warriors champ Chris Fishgold’s UFC debut six months later.
He has finished nine opponents in the first round, seven of them via punches.
Lamas is as game as they come, but his issue has always been his inability to consistently take down his opponents. Though he’s generally a sufficiently dangerous striker to make up for it, being gritty and aggressive on the feet won’t serve him well against a crisper boxer with the power to turn his lights out.
If Lamas can get on top, he has the ground-and-pound to end Kattar’s night in horrific fashion. A striking victory wouldn’t be all that outlandish either, as “The Bully” sports dangerous low kicks that Kattar showed his vulnerability against Moicano. I just don’t think Lamas is enough of a takedown threat to throw Kattar off his game or a sharp enough striker to win the boxing exchanges. Kattar sprawls-and-brawls to a comfortable decision victory.
Prediction: Kattar via unanimous decision
Current UFC “Prelims” Prediction Record for 2019: 74-39
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Henry Cejudo has a gold medal up his ass! Marlon is going to pull it out and beat him over the head with it.Comment -
This is how I'm playing the Main - Trying Henry Straight/Dec hedged with Moraes RND 1 finish.
My thoughts are Moraes has many first round finishes under his belt.. Comes out swinging to finish. We've seen Henry get dropped in the 1st round before also by Mighty Mouse. I'm obviously pulling for Henry to win this and by decision though..
$100.00 $450.00 Pending 6/8/19 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1025 Moraes wins in round 1 +450* vs Any other result
Hedged
$100.00 $240.00 Pending 6/8/19 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1007 Cejudo wins by 5 round decision +240* vs Not Cejudo by 5 round decision $200.00 $270.00 Pending 6/8/19 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1001 Henry Cejudo +135* vs Marlon Moraes Comment -
Cejudo going to get ktfo jibbyComment -
We'll see boys? Henry ain't no push over anymore.. I think he brings it tonight.. He's been improving with every fight. Especially with his boxing and stand up.
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Betting on Cejudo must be confusing for Jibbby. He loves America but hates Mexicans.Comment -
If i had the opportunity to donate my 14-15.000 betpoints to you now i would Jibby.
Weird how thrilla dodging my question but still find times to post his normal bullshit post with no substance here, no wait, bizz as usual,
what a clown huh, what a pathetic little clownComment -
It’s fight niiiiiiiight!
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I have had other posters PM me at times on how much they dislike Thrilla. I'm not lying either. I won't mention names. He rubs everyone the wrong way at times except for maybe Hugo..
I'd give you bet points as well BJ to finally shut this clown up.
If he'd just stick to posting MMA vids he'd be ok. That's never the case though..Comment -
Well this is how I'm playing the card.. GOOD LUCK Fellas...
I've been solid the last few cards and hope it continues with this.. I have 3 pending Prop parlays at $50 a pop again.. Just missed one big prop parlay hit last card. Hope to nail one today..
1) Calderwood by Dec
2) Wineland ITD
3) Steward by KO/ Hedged Lewis by Dec
4) Hill by Dec
5) Katter straight/ Hedged Lamas Sub
6) Grasso by Dec
7) Sterling by Dec
8) Suarez by Dec
9) Tuivasa Straight
10) Rivera by Dec
11) Tony ITD and Tony Straight
12) Sheiv by Dec
13) Henry Straight and Dec/ Hedged Moraes Rnd 1 finish..Comment -
This bitchass chiming in again I see. You compared demonata to a southpark character who was suffering from down syndrom and in the past insulted and challenged jibbby's knowledge of MMA several times before you went broke. WEIRD how they are suddenly your friends when they have something bad to say about me. I know your true nature you little nerd selfish piece of shit. If you put my name in your mouth again. Do it by explaining why I don't like you. Oh yeah that's right everybody checks the wikipedia page of the events weeks in advance. NOT? This isn't your personal forum you selfish c unt.
Fake ass compliments of yours left and right almosts makes me puke. Bitchass slut.
And I love making you think you dropped the mike on me with your bet365 limitation. hahaha bet365.Last edited by Thrilla; 06-08-19, 03:08 PM.Comment -
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes Picks:
Joanne Calderwood Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Eddie Wineland Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Bevon Lewis Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Yan Xiaonan Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Calvin Kattar Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Pedro Munhoz Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Tatiana Suarez Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Tai Tuivasa Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Petr Yan Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Tony Ferguson Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Valentina Shevchenko Unanimous Decision (50-45 x3)
Marlon Moraes Round 1 KO (Head Kick and Punches)Comment
#TellEmUncleChaelSentYa
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