Mr Octobers Win totals & season long thread 2023-2024

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  • Mr0ctober
    SBR MVP
    • 02-27-18
    • 2795

    #1
    Mr Octobers Win totals & season long thread 2023-2024
    College Football Win totals.

    full disclaimer I’m not the best at college football not even close but have been very solid in win totals over the years. These are by far my biggest wagers of the year as I usually don’t play more than 1.5u or 2u max on any one game. People will argue that tying up money that long is not good practice - I would counter by saying they’re saying the more games the less variance allowing the edges to prevail more often than a single game.

    SHOP AROUND AS LINES ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE - DONT TAKE BAD NUMBERS!!! Good luck and enjoy the season

    quick answer to a question I get a lot - how much is a half win worth?!

    It’s not a blanket statement as depends on floor/ceiling type variance and other factors (bowl motivation etc meaning 0.5 wins at 5.5 compared to 6 may be worth more etc — but in general quick math I use says about 60 cents. Therefore over 4.5 at -110 and over 4 at -170 is ROUGHLY the same bet in terms of price/edge
  • Mr0ctober
    SBR MVP
    • 02-27-18
    • 2795

    #2
    Big12
    Texas to win big 12 +100 Fanduel (5u)

    WVU over 4.5 wins -130 MGM (4u) (would play to -150)

    Kansas over 5.5 -165 LC (5u) (would play over 6 still at -120 or better but for half the units)


    ACC
    Wake under 6.5 -130 BetMGM (5u) would play to -175

    BC over 5.5 wins -125 365 (4u) would play to -140


    SEC
    Miss St under 6.5 wins -165 (5u) DK (would play to -190)

    Kentucky over 6.5 -170 (5u) bet365 (would play over 7 still at -130 or better)


    Big 10
    Minnesota under 7.5 (-170) FD (3u) would play only to -190

    MichSt under 5.5 wins -140 DK (5u) would play to -200 but suggest just taking under 5 at better price

    Nebraska under 6.5 -130 (5u) BetMGM would play to -170


    PAC 12
    Cal under 5.5 wins -158 fanduel (5u) would play to -180
    Comment
    • Mr0ctober
      SBR MVP
      • 02-27-18
      • 2795

      #3
      Non Power 5


      Central Michigan Over 5.5 +135 (4u) would play to +100


      Buffalo under 6.5 -135 (5u) would play to -200

      Northern Illinois over 5.5 -135 (4u) BR would play to -160




      Troy under 8.5 -142 FD (5u) (would play to -175)

      Coastal Carolina over 7.5 -110 (4u) BetMGM would play to -140

      Utah st under 5.5 -175 (3u) would play under 5 -115 or better


      New Mexico St under 6.5 -150 mgm (5u) would play to -180

      Old dominion under 3.5 -125 (4u) BetMGM (would play to -160)


      SMU over 8 (-165) bet365 (4u)

      Colorado St over 4.5 -160 (4u) 365 would play to -170


      Uab under 5 -105 (5u) would play to -150


      Middle tenn st under 6.5 (-105) MGM (4u) would play to -135




      Futures:


      Devin brown heisman 84/1 (0.5u) (would play 60/1 or better) but much smaller.
      Comment
      • Mr0ctober
        SBR MVP
        • 02-27-18
        • 2795

        #4
        Week 0:
        San Diego St -125 (0.5u)
        Utep -113 (0.5u)
        Navy +21 (-112) (0.5u)
        ND/Navy over 48.5 (0.5u)
        Comment
        • Mr0ctober
          SBR MVP
          • 02-27-18
          • 2795

          #5
          Year to date -1.175u❌
          Comment
          • Mr0ctober
            SBR MVP
            • 02-27-18
            • 2795

            #6
            College football live
            Kent st +42.5 (0.5u)
            Kent/ucf under 58.5 (0.5u)
            Comment
            • magsmeplease
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-12-13
              • 343

              #7
              Good Luck!
              Comment
              • Mr0ctober
                SBR MVP
                • 02-27-18
                • 2795

                #8
                Last one

                college football live

                utah/Florida under 52.5 (0.5u)
                Comment
                • Mr0ctober
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-27-18
                  • 2795

                  #9
                  9/3

                  florida st +2 (1u)
                  Comment
                  • Mr0ctober
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-27-18
                    • 2795

                    #10
                    Year to date -2.485u❌
                    Comment
                    • Mr0ctober
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-27-18
                      • 2795

                      #11
                      College football week 2
                      Liberty -8.5 (0.5u)
                      SMU +16.5 (0.5u)
                      Texas +7.5 (0.5u)
                      Texas Tech +7 (-120) (0.5u)
                      Arizona +9 (0.5u)
                      Sam Houston St +14 (-115) (0.5u)
                      Comment
                      • Mr0ctober
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-27-18
                        • 2795

                        #12
                        College football week 2
                        Liberty -8.5 (0.5u)✅
                        SMU +16.5 (0.5u)❌ disgusting loss
                        Texas +7.5 (0.5u)✅
                        Texas Tech +7 (-120) (0.5u)❌ even more disgusting
                        Arizona +9 (0.5u)✅
                        Sam Houston St +14 (-115) (0.5u)✅

                        4-2 +0.9u✅

                        Year to date -1.585u❌
                        Comment
                        • Mr0ctober
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-27-18
                          • 2795

                          #13
                          College football week 3 early adds:

                          La Tech -4 (0.5u)
                          New Mexico -110 (0.5u)
                          Buffalo +3.5 (0.5u)
                          kstate/Mizzou under 49 (0.5u)
                          Iowa -28 (0.5u)
                          Florida +7.5 -115 (0.5u)
                          Miami OH +14.5 (0.5u)
                          Comment
                          • Mr0ctober
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-27-18
                            • 2795

                            #14
                            College football 9/23
                            Clemson +2.5 (0.5u)
                            Pitt +8 (0.5u)
                            Vandy +14 (0.5u)
                            Texas AM -8 (0.5u)
                            Cincy +15 (0.5u)
                            Oregon -20.5 (0.5u)
                            Georgia tech +4.5 (0.5u)
                            Sam Houston st +11.5 (0.5u)
                            Notre Dame +3 (0.5u)
                            Cal +21 (0.5u)
                            Comment
                            • mjsuax13
                              Moderator
                              • 03-14-15
                              • 24785

                              #15
                              Get ‘em today! Good luck.
                              Comment
                              • Mr0ctober
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-27-18
                                • 2795

                                #16
                                9/30

                                South Carolina/Tenn under 60.5 (0.75u)
                                Purdue/Ill Under 54 (0.6u)
                                Kentucky -2.5 (0.5u)
                                Auburn +14.5 (-105) (0.5u)
                                Purdue +1 (0.5u)
                                SMU -23 (0.5u)
                                Iowa St +20 (0.5u)
                                Troy +1.5 (0.5u)
                                Southern Miss +7 (0.5u)
                                Ole Miss +3 (0.5u)
                                Northwestern +28 (0.5u)
                                Umass -1 (0.5u)


                                good luck all. again my college football has been hit or miss over the years sometimes profitable years sometimes not tail with caution
                                Comment
                                • Mr0ctober
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-27-18
                                  • 2795

                                  #17
                                  10/11 college football

                                  sam Houston st +4 (-105) (0.5u)
                                  Comment
                                  • Mr0ctober
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-27-18
                                    • 2795

                                    #18
                                    College football
                                    Ga tech +12.5 (0.5u)
                                    AZ st +6 (0.5u)
                                    Cincy +7.5 (0.5u)
                                    Arizona +3.5 (0.5u)
                                    Comment
                                    • Mr0ctober
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-27-18
                                      • 2795

                                      #19
                                      positions I have taken for this week 0.5u each


                                      Minnesota -125
                                      Clemson +3.5
                                      South Carolina -14
                                      Arkansas +6
                                      Nebraska-3
                                      Temple +7
                                      Army +19
                                      Maryland +10
                                      Texas st -2
                                      Louisiana tech +17
                                      Middle Tennessee +3
                                      Iowa st -2.5
                                      USC +3.5
                                      Arizona +3
                                      Ohio st/Rutg under 43.5
                                      Navy/temple under 46
                                      Mizzou/Georgia under 56
                                      Tulsa under 48.5
                                      Comment
                                      • Mr0ctober
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-27-18
                                        • 2795

                                        #20
                                        For those asking 0.5u each

                                        Miami Fl +1

                                        Army +4.5

                                        Maryland +21 (-125)

                                        Arizona +1.5

                                        Auburn -23

                                        Houston +7

                                        Oregon st -1

                                        Florida +11.5

                                        Rice -3

                                        Iowa -2.5

                                        Texas tech -2.5

                                        Stanford +7

                                        K St/Kansas under 57.5

                                        Louisville/Miami under 46.5
                                        Comment
                                        • Mr0ctober
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-27-18
                                          • 2795

                                          #21
                                          Tried eastern Michigan +3 2h
                                          Comment
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