Coll FB - some plays

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-03-23, 10:18 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Play #6 = FLORIDA A&M +5 (1.92). 100 to win 92.
...I know the Juice/Limits on these FCS games suck.

...This play is purely based on perception.
...Think about it, Jackson St's two best players now play for Colorado. You saw them in action on SAT.
...Florida A&M has had a good program. Last year, they had a ton of Academic suspensions at the start of the year. They lost at North Carolina with a shell roster.
...With Fla A&M back to full strength...and Jackson St's best players now in Boulder, I'll look at Fla A&M.

Go, Rattlers.

Yes, I like this play. Continued my research:

*The only two games FAMU lost in 2022 were the first two games: at North Carol and at Jackson St.
...Those were the games where they had > 20 academic suspensions.

Have to believe the Rattlers will be revved up to atone for blowout loss against Jackson St last yr. And we get to do it against a Jackson St team without Sanders/Hunter (who are now in Colo).

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-03-23, 10:18 AM

The FAMU QB is pretty solid. 22/10 TD/INT ratio last year.

One of the better QBs in that conference. He's a Transfer from Vanderbilt.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-03-23, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Mac, thx for the kind words. Always appreciated your NBA insights.
Off to a 4-1 ATS start. Felt like I had some insights on these games, and they got home.
Will continue to post anything that I consider to be value. But plays will be very selective.

You are on fire. Dead on analysis. Fantastic takes.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-03-23, 10:58 AM

I can’t find the FAMU game on heritage. Their new site SUCKS. Wtf

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-03-23, 11:07 AM

Had to search for the game. Shame Heritage. Let’s cash this bitch Chucky.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-03-23, 11:24 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

You are on fire. Dead on analysis. Fantastic takes.

Thank you, Mac! Hope we get it.

Yeah, you have to search the site for the FCS games. I know these FCS games suck on Juice/Limits:
*It's low-limit...and sometimes they gouge you for -115. Try to find -110.
*Thing is, the Oddsmaker cannot possibly line all these FCS teams accurately.

BTW, I think +4.5 or +4 is fine. Good Luck.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-03-23, 02:23 PM

14-0 early.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-03-23, 02:33 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

14-0 early.

20-0. The RAttlers are ripping.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-03-23, 02:41 PM

Looking fantastic right now. Wish I’d bet the house.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-03-23, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

20-0. The RAttlers are ripping.

Jackson State looks awful. They about to quit.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-03-23, 03:20 PM

28-0 FAMU. I didn’t know they’re ranked #25. Nice.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-03-23, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

28-0 FAMU. I didn’t know they’re ranked #25. Nice.

28-3, end 3. In good shape.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-03-23, 05:29 PM

28-10. Rattlers literally go wire-2-wire after returning the Opening Kickoff for a TD.

Very bad line. Will be back later tonite after more of the fresh lines pop up.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-03-23, 09:32 PM

Site was down for a while. These are #s I got within the L2 hours:

*Plays 7/8 = (2 units) 317 Nebraska +3 (2.00). 200 to win 200.

...My research on Colorado was way ahead of the curve. A few things driving this play:
1) Bandwagon is now full. Everyone saw the highlights. You're too late, bitches...you should have bet on the Buffs on 9/2.
2) As well as the Buffs played, I question their physicality. Going to have to be tougher to beat the Huskers.
3) The win on SAT isn't going to look as impressive six weeks from now. Telling you, this TCU team is dog-shit, their best players are now in the NFL. How many busted coverages can you have?

This line is insane, IMHO. How much can you adjust the line based on one game? The Colo QB will have a much stiffer challenge this week.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-03-23, 09:41 PM

*Play #9 = 334 MIAMI-FL +5 (1.93). 100 to win 93.

1) I view Texas A&M as being a bit phony.
...For all their great recruiting, their results have yet to show it.

2) I view the Canes as a sleeping giant.
...2nd year under Cristobal. Showing in the opener looked promising. QB more settled, and they produced explosive plays.

Veteran team that returns almost all their key contributors from last year. Like them in the Home Dog role here.

**jackpot269** · 09-04-23, 03:58 PM

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-04-23, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by jackpot269

Hey, Jack. Was going to message you.

I actually was going to completely pass the Coll FB season. Then I got the itch to get back into it.

Been focusing on my research. R&D Department is back up and running.

Results have been good so far. But you know that can change quickly.

I like the slate of games i posted for the coming week. All we can do is hope for the best.

PS: If you like $$...put a few sheckles down on Nebraska +3.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-06-23, 12:38 PM

Bump:

*I mangled this thread. See the Neb/MiaFL plays above.

Also several other plays in the Wave 2 thread. GL.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-09-23, 08:18 PM

6-3 ATS on these plays.

Will do the full summary after the other plays go final.

**jackpot269** · 09-10-23, 12:40 AM

Chucky its been a crazy week, I've been around some, but not really been in the right frame of mind, Hopefully things will slow down for me soon.

Life can throw you a knuckle ball, (and you just don't see them much anymore), when you knew without a doubt a fast ball was coming.
Its just life everybody has hard and easy times as we glide thru it.

6-3 great week buddy

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 09-10-23, 01:19 AM

Originally posted by jackpot269

Chucky its been a crazy week, I've been around some, but not really been in the right frame of mind, Hopefully things will slow down for me soon.

Life can throw you a knuckle ball, (and you just don't see them much anymore), when you knew without a doubt a fast ball was coming.
Its just life everybody has hard and easy times as we glide thru it.

6-3 great week buddy

Jack, I'll contact you on email. Will give you an update. Hang in there, buddy!

6-3, but the other thread was bad. Gonna be below break-even after it all sorts out.