Week 1 NCAAF plays

**Waterstpub87** · 08-26-24, 05:11 PM

UCLA
Ohio
Eastern Michigan
Texas
JMU
Georgia State
Utep

**gauchojake** · 08-27-24, 08:17 PM

Is that you pubbers?????

**Waterstpub87** · 08-27-24, 08:45 PM

It's a stunt double

**gauchojake** · 08-27-24, 09:09 PM

Haha good one. Nice vid, thanks for posting. You always share good info on your model. How has the line movement been against the prediction so far this week?

**Waterstpub87** · 08-27-24, 10:11 PM

CC/Jax Taken Under 56, currently 54
Temp/OK Taken over 58.5, currently 59
Tex Take -32, currently -32 but with reduced juice
Tex/CSU Over 59.5 Currently 60.5
Ohio +17.5, currently +17
Ohio/Syr Under 47.5, currently 47
MiaOH/NW Under 43.5, currently 39.5
Akron +50.5, currently 49
EMU +1.5, Currently +2.5

Getting tired of typing it out. Most have moved with, some drastically. A couple have moved against slightly, Eastern Michigan was the largest against.

It college football, the lines jump like crazy. Will be more comfortable later in the week

I appreciate the feedback

**SBR Andy** · 08-28-24, 07:39 AM

Great stuff, thanks for sharing!

**Waterstpub87** · 08-28-24, 08:45 AM

Appreciate it, thanks Andy

**A Quant** · 08-28-24, 10:08 AM

Good luck this weekend! Hope you cash your tickets!

**Headsterx** · 08-28-24, 11:42 AM

Great vid! Thanks for the info and good luck!

**Eddy Munny** · 08-28-24, 12:22 PM

Sounds like you're basing these plays on last year's data rather than projecting forward... Nebraska is predicted to have a bad offense? According to who? Likewise, I don't see Ohio having a good defense. Their team was gutted across the board.

**JMF2479** · 08-28-24, 12:23 PM

I love the over in temple and Okla. good luck this week

**Waterstpub87** · 08-28-24, 12:54 PM

Originally posted by Eddy Munny

Sounds like you're basing these plays on last year's data rather than projecting forward... Nebraska is predicted to have a bad offense? According to who? Likewise, I don't see Ohio having a good defense. Their team was gutted across the board.

I use SP+ ratings from connelly. Tested them, they are pretty predictive. He takes into account transfers and returning production.

**Eddy Munny** · 08-28-24, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by Waterstpub87

I use SP+ ratings from connelly. Tested them, they are pretty predictive. He takes into account transfers and returning production.

Well good luck to ya... From what I can tell Nebraska's offense is going to come down to the offensive line, which has been mediocre of late. Their skill positions should be vastly upgraded, although a true frosh quarterback is always a wildcard, despite the five-star pedigree. They like their WR/RB room though.

**Waterstpub87** · 08-28-24, 04:52 PM

Originally posted by Eddy Munny

Well good luck to ya... From what I can tell Nebraska's offense is going to come down to the offensive line, which has been mediocre of late. Their skill positions should be vastly upgraded, although a true frosh quarterback is always a wildcard, despite the five-star pedigree. They like their WR/RB room though.

Appreciate the feedback either way. Always helps me to get better.

**mcmc** · 08-29-24, 03:15 PM

Waterstpub- Appreciation the concise video production! I'll be stopping by the thread regularly.

Good Luck ��

**Waterstpub87** · 09-03-24, 06:32 PM

Appreciate all the kind words and support here. Posting week 2 shortly.

**Headsterx** · 09-03-24, 06:58 PM

Hell yeah! Thread of the year!