Four Championship-game plays. Liked these more than I expected. Buying some points on these games, just thought it was the best value:
3* BOISE ST -3 1.75: 3 to win 2.25
...Broncos have a star RB in Jeanty. Amazing production stats.
...They've figured out how to use Jeanty as a decoy. Opens up the offense when Jeanty is NOT carrying the ball. Balanced offense, hard to stop.
...Boise HC eased up on some opponents early in the season. Final scores don't tell it all.
...Boise had more yards and more First Downs in the 3-pt loss @#1 Oregon. May have won SU if not for two Duck return touchdowns.
...Boise has had a great year. Number looks short. I expect them to finish it off.
3* Iowa St +3 1.77: 3 to win 2.31
...More experienced QB and more experienced HC.
...Solid kicker versus almost no option @ Kicker.
...If I was Campbell, I'd try to shut down the big-play. Make ArizSt score in the red-zone, where they really can't rely on the kicker. Kicker hasn't hurt the Sun Devils YET.
...ArizSt has killed me, they're rolling. Can't see them being a solid favorite. Feel like the Cyclones are more equipped to move on.
3* Army +5.5 1.93: 3 to win 2.79
...I've written a lot about Army. Great team, especially on offense.
...Notre Dame game was a talent mis-match. And I think that's the only game where a lot of people saw Army play. They're better than that.
...Situational advantage. Southern team playing up north. It will be cold, Army will be more accustomed to this temperature.
2* Clemson +3 1.80: 2 to win 1.60
...SMU has had a home-run year. Hard to imagine that the Mustangs have better personnel.
...Clemson with a chance to crash the party. They will be motivated to steal a bid.
...Situational edge to Clemson. Short-travel game, 120 mile bus ride to Charlotte NC.
3* BOISE ST -3 1.75: 3 to win 2.25
...Broncos have a star RB in Jeanty. Amazing production stats.
...They've figured out how to use Jeanty as a decoy. Opens up the offense when Jeanty is NOT carrying the ball. Balanced offense, hard to stop.
...Boise HC eased up on some opponents early in the season. Final scores don't tell it all.
...Boise had more yards and more First Downs in the 3-pt loss @#1 Oregon. May have won SU if not for two Duck return touchdowns.
...Boise has had a great year. Number looks short. I expect them to finish it off.
3* Iowa St +3 1.77: 3 to win 2.31
...More experienced QB and more experienced HC.
...Solid kicker versus almost no option @ Kicker.
...If I was Campbell, I'd try to shut down the big-play. Make ArizSt score in the red-zone, where they really can't rely on the kicker. Kicker hasn't hurt the Sun Devils YET.
...ArizSt has killed me, they're rolling. Can't see them being a solid favorite. Feel like the Cyclones are more equipped to move on.
3* Army +5.5 1.93: 3 to win 2.79
...I've written a lot about Army. Great team, especially on offense.
...Notre Dame game was a talent mis-match. And I think that's the only game where a lot of people saw Army play. They're better than that.
...Situational advantage. Southern team playing up north. It will be cold, Army will be more accustomed to this temperature.
2* Clemson +3 1.80: 2 to win 1.60
...SMU has had a home-run year. Hard to imagine that the Mustangs have better personnel.
...Clemson with a chance to crash the party. They will be motivated to steal a bid.
...Situational edge to Clemson. Short-travel game, 120 mile bus ride to Charlotte NC.