2025 Super Bowl Odds Entering Week 11: Chiefs Still Slim Favorites Over Lions, Ravens
Every time you try to vanquish the Kansas City Chiefs, they somehow emerge stronger - even if their Super Bowl odds dipped in Las Vegas and elsewhere after another narrow win.
Still, even after that 16-14 victory over the Denver Broncos, the Chiefs remain the consensus favorites across our best Super Bowl betting sites to win a third consecutive Lombardi Trophy when the 2025 Super Bowl kicks off on Sunday, Feb. 9 in New Orleans.
Kansas City is dealing at +430 odds via FanDuel, while the Detroit Lions (+460), Baltimore Ravens (+600), and Buffalo Bills (+800) are the only other teams trading at shorter than 10/1 odds.
The Lions are led by one of the Coach of the Year odds favorites in Dan Campbell, while the Ravens and Bills have enjoyed stellar play from their respective NFL MVP odds favorites.
Here is a look at the latest 2025 Super Bowl odds based on the latest NFL Week 11 odds.
Super Bowl odds 2025
Super Bowl odds from our best NFL betting sites; last updated Nov. 14 and subject to change.
Super Bowl favorites
| Team | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +430 | 18.87% | $43 |
| Lions | +460 | 17.86% | $46 |
| Ravens | +600 | 14.29% | $60 |
| Bills | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| 49ers | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Eagles | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Texans | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Packers | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Vikings | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
- Chiefs (+430): Kansas City has won just one of its first nine games by more than 10 points and travels to Buffalo this week for its toughest test yet
- Lions (+460): Detroit's Super Bowl odds shortened after a dramatic comeback win last week, and it remains a heavy favorite this week against the Jaguars
- Ravens (+600): Baltimore remains in the top three after nipping the rival Cincinnati Bengals ahead of this week's clash with the Pittsburgh Steelers
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Super Bowl contenders
| Team | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
| Falcons | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
| Chargers | +3500 | 2.78% | $350 |
| Steelers | +3500 | 2.78% | $350 |
| Bengals | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Cardinals | +6000 | 1.64% | $600 |
| Dolphins | +7000 | 1.41% | $700 |
- Commanders (+3000): Washington saw a three-game win streak snapped last week, and oddsmakers expect a similar result tonight against the Philadelphia Eagles
- Falcons (+3000): Atlanta's odds lengthened from +2500 to +3000 after losing in New Orleans, and the Falcons are underdogs this week at the Denver Broncos
- Bengals (+5000): Cincinnati's odds lengthened from +4000 to +5000 after another loss to the Ravens; can the Bengals bounce back on Sunday Night Football?
Super Bowl long shots
| Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | +9000 | 1.10% | $900 |
| Seahawks | +9000 | 1.10% | $900 |
| Broncos | +11000 | 0.90% | $1,100 |
| Buccaneers | +13000 | 0.76% | $1,300 |
| Colts | +13000 | 0.76% | $1,300 |
| Jets | +13000 | 0.76% | $1,300 |
| Saints | +18000 | 0.55% | $1,800 |
| Bears | +19000 | 0.52% | $1,900 |
| Cowboys | +21000 | 0.47% | $2,100 |
| Jaguars | +28000 | 0.36% | $2,800 |
| Browns | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Titans | +65000 | 0.15% | $6,500 |
| Raiders | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Giants | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Panthers | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Patriots | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
- Rams (+9000): Is there any value on Los Angeles after last week's loss to Miami? The Rams are heavy road favorites this week to beat the Patriots
- Broncos (+11000): Denver should have beaten the Chiefs, though the Broncos can still remain in position for a playoff spot with a win this week against the Falcons
- Saints (+18000): New Orleans won its first game under interim head coach Darren Rizzi, and oddsmakers expect another victory Sunday against the Browns
2025 Super Bowl favorites
Chiefs (+430)
There's a reason I highlighted the Chiefs in my preseason Super Bowl predictions and have continued to express faith in their title outlook all season long: they have so many ways to win.
Kansas City ranks ninth in point differential (plus-58) through 10 weeks, but it still hasn't lost a game in its last 15 tries (including the postseason) and looks to have a stranglehold on the AFC West and potentially the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
It's easy to be disenchanted by the Chiefs' uneven start, but they still look better than they did last season. And we know how that turned out.
You won't win kudos from your friends for betting on Kansas City, though you're still more likely to cash your bet on this group than any other in the NFL. We've seen that ring true each of the last two seasons with a similar cast of characters.
This group isn't as healthy as the last two, especially on offense, but I trust Mahomes to find his safety valve in the postseason and ride that to victory. That's especially true now that the Chiefs added DeAndre Hopkins to an injury-riddled receiving corps.
If they win a third straight Super Bowl, a $10 bet at FanDuel would return a $43 profit.
Best odds: +430 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 18.87%
Lions (+460)
Look up "find a way to win" on Google, and don't be surprised if the Chiefs show up first. However, the Lions would be next on that coveted list.
Talk about a comeback of the ages; the Lions harnessed their coach's never-say-die attitude to win in Houston despite going into halftime 16 points down. Not only that, but Detroit won despite QB Jared Goff throwing five picks.
Winning a game when your quarterback throws five interceptions is a feat on its own, but doing so against another Super Bowl contender (or, at least, a division leader) is incredibly impressive.
This is clearly the best team in the NFC, and that alone means Detroit is a compelling value to reach the Super Bowl for the first time in franchise history.
We already know the Lions will be contenders in their messy conference, and a $10 bet right now at BetRivers would return a $50 profit if they finish the job.
Best odds: +500 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 16.67%
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Ravens (+600)
It feels like every week Lamar Jackson does something the mind struggles to comprehend, even though the eyes just watched it. This week it was running back forever while looking lost for a second, and then surging ahead for nearly a touchdown.
That was a key moment in Baltimore's fourth-quarter explosion on Sunday, though it was an eruption that still nearly fell short, with the team's poor defense almost wasting Jackson's brilliance.
Nonetheless, Jackson shined again while throwing for 290 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. He's thrown a mere two interceptions all season, with his last one coming in Week 6.
Voter fatigue is often real, which is one of many factors tied to why repeating as the MVP is incredibly difficult. But Jackson is putting up an even better season than last year for the Ravens, who are still in position for a top seed with an 7-2 record.
If Jackson can lead this team to its first title in over a decade, a $10 bet at BetMGM would result in a $60 profit.
Best odds: +600 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 14.29%
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My Super Bowl pick to watch
Falcons (+3000)
I've highlighted Atlanta time and time again this season, and our best sportsbooks continue to price the Dirty Birds as a relative afterthought even as they lead the NFC South entering Week 11.
Admittedly, their Week 10 performance in New Orleans against the Saints didn't shout Super Bowl contenders.
However, the performance wasn't as bad as the loss suggests. Younghoe Koo made just 1-of-4 field-goal attempts in the 20-17 loss - the first time in his career that he missed three field goals in a single game.
Despite throwing away (or, more aptly, kicking away) those nine points, the Falcons had a chance to tie the game late but couldn't get into field goal range after Kirk Cousins fumbled late and took a huge loss.
At this rate, Atlanta is setting itself up to host a playoff game in January, but it still sits outside the top six in title odds in the NFC. I've been a believer in the roster talent for the Falcons since before this season began, and I still like what I've seen over the first half of the season.
If you also believe in the Falcons, now is the time to act, especially with DraftKings offering such generous +5000 odds that would turn a winning $10 ticket into a $500 profit.
Best odds: +5000 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 1.96%
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Vegas Super Bowl odds
Vegas Super Bowl odds from Circa Sports.
| Team | Odds (Circa) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +365 | 21.51% | $36.50 |
| Lions | +450 | 18.18% | $45 |
| Ravens | +530 | 15.87% | $53 |
| Bills | +720 | 12.20% | $72 |
| 49ers | +850 | 10.53% | $85 |
| Eagles | +1100 | 8.33% | $110 |
| Packers | +1650 | 5.71% | $165 |
| Vikings | +1650 | 5.71% | $165 |
| Texans | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
The best sportsbooks in Las Vegas have the same consensus view as the rest of the market: it's Kansas City and then everyone else.
Only eight teams feature betting odds shorter than 25/1 at Circa Sports, and none have better odds than the two-time Super Bowl champions.
The Lions jumped into the second spot amid a seven-game win streak, while the Ravens remain in the mix behind the MVP favorite.
AFC championship odds
The Chiefs are still the team to beat in the AFC after an undefeated start. The Ravens are right behind them while the Bills loom amid their own win streak.
(AFC Conference odds via FanDuel)
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chiefs | +185 |
| Ravens | +310 |
| Bills | +400 |
| Texans | +950 |
| Chargers | +1500 |
| Steelers | +1500 |
| Bengals | +2200 |
| Dolphins | +3500 |
| Broncos | +5500 |
| Colts | +6000 |
| Jets | +7000 |
| Browns | +43000 |
| Raiders | +55000 |
| Titans | +60000 |
| Jaguars | +100000 |
| Patriots | +100000 |
NFC championship odds
The NFC feels wide-open after the first two months of the season.
The 49ers are no longer the favorites with a below .500 record. The conference seems like it will go through the NFC North with the Lions looking like the best team in football and the Vikings having won two in a row.
(NFC Conference odds via FanDuel)
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Lions | +195 |
| Eagles | +430 |
| 49ers | +550 |
| Packers | +900 |
| Vikings | +1100 |
| Commanders | +1200 |
| Falcons | +1200 |
| Cardinals | +2100 |
| Rams | +4000 |
| Buccaneers | +5500 |
| Seahawks | +5500 |
| Bears | +15000 |
| Saints | +15000 |
| Cowboys | +60000 |
| Giants | +100000 |
| Panthers | +100000 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
| 49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
| Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
| Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
| Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
| Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
| Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
| Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
| Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
| Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
| Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
| Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
| Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
| Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
| Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
| Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
| Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
| Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
| Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
| Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
| Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Past Super Bowl winners
| Year | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
| 2022 | Rams | +1200 |
| 2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
| 2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2019 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
| 2017 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2016 | Broncos | +900 |
| 2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
| Team | Appearances | Wins |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 11 | 6 |
| Steelers | 8 | 6 |
| 49ers | 8 | 5 |
| Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
| Broncos | 8 | 3 |
| Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
| Giants | 5 | 4 |
| Packers | 5 | 4 |
| Commanders | 5 | 3 |
| Raiders | 5 | 3 |
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is the Super Bowl favorite?
The Kansas City Chiefs are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with odds of +430, which imply an 18.87% chance they hoist a third straight Lombardi Trophy.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025.
Where will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes:
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Detroit Lions
- Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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