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Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes greets fans as he leaves the field after the win over the Denver Broncos as we analyze the 2025 Super Bowl odds.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes greets fans as he leaves the field after the win over the Denver Broncos. Photo by Denny Medley via Imagn Images

The Kansas City Chiefs pulled off their greatest escape of the season with a 16-14 Week 10 victory over the Denver Broncos, blocking a last-second 35-yard victory to maintain their unbeaten start. 

They remain the 2025 Super Bowl odds favorites (+420), trading just ahead of the Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens. The Lions pulled off a gritty comeback against the Houston Texans despite Jared Goff tossing five picks.

With Dan Campbell -- who is among the Coach of the Year odds favorites -- pulling off such an improbable comeback road victory against another Super Bowl contender, one has to wonder if any team can prevent his Lions from making a Super Bowl run. 

The Baltimore Ravens scored at will against the Cincinnati Bengals, mainly thanks to NFL MVP odds favorite Lamar Jackson. Their 35-34 TNF victory cemented their place as the third-biggest favorite across our Super Bowl betting sites.

Super Bowl odds 2025

Super Bowl odds from our best sports betting sites; last updated Nov. 11 and subject to change.

Super Bowl favorites

TeamFanDuel oddsImplied probabilityProfit on a $10 bet
Chiefs+42019.23%$42.00
Lions +50016.67%$50.00
Ravens+60014.29%$60.00
Bills+80011.11%$80.00
49ers+10009.09%$100.00
Eagles+10009.09%$100.00
Texans+20004.76%$200.00
Packers+23004.17%$230.00
Commanders+24004.00%$240.00
Vikings+25003.85%$250.00
  • Chiefs (+420): Kansas City prevailed again in Week 10. Despite its 9-0 record, Kansas City is just 4-4-1 against the spread. That won't matter in the slightest to head coach Andy Reid and Co.
  • Lions (+500): Detroit's Super Bowl odds remained unchanged after its Week 10 comeback victory against the Texans. The Lions overturned a 16-point halftime deficit to prevail in Houston
  • Ravens (+600): Baltimore's odds shortened slightly after its nail-biting win over the Bengals on Thursday, moving from +650 to +600
  • Commanders (+2400): Washington is among the 10 favorites despite narrowly losing to Pittsburgh (28-27) in Week 10
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Super Bowl contenders

TeamOdds (FanDuel)Implied probabilityProfit ($10 bet)
Commanders+24004.00%$240
Steelers+28003.45%$280
Falcons+31003.13%$310
Bengals+45002.44%$450
Chargers+45002.44%$400
Rams+55001.79%$550
Cardinals+55001.79%$550
  • Commanders (+2400): Washington lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers, its first defeat in four. However, it played another excellent game for the most part and deserve to be considered among the Super Bowl contenders.
  • Falcons (+3100): Atlanta saw its odds decrease from +2500 to +3100 after the Week 10 loss to the Saints in New Orleans
  • Steelers (+2800): The AFC North-leading Steelers have won four in a row and three straight since Russell Wilson took the helm. They have averaged 30.3 points per game with Wilson under center
  • Bengals (+4500): Cincinnati saw its odds lengthen from +4000 to +4500 after losing to Baltimore in Week 10

Super Bowl long shots

TeamOdds (BetMGM)Implied probabilityProfit ($10 bet)
Seahawks+125000.79%$1,250
Buccaneers+125000.79%$1,250
Broncos+150000.66%$1,500
Dolphins+200000.50%$2,000
Bears+250000.40%$2,500
Colts+250000.40%$2,500
Saints+500000.20%$5,000
Cowboys+1000000.10%$10,000
Jaguars+1000000.10%$10,000
Browns+1000000.10%$10,000
Giants+1000000.10%$10,000
Panthers+1000000.10%$10,000
Patriots+1000000.10%$10,000
Raiders+1000000.10%$10,000
Titans+1000000.10%$10,000
  • Seahawks (+8000): Time is running out for Seattle after another division loss dropped Mike Macdonald's group to 4-5 ahead of their Week 11 tilt against the 49ers
  • Broncos (+15000): Denver should have beaten the Chiefs. While we've heard that before, the Broncos' defense is good enough to make every contest interesting
  • Saints (+50000): New Orleans became the second team to make a head coaching change this season when firing Dennis Allen following a seventh straight loss. It followed that with a home victory over NFC South rivals the Atlanta Falcons

2025 Super Bowl favorites

Chiefs (+420)

There's a reason I highlighted the Chiefs in my preseason Super Bowl predictions and have continued to express faith in their title outlook all season long: they have so many ways to win.

Kansas City ranks eighth in point differential (+58) through 10 weeks, but it still hasn't lost a game in its last 14 tries (including the postseason) and looks to have a stranglehold on the AFC West and potentially the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

It's easy to be disenchanted by the Chiefs' uneven start, but they still look better than they did last season. And we know how that turned out.

You won't win kudos from your friends for betting on Kansas City, but you're still more likely to cash your bet on this group than any other in the NFL. We've seen that ring true each of the last two seasons with a similar cast of characters.

This group isn't as healthy as the last two, especially on offense, but I trust Mahomes to find his safety valve in the postseason and ride that to victory. That's especially true now that the Chiefs added DeAndre Hopkins to an injury-riddled receiving corps.

If they win a third straight Super Bowl, a $10 bet at FanDuel would return a $42 profit.

Best odds: +420 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 19.23%

Lions (+500)

Look up "find a way to win" on Google, and don't be surprised if the Chiefs show up first. However, the Lions would be next on that coveted list.

Talk about a comeback of the ages; the Lions harnessed their coach's never-say-die attitude to win in Houston despite going into halftime 16 points down. Not only that, but Detroit won after Jared Goff through five picks.

Now, Goff is looking to join the likes of Terry Bradshaw as one of only three quarterbacks to toss five interceptions in a game before culminating the season with a Super Bowl trophy. 

Winning a game where your quarterback throws five interceptions is a feat on its own, but doing so against another Super Bowl contender is incredibly impressive.

They are inarguably the best team in the NFC, which their 8-1 record reflects. 

We already know the Lions will be contenders in the messy NFC field, and a $10 bet right now at bet365 would return a $50 profit if they finish the job.

Best odds: +500 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 16.67%

Ravens (+600)

It feels like every week Jackson does something the mind struggles to comprehend, even though the eyes just watched it.

This week it was running back forever while looking lost for a second, and then surging ahead for nearly a touchdown.

That was a key moment in Baltimore's fourth-quarter explosion on Sunday, though it was an eruption that still nearly fell short, with the team's poor defense almost wasting Jackson's brilliance.

Nonetheless, Jackson shined again while throwing for 290 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. He's thrown a mere two interceptions all season, with his last one coming back in Week 6.

Voter fatigue is often real, which is one of many factors tied to why repeating as the MVP is incredibly difficult. But Jackson is putting up an even better season than last year for the now 7-2 Ravens who sit third leaguewide.

If Jackson can lead this team to its first title in over a decade, a $10 bet at FanDuel would result in a $60 profit.

Best odds: +600 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 14.29%

My Super Bowl pick to watch

Falcons (+3100)

I've highlighted Atlanta plenty of times this season, and our best sportsbooks continue to price the Dirty Birds as a relative afterthought even as they lead the NFC South entering Week 11. 

Admittedly, their Week 10 performance in New Orleans against the Saints didn't shout Super Bowl contenders.

However, the performance wasn't as bad as the loss suggests. Younghoe Koo made just 1-of-4 field goal attempts in the 20-17 loss, the first time in his career that he missed three field goals in a single game.

Despite throwing away, or, more aptly, kicking away 12 points, the Falcons had a chance to tie the game late but couldn't get into field goal range after Kirk Cousins fumbled late and took a huge loss. 

At this rate, Atlanta is setting itself up to host a playoff game in January, but it still sits outside the top six in title odds in the NFC.

I've been a believer in the roster talent for the Falcons since before this season began, and I like what I've seen over the first half of the season. If you also believe in the Falcons, now is the time to act.

Their odds lengthened from +2800 to +5000 at DraftKings after the Week 10 loss. 

If Raheem Morris can lead this group to a title in Year 1, a $10 bet at DraftKings would return a $500 profit in February.

Best odds: +5000 via DraftKings| Implied probability: 1.96%

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Vegas Super Bowl odds

Vegas Super Bowl odds from Circa Sports.

TeamOdds (Circa)Implied probabilityProfit ($10 bet)
Chiefs+37021.28%$37
Lions+50016.67%$50
Ravens+53515.75%$53.50
Bills+75011.76%$75
49ers+89010.10%$89
Eagles+14006.67%$140
Packers+16505.71%$165
Vikings+16505.71%$165
Texans+20004.76%$200

The best sportsbooks in Las Vegas have the same consensus view as the rest of the market: it's Kansas City and then everyone else.

Only nine teams feature betting odds shorter than 20/1 at Circa Sports, and none have better odds than the two-time Super Bowl champions.

The Lions jumped into the second spot after last week's 52-14 statement win over the Titans. They're dealing just ahead of the Ravens, who also lost in last year's conference championship round like Detroit.

AFC championship odds

The Chiefs are still the team to beat in the AFC after an undefeated start. The Ravens are right behind them while the Bills loom amid their own win streak.

(AFC Conference odds via BetMGM)

TeamOdds
Chiefs+185
Ravens+260
Bills+350
Texans+1200
Steelers+1300
Chargers+1800
Bengals+2200
Jets+8000
Dolphins+8000
Broncos+8000
Colts+12500
Jaguars+50000
Browns+75000
Titans+75000
Raiders+100000
Patriots+100000

NFC championship odds

The NFC feels wide open after the first two months of the season.

The 49ers are no longer the favorites with a below .500 record. The conference seems like it will go through the NFC North with the Lions looking like the best team in football and the Vikings having won two in a row. 

(NFC Conference odds via BetMGM)

TeamOdds
Lions+190
49ers+500
Eagles+500
Vikings+900
Packers+1000
Commanders+1100
Falcons+1600
Rams+2200
Cardinals+2200
Buccaneers+6000
Seahawks+6600
Bears+12500
Cowboys+25000
Saints+25000
Panthers+50000
Giants+75000

How to bet on the Super Bowl

Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.

First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.

That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.

That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.

How to read Super Bowl odds

A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.

Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.

A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.

As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.

You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.

Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams

TeamDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Chiefs+500+550+500+575 +550
49ers+600+600+600+625 +550 
Ravens+1000+1100 +1000+900+900
Lions+1200+1200+1200+1000 +1200
Bengals+1300+1500 +1300+1300+1200 
Eagles+1400 +1300+1200 +1300+1400
Bills+1600+1700+1600+1700+1200 
Texans+1600+1500+1600+1300 +1600
Packers+1800+1800+1600+1700+1600
Jets+1900+1800+2000+1700 +1800
Cowboys+1900+1800+2000+1600+1600 
Dolphins+2200+2200+2500+2500+2500
Rams+3000+3000+3000+2500 +3000
Falcons+3000+2600+3000+2800+2500 
Bears+3500+3500+3500+3500+3000 
Browns+4000+3500 +4000+4000+4000
Chargers+4500 +4000+4000+3500+3500
Steelers+5000+5000+5000+4500+4000 
Jaguars+5000+4500+5000+4500+4500
Seahawks+6500+5500 +6600+8000 +6600
Colts+7500+5500 +8000 +6000+6000
Buccaneers+8000+6500 +8000+9000 +6600
Vikings+8000+8000+10000 +8000+8000
Cardinals+10000+8000 +12500+12500+10000
Saints+10000+10000+10000+10000+8000 
Raiders+10000+10000+15000 +6000 +8000
Commanders+12000+12000+15000+15000+12500
Titans+15000+15000+15000+15000+15000
Giants+20000+15000+20000+20000+10000 
Broncos+20000+25000 +15000+15000+12500 
Panthers+25000+25000+25000+20000 +25000
Patriots+35000 +30000+30000+27500+15000 

Past Super Bowl winners

YearTeamPreseason odds
2024Chiefs+600
2023Chiefs+900
2022Rams+1200
2021Buccaneers+1000
2020Chiefs+600
2019Patriots+600
2018Eagles+4000
2017Patriots+600
2016Broncos+900
2015Patriots+650

Super Bowl wins and appearances by team

TeamAppearancesWins
Patriots116
Steelers86
49ers85
Cowboys85
Broncos83
Chiefs64
Giants54
Packers54
Commanders53
Raiders53

Super Bowl FAQs

Who is the Super Bowl favorite?

The Kansas City Chiefs are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with odds of +420, which imply a 19.23% chance they hoist a third straight Lombardi Trophy.

Who won the Super Bowl last year?

The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.

When will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?

Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025.

Where will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?

The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.

How to watch Super Bowl 2025

FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.

Who has the most Super Bowl wins? 

The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most. 

Who has the most Super Bowl appearances? 

The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.  

When was the first Super Bowl? 

The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged. 

Which team won the first Super Bowl? 

The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.

How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl? 

Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes:

  • Arizona Cardinals
  • Atlanta Falcons
  • Buffalo Bills
  • Carolina Panthers
  • Cincinnati Bengals
  • Cleveland Browns
  • Detroit Lions
  • Houston Texans
  • Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Los Angeles Chargers
  • Minnesota Vikings
  • Tennessee Titans

Super Bowl betting odds pages

Don't miss our all of our other NFL futures.

Here are our best Super Bowl betting sites:

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