betting on heavy favorites

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  • rumble
    SBR Rookie
    • 10-17-09
    • 2

    #1
    betting on heavy favorites
    In which sport do heavy favorites have the greatest probability of winning and the least likelihood of being upset? Baseball, football, basketball? And is there a difference between the college and pro leagues?
  • maxdalury
    Restricted User
    • 05-28-09
    • 67

    #2
    the chances of winning are directly linked to the line for that game, no matter the sport
    Comment
    • Ruifgalmeida
      SBR MVP
      • 04-23-08
      • 2024

      #3
      I would say football, but dont bet on heavy favourites, normaly is where bookies put all the juice, making it not very profitable, my favourites bets is beting on dogs in mlb and nhl
      Comment
      • juuso
        SBR MVP
        • 10-04-05
        • 2896

        #4
        Either basketball or football.
        Comment
        • PAPSMEAR
          SBR MVP
          • 02-13-09
          • 2581

          #5
          In general - Best Basketball. Worst Baseball.
          Comment
          • Reload
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-23-08
            • 12244

            #6
            Basketball would get my vote. One turnover in a football game or one swing of the bat in baseball can change a whole game. But it takes a lot of back and forth action in basketball for a good team to be beat.
            Comment
            • IrishTim
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-23-09
              • 983

              #7
              Bad NBA teams rarely beat the elite ones when the better team is at home.
              Comment
              • man3645
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-18-09
                • 269

                #8
                Betting on heavy Favs is an easiest way to loose money,
                but Irish is right...
                Last edited by man3645; 10-17-09, 10:49 PM.
                Comment
                • IrishTim
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-23-09
                  • 983

                  #9
                  Originally posted by man3645
                  Betting on heavy Favs is an easiest way to loose money,
                  ...especially when parlaying them. But if you insist on playing large favorites, then look hit the top tier NBA teams at home.
                  Comment
                  • Domestic
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-10-09
                    • 6323

                    #10
                    Worst: NHL and Baseball
                    Best: Basketball
                    Comment
                    • teaserpleaser
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-14-08
                      • 26016

                      #11
                      Originally posted by IrishTim
                      ...especially when parlaying them. But if you insist on playing large favorites, then look hit the top tier NBA teams at home.
                      ohio state
                      Comment
                      • roasthawg
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-09-07
                        • 2990

                        #12
                        Originally posted by maxdalury
                        the chances of winning are directly linked to the line for that game, no matter the sport
                        This is the correct answer.
                        Comment
                        • IrishTim
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-23-09
                          • 983

                          #13
                          Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                          ohio state
                          Is Ohio St an elite NBA team?
                          Comment
                          • teaserpleaser
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-14-08
                            • 26016

                            #14
                            Originally posted by IrishTim
                            Is Ohio St an elite NBA team?
                            If you say so, thread title says heavy favorites (ohio state -590 yesterday) Pryor would probably make one hell of a Shooting Guard
                            Comment
                            • grilldoggy
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 10-20-07
                              • 30

                              #15
                              I think baseball would be worst for this. Football best, carefully done.
                              Comment
                              • Ace_of_Spades
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-14-09
                                • 13518

                                #16
                                Soccer
                                Comment
                                • IrishTim
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 07-23-09
                                  • 983

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                                  ... Pryor would probably make one hell of a Shooting Guard
                                  Probably should've stuck with basketball considering how this QB thing is turning out for him.
                                  Comment
                                  • IrishTim
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-23-09
                                    • 983

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades
                                    Soccer
                                    All the draws make soccer a nightmare to wager on. Nothing but bad experiences with that sport.
                                    Comment
                                    • Ace_of_Spades
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-14-09
                                      • 13518

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by IrishTim
                                      All the draws make soccer a nightmare to wager on. Nothing but bad experiences with that sport.
                                      Doesn't happen often with teams like Barcelona/Real/Chelsea/Arsenal and United.
                                      Comment
                                      • Nickelicious
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-21-09
                                        • 2647

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades
                                        Doesn't happen often with teams like Barcelona/Real/Chelsea/Arsenal and United.
                                        Two words for Barcelona: Rubin Kazan!
                                        Comment
                                        • Ace_of_Spades
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-14-09
                                          • 13518

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Nickelicious
                                          Two words for Barcelona: Rubin Kazan!
                                          How often does that happen? Will that cost them a chance in the Knockout Stage? No it won't.
                                          Comment
                                          • PASS IT ON
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-04-09
                                            • 453

                                            #22
                                            the more points scored in a game the better chance the best team wins, soccer baseball hockey = any team can score 1-0 and win the game, basketball tends to let more scoring oppurtunities with the best team (hopefully) scoring more.
                                            Comment
                                            • PASS IT ON
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 10-04-09
                                              • 453

                                              #23
                                              with soccer i like the DRAW NO BET FEATURE, so even if ur team takes a draw u get ur money back, (mayb only an aussie thing)
                                              Comment
                                              • andywend
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-20-07
                                                • 4805

                                                #24
                                                Moneylines are not always based on the spread even within the same sport.

                                                For example, compare the moneyline of a 16 point dog in NBA basketball early in the season as compared to late in the season.

                                                The 16 point dog might be +1500 early in the season and can be +3000 or higher late in the season once eliminated from playoff contention.

                                                However, with few (if any) exceptions, the larger the favorite, the better chance of them winning.
                                                Comment
                                                • Ace_of_Spades
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-14-09
                                                  • 13518

                                                  #25
                                                  I tell you this, Soccer is the most profitable sport to bet on.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by PASS IT ON
                                                    with soccer i like the DRAW NO BET FEATURE, so even if ur team takes a draw u get ur money back, (mayb only an aussie thing)
                                                    Not strictly Aussie or Euro, I have seen that option at North American books. I prefer 3-ways myself, but sometimes the 2-way does have value.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pavyracer
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-12-07
                                                      • 82475

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by rumble
                                                      In which sport do heavy favorites have the greatest probability of winning and the least likelihood of being upset? Baseball, football, basketball? And is there a difference between the college and pro leagues?
                                                      Soccer. Heavy favorites rarely lose unless there is a fix.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hillardoh
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 09-08-09
                                                        • 510

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by maxdalury
                                                        the chances of winning are directly linked to the line for that game, no matter the sport
                                                        this really depends if you play the moneyline on heavy favorites you can win against low ranked teams
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dwaechte
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 08-27-07
                                                          • 5481

                                                          #29
                                                          Jesus christ lol. Someone chimes in with the only correct answer possible with the very first response and we still get 10 ridiculous answers afterwards...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Alvisar
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 07-05-09
                                                            • 80

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by IrishTim
                                                            All the draws make soccer a nightmare to wager on. Nothing but bad experiences with that sport.
                                                            I agree, soccer is a nightmare especially when you are not familiar with it. I play light bets on soccer during the week sometimes, but only after studying and research and usually only making one play at a time.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • aggieshawn
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-24-07
                                                              • 4377

                                                              #31
                                                              my computer sucks cant read the forum today
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cinpls081
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 05-09-08
                                                                • 655

                                                                #32
                                                                are you guys really this stupid? The odds are the odds. a -300 fav in any sport has the same % chance of winning or losing. This is the dumbest question of all time
                                                                Comment
                                                                • blix177
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 09-20-08
                                                                  • 1520

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Coin Flip has the least chance of being upset. Since there are no favs
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shantystar
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-13-05
                                                                    • 7299

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by rumble
                                                                    In which sport do heavy favorites have the greatest probability of winning and the least likelihood of being upset? Baseball, football, basketball? And is there a difference between the college and pro leagues?
                                                                    NFL
                                                                    Comment
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