First, these aren't spot plays. These are more about me feeling the itch to gamble.
PACERS ATS
Nothing like the game 4 matchup where I came across an insane trend. Instead, I am looking at pertinent numbers.
-I think the Pacers win this game, but the fact that Miami can explode at anytime has me hesitant to pound Indiana in a closeout game.
Chicago -160
This may very well be homerism going on here. I love my hawks. However, at least I can provide some solid reasoning for my homer pick.
Generally speaking, Quick gives them a real ability to win this. Hawks, I feel, are just too good - and the stats support it. However, if you play based on value - the value is on the Kings in this game, no question.
Anyway, good luck. Would love to cash these.
PACERS ATS
Nothing like the game 4 matchup where I came across an insane trend. Instead, I am looking at pertinent numbers.
- Pacers 5-0 ATS last 5 after following a loss
- Pacers 7-1 ATS at home
- In series that fluctuate back and forth like this one has, the winner of Game 5 only wins game 6 45% of the time
- Very basic line making has the Pacers as 2 pt favorites
-I think the Pacers win this game, but the fact that Miami can explode at anytime has me hesitant to pound Indiana in a closeout game.
Chicago -160
This may very well be homerism going on here. I love my hawks. However, at least I can provide some solid reasoning for my homer pick.
- LA 1-11 in their last 12 road games
- LA 3-7 in their last 10 in Chi-Town
- LA has been anemic on offense, averaging 1.25 goals per game
- CHI wrecks teams that scored less than 2 goals in their last game (38-13) - the LA avg gives more credence to this being meaningful.
Generally speaking, Quick gives them a real ability to win this. Hawks, I feel, are just too good - and the stats support it. However, if you play based on value - the value is on the Kings in this game, no question.
Anyway, good luck. Would love to cash these.