BGs Speed Plays

[BGboothA]

Hey boys, its been a while. But I wanted to come back and share some new thinking and post a small experiment here. I have back tested these on the 12,000+ races I have in my database thus far and it has proven to have a positive ROI thus far, including some really really good days.

Longstory short, it has to do with a large (80+) advantage in either HBD Early Pace or HBD Late pace along with some other positively tested factors added in there as well.


Speed plays for 07/08/2014
MNR R01 - 10 JAI GANESHA (200+ EP) 3/1
MNR R03 - 1 MARVEY MARLEY (120+ LP) 6/1
MNR R04 - 7 DIAMOND MIND (250+ EP) 6/5
MNR R07 - 3 MINING TOWN (250+ EP) 8/1
MNR R09 - 3 BETTY'S ROSE (80+ EP) 6/1
FLX R05 - 2 MUY MAN (80+ EP) 6/1
FLX R06 - 1 RADICAL STORM (280+ EP) 6/1
PHA R01 - 2 LAGUNA MY WAY (240 +EP) 8/5
PHA R06 - 2 PETER'S LEGEND (90+ EP) 6/1
PHA R07 - 5 BLUECAM (100+ EP) 7/2
FEX R06 - 5 HEY NOW (120+ EP) 3/1

Here are all of the qualified plays for today, personally I am likely not going to play any of them that fall below 5/2. There looks to be some good value here.

Ohh and I only play them on Fast / Firm track conditions. Good luck all.

[BGboothA]

PHA R01 - 2 LAGUNA MY WAY (240 +EP) 8/5

Won easily by 5 lengths. But went off at 4/5

[elway7]

I got 5$ on peters legend

[BGboothA]

I got 5$ on peters legend

Good luck to us!

[BGboothA]

Well that didn't go real well yesterday a couple of nice paying show bets, but only one winner.

Here we go again today.

TDN R04 - 6 STRONG BRUSH (EP) 6/1
WO R02 - 6 BEARALLEGS (EP) 12/1
PID R02 - 5 LAST LAUGH NOW (EP) 3/1
BEL R03 - 3 ROAD AGENT (EP) 7/2
SUF R02 - 1 WITHOUT VIRTUE (LP) 5/2
SUF R06 - 6 GIT ON BOB (EP) 6/1
SUF R08 - 3 AMELIA ROSE (LP) 3/1
IND R08 - 10 GET UP GIRL (LP) 6/1
DEL R08 - 3 GIGI'S ALIKE (EP) 6/1

[tlafer]

Nice hit at TDN, 41.00 winner.

[Seastriper]

Nice Job Today :P

[BGboothA]

TDN R04 - 6 STRONG BRUSH (EP) 6/1	Winner	41.00/15.80/6.60
WO R02 - 6 BEARALLEGS (EP) 12/1		OutOfMoney
PID R02 - 5 LAST LAUGH NOW (EP) 3/1 NP	Winner	6.20/2.60/2.10
BEL R03 - 3 ROAD AGENT (EP) 7/2	3rd	/ /5.20
SUF R02 - 1 WITHOUT VIRTUE (LP) 5/2 NP	Winner	3.00/2.20/2.10
SUF R06 - 6 GIT ON BOB (EP) 6/1	3rd	/ /4.20
SUF R08 - 3 AMELIA ROSE (LP) 3/1 NP		OutOfMoney
IND R08 - 10 GET UP GIRL (LP) 6/1	2nd	/6.40/3.40
DEL R08 - 3 GIGI'S ALIKE (EP) 6/1	Winner	7.60/4.00/3.60

Not too bad! 9 races, 4 winners, 1 second and 2 third place finishers. A couple of them didn't get played due to my conditional wagers, but twinspires account had a good day!

[Seastriper]

You deserved it! WTG

[BGboothA]

July 10th
PRM R09 - 3 POETS REASON (EP) 10/1
APX R08 - 4 PAPER MAKER (EP) 8/1
FLX R05 - 6 GOOD TO BE ME (EP) 20/1
CBY R06 - 4 BONITA RITA (EP) 4/1
LSX R04 - 4 KIERA DREAM (EP) 20/1

Not many qualified races today. Had a few that qualified but they were heavy M/L favorites at 2/1 or better.

[Seastriper]

July 10th
PRM R09 - 3 POETS REASON (EP) 10/1
APX R08 - 4 PAPER MAKER (EP) 8/1
FLX R05 - 6 GOOD TO BE ME (EP) 20/1
CBY R06 - 4 BONITA RITA (EP) 4/1
LSX R04 - 4 KIERA DREAM (EP) 20/1

Not many qualified races today. Had a few that qualified but they were heavy M/L favorites at 2/1 or better.

FL is first so hope the day starts off right like yesterday... GOOD LUCK BUD!!!

[BGboothA]

FL is first so hope the day starts off right like yesterday... GOOD LUCK BUD!!!

Yeah I don't list them by time, they are just listed as they come in the report that I run.

[str]

Yeah I don't list them by time, they are just listed as they come in the report that I run.

Great job BG !

Keep up the good work.

[tlafer]

Hey BG your experiment is over? You aren't going to post anymore plays?