MrG&T Turf Only Discussion
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#36Comment -
#37Bombs away there today. Place is so damn tough. I struggle there.Comment -
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#42A friend reminded me of this thread.. Gonna take a crack at this again. Can't seem to find a record of ROI so gonna start fresh. For simplicity, gonna use $2WP wagering.
GP Race 1 7 1/2f turf for 2yr fillies
10- Tequa (ML 8-1)
12- Honorary Guest (12-1)
10- Tequa switching to Ortiz, I will help, and MSW to ** should also help. She ran ok last time at 1 mile
12- Honorary Guest, Paco sticking to her, she is out of Tapizar, but the damn is out Giant's Causeway, so should be able to handle turf. Trainer Kelly has very numbers on 2nd starts and turf sprints and 2yr olds.
At these prices, I will take a shot.
Risking $8.00Comment -
#43A friend reminded me of this thread.. Gonna take a crack at this again. Can't seem to find a record of ROI so gonna start fresh. For simplicity, gonna use $2WP wagering.
GP Race 1 7 1/2f turf for 2yr fillies
10- Tequa (ML 8-1)
12- Honorary Guest (12-1)
10- Tequa switching to Ortiz, I will help, and MSW to ** should also help. She ran ok last time at 1 mile
12- Honorary Guest, Paco sticking to her, she is out of Tapizar, but the damn is out Giant's Causeway, so should be able to handle turf. Trainer Kelly has very numbers on 2nd starts and turf sprints and 2yr olds.
At these prices, I will take a shot.
Risking $8.00Comment -
#44OK Mr. G&T. good to see you have revived this thread. Look forward to your insights. GL moving forward.Comment -
#45A friend reminded me of this thread.. Gonna take a crack at this again. Can't seem to find a record of ROI so gonna start fresh. For simplicity, gonna use $2WP wagering.
GP Race 1 7 1/2f turf for 2yr fillies
10- Tequa (ML 8-1)
12- Honorary Guest (12-1)
10- Tequa switching to Ortiz, I will help, and MSW to ** should also help. She ran ok last time at 1 mile
12- Honorary Guest, Paco sticking to her, she is out of Tapizar, but the damn is out Giant's Causeway, so should be able to handle turf. Trainer Kelly has very numbers on 2nd starts and turf sprints and 2yr olds.
At these prices, I will take a shot.
Risking $8.00
Total risked: $8.00
Total return: $0.00Comment -
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#48
The experts at DRF pick the 4 and 8 as their top pick. I personally don't like either horse. I don't see a lot of pace in this race. So I am gonna go with the 6- Pizzazz (ML 2-1) and long shot 7- Royal Blend (ML 20-1).
6- Pizzazz (ML 2-1)
7- Royal Blend (ML 20-1)
Risking $8.00
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#49GL Mr. G&T. will Watch the race hereComment -
#50Gonna play DRF Race of the Day, SA Race 7, The Blue Norther Stake; 1 mile Turf for fillies.
The experts at DRF pick the 4 and 8 as their top pick. I personally don't like either horse. I don't see a lot of pace in this race. So I am gonna go with the 6- Pizzazz (ML 2-1) and long shot 7- Royal Blend (ML 20-1).
6- Pizzazz (ML 2-1)
7- Royal Blend (ML 20-1)
Risking $8.00
Total risked: $16.00
Total return: $0.00
GP Race 11
$2WP 5- Spun Glass (ML 12-1)
$2WP 10- Miss Deplorable (ML 12-1)
Risking: $8.00
Happy New Year to all!Comment -
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#52KEE Race 9-
MSW for fillies at 1 1/16 mile Turf, on paper, the 7- Black Sand is bred too and bottom for turf, her debut was down heavily, considering how she broke poorly, she ran fairly well. Making her 3yr old debut after 9 months off is probably the only concern. But Chad Brown is amazing with these types of layoff. Gets lasix for the first time, she has tactical speed, all angles are telling me the 7 should win easily. The question is who will complete the exacta. Most probably think the 3 (Wesley Ward firster) or the 4 (last race ran huge compared to this group). But I’m also gonna take a shot at the 10- Jawhara (ML 20-1), I love the sire Declaration of War, a sire that has done well with dirt and turf. she was previously trained by Linda Rice. Also gonna play the 1-My Sweet Story (ML 15-1), she is by Afleet Alex who I think a underrated turf sire. Trainer is an under the radar type, but Graham is a decent turf ride and with inside post, should take advantage.
$10W 7- Black Sand (ML 9-5)
$4WP 1,10 (just in case a long shot wins)
$4Ex 7/1,3,4,10
$2Ex 1,3,4,10/7
Risking $50Comment -
#53KEE Race 9-
MSW for fillies at 1 1/16 mile Turf, on paper, the 7- Black Sand is bred too and bottom for turf, her debut was down heavily, considering how she broke poorly, she ran fairly well. Making her 3yr old debut after 9 months off is probably the only concern. But Chad Brown is amazing with these types of layoff. Gets lasix for the first time, she has tactical speed, all angles are telling me the 7 should win easily. The question is who will complete the exacta. Most probably think the 3 (Wesley Ward firster) or the 4 (last race ran huge compared to this group). But I’m also gonna take a shot at the 10- Jawhara (ML 20-1), I love the sire Declaration of War, a sire that has done well with dirt and turf. she was previously trained by Linda Rice. Also gonna play the 1-My Sweet Story (ML 15-1), she is by Afleet Alex who I think a underrated turf sire. Trainer is an under the radar type, but Graham is a decent turf ride and with inside post, should take advantage.
$10W 7- Black Sand (ML 9-5)
$4WP 1,10 (just in case a long shot wins)
$4Ex 7/1,3,4,10
$2Ex 1,3,4,10/7
Risking $50
1- second @ 60-1; paid $74.80
Total risked: $74.00
Total return: $74.80Comment -
#54GP Race 1
1mile Turf for a bunch of cheap claimers...
2-Kayseri (ML 15-1) looks like the pacesetter, if she is allowed to walk the dog, she might just take them all the way. Last was first start after 7 months layoff, should run better this time, at 13-1 now, will take a shot.
9-Skye Snow (ML 3-1) should have a great trip stalking from the outside. Last two were closed at the same level (both times were placed). She is 4yr old and out of Lemon Drop Kid (one of my favorites) and has the most consistent Beyer numbers. Should win this.
$10WP 9- Skye Snow (ML 3-1)
$2WP 2- Kayseri (ML 15-1)
$4Ex 9-2
$2Ex 2-9
risking $30Comment -
#55GP Race 1
1mile Turf for a bunch of cheap claimers...
2-Kayseri (ML 15-1) looks like the pacesetter, if she is allowed to walk the dog, she might just take them all the way. Last was first start after 7 months layoff, should run better this time, at 13-1 now, will take a shot.
9-Skye Snow (ML 3-1) should have a great trip stalking from the outside. Last two were closed at the same level (both times were placed). She is 4yr old and out of Lemon Drop Kid (one of my favorites) and has the most consistent Beyer numbers. Should win this.
$10WP 9- Skye Snow (ML 3-1) winner; paid $53.00
$2WP 2- Kayseri (ML 15-1) no good; think she would have done better if she didn't have to pull up a bit because of the 7
$4Ex 9-2 no good
$2Ex 2-9 no good
risking $30
Total return: $127.80Comment -
#56KEE Race 6
A field of 7 going 1 1/8 on the turf with a bunch of these are coming off of a layoff or a long layoff... ML favorite is the 1- Master Piece (ML 2-1) trained by Chad Brown, and the 2- Factor This (ML 3-1) trained by Brad Cox. Both have graded stakes wins on their resume. I like the 3- Jais's Solitude (ML 6-1) who is out of Afleet Alex (who as I said before is one that I think it's an underrated turf sire). His last race was an optional claiming race at 1 3/8 off of an 8 months layoff that was pretty good. He hugged the rail and got second. But his previous races were pretty good IMO. He lost to Zula Alpha by 3 lengths at 1 1/2, and 2 lengths to Admission Office at 1 1/2. I think 1 1/2 might be too far for him. He has tactical speed, and on paper, looks like there should be a good pace and he should sitting in midpack or even towards the back and a good run before the closer 4-Hay Dakota.
$10WP 3- Jais's Solitude (ML 6-1)
$2ExB 1,3,4Comment -
#57KEE Race 6
A field of 7 going 1 1/8 on the turf with a bunch of these are coming off of a layoff or a long layoff... ML favorite is the 1- Master Piece (ML 2-1) trained by Chad Brown, and the 2- Factor This (ML 3-1) trained by Brad Cox. Both have graded stakes wins on their resume. I like the 3- Jais's Solitude (ML 6-1) who is out of Afleet Alex (who as I said before is one that I think it's an underrated turf sire). His last race was an optional claiming race at 1 3/8 off of an 8 months layoff that was pretty good. He hugged the rail and got second. But his previous races were pretty good IMO. He lost to Zula Alpha by 3 lengths at 1 1/2, and 2 lengths to Admission Office at 1 1/2. I think 1 1/2 might be too far for him. He has tactical speed, and on paper, looks like there should be a good pace and he should sitting in midpack or even towards the back and a good run before the closer 4-Hay Dakota.
$10WP 3- Jais's Solitude (ML 6-1)
$2ExB 1,3,4
My play is:
$10WP 3- Jais's Solitude (ML 6-1)
$2ExB 1,3,7Comment -
#58KEE Race 8
5 1/2f Turf Allowance, I think if 6-Senora Roma (ML 8-1) can display that speed like last time, she will be long gone, if she falters, the 8- Veruca (ML 8-1) should have the ideal trip sitting right outside of the 6 and pounce turning for home. Including a closer for 5- Zero to Sixty (ML 10-1) for the exacta box.
$10WP 6,8
$2ExB 5,6,8Comment -
#59Gl today MrGandT!Comment -
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#61KEE Race 8
5 1/2f Turf Allowance, I think if 6-Senora Roma (ML 8-1) can display that speed like last time, she will be long gone, if she falters, the 8- Veruca (ML 8-1) should have the ideal trip sitting right outside of the 6 and pounce turning for home. Including a closer for 5- Zero to Sixty (ML 10-1) for the exacta box.
$10WP 6,8
$2ExB 5,6,8Comment -
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#64KEE Race 8
5 1/2f Turf Allowance, I think if 6-Senora Roma (ML 8-1) can display that speed like last time, she will be long gone, if she falters, the 8- Veruca (ML 8-1) should have the ideal trip sitting right outside of the 6 and pounce turning for home. Including a closer for 5- Zero to Sixty (ML 10-1) for the exacta box.
$10WP 6,8
$2ExB 5,6,8Comment -
#65#6 Just didn't have to the end. I liked the #1, ran well. No time to play today, thought I would. Also, I'd put that #9 in your stable, horrible start and great close.Comment -
#66Lost second by a nose.... disappointed in the 5 & 8. The 1&3 both just broke maiden, I lose every time, when I bet them they lose and when I don’t they win...Comment -
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#68KEE Race 8
5 1/2f Turf Allowance, I think if 6-Senora Roma (ML 8-1) can display that speed like last time, she will be long gone, if she falters, the 8- Veruca (ML 8-1) should have the ideal trip sitting right outside of the 6 and pounce turning for home. Including a closer for 5- Zero to Sixty (ML 10-1) for the exacta box.
$10WP 6,8
$2ExB 5,6,8
Total risked: $188.00
Total return: $127.80Comment -
#69Yeah. I love betting the ones that just break maiden, usually good value, especially if they go way up in class.Comment -
#70Gonna try this thread again
CD Race 2
$10WP 9- Sousa Summer
$5Ex 9/2,3Comment
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