UK equine & canine pari-mutuel angles

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30040

    #1
    UK equine & canine pari-mutuel angles
    copy & paste this research I did with various word and data, if you want to consider investigation.

    UK greyhounds
    Bitches (female): ealiest races (10AM>12AM local/5AM-7AM EST) over Dogs (male)
    "forgotten dog": 4th/5th (of 6+) fave odds rise just before post (for hedge, inclusion, outright)

    UK horses: favorites do stronger:
    early races, low classes (4-5), length 1-3 mi,
    # of runs last 30 days: 0/1. last 90: 0-2. Favor low # of races in career
    PP's (boxes) 1,2
    Races since last win: Never won, Debut, 0
    Class moves: Down 2, Down 3+
    Top Weight or Bottom Weight in race. (both good)
    2 y.o. only races - favorite - class 3-5, track in firm/hard/good
    Maiden favorites - latest races of the day

    when doubling up on wins: limit is ONE TIME
    when doubling up on losses: limit is FOUR TIMES

    Dutch strategy: 1Fav, 2Fav split bet to win same amt.

    Fibonacci staking (8 or 13 max)

    This sequence progresses by summing the two preceding numbers, yielding: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34
    - seek same-odds dogs, at approx. 2-1/3-1

    Maria staking

    odd profiles:
    </= 3.5 (7/2): 1% of br
    >/= 3.6 but </= 7.4 .6%
    >/= 7.5 (15/2) but </= 11 .4%

    If making profits, the stakes are increased on a daily basis in proportion to the br (bankroll) on a daily basis.
    If after a days betting the cumulative betting bank has decreased the stakes are left alone unless 35% of the highest level of the bank is lost - after which the stakes set to 65% of normal until br is at original
    Last edited by Snowball; 02-20-25, 12:43 PM.
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