Rugby World Cup 2011 Challenge

[ExodusNZ]

Hey

RWC Challenge!

Ill keep stats on any picks made. And personally use this thread to post my own RWC picks.

Please use the following format when betting.

3rd Sept

Eels -1.5 : Risking 3 Units @ 1.9

Tigers/Tigers : Risking 2 Units @ 1.52

Warriors -6.5 : Risking 3 Units @ 1.85

All bets made on TAB NZ

Good luck!!

P.S GO THE ALL BLACKS

[ExodusNZ]

Ill start off with a 4 Option Multi / Parlay Bet

1) Winner of Pool A - New Zealand
2) Winner of Pool B - England
3) Winner of Pool C - Australia
4) Winner of Pool D - South Africa

Risking 4 Units @ $2.22 (TAB NZ)

England and South Africa will bring their A games to the RWC and should clean up in their pools

[ExodusNZ]

Tonga +65.5 : Risking 2 Units @ 1.909 (Pinnacle)

Japan +46.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.885 (Pinnacle)

Fiji -30.5 : Risking 2 Units @ 1.901 (Pinnacle)

[ExodusNZ]

Tonga +65.5 : Risking 2 Units @ 1.909 (Pinnacle) :: WIN

Japan +46.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.885 (Pinnacle) :: WIN

Fiji -30.5 : Risking 2 Units @ 1.901 (Pinnacle) :: LOSE

YTD 2-1 : +3.358 Units


ALSO:

Rather than bet for the All Blacks to win the RWC (@ $1.65 = $65 Profit) - I thought Id start a rolling All Blacks bet instead and try to make some value out of them winning the World Cup (So basically ill only bet Head to Head options in the later stage of the tournament - And a few other options in pool play against the weak teams) - Basically I stand to lose $100. And make alot more than $65 if the All Blacks win the tournament.


I was not going to post this on the forum so did not post the first bet.



Bet was:


$100 @ $1.17 - NZ to score first



New AB's Total $117


I have no reason to lie about the bet but can post a screenshot of the bet if needed

[ExodusNZ]

Argentina +5.5 (Half time bet) : Risking 2 Units @ 1.87 (TAB NZ)

[ExodusNZ]

Argentina +5.5 (Half time bet) : Risking 2 Units @ 1.87 (TAB NZ) :: WIN

YTD 3-1 : +5.098 Units

[ExodusNZ]

Italy +28.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.952 (Pinnacle)

It is pouring down here, will be hard for Aussie to score alot of points.

USA +32.5 : Risking 3 Units @ 1.80 (TAB NZ)

Wales +13.5 : Risking 2 Units @ 1.87 (5 Dimes)

[beefcake]

GO USA...Screw O'Driscoll..That coach is going to have em figured out!

[astrobloke]

Thanks for the weather update Exodus.

My under bet looks good if it keeps raining. We shall see.

And good luck to All. These WC games are awesome.

[ExodusNZ]

Thanks for the weather update Exodus.

My under bet looks good if it keeps raining. We shall see.

And good luck to All. These WC games are awesome.

Rain has cleared, not sure how that will affect the ground. But the wind is crazy ATM.

Will update if any change

[beefcake]

That wind is going to affect the total big time. IMO italy playing the in southern Hemisphere is absolute shit..Good luck with your bet but the Aussies could do the beatdown..

[NEW_WORLD]

thanks for italy

[ExodusNZ]

Italy +28.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.952 (Pinnacle) :: WIN

USA +32.5 : Risking 3 Units @ 1.80 (TAB NZ) :: WIN

Wales +13.5 : Risking 2 Units @ 1.87 (5 Dimes) :: WIN

YTD 6-1 : +13.046 Units

[ExodusNZ]

Australia -11 : Risking 8 Units @ 1.90 (Bet 365)
Went a bit crazy here with Australia. Stand to lose more than half of my RWC profit (which I made over the last 7 pool games). Ireland will start strong, especially after seeing the game against Italy, but see Australia overcoming/countering this. Ireland didn't exactly put the USA team to bed.

Tonga -6 : Risking 4.4 Units @ 1.90 (Bet 365)
Expecting Tonga to come out firing against a Canadian team who haven't gotten over their first game jitters yet.

Georgia +19.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.87 (Pinnacle)
Missed out of Georgia +22.5 - Still should be a solid play


Rolling ABs bet.

Bet 1. All Blacks to score first : $100 @ 1.17 :: WIN [New Total $117]
Bet 2. All Blacks Win : $117 @ 1.01

[MrXYZ]

Thanks for the RWC picks, I was on all 3 yesterday. Nothing beats a sweep!

[ExodusNZ]

Had to sweat it out in the Aussie game!

[borgsta]

Geogia +21.5 : Risking 4 units @ $1.90 (Centrebet)

Japan +59.5 : Risking 4 units @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)
These lines have been way too big all tournament. This is another.

[Optional]

Canada* +7 -115 vs Tonga 2U
Canada* +220 vs Tonga .5U
Namibia* +30½ -115 vs Samoa 1U

5Dimes


Think Tonga will have trouble peaking again so soon after facing the All Blacks. Plus the score in that match flattered them imho. The Canadians were praised for their defense in lead up games, whilst still scoring plenty of points. They were ranked ahead of Tonga pre-tourney and think it will go back to that way after this match.

Namibia has made a couple of attack minded team changes from the Fiji match where they scored 25. If that's any gauge, I don't like Samoa's chances of scoring 56+

[ExodusNZ]

Sorry for the confusion - I like this play, but made 3 bets on the same selection - Would have been nice to have all units on +33.5

Namibia +30 : Risking 1 Unit @ 2.00 (Bet 365)
Namibia +31.5 : Risking 2 Units @ 1.87 (TAB NZ)
Namibia +33.5: Risking 1 Unit @ 1.87 (TAB NZ)

Japan +56.5 : Risking 3 Units @ 1.87 (TAB NZ)

[ExodusNZ]

A few decent changes to the Tongan team, players going back to their preferred positions etc - Should help them beat Canada

[astrobloke]

Geogia +21.5 : Risking 4 units @ $1.90 (Centrebet)

Japan +59.5 : Risking 4 units @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)
These lines have been way too big all tournament. This is another.

I am on the NZ vs Japan Game Too +58.5

With a few NZ star players out hurt or injured...I really think Japan and their NEVER SAY DIE attitude can cover this.

Good luck.

[benrama]

Good picks so far Exodus, I'm on Georgia, and just booked in Japan and Namibia too - love backing the underdog, half the fun of these bets.

[ExodusNZ]

Tonga -6 :R isking 4.4 Units @ 1.90 (Bet 365) :: LOSE
Disappointing Tongan team, now they are basically out of the world cup!

Namibia +30 : Risking 1 Unit @ 2.00 (Bet 365) :: LOSE
Namibia +31.5 : Risking 2 Units @ 1.87 (TAB NZ) :: LOSE
Namibia +33.5: Risking 1 Unit @ 1.87 (TAB NZ) :: LOSE


Georgia +19.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.87 (Pinnacle) :: WIN

I made another bet at half time for Georgia +15.5 @ $2.00 (TAB NZ) - But as it was not posted it will not count towards the stats - No point lying/making up stats!

Daily: 1-2 -4.92 Units

YTD 7-3 : +8.216 Units


Active Bets:

Australia -11 : Risking 8 Units @ 1.90 (Bet 365)
Japan +56.5 : Risking 3 Units @ 1.87 (TAB NZ)

Rolling AB Bet
Bet 2. All Blacks Win : $117 @ 1.01

[ExodusNZ]

Stats for Optional:

Canada* +7 -115 vs Tonga 2U :: WIN
Canada* +220 vs Tonga .5U :: WIN
Namibia* +30½ -115 vs Samoa 1U :: LOSE

Optional: YTD 2-1 : +1.839 Units

[ExodusNZ]

Stats for borgsta

Geogia +21.5 : Risking 4 units @ $1.90 (Centrebet) :: WIN

Active Bets:

Japan +59.5 : Risking 4 units @ $1.92 (Sportsbet).

borgsta: YTD 1-0 : +3.6 Units

[Optional]

USA -6.5 v Russia $1.73 (-137) to win 1U Betfair

[ExodusNZ]

USA (Half Time) -3.5: Risking 2 Units @ 1.70 (TAB NZ)
USA/USA (Full time/half time double) : Risking 2.60 Units @ 1.70 (TAB NZ)

UPGRADED - Japan +56.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.87 (TAB NZ) [Previously was 3 Units - Bought another unit's worth today]

[astrobloke]

I like it Exodus

4 words for you!

.lets....rob.....some.....bookies.....

LOL.

[ExodusNZ]

I like it Exodus

4 words for you!

.lets....rob.....some.....bookies.....

LOL.

Hahah! Lets hope so

Have sports training tonight so no live betting! Damn!!

[therealdealau]

tailed the half time line thank you sir good call, good luck with your future plays

[ExodusNZ]

USA (Half Time) -3.5: Risking 2 Units @ 1.70 (TAB NZ) :: WIN
USA/USA (Full time/half time double) : Risking 2.60 Units @ 1.70 (TAB NZ) :: WIN

Daily: 2-0 +3.22 Units

YTD 9-3 : +11.346 Units


Active Bets:

Australia -11 : Risking 8 Units @ 1.90 (Bet 365)
Japan +56.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.87 (TAB NZ)

Rolling AB Bet
Bet 2. All Blacks Win : $117 @ 1.01

[ExodusNZ]

Stats for Optional:

USA -6.5 v Russia $1.73 (-137) to win 1U Betfair :: WIN

Optional: YTD 3-1 : +2.569 Units

[Optional]

All Black margin of victory 51-60 is being offered at $4.00 on betfair.

Am I wrong in thinking that seems pretty good value for a shot with the books setting it from 57.5 to 54.5?

[ExodusNZ]

Its hard to say, its no where near the 'final' starting line up, but alot of the players are fighting for a starting spot in later games. Ie if Mills was playing I would have expected an awesome game from him as Dagg is / was (before another injury) played great

Anyways my point is that it will high scoring, just hope it falls in between the spread !

[ExodusNZ]

Guys regarding the JAP Vs All Blacks game today.

Gusty wind with the odd shower is expected during the game! I am already on the japs +58 and still like this bet, in fact I would not be surprised to see japan score once (i will give them that) and that mean AB has to cover by 70 odd points, and in not so nice weather....So I still think the Japan + 58 still makes me feel it is the right choice here.

GOOD LUCK

Great points here!