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Nuggs aren't very good off a win anyway. not sure why it is worse under this condition.
https://killersports.com/nba/query?s....%22&plot_PL=1Comment -
Lakers qualify for a road trend of big favs that's good for progressive betting.
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This trend is a contrast to other nuggets and heat trends hitting 73% ats.
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Fade the favs trend is against the lakers tonight. favs off a in against a good team only cover 32% over last 5 seasons. lakers are red hot ats going 13-3 since end of last season.
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this over trend is 68% since last season. has gone under 4 of last 5.
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Lakers and Celts qualify for 57% trend of big away favs.
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bulls are 4-15-1 ats against teams avg over 42 rebounds per game last 20. they give up 119 ppg and get outrebounded by avg of +5 in these matchups.
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i see a lot of offensive rebounding trends and their effect on the following game. i don't understand how it makes much of a difference, but it may have to do with effort in that past game. anyways, philly covers often after poor off. rebounding night.
33-7 ats.
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This is a great trend because not only does it hit almost 62%, but its also high frequency and consistent over 5 years. very good for progressive betting. favors the magic tonight.
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the magic as a dog after a road loss play low scoring games. they are 6-29 o/u last few seasons.
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the wizards suck by they are 9-1 su and 10-0 ats facing a team off an overtime game.
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in the pacers favor, i'm not sure why this trend is so hot, but teams with no rest after a road game and facing a team avg over 15 turnovers are 27-3 ats since end of last season including 10-1 this season. odd because in seasons prior it was in the 50 pct range.
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another heavy under trend for mavs game is 7-36 o/u since last season.
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Hornets are 5-2 ats this season and 14-5 ats going back to end of last season. guess the may not be as dead as many thought they would be.
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spurs haven't been very good at home as defense is giving up over 109 ppg.
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Thunder are 14-30 under as a dog. the personnel is a lot different. same coach. have gone 3-1 ats as a dog this season as team has shown effort.
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Suns are now 7-0 ats to start the season and are playing solid ball holding teams to 43% shooting.
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this trend hits 62% ats and has missed on last 3. thunder in play tonight.
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Thanks for this thread. I hope folks appreciate what you're doing.Comment -
teams off a win as fav where opponent made at least 10 more ft's are 35-17 ats following game since last season: thunder
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thanks conqueror. i just hope people don't assume a win because of a trend.Comment -
based on everything tonight, i am teasing thunder and hornets. in ncaaf i am teasing llaf and usf. a strong nhl trend is vegas as away dog. they are 2-13 as a road dog since last season. line has moved from -127 to -151. gl tonight.Comment -
i think every trend was off last night. especially the thunder who just couldn't stop aldridge at all giving up almost 40 to him.Comment -
The play on the board today that caught my eye is portland. they are struggling on defense giving up 114 ppg going back through last season. they have also lost 3 in a row su/ats as cj has been struggling. the next 3 are against nets, hawks and kings. nets defense is even worse as they are 2-9 ats going back to last year giving up 123 ppg. really seems like a game where portland can right the ship at home and get a win over the nets.Comment -
the mavs are also a team that gives up a points at home. they give up 112 ppg at home and are 4-13 ats going back to last season. the knicks on the other hand can't score, but they have scored over 100 in 5 of 6 road games. the tt is 101.5 for knicks. think the knicks give up a bunch to mavs but good shot at going over their tt.
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speaking of the magic, they were on a 1-11 o/u run before playing at the mavs. tonight they play another team with high scoring matchups in memphis. they have given up 120+ in 4 of 7 games. not sure the magic keep it under against this team.
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pels another bad defense team going tonight. they are 6-1 o/u giving up 124 ppg and 1-6 su; 2-5 ats.
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as far as good defenses the nuggets are 7-24 o/u as a fav and are allowing just over 101 ppg. they have only one over this year and it was at the pels.
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the other good defensive team that people are just starting to pay attention to is the lakers. they are 7-25 o/u as a home fave since jan '18 only giving up 102 ppg. they are also 13-4 ats since late last season.
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Pistons are a terrible dog going 27-44 ats since jan last season. this team is currently ideal for progressive betting.
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Nuggets held previous opp under 90 pts and teams that do that as small to medium favs in next game cover 74% ats.
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