Couple thoughts on the games

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  • europe_baller
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-01-12
    • 859

    #1
    Couple thoughts on the games
    So last night magic main pick didn't go as planned .. Nuggets won easy, spurs lost bad last quarter and cavs push that could go either way but they competed hard like I thought.. Let me know what you all think

    Kings(+7.5) 3*** and ML 1 unit at 3.8 - I just don't think Raptors are that great IMO(not that I wasn't wrong before lol)..They are good don't get me wrong, but I think they got too much credit.. They even covered vs Magic and were down with 3 minutes to go..Lowry likes to beg for fouls but if Kings continue to play better like they did last 2 games I can see them having a chance to win here. Giles would be nice addition if he suits up to go against Siakam since Bjelica is not athletic enough but is smart player.. Fox should control tempo here.. Line dropped from 8.5 and I just like this spot here..

    Wash(+4) - I like them here if Sabonis doesn't play. I haven't placed a bet yet.. They can't be trusted yet but they have some athletic guys and played much better defense vs Pistons last game. Also, best player on the court is on their team. If Indy doesn't have Sabonis most of the scoring has to come from warren and Brogdon and they played overtime game and lost.. They are still better team but I am leaning Wizards here..

    Utah ML - It took a lot for Suns to beat this philly team without Embiid.. Now he is back and they are better with him of course but Horford will have less touches and Harris as well.. Utah is great defensive team and if they can slow down Philly they will have a chance to win this at home. Utah can struggle at times offensively but I expect good games from their main guys.. Concern is if Embiid gets Gobert in foul trouble.. Still thinking about few of these but just wanted to hear some opinions..

    Magic(+7.5) - I would be really pissed if they covered here and I skipped them..Might have to play them for that reason only..Like IBet wrote yesterday not sure if I can watch it again though...

    Also leaning Bulls ML but Young is a stud.. Good luck all
  • IBetYou
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-03-15
    • 8149

    #2
    Grizz & Clippers have my eye tonight, ATS. A pair of dogs that nobody wants to bet.

    Bucks are a juggernaut but Coach Rivers just the type to steel his men for a major upset (OK only +5.5, but would feel like a major upset without Leonard & George).

    T'Wolves started the season great but I don't think they're special. I don't like Teague nor Wiggins nor the African guys (Dieng/ Okogie) ...they're expected to win by 5.
    Comment
    • europe_baller
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-01-12
      • 859

      #3
      Originally posted by IBetYou
      Grizz & Clippers have my eye tonight, ATS. A pair of dogs that nobody wants to bet.

      Bucks are a juggernaut but Coach Rivers just the type to steel his men for a major upset (OK only +5.5, but would feel like a major upset without Leonard & George).

      T'Wolves started the season great but I don't think they're special. I don't like Teague nor Wiggins nor the African guys (Dieng/ Okogie) ...they're expected to win by 5.
      I agree.. Clipps have some guys that can throw at Giannis..Harkless, Green.. Lou is going to run that offense and 5.5 at home yeah.. I was looking at that too especially if it gets to 6 or so... If they dont turn the ball over they might be able to get to the shooters..

      Memphis too.. They beat Nets at home, played good vs Lakers for a while.. Jones vs old team, Ja Morant should eb able to get by teague but would hope Jackson plays for them... Minnesota is nothing special on the road and thats why I bet Nets first game but they were great lol..
      Comment
      • europe_baller
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-01-12
        • 859

        #4
        Originally posted by IBetYou
        Grizz & Clippers have my eye tonight, ATS. A pair of dogs that nobody wants to bet.

        Bucks are a juggernaut but Coach Rivers just the type to steel his men for a major upset (OK only +5.5, but would feel like a major upset without Leonard & George).

        T'Wolves started the season great but I don't think they're special. I don't like Teague nor Wiggins nor the African guys (Dieng/ Okogie) ...they're expected to win by 5.
        Nice call on grizz.. I played them too and parlayed with kings spread.. Magic are in it for now too hehe..if i listened to you for spurs last night it could have been great lol
        Comment
        • IBetYou
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-03-15
          • 8149

          #5
          Yup, good bounce back effort by the Magic. Vucevic playing well made all the difference.

          Watching the Clips game now. Might need L.Williams to go for 60 to get this cover
          Comment
          • IBetYou
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-03-15
            • 8149

            #6
            YES!!!

            haha... gotta love Bledose. Why inbound the ball when you can dribble it in? Gotta be Shaqtin a fool of the year. What was he thinking?

            Good night for us both
            Comment
            • europe_baller
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-01-12
              • 859

              #7
              Originally posted by IBetYou
              YES!!!

              haha... gotta love Bledose. Why inbound the ball when you can dribble it in? Gotta be Shaqtin a fool of the year. What was he thinking?

              Good night for us both
              Haha nicee.. clipps fought ..some interesting games today..I went with Phoenix a lot of these games but Heat might take this...also suns covered every single game so far....I like spurs again lol and kind of blazers..but will see..
              Comment
              • europe_baller
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-01-12
                • 859

                #8
                Spurs and Heat won and covered.. blazers not covering was a shame..But they know how to fold at the end of the games..nothing new
                Comment
                • europe_baller
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-01-12
                  • 859

                  #9
                  I like nuggets -3 today.. think they are better and deeper team. Minny playing well but if Denver shows up they should cover here..
                  Comment
                  • europe_baller
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-01-12
                    • 859

                    #10
                    Ugh...horrible beat...
                    Comment
                    • europe_baller
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-01-12
                      • 859

                      #11
                      Pelicans +6 and small ML - Both teams play no defense or still struggling even though Rockets played better in 2nd half vs Bulls. Pelicans had toughest schedule so far while rockets are second to the easiest. Both teams can score and I think 6 points here can be too much to cover for Houston and first game finished with 3 point victory for Rockets. This should be open till the end and can see upset straight up.

                      Warriors +8 - If you give me a team that plays hard in this league I would take them most of the time against spread. They are not great, far from it, but all play for contracts and something to prove. Russell can help score some and Green is back tonight as well as Paschall. I played them ATS vs OKC and they covered it after being down 20. I think they will give full effort and maybe a small letdown from Utah after couple big wins.

                      Originally I was leaning Mavs +4 but I will stay away.. I can see it finishing around those 3,4 points or to be decided late in the game.. Hayword will be a big blow for Celtics but they have some long guys on the wing that can make a life bit tougher on Doncic. Also leaning toward Minnesota today since Blake is back and it will take them a bit to get everyone in line and MInny shot horrible yesterday but a lot of those shots were not so great. They missed some wide open too.. So staying away for now...


                      Good luck all
                      Comment
                      • IBetYou
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 07-03-15
                        • 8149

                        #12
                        I wonder if the Spurs smash their game tonight. Got whipped by the Celtics previously. Tonight they retire Parker's jersey (post-game I think) ...so maybe they put this one to bed early. 11pts is the handicap. Grizz have played 3 road games to date, none of them competitive.
                        Comment
                        • europe_baller
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-01-12
                          • 859

                          #13
                          They should.. but spread is quite a bit and for a reason.. They were so lazy and bad last game vs Celtics I couldn't believe it.
                          Comment
                          • IBetYou
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-03-15
                            • 8149

                            #14
                            Murray vs Morant is an interesting matchup. Murray with the experience & length, Morant with the quickness. Grizz really don't have much besides Morant, and that's their problem.
                            Comment
                            • Vulcan300
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-11-11
                              • 806

                              #15
                              New season let's get it, i felt the same on pistons but feel like the way blake plays the time for adjustment is minimal. Like that drose is in the lineup against the team that traded him. I don't use b2b angles unless they are on the road like this game. Twolves from past years i know play with no heart, vs a team that's been running on it. So i gave this a stab.


                              edit:
                              rip lol should't went with my first gut pick on wolves.
                              Last edited by Vulcan300; 11-11-19, 09:23 PM.
                              Comment
                              • IBetYou
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-03-15
                                • 8149

                                #16
                                Did put a bit on the Spurs in the end. Stupid bet ..bet on sentimentality over product on the floor.
                                Comment
                                • Vulcan300
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-11-11
                                  • 806

                                  #17
                                  don't even know what's going on with that team terrible start and no ones hurt.
                                  Comment
                                  • IBetYou
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-03-15
                                    • 8149

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Vulcan300
                                    don't even know what's going on with that team terrible start and no ones hurt.
                                    Too few shooters. Stuck playing 90s ball. Dropped the ball when they traded Bertans -head scratching move.
                                    Comment
                                    • europe_baller
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-01-12
                                      • 859

                                      #19
                                      Yeah I didnt know if they traded him or he left for contract.. Bertans is hell of a shooter and very fundamentally sound guy.. He knows how to play. Spurs too slow and nonathletic. Of course I lost my warriors bet, pelicans luckily pushed but didn't know Ingram was out.. Minny won easy and when lined moved to -3 I liked Celtics but never bet them.. Bad night... A lot of good games today.. On first look I like Thunder, Nets even Pistons maybe...Need to look more into Suns and kings games.. No fox for few weeks..
                                      Comment
                                      • IBetYou
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 07-03-15
                                        • 8149

                                        #20
                                        Watched the Nawlins game. Rockets had the cover in the bag but Westbrick was trying to pad his assist total in the final mins LOL ...lots of live ball turnovers. Guy's got a screw loose.
                                        Comment
                                        • europe_baller
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-01-12
                                          • 859

                                          #21
                                          Yeah, but I think Gentry lost it when took out Jrue and Reddick on like 8 minute mark.. Harden went on 14-0 run by himself.. Jrue is a good defender and left a lot of players in there who cant get their shot.. I dont understand that.. Soon as they started doubling harden and making russ and pj hit shots and make plays they started chipping away.. To my defense I placed bet not knowing Ingram was going to be out
                                          Comment
                                          • europe_baller
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-01-12
                                            • 859

                                            #22
                                            Pistons(+7.5) - vs Heat .. Too many points here IMO.. Heat have couple players injured, couple under ? but regardless bet is more about Pistons.. I expect bounce back game from Drose and Drummond.. They are good enough to keep it close even though Heat have best home defense so far..I like Snell on Butler and hopefully both Blake and Drose play there..Heat are more solid team but once Detroit get all of them healthy and playing they are not that far behind Heat..
                                            Comment
                                            • IBetYou
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 07-03-15
                                              • 8149

                                              #23
                                              I can't imagine Griffin playing -only played half the game last night. Load management. Don't expect Rose to play either.
                                              Comment
                                              • IBetYou
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-03-15
                                                • 8149

                                                #24
                                                Suns maybe... A popular pick now I assume! (8-1 ATS)

                                                Davis questionable, which suggests they will get a more favourable line later when he's cleared.

                                                Lakers are a monster though. Made short work of the HEAT recently -the same HEAT team that thumped the Suns.
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                                                • europe_baller
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-01-12
                                                  • 859

                                                  #25
                                                  They are already managing it by playing him 24 minutes lol.. It is becoming a joke all around the league..
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                                                  • europe_baller
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-01-12
                                                    • 859

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by IBetYou
                                                    Suns maybe... A popular pick now I assume! (8-1 ATS)

                                                    Davis questionable, which suggests they will get a more favourable line later when he's cleared.

                                                    Lakers are a monster though. Made short work of the HEAT recently -the same HEAT team that thumped the Suns.
                                                    Yeah but it was expected for me and I played Heat that game..heat played perfect that game Butler and Dragic hit every big shot not to allow suns to come back.. Suns folded after they beat Philly.. But they played Jazz very tough should have won and beat Clippers home too.. They play great but not sure I will bet them vs Lakers.. I am looking at OKC.. Pacers havent played a west coast team yet.. They are good at home and everything but Thunder are playing good kind of stuck in the middle there.. T
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                                                    • Vulcan300
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 02-11-11
                                                      • 806

                                                      #27
                                                      lebron after an ats loss is always a plus, he's aware clippers took care of business vs raptors so should see them up for this game.
                                                      AD lately always shows as probable for games with that shoulder, he still plays. They seem to always release this info teasing he won't play dropping the line. fine with that.

                                                      Like the nets with points, they have denver after this; so fatigue should hit there. refs went after the fro, literally took him out the game. like nets here with +7 and lakers -2.5.
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                                                      • Vulcan300
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-11-11
                                                        • 806

                                                        #28
                                                        tailed pistons FG, took pistons 1st QTR ML too; heat havn't touched a game in 4 days.

                                                        The Heat could end up quite shorthanded on Tuesday, as Tyler Herro (ankle) and Kelly Olynyk (knee) are questionable, while Derrick Jones Jr. (hip) and Justise Winslow (concussion) have already been ruled out. We will have another update on the Heat's walking wounded later today.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • europe_baller
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-01-12
                                                          • 859

                                                          #29
                                                          Also played OKC+3 and ML some, Nets+7 and small ML and Cavs +10.. OKC now dropped to +2.. Pistons +8.5 now..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • europe_baller
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-01-12
                                                            • 859

                                                            #30
                                                            Sixers -3.5 vs Thunder - thunder are killing me but all things equal philla is better team...they play good enough defense but theu turn the ball over or rest some guys and so on.. After bad game vs cavs and loss in Orlando I expect them focused and fully squad for this one.. Thunder on the other hand are much better at home but I think they get outplayed here..

                                                            Grizzlies +7.5 vs Jazz - Conley is back, memphis doesn't play many games on national TV I think they will be hyped for this one and confidence is good after 2 road wins.. Utah can struggle at times and I like Valanciunas vs Gobbert.. Big body to put on Rudy.. They should be able to keep it close..

                                                            Pacers +6 vs Rockets - Rockets keep winning because of Harden but man they are hard to watch.. That is no basketball and no Capela now.. Chandler will move in the lineup but Pacers are tough team that plays together.. They have balances attack and I expect Sabonis to give them problems down low..Bitadze is back.. they have no one really to check Harden maybe Holiday but that doesn't matter.... Clippers had and he dropped 47.. He gets calls all the time but if they can limit others they can win this one..

                                                            Spurs +3 vs Magic - Yes they are mess right now no defense at all.. But Magic have their own problems offensively and if Spurs try to play at least somewhat hard they will be able to gain some momentum. Magic play good defense but spurs can score still and they shot horrible last game vs Wolves.. This is good chance for them to get back on track.. I thought Minnesota was good chance but they just missed everything late 3rd and in the 4th...

                                                            Leaning Wizards +7 but not sure if I can play them against red hot Minnesota...Pistons should also win and cover in Charlotte but I dont trust Pistons yet.. Let me know what you all think..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • IBetYou
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 07-03-15
                                                              • 8149

                                                              #31
                                                              With you on the Grizz

                                                              Jazz have been trash on the road... playing better of late. I like the young Grizz though.

                                                              JV & Gobert faced off over the summer in the WC, and the former held his own. JV shoots the three these days which is important vs Gobert since he remains the premier paint protector in the league today.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • europe_baller
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-01-12
                                                                • 859

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by IBetYou
                                                                With you on the Grizz

                                                                Jazz have been trash on the road... playing better of late. I like the young Grizz though.

                                                                JV & Gobert faced off over the summer in the WC, and the former held his own. JV shoots the three these days which is important vs Gobert since he remains the premier paint protector in the league today.
                                                                Can they win straight up?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • IBetYou
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-03-15
                                                                  • 8149

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Yeah. I prefer to play it ATS though.
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                                                                  • europe_baller
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-01-12
                                                                    • 859

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Me too.. put some on ML.. what do you think of philla and pacers? I have not been doing great 3 or 4 days so trying to trim it down a bit lol..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • IBetYou
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 07-03-15
                                                                      • 8149

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Don't like the Sixers, though they've done OK to this point. Pacers going against a hot team, but maybe the Rockets suffer a letdown...
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