Oh no 
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I should have posted, but I was completely preoccupied yesterday.
The Chicago Bulls pick was nullified when the odds moved to favorites. We only take dogs.
See previous posts and you'll see that we only take pk odds or better. I'll create a signature to make sure this is a constant reminder.
IMPORTANT!
Picks are NULLIFIED when:
1. Two or more key players (ranked 1-6 on the team roster) are sidelined
2. 1Q odds move to worse than pkLast edited by shwang80; 12-24-24, 11:12 AM.Comment -
How do I change the signature??Comment -
Sneak peek into tomorrow's matchups, and we've got a lot of action. Time to suit up!
Miami Heat (1Q odds expected: +0.5)
Chicago Bulls (1Q odds expected: +2.0)
Detroit Pistons (1Q odds expected: +1.5)
It's time to collect some units. When the time comes, I'll make it official. Till then, be ready.
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IMPORTANT!
Picks are NULLIFIED when:
1. Two or more key players (ranked 1-6 on the team roster) are sidelined
2. 1Q odds move to worse than pkComment -
3 Unit Play Incoming!
Official picks for tonight
Miami Heat (1Q odds expected: +0.5)
- If both J. Butler (rank #1) and T. Rozier (rank #4) are sidelined tonight. This nullifies the pick. Watch for the line confirmation around 6:30pm ET.
Chicago Bulls (1Q odds expected: +2.0)
- This pick is confirmed. Safe to wager. I would wager early considering Atlanta has T. Young and B. Bogdanovic as GTD. The line may move slightly once they're confirmed.
Detroit Pistons (1Q odds expected: +2.0) -- getting an extra +0.5 on the line update
- This pick is confirmed. Safe to wager. I would wager early considering Sacramento has D. Sabonis as GTD. The line may move slightly once he's confirmed.
BOL to all who chooses to tail this play. 3 unit play incoming.
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Official picks for tonight
Miami Heat (1Q odds expected: +0.5)
- If both J. Butler (rank #1) and T. Rozier (rank #4) are sidelined tonight. This nullifies the pick. Watch for the line confirmation around 6:30pm ET.
Chicago Bulls (1Q odds expected: +2.0)
- This pick is confirmed. Safe to wager. I would wager early considering Atlanta has T. Young and B. Bogdanovic as GTD. The line may move slightly once they're confirmed.
Detroit Pistons (1Q odds expected: +2.0) -- getting an extra +0.5 on the line update
- This pick is confirmed. Safe to wager. I would wager early considering Sacramento has D. Sabonis as GTD. The line may move slightly once he's confirmed.
BOL to all who chooses to tail this play. 3 unit play incoming.
Thanks for posting .
In the det 1st qtr wager , if Sabonis is confirmed wouldn't it benefit us ? Detroit may gain another 0.5 to 1.0 pt for the 1st qtr ? Just making sure I understand.
Merry Xmas and best of luck . Thanks again.Comment -
You're right. I need my 2nd cup of coffee.Comment -
Miami locked in 1Q +0.5Comment -
Not to worry. Thanks for the confirmation. Same on the Atlanta also correct. If we have GTD in the opposing teams players , waiting to see if it goes higher is the benefit.
Thanks for the Mia Confirmation.
Parlayed the Mia 1st qtr plus +5.5 with Memphis ML . RAPS are horrid .Comment -
Chicago Bulls 1Q +2.0 locked in.Comment -
Miami 2Q -2.0 -108 locked inComment -
Miami 3Q -2.0Comment -
Pistons 1Q +1.5 Locked InComment -
Thanks.Comment -
Miami 4Q -1.5Comment -
Heat was the team whos messed me up the most in the past. Can't stand wagering for or against this team. My bad luck charm .Comment -
So much drama, but this is why the 4Q bet is necessary. 2 down. 1 more to go.
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Btw, I double my unit size after a 4Q cover. It doesn't happen often statistically, so I feel assured that the next wager will not go all 4Q again in the same sequence. That's just me though. No need to copy.Comment -
Pistons 2Q +1.5Comment -
Looks like we've taken all the hard matchups tonight. Here we go.Comment -
Found a pick ML 3rd -110 . Trying.Comment -
Some difficult matchups tonight, but we pulled through. 3-0 to the tally. Congrats to all who tailed.
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14.7% of games end in a clean sweep
So, half of those clean sweep matches are teams that lose all 4 quarters.
I have 8,014 games tracked since 2018.
1,178 games had clean sweep events.
Therefore, 589 teams were swept.
What idea did you want to explore with this?Comment -
Looks like no picks for tomorrow, but we may get some good picks for Saturday. Looks like Pistons for sure, and possibly Bucks based on how odds are published. Good night!Comment -
I'm a numbers person . I love the statistical aspect . I don't know if I can find it here , but there was an NBA Haltfime system that was very similar to this but used halftime spreads ... if I recall correctly , the trigger for the Road halftime system play was much like the JM ( Morrison system) , was triggered by a sweep. And yes , they also applied filters . Three games , 6 Halfs , so the chase was for 6 games as opposed to 4 and VERRRY few hit the E and F games. 95% were completed by the D .
Playing halfs , we still had to be on the ball , but it wasn't as tedious as ensuring you had a bet in each quarter since you had the 15 minute halftime cushion to get the wager in .
I'll see If I can find it and add the link just so you can have a peak for the hell of it.
In any case keep up the great work . 👍
Great record keeping . I wonder out of the 14.7% of the sweeps ( 7.35 % of nba teams as you mentioned) , I wonder if you breakdown the losers , were any of them TOP 5 nba teams ? Because If you found for instance , of the 7.35 % , The Nbas first place team never lost 4 quarters , this too would be gold for info.
Thank you again and wishing you continued luck . 😃Comment -
FOUND IT . HERE IS A COPY OF THE SYSTEM ..
The object of the NBA road system (halves/ats) is to play Against a road team that is out of its comfort zone and with the fatique factor involved. We play up to the Last 6 halves with the last half being optional of a 3 or more games road trip. Stop the series when a cover is made by the home team.
RULES:
1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of 3 or more games.
2. Play up to the Last 3 games of a road series until a cover is made.
3. Play the line for the 1st half and if it doesnt cover place your game bet at half time for the 2nd half for the 2nd play of the series. If there is still no cover after 2 plays, your 3rd play would be the 1st half of the 2nd game of the series and so on.
4. Any series that start before Christmas break must conclude before Dec. 22 or its a no play.
5. Series games must be 3 games or less or the series or the series or the series is a no play.
* 6 game series..... start with the 4th game of the series.
* 5 game series......start with the 3rd game of the series.
*4 game series.......start with the 2nd game of the series.
*3 game series.......start with the 1st game of the series.
Betting progression: Everyones bankroll is different. Bet accordinly.You may have to commit 100 - 150 units with outstanding series are not completed. Money Management.
First play ...........risk 1.1 to win 1.0
Second play......risk 2.3 to win 2.1
Third play ..........risk 4.85 to win 4.41
Fourth play ........risk 10.2 to win 9.26
Fifth play ...........risk 21.4 to win 19.46
Sixth play ...........optional
Example:
1st play : Dallas @ Port (1st half) risk 1.1 to win 1.0 .....results - loss
2nd play: Dallas @ Port (2nd half) risk 2.3 to win 2.1 ....results -loss
3rd play: Dallas @ Sac (1st half) risk 4.85 to win 4.41
The series ends with a cover on the 3rd play for 1unit winComment -
We only have one pick for tomorrow, but it's going to be a good one, I can feel it.
Detroit Pistons 1Q (system expects odds of +2.0)
Detroit has an AQW of 57.14% and Denver has an AQW of 50.00%. Detroit is well rested. Denver is playing a back-to-back and 3rd game in 4 nights. Denver just lost an exhausting battle against Cleveland 149 - 135 ... that's a crazy high scoring game from both teams. This tells me that Denver will absolutely be running of fumes tomorrow. I see a 1Q cover, 4Q cover, and perhaps even a ML play... but you do you. Only the quarter method counts for this thread.Comment -
"Everyones bankroll is different. Bet accordinly.You may have to commit 100 - 150 units with outstanding series are not completed. Money Management."
100-150 units bankroll is a crazy ask. I sweat bullets with my 20-22 units... I can't imagine what a 100-150 unit bankroll chase will do to my blood pressure.Comment