Fun fact: even with such a high scoring game, Denver was ATS swept.
Clean Sweeps:
Indiana Pacers
Denver Nuggets
Clean Sweeps:
Indiana Pacers
Denver Nuggets
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Here are some stats. This is from 2018 - Current
Away Team Ranking, Total Matches, Number of Sweeps
Rank 1 - 253 Matches - 16 Sweeps
Rank 2 - 241 Matches - 24 Sweeps
Rank 3 - 225 Matches - 15 Sweeps
Rank 4 - 237 Matches - 15 Sweeps
Rank 5 - 247 Matches - 15 Sweeps
Home Team Ranking, Total Matches, Number of Sweeps
Rank 1 - 251 Matches - 16 Sweeps
Rank 2 - 226 Matches - 20 Sweeps
Rank 3 - 247 Matches - 15 Sweeps
Rank 4 - 236 Matches - 20 Sweeps
Rank 5 - 233 Matches - 25 Sweeps
This was a good exercise, but definitely no pattern there.Comment -
Quarter Method Pick *confirmed*
Detroit Pistons 1Q (system expects odds of +1.5)
I'm dipping heavy on this Pistons game. 8 units on full game +6.0 odds. Picked it up early last night and love the line movement. I also love that they beat Sacramento on that miracle play, and I'm sure morale is running high. If coach is smart, they'll further push the momentum on a tired Denver team tonight. I'll be on standby for a 4Q ML and ATS wager as well as we head into 4Q with Pistons down. BOL to all who chooses to tail.Comment -
Winner Winner Easy 1Q Chicken Dinner.
Looking for a 4Q +1.5 and a Game ATS +6.0... but as for the quarter method. We're gold, baby!Comment -
Piston 4Q -1.5 4u LFG!Comment -
NICE Job sir. I didn't get a chance to jump onto this one but great work ��Comment -
So close to an epic night. All good. It was very fun.Comment -
Thank you . ��Comment -
Lots of good info. Thanks for the break down .
So in both the away and home team # 1 rank .. OF around 250 matches there was 16 sweeps .
250/16 = 15.625
If this is correct , a sweep only occurs once in every 15.6 NBA games to a TOP ranked Home or Away nba team .
250 Matches is around 4.0 years ( 250/82) ?
If this is correct, The best Home and Away teams are only swept 4.0 each per season ( once every 15.6 games )
The odds are pretty Solid your going to win 1 qtr of 4 in 15 games and lose all 4 once . Those are some very favorable odds that even at random you will win most the time
Maybe we wait until a top 1 home or Away Team loses a full game of quarters and then HAMMER them the next 2 or 3 . ?Comment -
Come to think of it a little more , if we just take nights game days where there is a full slate of 13 to 16 games , the fact that on average only 1 of the 15 games will end Ina full 4 quarter sweep , so long as your a fan of progressive wagering , , your chances are very strong ( 15 in 16 win vs 1 loss ) that you will pick up a one of four quarters win 93.75 percent of the time blindly .
Another angle is to watch closely when a team has lost 2 or 3 quarters and Hammer time for the 3rd and 4th . Keeps the losses down and seeing 15 of 16 series win , chances are very strong the 3rd or 4th qtr comes in for the team who lost both quarters in the first half .
Just typing as I think out loud here .
Thank you again for the record keeping. ��Comment -
Each sweep is 20+ units loss. Simply put, this is not a profitable pattern. You need to win 20+ units before experiencing a loss to be profitable. That’s less than 5% loss rate.Last edited by shwang80; 12-29-24, 02:16 PM.Comment -
Got it. Was just thinking about it. Like you mention only 16 in 251 lost . But I do follow you , when we lose 4 in a row 20 units or 20 wins needed to make it up. We would be down 5 units blindly winning 15 of 16. Understood.
Cheers brother and wish you and the system continued success ��Comment -
Boston Celtics were swept tonight. They are ranked #2 at the moment.Comment -
No pick today. Happy New Year!
Clean Sweeps:
Portland Trail Blazers
NULLIFIED PICK
Memphiz Grizzlies
Reason: Around half the team is OUT
Y. Kawamura GTD
S. Aldama OUT
B. Clarke OUT
Zach Edey OUT
GG Jackson OUT
J. LaRavia OUT
Ja Morant OUT
M. Smart OUT
V. Williams OUTComment -
I am going to incorporate a very odd system into this thread. I'll call it the 4Q Pregame Strategy. The win% is rather high (64.5%). We'll see how it performs. I will keep records here.Comment -
Quarter Method Strategy Record (6 - 0)
No picks today
4Q Pregame Strategy Pick Record (0 - 0) Instructions: This is a pre-game ATS strategy. It is not part of the Quarter Method system play. Wager this separately.
Oklahoma City Thunder 4Q Odds: -1Last edited by shwang80; 12-31-24, 02:36 PM.Comment -
Clean Sweeps:
1/1/2025 - Chicago Bulls
Quarter Method Strategy PickRecord (6-0)
Indiana Pacers 1Q (system expects odds of +0.5)Comment -
The play Is on Pacers each quarter 2nite for 1.0 unit ? ThanksComment -
Yes, the bet is confirmed.Comment -
Thank you . Good luck ��Comment -
Time to get this unit. LFG!Comment -
Record (7 - 0)
+1 unit. Good night.
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Nice cover. Never close. Gjob.Comment -
Clean Sweeps:
1/2/2025 - Philadelphia 76ers
Quarter Method Picks
Memphis Grizzlies (system expects odds of +1.0) - locked
Atlanta Hawks (system expects odds of +1.0) - contingent on Trae Young suiting up.Comment -
Both Confirmed sir or just the Griz ?Comment -
Contingent on not just Trae but JJ too I thinkComment -
Ok sounds good I'll keep an eye out. Thanks and happy wknd.Comment -
I see Memphis is full of injuries. MORANT , EDEY , ALDAMA , SMART , and more. I don't see JJJ on the list.
Trae??Comment -
This entire thread is so stupid. The two of you really need some professional help, or Gambler's Anonymous, since you both apparently just blindly follow EVERYTHING. It appears that you guys will bet on anything, if someone posts a pick for you. How come this clown (your hero) hasn't posted his "fourth quarter pick" loss from the other night yet? Seems strange, doesn't it? I guess 0-1 doesn't fit his narrative. That 4th quarter bullshit is just another stupid twist in a ridiculously over complicated system, which requires you to sit by a computer all night long waiting for quarters to end. And for some reason, you two guys do it. I am too dumbfounded to even laugh out loud at you guys.Last edited by Wallco99; 01-03-25, 07:58 PM.Comment -
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Trae is in. We’re clear for the 2-units. LFG!!Comment -
@Wallco
"I am going to incorporate a very odd system into this thread. I'll call it the 4Q Pregame Strategy. The win% is rather high (64.5%). We'll see how it performs. I will keep records here."
I think I made it pretty clear that this was experimental. "...We'll see how it performs. I will keep records here..."
That pick was separate from the Quarter Method system.
The reason I really liked your system is because it was a set-it-and-forget-it wager. I continue to look for a system that works with that type of setup. Your system, although profitable involves a lot of risk. That's why I haven't even gone through with backtesting it.
That loss from the other night was real, at least for me it was. I did not expect anyone to follow me. I was posting it for record keeping. In fact, I found that the system was faulty because I had miscalculated. The win rate IS 64.5%, but it didn't incorporate ALL GAMES; only those that were also picks of the quarter method. OKC was not a pick for the quarter method, so I shouldn't have picked it. Whatever... I lost a unit for my dumb mistake. No harm, no foul.
I'm not anyone's hero nor do I strive to be. I think I said it here before... I joined here only because I wanted to ping the minds of like-minded people. I don't understand why you took your time to put a stain in my thread when all I've tried to do was help in yours.
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Since I have some time tonight (finished cleaning Christmas decorations early), I'll post the reasoning for these picks.
Memphis has a power rank advantage (#6 as Away -- #5 Predictive) and their AQW is 64.29%. Sacramento has a PR of #17, #15 respectively. Their AQW is much lower at 39.29%
Atlanta has a similar rank to LA, #15 vs #14, but they have an AQW advantage of 53.57% vs 42.86%. Also, LA is playing a B2B and their 3rd game in 4 nights.Comment -
Good work. Keep plugging away . Cheers ��Comment
