Clippers vs Nuggets Predictions

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 3047

    #1
    Clippers vs Nuggets Predictions
    The #5 Los Angeles Clippers (49-32) take on the #4 Denver Nuggets (50-32) in the 1st round of the Western Conference playoffs.

    Series Odds via DraftKings: Clippers -110 / Nuggets -110

    The odds say it's a coin flip. Who gets the edge in this series? Post your thoughts and game picks in this thread.
  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 3047

    #2
    Clippers vs Nuggets Game 1 predictions from SBR's Phil Wood:

    Nuggets ML (-135 bet365)

    "Rather than taking a risk with the spread, the best bet for this game is to take the Nuggets to win outright. Though Denver wasn't dominant at home, it did finish 26-15 at Ball Arena. Meanwhile, Los Angeles finished below .500 on the road, the second-worst road record of the top eight teams in the Western Conference.

    The price for this wager isn’t too expensive either. Some sportsbooks have this price listed higher than -145, but the -135 being offered at bet365 provides great value. There hasn’t been overwhelming support for the Nuggets, so you may be able to wait this out and get an even better price closer to tipoff."


    Under 225.5 (-110 BetMGM)

    "Two of the four meetings between these two teams exceeded this total, while the other two meetings fell comfortably below this line. Because the Clippers have scored just 201 combined points in their last two meetings against the Nuggets, I’ll lean Under for Saturday’s game.

    Despite allowing 116.9 points per game, the Nuggets have held the Clippers to 109 or fewer in three of their four meetings. And while Denver boasts the third-highest scoring offense in the league, Los Angeles has one of the best scoring defenses. Even if the Nuggets blow the Clippers out, both teams won’t score at a high rate."
    Comment
    • BHExchange
      SBR High Roller
      • 01-30-25
      • 127

      #3
      Take Nuggets first quarter/first half; this is the most top heavy team of the remaining 18. If they fold, it won't be early in the opening game at altitude...if they happen to lose GM1, double up on Nuggets 1Q/1H in GM2
      Comment
      • SBR Andy
        Administrator
        • 02-09-22
        • 3047

        #4
        Denver comes back to win Game 1 in overtime 112-110.

        Updated series odds at DraftKings: Nuggets -155 / Clippers +130
        Comment
        • SBR Andy
          Administrator
          • 02-09-22
          • 3047

          #5
          Clippers vs Nuggets Game 2 prediction from SBR's Phil Wood:

          Under 218.5 (-108 FanDuel)

          "If Game 1 hadn’t gone to overtime, then the Under would have hit by over 20 points. The Nuggets and Clippers ended regulation tied 98-98, and even after scoring 26 points in the extra five minutes, these two teams barely went over 218.5 points.

          This type of low-scoring contest has been the norm in meetings between these two teams this season, as the Clippers have scored more than 109 points in regulation in just one game against the Nuggets. And while the Nuggets have scored at least 120 in three of the five meetings, they struggled significantly against a stout Clippers’ defense in Game 1.

          Even after their impressive performance in Game 1, the Clippers shouldn’t be favored in this game. They’ve lost three consecutive games in Denver, and two of those three losses were by at least 22 points. Still, I’ll stay away from this spread and moneyline, because the Clippers did enough in the first half of Saturday’s game to warrant respect. That makes the Under easily the best play of this game."


          Ivica Zubac Under 17.5 points (-110 DraftKings)

          "Zubac scored 21 points in Game 1, his best performance against the Nuggets since scoring 24 on Oct. 26. Not only was the performance over his season average, but it was also significantly more than he scored in the three other games he played against the Nuggets this season. In those three games, he combined for just 29 points, failing to score more than 13 in any of them.

          Zubac scored just 4 points in the fourth quarter and overtime, as the Clippers’ playmakers took over and the Nuggets’ interior defense tightened up. The fact that he scored so little over the final 17 minutes of the game makes it seem as though the Nuggets figured something out against him, and I expect that to carry over into tonight’s contest.

          FanDuel and Caesars are each asking -118 for this Under, but DraftKings is asking -110, as it’s the only of our best sports betting apps with the Over comfortably favored. The other sportsbooks being so wary of favoring the Over, despite what Zubac did on Saturday, makes me think that oddsmakers are expecting him to fall back to his average tonight."
          Comment
          • SBR Andy
            Administrator
            • 02-09-22
            • 3047

            #6
            Clippers vs Nuggets Game 2 player prop picks from SBR's Shane Jackson:

            Aaron Gordon Over 4.5 rebounds (-130 bet365)

            "Gordon collected eight rebounds in Saturday’s win over the Clippers. More importantly, he played 46 minutes in a game that highlighted Denver's lack of depth on the bench.

            If he plays more than 40 minutes again, this rebound line is too low. He averaged 4.8 rebounds per game during the regular season, surpassing this mark in three consecutive games leading up to Monday."


            Michael Porter Over 1.5 made 3-pointers (-150 bet365)

            "Porter Jr. was the only Denver starter with a minimal role over the weekend. He played 26 minutes and finished with three points and four rebounds. After the game, the Nuggets were asked about getting him more involved.

            I expect Porter to be ready on Monday, providing a nice discount on an excellent shooter. He averaged 2.5 made 3-pointers per game this season, shooting 39.5% from long range. There is a reason why FanDuel has the same prop at -170."


            Ivica Zubac Over 17.5 points (-110 BetMGM)

            "Zubac scored 21 points on 10-of-15 shooting in the opener, as the Nuggets didn’t have much of an answer for him. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Clippers respond by feeding him more on Monday.

            The center has scored 20-plus points in five of his past six games. He averaged 19.9 points per game in April. He can exploit a poor Denver defense in Game 2.​"
            Comment
            • SBR Andy
              Administrator
              • 02-09-22
              • 3047

              #7
              Kawhi slams the door shut and the Clippers steal Game 2, 105-102.

              Updated series odds via DraftKings: Clippers -165 / Nuggets +140
              Comment
              SBR Contests
              Collapse
              Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
              Collapse
              Working...