Live Handicapping

**pellibr** · 06-20-11, 02:16 PM

Halt time now, let's do some tests on Eurobasket Woman

PREMATCH LINES
CZECH - BELARUS
+1.50 @ 1,86
O122.50 @ 1,86

HT LINES (39-26)
-8.50 @ 1,83
O128.50 @ 1,86

Belarus is getting better on the match, I see value on +8.50
MY BET: BELARUS +8.50 STAKE 4

PREMATCH LINES
GREECE-FRANCE
+13.50 @ 1,86
O120.50 @ 1,86

HT LINES (19-31)
+17.50 @ 1,83
O107.50 @ 1,83

Can't see value on +17.50, Greece, I'll give a try on the over MY BET: OVER 107.50 STAKE 4

**pellibr** · 06-20-11, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by pellibr

BELARUS +8.50 STAKE 4

OVER 107.50 STAKE 4

Good Start Let's Keep the Study

**pellibr** · 06-21-11, 12:44 PM

Atlanta Dream -4.50 @ 1.56 Stake 7 - Sbobet

**pellibr** · 06-21-11, 12:53 PM

Chicago reaction on third, lines changed a lot. Still believe in AD

Atlanta Dream -4.50 @ 2.06 Stake 3 - Sbobet (completing 10stake)

**pellibr** · 06-21-11, 01:58 PM

Originally posted by pellibr

Atlanta Dream -4.50 @ 1.56/2.06 Stake 10 - Sbobet

Really bad bet. Chicago made a good reaction on the third and fourth.
The best bet available was on half time Chicago +10.50 at 2.00.

Study Record

2-1 (-3.12)

**pellibr** · 06-21-11, 07:23 PM

Was +10.50 stk 5

**pellibr** · 06-21-11, 09:07 PM

Originally posted by pellibr

Was +10.50 Stk 5

Also got San Antonio +14.50 on a big stake bet but it was very fast I couldn`t post.

**hels** · 06-21-11, 09:24 PM

A technique I have used and found successful is looking for line movements that make little sense in the 1q. For example let's say pregame the O/U is 200 at EV. After the first 6 minutes (one would expect 25 points to be scored) but there have been 30 points scored and the line is at 200.5 - EV. Of course the average joe blow jumps on the over but more often than not the correct play is the Under.

**pellibr** · 06-22-11, 08:59 AM

Thanks Hels, I`m trying something like that, but the results are not so good as the handicap, at last on WNBA, let`s keep researching.

Right now looking for a edge on Croatia - Montenegro around +18.50

**columnsicky** · 06-22-11, 09:28 AM

Good record, good luck for you pellibr.

**pellibr** · 06-22-11, 09:50 AM

Pick: Croatia +14.50 Stake 4 @1.86

**pellibr** · 06-23-11, 06:30 AM

Originally posted by columnsicky

Good record, good luck for you pellibr.

Thanks man, I'm only studying the better way to make money, let's see if we find out a good strategy.

**pellibr** · 06-23-11, 06:33 AM

Originally posted by pellibr

Pick: Croatia +14.50 Stake 4 @1.86

The game as balanced at the end of third, I was expecting at last a slight reaction of Croatia, but the game went to the other side, the other team scored 9 points straight, the line went up to +25.50, the best bet of the match. Let's keep the study...

Record (3-2)

Regards

**pellibr** · 06-23-11, 06:40 AM

Today Matches

Belarus - Russia (Women)
Spread: -6 Russia
Total: 131.50

Great Britain - Lithuania
Spread: -14.50 Lithuania
Total: 125.50

Turkey - Czech
Spread: -7 Czech
Total: 130.50

NY Liberty - TUL Shock
Spread: -3.50 NY
Total: 162

CON Sun - CHI Sky
Spread: -4.50 CHI
Total: 152

**pellibr** · 06-24-11, 09:43 AM

Spain - Lativia
At end of Third (46-36)
Pick: Lativia +10.50
Odds: 1.76

**pellibr** · 06-24-11, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by pellibr

Spain - Lativia
At end of Third (46-36)
Pick: Lativia +10.50
Odds: 1.76

Final Score 66-57
Record 4-2

**pellibr** · 06-24-11, 02:34 PM

Montenegro - France (women Eurobasket)
52 - 47
France +3.50 @ 1.80
Under 147.50 @ 1.76

**pellibr** · 06-24-11, 03:05 PM

Originally posted by pellibr

Montenegro - France (women Eurobasket)
52 - 47
France +3.50 @ 1.80

Under 147.50 @ 1.76

Final Score 73-68

Record 5-3

------------------

I`m getting good results guys, it seems to be a good technique. I also made other personal picks but didn`t had time to post here and they where all winners, the selection would be 8-3. But let`s keep studying, maybe it`s a good way to make money.

**pellibr** · 06-24-11, 07:18 PM

PHX - ATL
Atlanta Under 95.5 @ 1.83

**pellibr** · 06-25-11, 07:31 AM

Originally posted by pellibr

PHX - ATL
Atlanta under 95.5 @ 1.83

Final Score
PHX 92 - 83 ATL

Record: 6-3

**blinky88** · 06-25-11, 11:12 AM

Live betting seems a little too tempting......

**pellibr** · 06-26-11, 09:23 AM

Eurobasket Women
Poland - France
Beginning of Third
Over 101.50

**pellibr** · 06-26-11, 10:06 AM

Originally posted by pellibr

Eurobasket Women
Poland - France
Beginning of Third
Over 101.50

Final Score 58-54 (112) Sweet!

Record 7-3

**pellibr** · 06-26-11, 10:07 AM

Originally posted by blinky88

Live betting seems a little too tempting......

Anything is good when you make money!!

**pellibr** · 06-29-11, 07:44 AM

First 10 bets: 70% Hit Rate.

I`ll try to keep this hit rate in the long term betting, with the average odds around 1.80 I can get a 26% Yield.

From now on I`ll use flat stakes U$ 50,00 for every match, some times it can be splited in more than one bet. I`ll have at last 30 bets next month.

The main bets are: Team Handicap, Game Total and Team Total.
Other bets with higher odds: Money Line, Winning Margin.

The Leagues: Any league of basketball.

That`s it, let`s do it!!

**pellibr** · 06-29-11, 07:57 AM

Matches

League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Latvia - Russia
Handicap: Latvia +5.5
Totals: O/U 125.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 2.75/1.40

League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Czech - Croatia
Handicap: Croatia +8.5
Totals: O/U 133.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 1.20/4.25

**pellibr** · 06-29-11, 11:30 AM

League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Latvia - Russia
Handicap: Latvia +5.5
Totals: O/U 125.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 2.75/1.40

Pick Nº 11
Match Details: 5` 2` 30-39` 69

Under 153.50@ 1.83*50

**pellibr** · 06-29-11, 01:36 PM

Pick Nº 11
Match Details: 5` 2` 30-39` 69

Under 153.50@ 1.83*50

Final Score: 72-83 ' 155

New Record: 0 - 1
Bankroll: U$ -50,00

**pellibr** · 06-29-11, 02:48 PM

League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Czech - Croatia
Handicap: Croatia +8.5
Totals: O/U 133.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 1.20/4.25

Pick Nº 12
Match Details: Break` 4` 67-40` 107

Croatia +26.50 @ 1.83*50

Reaction of Croatia!!

**pellibr** · 06-29-11, 03:12 PM

Originally posted by pellibr

Pick Nº 12
Match Details: Break` 4` 67-40` 107

Croatia +26.50 @ 1.83*50

Final Score: 79-63 ' 142

New Record:1 - 1
Bankroll: U$ -8,50

**pellibr** · 06-30-11, 09:13 AM

Matches

League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Croatia - Latvia
Handicap: Croatia +5.50
Totals: O/U 133.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 2.20/1.57

League: Under 19
Match: Russia - Brazil
Handicap: Brazil +2.50

League: Under 19
Match: USA - Egypt

**pellibr** · 06-30-11, 09:26 AM

League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Croatia - Latvia
Handicap: Croatia +5.50
Totals: O/U 133.50
Team Totals: N/A
ML Odds: 2.20/1.57

Pick Nº 13
Match Details: 10` 3` 37-34` 71

Under 139.50 @ 1.86*50

**pellibr** · 06-30-11, 10:14 AM

Originally posted by pellibr

Pick Nº 13
Match Details: 10` 3` 37-34` 71

Under 139.50 @ 1.86*50

Final Score: 84-75 ' 159

New Record:1 - 2
Bankroll: U$ -58,50

Not a good start to my system. I was expecting less points in the end, based on the past results and the physical condition.

**pellibr** · 06-30-11, 11:40 AM

League: Women Eurobasket
Match: Montenegro - Turkey

Pick Nº 14

Over 114.50 @ 1.86*50