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John Morrison 2012-13 NBA Thread

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  • hagball52
    SBR MVP
    • 09-22-10
    • 3053

    #141
    Originally posted by Mrscofield25
    This should be the PDF.

    Post #140.

    [ATTACH]48960[/ATTACH]
    Thanks. Wish I could give you more points.
    Comment
    • Wallco99
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-01-11
      • 7261

      #142
      Originally posted by Bdolan33
      hope someone will be kidn to post the plays when season starts
      Have you been reading the thread? Or did you just pop in with this random post?
      Comment
      • TwoCats
        SBR High Roller
        • 07-14-12
        • 227

        #143
        Originally posted by Mrscofield25
        This should be the PDF.
        Thanks for that.
        Comment
        • bane
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-14-12
          • 630

          #144
          Originally posted by bauerranch
          Wizcodlifa----

          You should give me 20 points for this advice.

          Do more homework before your start following all of JM and JM type systems

          Hopefully you have a huge bankroll and good luck!
          Originally posted by wizcodlifa
          hows this chase system and JM's system work?? anyone wanna explain?
          Wiz, did you not read any of the threads you requested?

          I found Wallco's post a really helpful snapshot (below). Looks like these guys put considerable work into the system, it's iterations, and backtesting. Least we could do as noobs is make a small effort to read & follow up with specific questions. Personally, I'm focused on 7/5. Maybe if you narrowed your inquiry...

          Edit to add: Read the pdf. It will help.

          Everthing in this forum is discussed in "units". You have to decide for youself what a unit is worth. Some people use 1% of their starting bankroll to equal 1 unit. Little wimpy for me. When I say 1-3-5, it means bet 1 "unit" (whatever amount you came up with) on the (A) bet. If it wins, you are done. If it loses, the (B) bet would be the amount you lost on (A), which is the amount wagered PLUS the juice, plus an additional 3 units. If that bet loses, the (C) bet would be the total amount lost on (A) & (B) plus 5 units.

          The 7/5 is the same thing except we don't play (A) bets. If a qualifying game loses the (A) bet (which we didn't play), our first bet would be on the (B) bet for 7 units. If that loses, our (C) bet will be the total amount of $ we lost on (B), plus 5 more units.

          Note: that's wager to win one unit. Not *risking* 1 unit. Any loss is the bet plus juice.
          Last edited by bane; 10-18-12, 02:56 PM.
          Comment
          • knugen
            SBR MVP
            • 12-09-09
            • 2612

            #145
            Brooklyn? what team is that?
            Comment
            • alexknyc
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 03-22-11
              • 861

              #146
              Originally posted by knugen
              Brooklyn? what team is that?
              The New Jersey Nets have moved into the new Barclay's Center in Brooklyn.
              Comment
              • Andy Vix
                SBR Hustler
                • 11-19-10
                • 67

                #147
                With the 7/5, what version do we use and are they any additional changes to the original v1,v2,v3?

                Thanks
                Comment
                • h00dini
                  Restricted User
                  • 09-17-09
                  • 659

                  #148
                  anybody here use executioner sports? i used him for 2 weeks and won big. anybody has his picks this weekend? same system like morrison but more plays. please post if anybody here is a member.
                  Comment
                  • thelimit0310
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-24-11
                    • 1233

                    #149
                    To anybody new to the 7/5:

                    The 7/5 uses all 3 versions of the JM system. In the 7/5 system, we skip the official A bets in the JM system. Instead we use this bet to determine official 7/5 plays. For the B and C bets to become 7/5 plays the A bet must lose by a total of 3.5 points to the spread. For example, if we have an official V1 A bet on the Kings and the spread is +4, buying 3.5 points puts the spread at +7.5. So then the Kings would have to lose by at least 7.5 points to become an official 7/5 series. PUSHES DO NOT MEAN LOSSES. We also skip the month of October entirely. No plays can even qualify until November.

                    All in all the system has been tested for 9 years now (this year will mark a decade of results) and has had only 1 of those 9 seasons go negative, and by only -19.5 units which is less than a single loss in this method (a loss playing the 7/5 will amount to -21.65 units, so plan accordingly). Including last years results the system has grossed well over +750 units in total.

                    A more in-depth explanation can be found in last years thread, I've linked directly to the post here: http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...l#post13698541

                    PLEASE VISIT AND READ THAT POST BEFORE ASKING QUESTIONS, IT HAS PROBABLY BEEN ANSWERED ALREADY.

                    Note: I will be posting the 7/5 plays this season, no one else. Only in the extreme situation that we are close to game time and I haven't posted will someone else list the 7/5 plays. Unless that circumstance occurs, look for my posts for the 7/5 plays.
                    Last edited by thelimit0310; 10-26-12, 12:04 PM.
                    Comment
                    • J.M. Disciple
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-16-10
                      • 5121

                      #150
                      Originally posted by h00dini
                      anybody here use executioner sports? i used him for 2 weeks and won big. anybody has his picks this weekend? same system like morrison but more plays. please post if anybody here is a member.
                      Do not want to go too often topic with other systems and cappers, but from what I here Tony Cross is a gold mine as well with a 3 tier system.



                      Also limit, might want to edit your post a little bit. I know you said it earlier in the thread, but to get everything into one post, please include it uses closing lines on covers.com Maybe note that some seasons go +250units and others only 19units, so no one expects a steady 80+ units each season.
                      Last edited by J.M. Disciple; 10-26-12, 05:59 PM.
                      Comment
                      • stevex
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 05-02-10
                        • 5122

                        #151
                        Getting closer fellas!!
                        Comment
                        • J.M. Disciple
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-16-10
                          • 5121

                          #152
                          Betting % on Visiting Team Opening Visiting Spread >= 0.1Win % (Units) Opening Visiting Spread >= 2.9Win % (Units) Opening Visiting Spread >= 4.9Win % (Units) Opening Visiting Spread >= 6.9Win % (Units)
                          35% 52.7% (+29 units) 52.4% (+23 units) 51.3% (+4 units) 49.9% (-11 units)
                          30% 55.4% (+32 units) 54.5% (+25 units) 53.2% (+14 units) 53.3% (+11 units)
                          25% 53.1% (+6 units) 52.3% (+4 units) 51.8% (+2 units) 52.2% (+2 units)
                          20% 54.5% (+2 units) 54.5% (+2 units) 56.7% (+3 units) 55.6% (+3 units


                          Why John Morrison's system is so successful over each season.
                          Comment
                          • casdio
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-05-10
                            • 120

                            #153
                            Thank you thelimit
                            Comment
                            • 1gamer
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-09-11
                              • 723

                              #154
                              Checking in...
                              Comment
                              • Bdolan33
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-02-12
                                • 1255

                                #155
                                Im in
                                Comment
                                • jrsync
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 02-01-11
                                  • 37

                                  #156
                                  Heey .. when first match ? first match is Denver and Sacramento ?
                                  Comment
                                  • casdio
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 01-05-10
                                    • 120

                                    #157
                                    Originally posted by jrsync
                                    Heey .. when first match ? first match is Denver and Sacramento ?
                                    Yes. But, depending on your strategy, you may or may not make a bet on them
                                    Comment
                                    • groovybrandone
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 02-22-12
                                      • 456

                                      #158
                                      interesting, i think im in for the 7/5
                                      Comment
                                      • analyzer
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-03-11
                                        • 2049

                                        #159
                                        Ready for the season to tip-off!
                                        Comment
                                        • Wallco99
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-01-11
                                          • 7261

                                          #160
                                          Originally posted by groovybrandone
                                          interesting, i think im in for the 7/5
                                          It seems to be the best of all the strategies we've concocted. 1-3-5 works pretty well also, but our most profit will be attained by following 7/5 as laid out.
                                          Comment
                                          • ajlaw1228
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 12-26-11
                                            • 3

                                            #161
                                            Newbie here.
                                            I actually followed along last year and made a few bets, but I want to start from game 1 this year.
                                            This is more a bankroll management question. If I am going to play the 7-5 system and my starting bankroll is 2500, what should my unit wager be?
                                            Comment
                                            • Wallco99
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-01-11
                                              • 7261

                                              #162
                                              Originally posted by ajlaw1228
                                              Newbie here.
                                              I actually followed along last year and made a few bets, but I want to start from game 1 this year.
                                              This is more a bankroll management question. If I am going to play the 7-5 system and my starting bankroll is 2500, what should my unit wager be?
                                              That is up to you, but keep in mind, a system loss is 21.67 units. So for example, if your unit was $100, a series loss would be $2167. That would be most of your roll, so obviously you wouldn't be starting with $100 units. Scale it back, to let's say, $25. Then a loss would only be $542. You could sustain 5 losses with no wins before clearing out your roll. If that seems too high, then scale back further. It all depends on your personal risk comfort level.
                                              Comment
                                              • ajlaw1228
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 12-26-11
                                                • 3

                                                #163
                                                Thanks Wallco, how often do you suggest to increase unit size? or do you stay with one unit for the whole season?
                                                Comment
                                                • casdio
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 01-05-10
                                                  • 120

                                                  #164
                                                  Originally posted by ajlaw1228
                                                  Thanks Wallco, how often do you suggest to increase unit size? or do you stay with one unit for the whole season?
                                                  I think that 1 unit = 1% of your bankroll. It's the best way
                                                  Comment
                                                  • catt0025
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 09-08-12
                                                    • 68

                                                    #165
                                                    For those playing the 1-3-5 strategy, it appears there are 2 (A) bets tomorrow correct?

                                                    Also, in playing these strategies, is everyone going to be buying the 3 points if the team is an underdog and playing the ML if the team is favored or what is the general consensus from Wallco, thelimit among others...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Lansky
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 10-04-12
                                                      • 71

                                                      #166
                                                      wordd
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Wallco99
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-01-11
                                                        • 7261

                                                        #167
                                                        Originally posted by ajlaw1228
                                                        Thanks Wallco, how often do you suggest to increase unit size? or do you stay with one unit for the whole season?
                                                        Most people say to adjust units to 1% of your bankroll, I keep my units the same all season. If I get up a good amount, I may increase my unit size from that point on, but I usually remain consistent.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Wallco99
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-01-11
                                                          • 7261

                                                          #168
                                                          Originally posted by catt0025
                                                          For those playing the 1-3-5 strategy, it appears there are 2 (A) bets tomorrow correct?

                                                          Also, in playing these strategies, is everyone going to be buying the 3 points if the team is an underdog and playing the ML if the team is favored or what is the general consensus from Wallco, thelimit among others...
                                                          1-3-5 is strictly a -110 line bet strategy. NO POINT BUYING IN 1-3-5!!!!!!!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • catt0025
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 09-08-12
                                                            • 68

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                            1-3-5 is strictly a -110 line bet strategy. NO POINT BUYING IN 1-3-5!!!!!!!!!
                                                            Thank you Wallco.

                                                            The 7/5 strategy, you will be buying 3 points though?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • groovybrandone
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 02-22-12
                                                              • 456

                                                              #170
                                                              from what i read, i thought 7/5 was no point buying

                                                              not sure if this is correct, but if it isnt - i will delete this to not confuse others

                                                              edit:

                                                              quote from this thread:


                                                              So brings the end of this post. Before I go I should note that this method is also profitable if you buy 2pts on the B/C bet. You will experience a few less losses per season, but the losses you still incur will be more costly. In the end, I would just not buy points. This method is incredibly profitable and incredibly easy to play, just be disciplined enough to make the C when you need to. I leave you now with these words: play with confidence my friends, knowing that your playing the most profitable way to play the JM system to date!!!
                                                              Last edited by groovybrandone; 10-31-12, 12:00 AM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • catt0025
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 09-08-12
                                                                • 68

                                                                #171
                                                                I just wanted to be certain. If you read through the official JM PDF posted by Hagball (Post #141) it instructs you to buy 3 points no matter what. Just wanted to get everyone on the same page. Wallco, Hagball, thelimit and everyone else thanks for all the hard work and input.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thelimit0310
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-24-11
                                                                  • 1233

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Do not buy points with 7/5. They are played straight -110
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • groovybrandone
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 02-22-12
                                                                    • 456

                                                                    #173
                                                                    could someone explain how a full loss in 7/5 is 21.67u? if its -110, the loss is bet to make up the loss +5 so that would be
                                                                    7 + 7.7 + 5.5? thats 20.2 isnt it?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Sandwich
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 01-21-12
                                                                      • 117

                                                                      #174
                                                                      B Loss = -7.7 units
                                                                      C Loss = -13.97units or (12.7)1.1

                                                                      Total Loss = 21.67 units
                                                                      Last edited by Sandwich; 10-31-12, 01:06 AM. Reason: Put A/B instead of B/C
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • knugen
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-09-09
                                                                        • 2612

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Lets hope for atleast 1 loss tonight
                                                                        Comment
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