Lkid1's Plays

[MisterSack]

Great stuff here

[DJK]

Merrimack Ml -400 is very a strong Dejucer for today. Or ml parlay leg.

3rd str8 roady for Fairfield, and they just are one of the worst teams in the county , bottom line. Can’t beat a team in top 200, imo. Warriors have played a much a tougher schedule traveling all over, this is only their 2nd home game as they are very prepared from that to start league play. ( I took Malik Beasley NBA so used this with his 15+ pts @ +103 for 0.6x) they are most likely gonna win by Double Digits here. But I can’t justify a play after being late to the party and already moving 1-2 points.


One warning part if your watching this game, is the stags are gonna get second chance points. To a point it’ll be we’re dumb shots late in the shot clock , are being bailed out with Offensive Boards. But its there best and only way to score here.

However there is an angle to look out for. The Warriors haven’t played since 12/19. Which is potential for a slow start. If at any point this live line gets -6 or better it’s 0.6x add .

I’ve been looking for MAAC future line, last week or so, haven’t found one. Was hoping to get Merrimack at even money or better but with it just starting and then being 5-8 overall , probably would be +200 ish.

Hope all this makes sense, game is early tip @ 3 , here on the east coast

I'm new to this thread and thanks for all your work.

I used this pick on a 5 picks ML parlay and bet a decent amount and it's a good thing that I took a nap and woke up to a 56-34 score.

I didn't know that the ML dropped from -410 (which is what I got) to -360 and that would have gotten me concerned, but obviously the public wasn't as sharp as you on this game.

When I see a team that shouldn't lose (such as Ole Miss NCAAF last night), I like to take a shot no matter how high the ML so I actually thought about betting $4K on this ML pick to make $1K but didn't since it would have been the first time for me to tail your pick. Too bad that I didn't pull the trigger.

Thanks for the pick. Only if my other parlay legs are as easy as this one. LOL

[Louisvillekid1]

Not my night tonight

2-6 -5.16x

[Louisvillekid1]

Gardner Webb 1h TT O35.5 1x
Gardner Webb TT O74.5 1x

[Louisvillekid1]

Drexel / NC A&T u146 (DK) 1x
Pretty much same angle as the Elon play, but even better. Drexel less efficient and slower. Without that crazy start in the last bet , it woulda of been close.

[Louisvillekid1]

1-2 -1.12x (hook)

-

Colgate / Bucknell u135.5 -105 (FD) 1x

[mjsuax13]

Not my night tonight

2-6 -5.16x

You’ll get it back. Keep firing.

[Louisvillekid1]

Quinnipiac 1h +0.5 -106 (FD) 0.6x
Qunnipiac 1h +104 (FD) 0.2x

Prov/Uconn 1h u64.5 -110 (365) 0.6x
Prov +8.5 / u 64.5 1h +264 0.2x
Good luck today fellas , winning day coming

[Louisvillekid1]

You’ll get it back. Keep firing.

No doubt, appreciate the support

[Louisvillekid1]

Will Lutz O1.5 FG’s Made -135 (DK) 1x

I don’t think the Chiefs will lay down defensively with a unit ran by Spags. Broncos obv huge game, but knowing they aren’t playing against Mahomes, Payton is probably less included to go for in on 4th and just put points on the board. Lutz having a phenomenal year 30-33, also kicking in altitude always a plus.

[Louisvillekid1]

Quinny hasn’t scored a point in 9 minutes

[Louisvillekid1]

Providence goes over last possession , hopefully these start going other way .

[Louisvillekid1]

Bucknell 66-60, pretty much exact
2-4 -0.26x hook for much different result

[Louisvillekid1]

New York Jets -115 1x

[Louisvillekid1]

Jets / lutz split

[Louisvillekid1]

Just 1 for tomorrow

NC Central / SC St ML Par -110 1x (365)

[Louisvillekid1]

If wondering how I ended up with two road teams in ML Parlay, it wasn’t planned like that. After capping NC Central , I was going to bet them full at -2, when I checked line after doing the work, it was 3.5 and they were on it. So It became a pass. However working my way down the card I found a huge mismatch in the SC St game and felt the should win with ease but laying 10.5 didnt make the cut either. I truly feel SC St ML is a 9/10 free square, as Coppin St is really struggle to score effectively. The pace from the Bulldogs kept me off the TT under alone, and stronger edge to the side due to all the turnovers they will cause and score easily off them.

So I saw the value here, that allows to get NC Central just to win the game at -110.

[Louisvillekid1]

Ravens -2.5 / u51.5 7pt 2 team Teaser -140 (DK) 1x

I don’t think I need to write on this, shit is free . I just don’t bet more than 1x on multi leg wagers. Really like these numbers , -2 would be super ideal since these two are capable of playing weird 18–16 games, but honestly may not need the teaser points on either leg.

I went to bet u46 and missed the move everywhere, was asleep at the wheel. So just landed here. These odds imply a probability 58.33%, I have this cashing well over 70%. Plenty of edge for me.

[asiagambler]

If wondering how I ended up with two road teams in ML Parlay, it wasn’t planned like that. After capping NC Central , I was going to bet them full at -2, when I checked line after doing the work, it was 3.5 and they were on it. So It became a pass. However working my way down the card I found a huge mismatch in the SC St game and felt the should win with ease but laying 10.5 didnt make the cut either. I truly feel SC St ML is a 9/10 free square, as Coppin St is really struggle to score effectively. The pace from the Bulldogs kept me off the TT under alone, and stronger edge to the side due to all the turnovers they will cause and score easily off them.

So I saw the value here, that allows to get NC Central just to win the game at -110.

NC Central game is postponed

[Louisvillekid1]

Welp none of the books have voided NC Central get rescheduled until tomorrow. Guess we see how it plays out

[Louisvillekid1]

Arizona / WVU u144 -110 (365) 1x
May have something else for this game. Rematch from late November in the Bahamas, that went to OT. Coach Son out for mountaineers who had 26 and shot 8–12 from 3 in that one. Lack of forcing turnovers , and fouls should take these possessions time to develop.

This environment is gonna be insane, tough spot for Zona coming off almost blowing that tough game @ Cincy to play another great D couple days in between. If this line doesn’t move too much, I’ll also be playing WVU 1h @ +0.5 or better in some fashion.

Wildcats may leave with the win, because of rebounding but i feel WVU has a great chance to lead at the half with the home crowd behind them. They thrive off the 3 ball I see them stroking it early.

[harthebar]

Kid. Been a while. . How's everything .
Wonder if you see st Charlie. .

[Louisvillekid1]

WVU 1h +1 -110 (365) 1x

UGA 1h +0.5 -105 (HR) 1x

[Louisvillekid1]

Kid. Been a while. . How's everything .
Wonder if you see st Charlie. .

I haven’t been up there in like 6 months , so not since around then.

Hope all is well

[Louisvillekid1]

Likely ATD +280 (DK) 0.2x
Full unit on O2.5 rec up to -150 .
Waiting for line because of lil zay news.

Lmk if you see it first

[Louisvillekid1]

Texas Tech / BYU has the makings of a 3 point shooting contest.

Targeting Richie Saunders back at home.
This is all risk 1.2x total (365)
O1.5 -115 0.8x
3+ (+265) 0.2x
4+ (+700) 0.1x
5+ (+1600) 0.05x
6+ (+2800) 0.03x
7+ (+4000) 0.02x

Pretty confident he gets 3+ tonight.
if you wanna adjust your ladder , 6 is his season high btw.

[Louisvillekid1]

Miss St / Vandy u154.5 (DK) 1x
Miss St ML / u154.5 +190 0.2x

[Louisvillekid1]

Iowa ML / Red Wings +2.5 -123 1x Use whatever you wanna pair with iowa Ml

[Louisvillekid1]

Utah St / SJST 1h O70 -110 (365) 1x

tonight is gonna be fun man.

[Louisvillekid1]

Can’t stop looking at the our card tonight, going on a big run between our ncaa and the nba I tail
in discord. I don’t post them it’s paid.

[Getch13]

Hi Kid.

Like'n the C's in a blowout tonight in Denver.

[Louisvillekid1]

Likely O24.5 -110 Rec Yds (DK) 0.4x

So 0.2x TD , 0.4x yds , hoping for another full unit on 3+ receptions

[Louisvillekid1]

What a ridiculous ending to regulation in central game

[lesterdymond]

Georgia starting to heat up Kid

Don’t sleep on these posts it could all be gone tomorrow. Few people put their life on this sh*t.

L kid 1 of em 1%er

[Louisvillekid1]

Appreciate you brother

6-3 +1.98x