HG's 2017-18 College Basketball Thread

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-21-17, 04:45 PM

Sorry for the late posts. Real life...

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-22-17, 07:01 AM

3-1 day and 5 seconds from 4-0.

4-4 (-.91u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-22-17, 07:03 AM

First play for Wednesday:

Noon Tennessee/Purdue u154.5
I've been playing the unders in this Battle 4 Atlantis for th past few years and have had good success. It's a terrible venue for shooting. Over the past 3 years (36 games), only 3 games have gone over 154.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-22-17, 07:15 AM

Adding:

2:30 Western Kentucky/Villanova u157

7:00 NC State/Arizona u159

These are pure venue plays.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-22-17, 08:15 AM

2:00 Eastern Washington/Eastern Kentucky u152
The defenses here aren't very good, but these two teams look to play in the high 60s/low70s possession-wise. That should be a slow enough tempo to keep us under 152, but fouling and free throws could make it close.

**Husker36** · 11-22-17, 08:42 AM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

Adding:

2:30 Western Kentucky/Villanova u157

7:00 NC State/Arizona u159

These are pure venue plays.

I understand it's about the venue... but UNDER in the VILL game scares me.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-22-17, 08:55 AM

Originally posted by Husker36

I understand it's about the venue... but UNDER in the VILL game scares me.

I understand not playing these because of current season results so far. My thoughts are just one way to go about this.

As for he actual matchup, WKU may have a hard time getting to 60. BOL with your plays and Happy Thanksgiving.

**2daBank** · 11-22-17, 09:05 AM

I think these early season results can actually lead to nice value on the unders as teams put up insane numbers vs cup cakes.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-22-17, 09:09 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

I think these early season results can actually lead to nice value on the unders as teams put up insane numbers vs cup cakes.

I typically look at the coach's preferred pace from previous years to find places where the early season possessions are significantly higher than what the coach does historically. Everyone is a running team against South North West New Jersey St School for the Blind.

**2daBank** · 11-22-17, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

I typically look at the coach's preferred pace from previous years to find places where the early season possessions are significantly higher than what the coach does historically. Everyone is a running team against South North West New Jersey St School for the Blind.

I do exactly the same thing as you can probably tell in my write ups. Pretty good bet guys like painter and Barnes havnt all a sudden changed their styles! Lol

**Louisvillekid1** · 11-22-17, 09:42 AM

Nice

under tenny

**thekoreanmang** · 11-22-17, 11:33 AM

Lines moved fast!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-22-17, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by thekoreanmang

Lines moved fast!

Nice to see you.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-22-17, 12:04 PM

2:30 South Dakota St +108
I'm actuall pretty high on this Buffalo team, but the Jackrabbits have shot pretty well in this tournament. I think this one comes down to the FT line where SDSU has an advantage both getting there and converting.

**2daBank** · 11-22-17, 12:16 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

2:30 South Dakota St +108
I'm actuall pretty high on this Buffalo team, but the Jackrabbits have shot pretty well in this tournament. I think this one comes down to the FT line where SDSU has an advantage both getting there and converting.

Damn bro we think a lot alike, just played this as well. Imo wrong team favored. To add to what you said I also like buffalo off ot and pretty thin. Both jump shooters which sometimes tough during 3rd gm in 3 days. Ft line a big deal for sure.

**JayLA** · 11-22-17, 01:32 PM

all those lines moved more than 6 points....not worth it now?

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-22-17, 01:41 PM

Originally posted by JayLA

all those lines moved more than 6 points....not worth it now?

I would personally pass at this point. Tough call, but these are pretty big moves.

**JayLA** · 11-22-17, 01:46 PM

great capping, bro.....will be looking forward to your selections

**Capybara** · 11-22-17, 02:41 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

Adding:

2:30 Western Kentucky/Villanova u157

7:00 NC State/Arizona u159

These are pure venue plays.

These numbers freakin' DOVE. Wish I'd jumped on this morning. :-(

**Louisvillekid1** · 11-22-17, 03:09 PM

Great job beating the #’s

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-22-17, 09:33 PM

4-1 day

Thread: 8-5 (+2.07u)

**2daBank** · 11-22-17, 10:07 PM

Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy

4-1 day

Thread: 9-5 (+2.07u)

Nice job bro

**Capybara** · 11-22-17, 10:26 PM

Get it, Big Star.

**Louisvillekid1** · 11-22-17, 10:27 PM

Wouldn’t expect anything less

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-22-17, 11:50 PM

Thursday:

6:30 Seton Hall -4
This is URI's first test without EC Matthews and I think they'll struggle against a very good Seton Hall team that is much bigger than the Rams. Seton Hall doesn't shoot a high percentage from the FT line, but they should get a lot of opportunities against a URI that has one of the highest foul rates in the country.

**hit_me90** · 11-23-17, 10:00 AM

hellooooo, are we coming out with plays today other than Seton H. what is this a holiday today ? just joking, thanks for the plays yesterday

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-23-17, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by hit_me90

hellooooo, are we coming out with plays today other than Seton H. what is this a holiday today ? just joking, thanks for the plays yesterday

This is all I have so far. There are still a few games without lines yet, so there may be an add or two, but it's looking like a light day for me.

**GoCanes24** · 11-23-17, 10:19 AM

Along with betting Texas and Arkansas spreads individually, I'm thinking of parlaying UCF (-245), UVA (-300) and Seton Hall (-210). $5 would get me $8.86...you more confident in Seton Hall spread alone and forget the other two?

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-23-17, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by GoCanes24

Along with betting Texas and Arkansas spreads individually, I'm thinking of parlaying UCF (-245), UVA (-300) and Seton Hall (-210). $5 would get me $8.86...you more confident in Seton Hall spread alone and forget the other two?

No real opinion on the other two games. Sorry. BOL!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-23-17, 11:23 AM

2:00 St John's -5
After looking a little more, this seems like a good spot for the Johnnies. Early east coast start for the Beavers, who lost at home to Wyoming in their only T100 kenpom game so far. OSU has also been off since last Saturday, so there might be some rust. If St John's can keep the Beavs off the FT line I like the chances of covering this modest spread.

**Louisvillekid1** · 11-23-17, 12:06 PM

Great job as always

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-23-17, 04:48 PM

Late add:

5:00 Oklahoma/Arkansas u165
I wrote about this in banker's daily thread. Looks like a good regression spot.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-24-17, 09:26 AM

0-2-1 yesterday due mostly to some hot shooting. I may or may not have plays today and tomorrow. Because of he holiday, I am out of my normal schedule.

Thread: 8-7 (-.13u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-24-17, 11:45 AM

Friday:

9:30 CS Fullerton/Sacramento St u137.5
This is a low number, but these are two dreadful offensive teams. In the 9 games they have played this season, only one has gone over 137 and that's because San Diego St scored 89.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 11-24-17, 12:16 PM

Two more:

5:00 WVU/UCF o144.5

7:30 Nebraska/Marist o144.5