2022-23 NCAAB Totals

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  • HeeluvaGuy
    SBR MVP
    • 02-15-14
    • 3449

    #1
    2022-23 NCAAB Totals
    As I recently posted at the end of my abbreviated thread from last season, I don’t intend to post picks here. I’m a one man band and only have so many hours in the day. However, I did share links to my model for this season along with a link to my betstamp account (where I am posting picks). Those links are here:

    Model: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...OpO4MF0JM/edit

    Betstamp: https://betstamp.app/u/tips4tacos (don’t ask about the handle )

    While it’s true that I abandoned last year’s thread out of frustration, I have a decent track record here for those unfamiliar. In fact, if you look at my stats on betstamp for last season, even that eventually turned around.

    The first post in last year’s thread has some explanation on how to read the model, but feel free to ask if you have questions. I also have links there to previous seasons’ threads. Here is a like to last year’s thread: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...ab-totals.html

    If you’re interested in my picks, betstamp is probably your best bet. When possible I make picks shorty after lines are released the previous night and then update in the morning after a data refresh. I think betstamp has a notification feature that you can use.

    And as always, I enjoy discussing approaches to totals betting.

    GL!

    Edit: While I track ATS results in the model, I built this specifically for totals betting and don’t use it for spread betting.
  • teecee
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-18-09
    • 6295

    #2
    HeeluvaGuy, I have abandoned many threads for the same reason. Good luck to you this season.
    Comment
    • HeeluvaGuy
      SBR MVP
      • 02-15-14
      • 3449

      #3
      Originally posted by teecee
      HeeluvaGuy, I have abandoned many threads for the same reason. Good luck to you this season.
      I think it was 16 days straight without a winning day. Holiday travel gave me a natural break and things started to turn around after that. Season ended OK, but that was a rough stretch.

      GL to you as well!
      Comment
      • bigbluemist
        SBR High Roller
        • 04-06-11
        • 121

        #4
        I’ve been following you on Betstamp and you’ve had one nice run the last 2/3 weeks! Impressive
        Comment
        • HeeluvaGuy
          SBR MVP
          • 02-15-14
          • 3449

          #5
          Originally posted by bigbluemist
          I’ve been following you on Betstamp and you’ve had one nice run the last 2/3 weeks! Impressive
          61-37 since I posted on 11/22 in the other thread. Not likely sustainable at that clip, but I'm very happy with the start. Thanks for the follow.
          Comment
          • ENFUEGOMIAMI
            SBR Hustler
            • 11-09-09
            • 61

            #6
            if i may ask whats your name on betstamp
            Comment
            • HeeluvaGuy
              SBR MVP
              • 02-15-14
              • 3449

              #7
              Originally posted by ENFUEGOMIAMI
              if i may ask whats your name on betstamp
              The link is in the first post of this thread. I'm not a bestamp expert, but if you can't find it let me know and I'll try to help.
              Comment
              • doubledime
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-22-09
                • 9751

                #8
                Always good hearing from you. Good luck
                Comment
                • HeeluvaGuy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-15-14
                  • 3449

                  #9
                  Originally posted by doubledime
                  Always good hearing from you. Good luck
                  Likewise. How's the season treating you so far? I think you are still doing 1h unders, is that right?
                  Comment
                  • doubledime
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-22-09
                    • 9751

                    #10
                    Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                    Likewise. How's the season treating you so far? I think you are still doing 1h unders, is that right?
                    Just waiting for about another week of team stats. Not sure if I'll be posting.
                    Comment
                    • matt711
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-09-12
                      • 2282

                      #11
                      Nice job yesterday, HeeluvaGuy, glad to here your back, Ayo doing well too
                      Comment
                      • HeeluvaGuy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-15-14
                        • 3449

                        #12
                        Originally posted by matt711
                        Nice job yesterday, HeeluvaGuy, glad to here your back, Ayo doing well too
                        Nice to see a few of the good guys from the past still popping in. I don't have the time and energy to post picks daily and I find tracking sites like betstamp to be a better way not only to receive picks, but to track transparency - especially since I'm already on their shopping lines. Sucks for the forum biz though.
                        Comment
                        • matt711
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-09-12
                          • 2282

                          #13
                          Nice damn run Helluvaguy, keep posting then winners
                          Comment
                          • matt711
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-09-12
                            • 2282

                            #14
                            9-1 last 10,
                            Comment
                            • HeeluvaGuy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-15-14
                              • 3449

                              #15
                              Thanks matt. Have been busy and haven’t checked in here in a while. Managed to avoid the December swoon I had last season so maybe I learned something (or just got lucky).

                              Hope you’re winning more than you’re losing!
                              Comment
                              • matt711
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-09-12
                                • 2282

                                #16
                                21-7 great run on Non Service plays, great job helluva guy
                                Comment
                                • HeeluvaGuy
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-15-14
                                  • 3449

                                  #17
                                  I appreciate the shout out as always. I finally topped 100 followers on Betstamp, and I'm pretty sure they came after your post, so thanks for that.
                                  Comment
                                  • matt711
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-09-12
                                    • 2282

                                    #18
                                    1-0 today, thanks for your knowledge of ncaa totals, just passing good info
                                    Last edited by matt711; 01-12-23, 09:39 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • matt711
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-09-12
                                      • 2282

                                      #19
                                      Great work , cut my bet size down. “Thinking he’s due to Lose theory “boy I was wrong…Have you been following Ayo? He’s like 17-3 last 20 plays
                                      Comment
                                      • HeeluvaGuy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-15-14
                                        • 3449

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by matt711
                                        Great work , cut my bet size down. “Thinking he’s due to Lose theory “boy I was wrong…Have you been following Ayo? He’s like 17-3 last 20 plays
                                        As you might guess from the work I put into my stuff, I don’t really follow others. I have a ton of respect for Ayo and what he does in college hoops though. Doesn’t surprise me he’s doing well.
                                        Comment
                                        • HeeluvaGuy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-15-14
                                          • 3449

                                          #21
                                          Ah. Turns out I do follow him on betstamp. I also see his name on the NCAAB leaderboards and was wondering who that was.
                                          Comment
                                          • barnstorm
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 07-13-11
                                            • 340

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                            I think betstamp has a notification feature that you can use.
                                            How do you get notifications on Betstamp? I'm following you and Ayo, I have the notification bell unmuted, not struck through, but I am not getting any emails. Is there something in my profile or settings? Can't find anything missing. Thanks and GL!

                                            I just verified my email. Maybe that was it.
                                            Last edited by barnstorm; 01-13-23, 06:38 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • HeeluvaGuy
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-15-14
                                              • 3449

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by barnstorm
                                              How do you get notifications on Betstamp? I'm following you and Ayo, I have the notification bell unmuted, not struck through, but I am not getting any emails. Is there something in my profile or settings? Can't find anything missing. Thanks and GL!

                                              I just verified my email. Maybe that was it.
                                              Sorry, I’m not really sure. I thought that was a feature but maybe it’s not working. You might want to try turning on notifications for the app in your phone settings. Otherwise, they’re pretty responsive to emails.
                                              Comment
                                              • HeeluvaGuy
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-15-14
                                                • 3449

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by barnstorm
                                                How do you get notifications on Betstamp? I'm following you and Ayo, I have the notification bell unmuted, not struck through, but I am not getting any emails. Is there something in my profile or settings? Can't find anything missing. Thanks and GL!

                                                I just verified my email. Maybe that was it.
                                                So I tested it out and am now getting notifications on my phone. On iOS I went into settings and turned on notifications for the Betstamp app. HTH
                                                Comment
                                                • matt711
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-09-12
                                                  • 2282

                                                  #25
                                                  Damn 9-1 so far today, incredible run Helluvaguy, think you hit like 38 of your last 50 total plays, never seen many runs like this , enjoy your streak .
                                                  Last edited by matt711; 01-14-23, 08:30 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • barnstorm
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 07-13-11
                                                    • 340

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by matt711
                                                    Damn 9-1 so far today, incredible run Helluvaguy, think you hit like 38 of your last 50 total plays, never seen many runs like this , enjoy your streak .
                                                    10-3 finish, I think. Arkansas State-Southern Miss. by a half point. UAB-La. Tech by 1 point! Whew!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HeeluvaGuy
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-15-14
                                                      • 3449

                                                      #27
                                                      Needed a half court banked three for OT in the UNLV game too. Razor’s edge sometimes.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • barnstorm
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 07-13-11
                                                        • 340

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                                        Needed a half court banked three for OT in the UNLV game too. Razor’s edge sometimes.
                                                        Ha! Didn't know that one! Goes both ways I guess, but betting Overs, OT is our ace in the hole.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HeeluvaGuy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-15-14
                                                          • 3449

                                                          #29
                                                          Just your run of the mill miracle
                                                          https://twitter.com/CBSSportsCBB/status/1614446195170054144?s=20&t=KtJOj4_Q4Siij ayLGuuwAg
                                                          Comment
                                                          • barnstorm
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 07-13-11
                                                            • 340

                                                            #30
                                                            Oops! That Arkansas Pine Bluff - Bethune Cookman was an UNDER not the usual OVER? I'm gonna have to buy that back. I bet it the wrong way. Thought you were all OVERS.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • HeeluvaGuy
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-15-14
                                                              • 3449

                                                              #31
                                                              Sorry about that. I'm about 75% overs but I do sneak in the occasional under when the numbers are there.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Fred The Hammer
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-13-13
                                                                • 11567

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by matt711
                                                                Damn 9-1 so far today, incredible run Helluvaguy, think you hit like 38 of your last 50 total plays, never seen many runs like this , enjoy your streak .
                                                                Congrats man. ALways enjoyed your threads. Here's another team to watch that I stumbled onto yesterday:

                                                                George Washington Colonials. 5-1-1 Over in their last 7 with only 1 game under 150. I got 145.5 yesterday.

                                                                GW's KP ratings are #87 offense, #289 defense, and #111 tempo. Thats a recipe for Overs

                                                                My Youngstown State Penguins are now 13-4 Over on the season with 3 Overs in a row.

                                                                YState's KP = #25, #279, #116.
                                                                Last edited by Fred The Hammer; 01-17-23, 10:21 AM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • matt711
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-09-12
                                                                  • 2282

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                                  Congrats man. ALways enjoyed your threads. Here's another team to watch that I stumbled onto yesterday:

                                                                  George Washington Colonials. 5-1-1 Over in their last 7 with only 1 game under 150. I got 145.5 yesterday.

                                                                  GW's KP ratings are #87 offense, #289 defense, and #111 tempo. Thats a recipe for Overs

                                                                  My Youngstown State Penguins are now 13-4 Over on the season with 3 Overs in a row.

                                                                  YState's KP = #25, #279, #116.
                                                                  Hello Hammertime, lol, thanks for some used info
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • matt711
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-09-12
                                                                    • 2282

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Another great nite 6-1, great work
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • barnstorm
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 07-13-11
                                                                      • 340

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by matt711
                                                                      Another great nite 6-1, great work


                                                                      Comment
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