Florida game runner way under, of coarse OT, damn
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Unders
tues. 20-6
wed. 19-17
thurs. 15-7. So farComment -
54-30 right nowComment -
Unders 70-49. 59% Tues thru thursComment -
M tenn st leading scorer is outComment -
At least its not close losses anymore, these games are under by 10-15 pts in the first halfComment -
Yeah unders were +money every day in the conf tourneys. Lets see what happens in the ncaa tourneyComment -
I don’t bet a lot of futures, but I played Duke to make the Sweet 16 +155 on DraftKings. They’re -265 vs ORU today so +155 implies roughly a -118 ML in the next round. Duke will be favored by more than that against either Tennessee or Louisiana if they advance. And they’re playing excellent ball right now.Comment -
Betstamp is glitching today. I only played those games once.Comment -
Unders ncaa tourney
10-6 thurs
14-2 friday
6-2 satComment -
The worst shooting tourney I’ve ever watched. 90% of the games are in the 60’sComment -
HeeluvaGuy went 263-206-1 (56.4%) in College Hoops this year on BetStamp as tips4tacos.
After juice, that was good for +41 units.
Well done.
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Thanks. I was just coming to post the screen grab but couldn’t find the thread.
Not my best tournament, but still managed 18-15 for +2.86u.
Taking some time off to recharge a bit but might fire up some MLB in a few weeks. GL to all!
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Do you do MLB Totals, or sides, or RLs?
If Totals, do you base it on Umpires? Or Pitcher vs Hitter histories?Comment -
Last season I put together a model for 1st inning runs that did pretty well. Here's a link to those results: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing
The problem I run into with Betstamp on those is that they only offer Caesars lines for Y/NRFI and the success of the model depends greatly on finding the best price available so posting those plays on Betstamp won't yield realistic results. If I decide to run that again and you're interested I can message you the link to the spreadsheet.
I also play around with props and I pull daily batter v. pitcher numbers and post them here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharingComment -
Doubt there’s much traffic here these days but the burnout from hoops has passed and I’ve cranked up the first inning run model for this year. I hope to update it daily, but I have some trips planned that may cause some breaks. I’ll try to note that on the doc when it happens. Here’s the link for anyone interested: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...jC_4o11SY/editComment -
College Basketball total bet is the most difficult bet to win imho. I know you Heeluvaguy is obsessed with totals bet but I'm not sure how you managed to stay on top for all these years with these crazy bets. Imo even books find it hard to handle barring a few games so HATS OFF TO YOU. Pace is the biggest culprit.
I have chased that passion of total bets for last many years but no success. I'm fully focused on point spread bets for next season.
Good luck my friend.Comment -
Any good NFL or College Football cappers to follow here or on BetStamp?
College hoops coming up soon!Comment -
Impressive showing by Heel. Very nice.
I know this is early. But I'll post one comment:
*Early Season Coll Bask can present some soft lines.
...Reason is pretty obvious. When Oddsmakers has 90% of their resources allocated to Football, some lines can slip thru the cracks.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
Thanks for the compliment. Agree with your assessment of early season lines, especially in totals markets.
@barnstorm - I haven't found anyone consistent with NCAAF. I have all but given up modeling it and am not even trying this season. I still bet NCAAF, but I don't post them to betstamp because it's pretty unreliable and just for fun at this point. Kind of like coolguy, I'm done banging my head against the NCAAF wall.
I am planning to post NCAAB to bestamp when the season gets going.Comment -
Salud, Heel. GL to you.
NCAAFB has been humbling to me this year. Thought I had it figured out. Truth is that those lines are pretty sharp.
Re: Coll Bask, I have a plan to bet it in the very early going. Per my note above, those early season lines can't possibly be backed by much Science. They just post #s with MOST of the focus on Football.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
Heel, good luck if you're in action this year.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
Alright guys, I posted my first picks for this season on betstamp (https://betstamp.app/u/tips4tacos). As mentioned above, these picks can be very difficult this early in the season. Use caution. But most of all, good luck to everyone!
ETA: I'm going to hold off on posting the link to my model until we have a few weeks of games under our belt.Last edited by HeeluvaGuy; 11-03-23, 03:34 PM.Comment -
What's up, Heel?! Best of luck this season!
I haven't been in here at all lately, but from looking at a couple of threads, it seems like guys post plays in Betstamp? But what about Action? That's the app I've used to track my own plays for a while now (not to share, just to keep track of my exact profit/loss).
Would love to follow some of the sharper SBR folks in there... Not sure how much I want to deal with changing apps, lol.Comment -
Rough start yesterday. Fortunately, that CLV trophy is gonna look good in the case so not all is lost...
Try to do better from hereComment -
The only game I've won so far was the only game the line moved against me. Kind of bizarre, but it's a long season. I highly suggest waiting a couple of weeks to pay any attention to my picks. I will keep posting, but it's probably best to wait until the week of the 20th to tail.Comment -
If anyone is wondering why I'm on both sides of the Kansas game ... I clicked the wrong bet on Betstamp. My pick is Manhattan +36.Comment
You'll come out on top I'm sure.