Umass -3

**bigboydan** · 02-24-06, 11:01 PM

both teams suck thats for sure IMG.

i too would play umass myself if i were to play it, because they are showing like they didn't pack it in just yet.

**Razz** · 02-24-06, 11:46 PM

You know I like it buddy. UMASS has one of the best young coaches in the country in Ford, and I think he will have his team ready for this one.

**Adamo** · 02-25-06, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by imgv94

DAYTON (13-14) at MASSACHUSETTS (11-13)

Dayton has lost 7 straight on road.

UMASS has won 8 of 11 @ home.

Dayton when a dog SU 1-8
UMASS when a favorite SU 7-2

look at these stat

Dayton in LINEDgames 9-14
UMASS in LINEDgames 8-13

There is not much difference in teams as I showed
you. So this looks like a solid bet!!!

What do you think?

I love UMASS -3

Here IMG, I will stick my neck out first.

5* UMASS -3 (-110)

**imgv94** · 02-25-06, 05:35 AM

bump.

**presley177** · 02-25-06, 05:56 AM

.....

I like Dayton

**imgv94** · 02-25-06, 06:01 AM

WHY do you like Dayton?

**presley177** · 02-25-06, 06:32 AM

-better record and would be even better had Scott been healthy all year
-better defense
-better free throw team
-Brian Roberts against James Life
-Roberts,Scott and Plummer are deadly 3 point shooters for Dayton.
- Mass are 0-6 when their fg % is under 44%
....Dayton have only allowed the opposing team to shoot better than 44% 3 times in their last 12 games.

2 of those 3 teams were 17-8 La Salle and 23-1 Georgia Washington and both away games.

- Home court advantage is overrated here. Dayton has a winning record in the past at Mass being only slight favorites.
- Dayton coming off a big confiden win at home against Xavier
- Almost beat La Salle on the road with Scott's first game back. Lost on a final seconds 3 from La Salle when the game was tied.
-Mass's best player Freeman has been having trouble scoring as of late.

...just a few thoughts...i'm waiting to get more points for dayton if i decide to play it

**imgv94** · 02-25-06, 06:39 AM

I don't see Dayton being better. Dayton has lost 7 straight road games.

All the stats I have read make these teams look very similar. I'll
take similar and home court advantage..

**rm18** · 02-25-06, 06:47 AM

I think Dayton is slightly better, I would rather have Dayton -3 at Daytonthan UMass -3 at home, but I still think this is the right play

**presley177** · 02-25-06, 06:51 AM

4 of those 7 were without one of their best players and 2 of those games were against Cincinatti and George Washington.

Umass have dropped their last 2 home games, one to La Salle who beat them by 21 points at home. Dayton lost on a final shot at La Salle.

If Dayton keeps Freeman offensively inconsistent...Dayton will win the game outright.

**presley177** · 02-25-06, 06:52 AM

PLUS! Dayton are *due* to win on the road!

:P

**imgv94** · 02-25-06, 06:56 AM

You are making a great case for Dayton,, I still like UMass. But
u have me thinkin.

**presley177** · 02-25-06, 07:13 AM

The stat that sticks out to me the most is that Umass are ***2-11*** when they shoot under --44%-- as a team.

Dayton this season have held their opponents to a fg % of 40.1 %

play Dayton shoots about 5%(and probably better with 83% ft shooter Scott back)
better from the charity stripe.

**imgv94** · 02-25-06, 01:58 PM

63-44 3min left..

UMASS crusing baby!!

**presley177** · 02-25-06, 01:59 PM

congrats. Dayton had the lead in the first half and then just started playing like stiffs i guess..

**imgv94** · 02-25-06, 02:21 PM

66 -47 UMASS 19pt win. WINNER!!

**Alamorich** · 02-25-06, 03:13 PM

Nice one IMG.

**imgv94** · 02-25-06, 03:15 PM

Originally posted by Alamorich

Nice one IMG.

Didn't you have em bro?

**Illusion** · 02-25-06, 03:54 PM

Great job im.

**slacker00** · 02-25-06, 09:31 PM

Thanks for the pick, guys! I just lurk around and scoop all of these nice picks. Hopefully I can return the favor next NFL season! (I hate BBall, but NFL is my passion.)

**imgv94** · 02-25-06, 09:32 PM

NFL is my passion also. 6 unit bets all over the place. 20 unit teasers.