Denver is usually an auto-play as a home dog, and in this particular case, they have the better running game and better defense. With that said, still no play for me yet.
I doubt Arizona goes back to 3.5, it will probably stay on 3 with moving juice.
Somewhere on the forum there is a funny post about how Hochuli reffing that Denver is 7-0 at home, and some crazy record overall. The only thing bothering me about taking New England (and I've locked) is that NE is so obvious. If I get beat, it will be by turnovers setting up points and/or defensive scores, and I'm OK with that.
I expect Broncos to run as long as they are within contact, and if you check Hillman's carry log, think this at +139 is more worthwhile than Anderson at - odds.