how to handicap playoffs

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • OldBill
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-02-21
    • 6402

    #1
    how to handicap playoffs
    do not listen to media they are so lame with predictions never giving reasons
    the only thing that matters is what goes up on score board also team they beat like every team looks great beating the doormats of league Giants Jets brown Titans colts

    49ers Bears etc...

    so using current lines im doing it for you live right here

    Bills - 525 for 308 against 8-0 home - 8.5 -112 point diif is + 157 divide by 17 games = +9.2 ppg ok +9 ppg
    denver 425 - 311 diff is +114 but really thats fake because chefs benched so lets use 16 games of both
    Bills are now 507 for 285 against dif is +222 div b y 16 = +13.8 ppg round up to +14
    denver 387 pf 311 pa diff is +76 div by 16 only +4.75 round up to +5 ppg 14 -6 = 9

    add spread in bills 14-8.5 = +5.5 denver +8.5 = +13.5 13 .5 -5.5 = 8 so spread is correct bills will by 10 +

    ok next we have chargers -3 @ texans
    chargers point diif is +101 div by 17 = +5.94 ppg ok +6

    texans is 0 372 - 372
    so teans are +3 chrgers +3 with spread added in again chargers lost to tampa bay at home chargeres final 2 games away nmf they win 5 roads with no rest

    texans cant forget getting beat BY Balty 31-2 pass on this game


    ok now ravens -9.5 -115 vs steelers
    justpointm diff ebrntial rav en are +8 ppg

    steelers are +2 ppg 8-2 = 6
    sttelrs addibg 9.5 are +11.5 ravens are --1.5 oooo ohhhh bad sread take the 9.6 it's 3.5 points off ravens should only be -6 watch
    8-6 = +2 pitts +6 = +8 simple math

    Eagles -4.5 now - 115 packers were -115 jalen hurts they say cleared concussion protocol
    ummm i recall @ wash also finger on throwing hand was injured

    ok eagles point diff is +9.5 ppg
    packers is + 7 ppg as pcem eagles +2.5
    add spred in eagles +5 packers + 11.5 bad spread packers now + 6.5 with dded points
    hurts is no wat ready to play had hardly any prctive
    why not stay with recent qb who won games in other words sgould be a pickem
    but is loves elbow fully healed i don t think so
    packers lost 2 gamrs in row ATS and are noe -11.5

    Eagles dropped from +26 ats to +4.5 as - 2.5 with bacups vs Giants

    Packers @ Eagles bad history only 1 wn or 2 @ Eagles from 1965
    in other words on e team is negative the other is headed there
    next we have bucs -6 v s wash wgo brings in same qb that lost to tampa bay # home

    wash is +5.5 ppg
    tampa is +7 pppg so diff between two is t b +1.5 ummmm tb no cover -15 spread vs saints dropped to -5.5 ats of course after putting up 40 points vs car
    wash no cover -7 @ dallas won by 4 23-19
    so adding spread in wash +11.5 ppg tampa bay is +1 only 1/2 point less than pickem but wash is now +10.5 wash dropped to -3 as chalk of 7


    ok screw it tease tb to -1 ats tb price is -115

    has other teams lost 2 x to tb ib season and playoffs yup packers in play offs round 1 tb won it all that year


    cant rember any others lose to tb in season n playoffs
    thats it folks cant touch chargers @ texans
  • Str8Mush4Life
    SBR MVP
    • 11-25-13
    • 1029

    #2
    That's true Bill!!

    I've never seen the media make picks and give reasons............
    Comment
    SBR Contests
    Collapse
    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
    Collapse
    Working...