The Best bet for the Belmont?

**ChalkyDog** · 06-05-14, 10:01 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

No bet

Horses bad news

Just watch and enjoy

No bet and just watch and enjoy are mutually exclusive.

I don't give a shit about the ponies unless I am at the track. This race has my degen in full swing.

**Heppy10** · 06-05-14, 10:08 PM

Cant pick California Chrome on top no value

#4 Commanding Curve- Really like this horse here, hes gotten better every race, always closing, should be able to handle the extra distance. Is fresh and working great

#7 Samraat- Great value here not sure why he is 20-1. He has the best last three races besides CC. Great chance to hit the board IMO

#3 Matterhorn- Showed great promise his first race beating fellow first time starter Tonalist. Has had bad trips since. If you like Tonalist at 8-1 you can get Matterhorn at 30-1 Tonalist is not that much if any better then him.

I really liked ROC in the derby and preakness but I decided to throw him out, i just think he's ran to much already this year

My ticket for belmont
4,7/2,4,7/1,2,3,4,7

**MoneyLineDawg** · 06-05-14, 10:18 PM

Commanding Curve, Tonalist, California Chrome....Trifecta Box for fun

Also will play a few long shots in some exotics

I do think Cali Chrome wins but not much value

**nvrlose37** · 06-05-14, 10:35 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

The only reason to bet the Belmont is to bet AGAINST Chrome, if you think he is going to win, then the race is unbettable.

Bingo. Root for Chrome for the TC but never forget how much is available if he doesn't show up or hell if he even shows up second.

Comm Curve/ROC straight exacta if CC can't do it.

**Darkside Magick** · 06-06-14, 09:51 AM

After a good night sleep and some good intuition.....I feel now there will be no Triple Crown winner.....the horse to win I see now to win is:

Commanding Curve

Thanks for everybody input!

Commanding Curve/Wicked Strong Exacta

**Big Bear** · 06-06-14, 10:26 AM

lots of love for commanding curve what are the odds on him?

**Darkside Magick** · 06-06-14, 10:29 AM

Originally posted by Big Bear

lots of love for commanding curve what are the odds on him?

15/1

**Easy-Rider 66** · 06-06-14, 10:41 AM

Originally posted by Big Bear

lots of love for commanding curve what are the odds on him?

<cite>Commanding Curve & California Chrome must run in Belmont for action</cite>
Sat 6/7	107 Commanding Curve wins Belmont	<input type="radio" id="radiox" value="M1_3" name="radiox" language="javascript" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);">+825
6:50PM	108 Field wins Belmont	<input type="radio" id="radiox" value="M2_3" name="radiox" language="javascript" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);">-1275

5dimes current odds. 15/1 is the ml.

**EmpireMaker** · 06-07-14, 01:15 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

The only reason to bet the Belmont is to bet AGAINST Chrome, if you think he is going to win, then the race is unbettable.

What if you hate Wicked Strong ?

**EmpireMaker** · 06-07-14, 01:18 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

He is royally bred to handle any surface, which is rare for a Clement horse.

http://www.anddownthestretchtheycome...nders-tonalist

Tonalist is well-bred but he is royally bred for slop

**blueghost** · 06-07-14, 02:36 AM

1-2 exator box..you pick the amount

**LT Profits** · 06-07-14, 07:35 AM

Commanding Curve has no value at the windows right now, he was second choice at only 6/1 as of Friday closing.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/2896745-belmont-stakes-track-odds-friday-closing-new-post.html

**LT Profits** · 06-07-14, 07:36 AM

Wicked Strong 8/1, Tonalist 13/1

Two Win bets for me, I think they will close at higher odds than offered in the fixed futures right now.

**LT Profits** · 06-07-14, 07:37 AM

Originally posted by EmpireMaker

What if you hate Wicked Strong ?

I can't hate Wicked Strong at 8/1.

**Brooklyn Dick** · 06-07-14, 07:55 AM

This from one of the best sources out there. Cannot name source here.

BOTTOM LINE: The ones we don’t need to use at all are Matterhorn,
Matuszak, and Commissioner, and at the odds we’re willing to add Ride On
Curlin and Tonalist to that list. Maragh is capable of losing a lot of ground
on a closer and that scares us, but Wicked Strong has to be our key here.

**Boner_18** · 06-07-14, 07:57 AM

Palace Malice is easily the best bet on the card at anything better than 1/1. Key him and chrome in the P6 and P4 for a couple cheap shots at the guaranteed jackpots.

**LT Profits** · 06-07-14, 08:00 AM

Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick

This from one of the best sources out there. Cannot name source here.

BOTTOM LINE: The ones we don’t need to use at all are Matterhorn,
Matuszak, and Commissioner, and at the odds we’re willing to add Ride On
Curlin and Tonalist to that list. Maragh is capable of losing a lot of ground
on a closer and that scares us, but Wicked Strong has to be our key here.

I wish he didn't diss Tonalist.

I'll be more than happy with Wicked win though.

**Boner_18** · 06-07-14, 08:01 AM

Being at the park I'll def pick CC to win for about $100. Getting 10/1 on that horse is a no brainer.

**LT Profits** · 06-07-14, 08:06 AM

Rather than playing a ton of exotics, I invested $105 in the two win bets.

$65 Win - 9 Wicked Strong
$40 Win - 11 Tonalist

**LT Profits** · 06-07-14, 08:07 AM

Originally posted by Boner_18

Being at the park I'll def pick CC to win for about $100. Getting 10/1 on that horse is a no brainer.

If by "at the park" you mean at the track, he is only 6/1 right now. Try to find better online on fixed futures.

**Easy-Rider 66** · 06-07-14, 08:08 AM

Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick

This from one of the best sources out there. Cannot name source here.

BOTTOM LINE: The ones we don’t need to use at all are Matterhorn,
Matuszak, and Commissioner, and at the odds we’re willing to add Ride On
Curlin and Tonalist to that list. Maragh is capable of losing a lot of ground
on a closer and that scares us, but Wicked Strong has to be our key here.

Yeah, Some of the best info available. Expensive, but worth it for days like this, breeders cup etc.

**Boner_18** · 06-07-14, 08:10 AM

$2 Win dated today from bmont with the name? They'll sell for $20-30 easy.

**LT Profits** · 06-07-14, 08:13 AM

Originally posted by Boner_18

$2 Win dated today from bmont with the name? They'll sell for $20-30 easy.

Oh you are talking about Chrome. I thought you meant Commanding Curve. $2 ticket on Chrome will be worthless on eBay when he doesn't win.

**Boner_18** · 06-07-14, 08:16 AM

Yap. They surely will be worthless if he loses. But yer complaining about value @ 3/5... if he was 10/1 -15/1 wouldn't you jump on?

**mcdonae101** · 06-07-14, 08:28 AM

U think 2dollar win tickets will b worth something if he wins?

**str** · 06-07-14, 08:30 AM

Originally posted by Boner_18

$2 Win dated today from bmont with the name? They'll sell for $20-30 easy.

Not sure what they will sell for but a solid angle.

Secretariats shoes were sold one at a time at Pimlico for 10.00 each back in 73. The old grooms must have sold 100 of them. Of course none of them were actually Secretariats shoes. They were any shoes that the old grooms found in the trash that week from other horses. Lol.

**LT Profits** · 06-07-14, 08:34 AM

Originally posted by Boner_18

Yap. They surely will be worthless if he loses. But yer complaining about value @ 3/5... if he was 10/1 -15/1 wouldn't you jump on?

I hear you but the only way that would be possible is if you are at the track, so there is no need for me to even consider something like that.

**LT Profits** · 06-07-14, 08:37 AM

Let me post the track odds at Friday closing here too:

Post	Horse	Odds
1	Medal Count	21-1
2	California Chrome	1-2
3	Matterhorn	59-1
4	Commanding Curve	6-1
5	Ride On Curlin	11-1
6	Matuszak	47-1
7	Samraat	41-1
8	Commissioner	43-1
9	Wicked Strong	8-1
10	General a Rod	50-1
11	Tonalist	13-1

First race Saturday is at 11:30am ET, so betting will resume not too long from now with the gates opening early.

**mcdonae101** · 06-07-14, 08:40 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I hear you but the only way that would be possible is if you are at the track, so there is no need for me to even consider something like that.

U could b at any track tho couldn't u?

**LT Profits** · 06-07-14, 08:45 AM

Originally posted by mcdonae101

U could b at any track tho couldn't u?

No interest in going to track on days like this with 100,000 people there.

I was raised in New York too and went to Belmont many times when I was suppose to be attending class at Hofstra (shhh), but never went on Belmont Stakes Day. I am now about 4 hours away in PA.

**mcdonae101** · 06-07-14, 08:48 AM

Lol. I hear ya. I get a suite at lonestar every Saturday, days like this tho the place is a mad house

**Boner_18** · 06-07-14, 08:50 AM

Originally posted by mcdonae101

U could b at any track tho couldn't u?

The good $ is only for Belmont totes.

**Aces** · 06-07-14, 09:08 AM

5Dimes has Cal Chrome at +105 to win. I'm taking a chance on CC.

**Aces** · 06-07-14, 09:19 AM

Wicked Strong +580

To heck with track odds lay a wager on CC with an equal wager on Wicked pull for wicked but if chrome takes it you still walk with a little

For Shits and Grins CC to win and WS to win

**Darkside Magick** · 06-07-14, 09:30 AM

Commanding curve drop from 15/1 to 6/1......always follow the money at the track....